GBPCHF might continue decliningGBPCHF is trading within a descending channel and the pressure seems to be very strong to the downside. Price got rejected at the resistance of the channel and we saw strong decline last week. I will be looking for bearish continuation developments for short possibilities. My target will be the low at 1.21727
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Gbpchfanalysis
GBP/CHF: Is that just a False Breakout?Hello, everybody, and welcome to my TradingView’s profile, my name is Gianni and today I’m going to analyse the asset , translating the market information by using a full technical analysis on different time frames, giving you a personal opinion about the next most likely market movement and helping you to spot and manage market opportunities.
My ideas are for those who are interested in improving their financial education and for those who are looking for new trading opportunities, according with their own strategies.
Weekly timeframe:
Daily timeframe:
4 hours timeframe:
Overall the market has been trending to the downside for a while and a bullish new impulse pushed the price up till an interesting key level.
The price closed few candles above the resistance level but it quickly retraced back, clue of sellers foot print around the level 1.26000
Still in bearish territory, the probability of a retracement to the downside is quite high!
When, where and why would I step into the market?
Looking at the intraday perspective, we can see the price still above a dynamic trendline and I will not plan any short position till the breakout of that line.
A breakout and some consolidation below the trendline would be an interesting confirmation to go short on this market, so at the moment I’ve just placed an alert around the level 1.24000
A clearly breakout to the upside would invalidate this trade idea and no action will be taken on this market!
If you enjoy this trade idea, please support my work with a thumb up and don’t forget to follow my profile for more detailed market analyses!
Trade safe and responsibly,
Gianni
DISCLAIMER
Please note the views are not investment advice and should be used only for educational purpose
Potential Shark Forming 🦈🦈GBP/CHF - Strong S/D zone broke with a nice BOS, zone has been retested, we've had very nice rejection on the LTF so I'm predicting this level will be the new support zone and we will see the bulls take over from here!
Let me know your thoughts!
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
GBP/CHF: More Downward Movement?Hello, everybody, and welcome to my TradingView’s profile, my name is Gianni and today I’m going to analyse the GBP/CHF , translating the market information by using a full technical analysis on different time frames, giving you a personal opinion about the next most likely market movement and helping you to spot and manage market opportunities.
My ideas are for those who are interested in improving their financial education and for those who are looking for new trading opportunities, according with their own strategies.
Daily timeframe:
4 hours timeframe:
1 hour timeframe:
The market is still trending to the downside, currently on a corrective move, it has just reached its previous key level (support turned now into a resistance level), just around the 0.50/0.61% of Fibonacci retracement, usually an area where the price start consolidating before a follow market movement.
The market is losing momentum as well, considering that it is not moving with the same strength anymore!
Currently still inside an ascending channel, the most trading activity is now on the lower part of the channel, another possible clue that the intraday bullish impulse is close to the end.
When, where and why would I step into the market?
Before planning my short trade on this market I will be waiting for the price to leave the ascending channel, showing a proper reverse price action with a RRR of 1:2 or greater.
The SL would be above the channel and the local resistance zone, instead the first TP on the demand area (and eventually I will leave the position open in the scenario of breakout to the downside.)
A breakout to the upside, above the resistance level would probably invalidate this trade idea!
If you enjoy this trade idea, please support my work with a thumb up and don’t forget to follow my profile for more detailed market analyses!
Trade safe and responsibly,
Gianni
DISCLAIMER
Please note the views are not investment advice and should be used only for educational purpose
GBPCHFThe British pound has shot straight up in the air against the Swiss franc during trading on Thursday, but it is worth noting that he gave back about half the gains. Because of this, it will be interesting to see if Sterling can keep its strength, considering that it peeled away from the 50 day EMA almost immediately. The 50% loss of the earlier session gains does not bode well for confidence. You will notice that we recently had seen a massive shooting star that reached all the way up to about the highs of where we were during the day on Thursday. In other words, there is probably a significant amount of resistance in the 1.2360 level.
The 50 day EMA sits there as well, so there is a certain amount of technical analysis that could come into this picture as well. Regardless, the market is in a downtrend and therefore even though we have seen a couple of days were the market had really try to turn itself around, it cannot hang on to gains. This tells me that this probably continues to be a “sell on the rallies” type of deal.
I find this particularly interesting considering that the British pound spiked against almost everything, and many of its other pairs kept its gains. This could be a function of Swiss franc strength though, so that is something that needs to be thought about. Nonetheless, this looks like a market that is destined to revisit its lows, so I am looking for shorting opportunities over the next two weeks. On a breakdown below the candlestick for the Thursday session, I suspect that would be good enough to get short yet again.
To the upside, if we were to take out the 1.24 handle, then I would be more convinced of this breakout it is at that point we would have work our way through significant amounts of resistance, and therefore it would be a move that would have been very resilient and taken a lot of effort. In that scenario, it becomes more of a buy-and-hold scenario where I think eventually we take out the 200 day EMA. Keep in mind that this pair has a certain amount of risk appetite attached to it, rising one risk appetite is strengthening, and falling when it is falling.
This looks like a market that is destined to revisit its lows, so I am looking for shorting opportunities over the next two weeks.
GBPCHF MANIPULATION 📉📉📉Look at this perfect example of the trendline liquidity manipulation + weekly low and then price is trying to reverse. First of all Market Makers are engineering liquidity what i call making traps in this case trendline that acts as a ,, support ,, then price comes back rejects getting more into longs and then colapse...
Remember the price wouldnt go higher or lower with the heard in 90% of the cases.
What do you think ? Comment below..
A glance into CHF crosses (The ultimate safe heaven)Hi traders, in this post let's take a look into the CHF crosses which not only I think presents good trading opportunities, but also will give us a " feeling" about the risk in the markets at this moment.
EurChf:
As you can see in the main chart (weekly) EurChf is in a clear downtrend since the beginning of the 2007-2008 financial crisis and in the past 7 years, the pair has formed a pattern that resembles an H&S. More importantly though is that the pair is trading at this moment exactly in a strong support above 1 very important figure(We don't care about 3% difference looking at a longer TF)
Going to daily
Here we can see that since March's top above 1.1, the pair has started to drop, and since September, this drop is accelerating, but more importantly, in the past 2 months, EurChf has broken under 3 important daily support levels.
The month of December is marked by consolidation with the pair trading in a tight range. However, last week can give us a clue, with the strong selling and reversal before the 1.05 figure.
In conclusion, I expect EurChf to continue its descent at the beginning of 2022 and to reach at least parity figure.
GbpChf:
Similar to EurChf, here also we have a multi-year downtrend, and going to the daily chart, we can see that the pair is accelerating down since late October also here.
December, in GbpChf's case, is marked by a flag, which can lead to continuation, and, very important in my opinion, the BoE rate rise did nothing but a spike up, strongly reversed, leaving a Pin Bar on our chart.
1..2150-1.22 is the support zone, and a break here could accelerate losses to the next important support under 1.17. Such a trade would have a 1:3 risk: reward ratio and, in my opinion, GbpChf needs to be on our watch list in the next weeks.
AudChf:
We can see something similar in AudChf, a pair very sensitive to risk... The pair is accelerating its loss in late October and we have a break under very important 0.67 support, with this break confirmed as genuine last week.
The next support for this pair is 0.64 zone, but once this is cleared, AudChf can spiral down to at least 0.6
GBP/CHF SHORT SELL LONG BUY..
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair,
let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions,
the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be
satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watch list and see if
the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
Dear Traders,
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GBPCHF, Double bottoms formedOn the 5th of November the pair reached our strong weekly support, level 1.22889. The price failed to go beyond these level but it formed double bottoms as first sign of reversal. A retest of our descending trending line has taken place and bullish confirmation candle printed on 4 hour timeframe. Targets should be placed around level 1.26575 and stop loss at 1.24262.
GBPCHF top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBPCHF Long (Mean Reversion) with 3X Potential Reason
List of Reasons for potential pull back/mean reversion:
1: The market is over extended and has been moving bearish for almost 3 weeks straight with no pull back. This is more visible on the weekly chart than on the daily chart.
2: The trendline on the daily chart was broken with no retest.
3: Month Support level was broken with no retest around the 1.25*** area
Summary:
The trade has the potential to be a 4:1 RR or more abut this will depend on how deep the pull back is. Targets are set using fib tool. We also have to wait for the market to change from bearish to bull which will be visible on the H4 and Daily chart.
Once the market turn bullish, we will then be able to determine the correct RR of the trade. The trade will be left to run until the target is reached or between 5 to 10 trading days, whichever comes first.
Those who plan to sell the market in its current state must be very careful as smart money might close short some positions on the pair, forcing price to turn bullish, allowing them grab some liquidity.
GBPCHF top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.