Forget USDJPY: Time to watch GBPJPY for intervention? The UK’s inflation rate due this week (early early Wednesday morning), and there is a huge projected drop in the reading from last month, from 6.7% to 4.8%. This huge drop leaves a lot of room for disappointment, and higher CPI reading could exert upside pressure on the GBPJPY, which is already at a multi-month high. It is for this reason I bring up the possibility that traders should watch for intervention in this pair, whether direct or indirect.
Supporting the possibility of a bullish GBPJPY is the rejection of yesterday's significant downside wick (touching the 50-day moving average on the 1-hour chart). This rejection was followed by a further move to the upside.
Further upside will see the pair challenge the three-month high at 186.77 and open the possibility for a correction/ intervention. In the past, ¥185.00 has proven to be somewhat of an anchor point for the pair, but perhaps a more accurate support is now ¥185.50?
Don’t forget that US CPI numbers are due this week too, one day before UK numbers hit the market.
Gbpjpyshort
GBPJPY to find sellers at market?GBPJPY - 24h expiry
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Previous resistance located at 185.89.
This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
We look to Sell at 185.90 (stop at 186.40)
Our profit targets will be 184.70 and 184.40
Resistance: 186.75 / 189.15 / 190.40
Support: 184.90 / 183.40 / 182.40
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GBPJPY with WillsonnnnThe International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned that China's weak recovery and the possibility of a prolonged real estate crisis could further impact Asia's economic outlook. The IMF has reduced its growth estimate for Asia in 2024 to 4.2%, down from the 4.4% forecast in April and the 4.6% forecast for this year, according to the Outlook report. World Economy published last month. This highlights the challenges facing Asian economies as they navigate the current economic landscape.
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GBP/USD Surpasses 1.2200 Level After UK GDPGBP/USD extends its slide below the 1.2200 level in early US trading. UK GDP data reveals a better-than-expected 0.6% year-on-year growth in the third quarter. However, these figures fail to propel the currency pair as investors await next week's key data for clearer direction. The ascending trendline, the Fibonacci retracement level of the latest downtrend, the 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart, and the 200-period SMA collectively form a robust support level at 1.2200. If GBP/USD drops below this level and confirms it as resistance, the next downside targets could be set at 1,2140 (static level) and 1,2100 (static level).
On the upside, 1,2250 (SMA 50) is considered a dynamic resistance level ahead of 1,2275 (SMA 20) and 1,2300 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement level).
GBP/USD Surpasses 1.2200 Mark Following UK GDP Data"GBP/USD extends its slide below 1.2200 in early US trading. UK GDP data reveals a year-on-year growth of 0.6% in Q3, surpassing expectations. However, these figures fail to propel the currency pair as investors await next week's key data for clearer direction. What are your thoughts on this currency pair?
The Japanese Yen market is in declineFed Chairman Jerome Powell said at a recent International Monetary Fund research conference that Fed officials are still unsure whether current interest rates are high enough to effectively combat inflation. This suggests further rate hikes may be imminent.
Powell said the Fed aims to keep monetary policy tight enough to reduce inflation to 2% over the long term. However, he expressed uncertainty as to whether this goal had been achieved. He also noted that the Fed may be reaching the limits of its ability to ease price pressures by improving the supply of goods, services and labor. Powell's comments widened the S&P 500's decline, with the index down 0.69% in the previous announcement. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note rose slightly, most recently at 4.638%. The US dollar index also rose 0.41%.
Market strategists interpreted Powell's comments based on their potential impact. Vasili Serebryakov, a foreign exchange strategist at UBS in New York, believes Powell's comments do not provide significant new information but are viewed by the market as hawkishell
GBPJPY - Long after filling the imbalances ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for long. I want price to make a retracement to fill the imbalances lower and then to reject from bullish order block.
Fundamental news: Tomorrow will be released monthly GDP on GBP. If the result is negative for GBP, it will support our analysis.
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GBP/JPY runs into resistance in the 4Hour chartDear traders, as mentioned in yesterday's idea, GBP/JPY has run into resistance
in the 4H chart. Price has backed off after hitting the 4H resistance level.
So, if this continues, GJ can fall further to the 183.50 level. My plan is to short
the rallies in GBP/JPY as long as the resistance holds with target at 183.50
GBPJPY the recent monetary policy changes by the Japanese yen (JPY), there appears to be a decrease in the strength of momentum in the GBP/JPY currency pair. To gain more confidence in this observation, it is advisable to closely monitor higher timeframes (HTF) for additional confirmations. This means that after Japan's central bank's recent decision regarding its monetary policy, the GBP/JPY exchange rate seems to have lost some of its previous momentum. To make more informed trading decisions, it's a good idea to keep an eye on longer timeframes and look for further signs or indicators that support this trend.
GBPJPY, Short, H1 timeframe, Daytrade, Scalping.Are you ready to make some money? Let’s talk about GBPJPY! 🤑
Our screener has identified that JPY is a relative strong currency in this session, and we’ve found that GBPJPY has broken out of the support zone and is headed towards the downside. But don’t worry, this is just a little and short retracement in the daily uptrend.
So, what’s the plan? We could consider the nearest two target levels (184.857 and 184.626), with a stop loss at 185.35 and a sell entry zone between 185.1 to 182.28.
With this strategy, you’ll be well on your way to making some serious cash. Good luck! 💰
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Japanese yen pound is on a downward The Japanese yen pound is on a downward trend. The above decision shows that rising global bond yields and sustained high inflation are making it more difficult for the Bank of Japan to maintain its yield curve control policy.
As the outlook for the economy and prices remains extremely uncertain, the Bank of Japan will continue to promote accommodative monetary policy. The agency previously updated its inflation forecast for fiscal 2023 and 2024 to 2.8%, the third consecutive period above the central bank's 2% target.
Japan adjusts monetary policy, yen depreciates sharply – Photo 1. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: ``Although the situation remains extremely unstable, we have judged that it is appropriate to implement a more flexible yield curve control policy regarding interest rates.Long-term interest rates will adapt to future changes. can be set up in financial markets.
Following the decision, the yen plunged against the US dollar as traders focused on the Bank of Japan's commitment to maintain economic stimulus and forecast that inflation would fall below 2% in 2025.
A moderate pullback may be possible in GBP/JPYDear traders,in my previous GBP/JPY ideas, I advised buying at 180.85 level.
If you followed those ideas, you made over 400 pips. At present,
GBP/JPY rallied strongly during the NY session on Friday.
However, the price looks over-stretched from the EMA.
So, there is a possibility of a pullback to 183.60 level. If there is the
formation of a couple of bearish candlesticks in the 185 zone, traders
can consider selling with 183.60 as a target.