GBPUSD Double BottomGBPUSD try to create a classical Double Bottom at 1.143xx, Then GU gonna fly to trend line resistance.
Target Profit: 1.186xxx
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🟢GBPUSD bullish plan for the day🟢GBPUSD created this structure on 15min. Daily bias has bullish context now after creation of bullish candles and a logical zone to go higher and mitigate. Now, that doesn't need to happen and we are overall bearish for GU, however it's possible to find an entry IF lower timeframes confirm the zone on 15min.
📉 Text marks:
🔹 IL = impulse leg. Inside of IL we can usually see inside structure, which is secondary in nature, like a market noise, unless you trade it on LTF, as it’s own IL.
🔹 ph, pl = protected high or low, which holds current structural impulse.
🔹 bos = break of structure . Based on candle body close below/above previous structural impulse.
🔹 rsz, rdz = refined supply and demand zones. Specific areas to look for LTF confirmations. They are manipulative up-moves before real down moves, or vice versa. Strong hands (the Composite Man, as Wyckoff called it) often come back to such zones to close their manipulative orders at breakeven, before pushing prices further. If body closes outside of the zone, in most cases it will mean the cancellation of the setup.
🔹 if ltf confirms = entry only if there's a shift of structure on lower TF inside of rsz or rdz, or any other type of backtested and approved confirmation.
🔹 liq target = liquidity target: next profit taking levels for strong hands, our main targets based on current price action.
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The GBP in the reign of King Charles The death of Queen Elizabeth II on Sept. 8 beaconed a new era for the UK, coming on the heels of Elizabeth Truss taking office as prime minister and heralding the proclamation of King Charles as the new monarch.
These changes could be overwhelming for a country that has known only one monarch for 70 years. Even more daunting is that these changes happened amid economic uncertainties, the energy problems affecting Europe and before full recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic has been truly achieved.
The British pound was modestly lower compared with other major currencies a day after the Queen's passing. However, the sterling had been relatively week even after the Truss was named prime minister. On Sept. 7, it dropped to a 37-year low of $1.1469.
However, the pound has found some buyers since the seventh, bouncing from this low and climbing back to its last consolidation zone just above 1.7000. This is perhaps an odd bout of bullishness in the lead up to the release of the UK’s August inflation data due on Wednesday.
Days before the Queen's death, Goldman Sachs warned that the UK could fall into recession in the fourth quarter of 2022, echoing earlier forecasts from Bank of England. Considering these bearish sentiments, all eyes are on how Truss and the new King will navigate the country of four nations through these murky economic waters.
Long lived the queen
Queen Elizabeth was 96 years old when she died. She was the UK's longest-reigning monarch and lived through the aftermath of WWII, the winding down of Britain’s vast empire, the 2016 Brexit vote and a global pandemic, among other major events.
Following her death, her eldest son Charles takes the throne and the crown amid ongoing criticisms that the monarchy is outdated and absorbing public finances, CNBC reported. Considering the country's current financial situation, it is not too far off to assume that these disapprovals will only intensify.
King Charles is already one of the richest people in the world. Being the monarch, he will also be responsible to the Crown Estate, which comprises 15.6 billion pounds ($18.25 billion) of property, according to Financial Times senior business writer, Andrew Hill.
While the Royal Family may not have a direct hand at UK's financial policies, it falls on the new King the responsibility to rally public sentiment, especially during a period of crisis.
Andrew Roberts, a historian and professor at King's College London, was cited by CNBC as saying that the new monarch intends to "slim down the Royal Family" to show solidarity with the rest of the country during a "massive cost-of-living crisis."
Trusting Liz Truss
Amid the troubling times in the UK, perhaps harder work is demanded more from new Prime Minister Truss than any other person in the country.
In her last public engagement, the Queen met with Truss two days before her death to ask the latter to form a new government.
Truss immediately jumped into action, unveiling a 40 billion-pound energy support package for homes and businesses in the UK amid soaring electricity and gas prices, exacerbated by the reduction of supply from Russia after it faced sanctions over its military action against Ukraine. The plan includes a 2,500 pound cap on household energy bills for 2023.
Truss took office also after the annual inflation rate in the UK reached 10.1% in July, marking a record high since February 1982 and a peak among G-7 nations. Her election victory also comes on the back on the biggest rate hike in the country in 27 years, which is also expected to further grow once the Bank of England resumes its monetary meeting following a period of mourning for the Queen.
Earlier unveiled economic plans for the Truss government also includes an emergency budget targeted at reversing the recent increase in national insurance contributions, as well as the removal of the corporation tax hike scheduled for April 2023.
UK electing new leader; how will this affect the GBP? As the UK will announce a new Prime Minister on September 5th, we might expect heightened volatility in the GBP in the days before and after the election result. Moreover, the new policymaker has the potential to change the long-term trend of the pound, with the potential reforms conducted impacting the UK economy.
Only a few days remain until the new prime minister is appointed, so the current polls are indicative of the election's results projections, especially if the difference is significant.
Liz Truss is ahead of Rishi Sunak, with the recent polls placing Truss 30 points ahead of Sunak. If nothing radical happens in the next several days, Liz Truss will be a prime minister, with odds of 91%, according to The Telegraph.
What are the implications for GBP?
Liz Truss stands out by having an agenda including popular policies, such as lowering taxes. On the contrary, Rishi Sunak is focused on tight fiscal policies, including raising corporate taxes.
In an already high-inflation environment, low taxes could push consumer prices even higher. The Bank of England is likely to step in and raise the interest rate in response, potentially supporting the GBP.
Therefore, if Liz Truss takes control of the UK government, the GBP may strengthen. The bearish sentiment for GBP may occur if Rishi Sunak wins.
Technical view on GBP
The GBP bulls may want to look at GBP/JPY, as the yen has been weak across the board in 2022.
The pair is in a long-term uptrend, as the prices stay above 200-day MA. Since the beginning of August, GBPJPY has been consolidating under 50 and 100-day MAs, forming a triangle. The breakout above the upper border and MAs around 163.0 may end the long-term correction and send prices to the 168.0 resistance.
Alternatively, GBP/USD could be an appropriate pair to go short if the pound acts weak.
As seen above, the market is approaching Covid-19 lows near 1.14, with local resistances at 1.18 and 1.22.
GBPAUD BULLISH OUTLOOKAustralian dollar fell after building approval data came at -17%, while only -5% was expected.
GBPAUD had broke the resistance of the falling wedge pattern. RSI is above 50 and MACD histogram is above 0 line, plus the instrument is above both its 20 and its 50 MA, which is a bullish scenario.
If this scenario continues, we might see increase of the instrument's price to 1.715, the alternative scenario is the price to return to the falling wedge support at 1.687
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GBPUSD Long Term Predictions (4H Chart)Technical Analysis Summary
GBP/USD
TREND ANALYSIS
We have 1 Uptrend in green color (LONG TERM)
We have 1 Downtrend in red color (LONG TERM)
Be careful trends need to be modified when broken to the new peaks(Downtrend) and lows (Uptrend).
FUTURE PREDICTIONS
We have many resistance and support levels that I have mentioned above.
I use thickness as an indicator of strength of levels (ONLY FOR VISUALS).
Yellow Levels are levels from my past ideas published or levels that were respected from the past.
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GBPUSD POTENTIAL BUYAs you know GBP were bullish since a month ago. its because the fundamentally factor. BoE rate high is the key on this situation. meanwhile the fed still not yet take action on the inflation. that makes gbp strong on the fundamental side. as you know that on the last nfp ,the report was so bad. that makes dollar more in suffer these day. investor still waiting for the fed to take action on this inflation situation and covid stuff. on technical analysis, gbp testing the 50 SMA on the daily chart. make possibility to goes up to test the 1.37000 side.
GBPNZD Long Signal Bullish 1DHello Traders and Investors.
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I am using Ichimoku indc and PV and also Trending lines.
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Short term GBP/USD long positionMarkets is largely expecting the BOE to hike Rates in the December meeting. the positive print in the inflation data this morning further fuels the expectation of the 15 basis point hike to be this coming meeting. we are expecting the BOE to disappoint the market hence we have a very bearish bias on the GBP currency. technically we expert a completion of a WXY pattern on a small timeframe.
GBPAUDBullish Indicators:
1) Bounced from the upward trendline
2) Support zone at 1.86056
3) Bullish engulfing
Bearish Indicators:
1) Descending trendline
2) Resistance at 1.87723
Plan A: One can buy from here for the target of 1.88459
Plan B: On the breaking of upward trendline one can sell for the target of 1.85340 where the major support lies.