Shorting on Gbpusd or Nzdusd if USD is still to strongerHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
If usd came out stronger this coming week, i will be focusing on both Gbpusd and Nzdusd for shorts.Let's see!
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
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GBP
EURGBP Breakout and Potential retraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a buying opportunity around 0.85600 zone, EURGBP was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.85600 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBP/USD: Recovery Momentum Amidst Technical and Fund. FactorsThe GBP/USD pair has shown signs of gaining traction during the early European session on Wednesday, surpassing the 1.2460 mark after experiencing a rebound around the 50% Fibonacci level. Despite previous forecasts suggesting a potential deeper reversal around the 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci levels, recent price action, in line with EUR/USD movements, indicates a potential bullish impulse. However, it's essential to note that our analysis serves as an idea rather than a call for immediate entry into trades.
Looking at the near-term technical outlook, there's a discernible buildup of recovery momentum. Nonetheless, the pair could encounter significant resistance around the 1.2625 level, where the Local Point of Control (POC) of volume from the previous range consolidation area resides. Our perspective revolves around the possibility of a retracement near the POC line followed by a subsequent push downward.
Turning to economic news, the UK's Office for National Statistics (ONS) recently released data indicating that inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), dipped to 3.2% in March from the previous month's 3.4%, surpassing market expectations of 3.1%. Moreover, the core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose by 4.2% during the same period, slightly above analysts' estimates of 4.1%. These readings prompted a strengthening of the Pound Sterling against its counterparts.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar continues to grapple with tepid demand, contributing to the upward momentum of GBP/USD as market sentiment improves midweek. This dynamic underscores the interplay between technical and fundamental factors shaping currency movements.
In conclusion, the GBP/USD pair exhibits signs of recovery momentum amidst a backdrop of technical indicators and fundamental data. While recent price action suggests a potential bullish impulse, resistance levels loom overhead, warranting caution for traders. The release of economic data, particularly inflation figures, has influenced market sentiment, driving movements in the Pound Sterling. Against the backdrop of a subdued US Dollar, GBP/USD dynamics remain dynamic, requiring traders to remain vigilant and adaptable to evolving market conditions.
GBPJPY - Long Trade IdeaI like the long idea here. If the current day can form a Bisi, that would be fantastic. After that I would just be looking price to trade back into the Bisi, into one of the key Breaker levels annotated, at the right time of the day, then STRIKE.
The highest-probability target would be the recent high, and the next discretionary target would be my Wick Chair model (out of view), which basically also has some EQHs as well. A runner could be left for even higher prices should both targets be hit.
The stoploss is discretionary for a better RR as this is the Daily timeframe. The safest option would be the protected low annotated on the chart.
- R2F
Could price bounce from here?GBP/CHF is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.13646
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.12950
Why we like it:
There is a support level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.14820
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EUR/GBP potential bearish reversal?Price is rising towards a resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.85856
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.85999
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.85516
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPUSD Long 4.25.24 *Educational*First step: Identify trend.
Price is obviously in an uptrend locally. This can be seen by price making higher highs and higher lows every day.
Step 2: Wait for the New York initial balance to form in order to make an educated discission.
You can see the IB form, which is the A and B blocks. After the IB is formed CDE bocks formed a failed auction below the IB. A failed auction indicates trapped traders below the IB low, that were trying to short the breakdown.
Step 3: Look for confluence to support your trade idea.
You can see just below the IB we have the daily POC + VAL and a local golden pocket.
So along with the failed auction of the low, we also tapped into 3 other support levels.
Step 4: Enter your trade.
Unfortunately, I can't show any time frame lower than 15mins bc of Tradingview's rules.
But you can still see how I entered. It is simple, I wait for a 15min close back inside of the IB. Then I go on the 1min chart and look to see if the 1min trend is shifting in my favor. Id both of those criteria are met then I will enter my trade on the backtest of the IB.
GBPUSD - Price can leave pennant and rise to resistance levelHi guys, this is my overview for GBPUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price broke $1.2615 level and entered to resistance area, where some time traded and later bounced up.
After price rose to $1.2885 points, it started to decline inside the falling channel, which fell to $1.2615.
Later GBP broke $1.2615 level, after which made upward movement to $1.2710 points, and then made a strong downward impulse.
Price broke $1.2615 level one more time, exiting from channel and starting to trades inside pennant.
In this pattern, GBP declined below $1.2425 support level, but recently backed up and now trades close resistance line.
In my mind, British Pound can fall to support line and then bounce up to $1.2615 level, exiting from pennant.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
EURGBP - Short Trade IdeaThis is a short idea I have, and most likely it will come to fruition. We have a good liquidity pool taken out with a great reversal displacement. We also have a great draw on liquidity for the buyside.
See here for my analysis on the Daily timeframe.
Refer to my notes within the screenshots for context.
Happy trading!
- R2F
Could GBP/CAD reverse from here?Price is rising towards a resistance level which has been identified as a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.71052
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.71720
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Take profit: 1.70212
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPAUD to continue in the downward move?GBPAUD - 24h expiry
The medium term bias remains bearish.
A higher correction is expected.
Bullish divergence is expected to support prices.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Bespoke resistance is located at 1.9220.
We look to Sell at 1.9220 (stop at 1.9270)
Our profit targets will be 1.9100 and 1.9070
Resistance: 1.9220 / 1.9260 / 1.9315
Support: 1.9140 / 1.9085 / 1.9030
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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GBPCAD Sell the spikeThe GBPCAD pair gave us a solid short-term sell signal last time (January 29, see chart below):
At the moment it is declining within a Channel Down pattern which emerged after the 6th rejection on the Resistance Zone. Having broken below both the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), we are expecting a short-term rebound to price the new Lower High and fail on the 1D MA50 test as a Resistance.
There is a strong Support confluence below, the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and Support 1 (1.67685), our Target is at 1.6700, marginally below those on the dashed Higher Lows trend-line, always above the 1W MA100 (red trend-line).
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GBPUSD: Thoughts and Analysis Today's focus: GBPUSD
Pattern – Impulse in a downtrend.
Support – 1.2330
Resistance – 1.2456
Hi, traders. Thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at GBPUSD on the daily chart.
Today, we have broken down the current PA we are seeing and thinking about on the GBPUSD. We have touched on news to come and discussed the USD index.
Can buyers beat resistance and the down trend to start forming a new trend higher? Will we see buyers fail again, maintaining the pattern of LHs and LLs maintaining a new leg lower?
Good trading.
GBP/CAD potential bearish dropPrice is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.70212
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.71034
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.69000
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBP/NZD has a strong bearish momentum, could it fall further?Price is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2.10271
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2.11720
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Take profit: 2.08395
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPAUD: Short term bullish trade.GBPAUD is practically neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.487, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 28.797) as the LL leg of the Channel Down was negated by the Double Bottom that was formed today. The 1D RSI turned upwards on a HL trendline and this is a short term bullish call, targeting the top of the pattern (TP = 1.94000).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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British Pound can turn around and try to break resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about British Pound. By observing the chart, we can see that the price a not long time ago started to decline inside the downward channel, where it first rebounded from the support line and rose to the channel's resistance line. But after this, EURGBP bounced from this line too and continued to decline in the channel to the buyer zone, which coincided with the support level and then price some time traded in this area. Later the price rebounded up, exiting from the downward channel, but after this it made a downward movement, breaking the 0.8540 level again. Soon, GBP turned around and started to rise inside from an upward pennant, where it broke the support level one more time, making a fake breakout. After this, the price made a correction to the support line of the pennant and then made an impulse up to the resistance line, thereby breaking the 0.8615 level, which coincided with the seller zone. But a not long time ago British Pound turned around and in a short time declined below the resistance level and now it continues to decline. In my mind, EURGBP can fall to the support line, after which the price will turn around and rebound up to the resistance line of the pennant, breaking the resistance level. So, that's why I set my target at the 0.8635 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GDPUSD: Short the poundThe next significant event on the horizon is the release of USA Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. While this announcement has the potential to influence market direction, I anticipate it may not yield significant changes.
However, it's essential to remain vigilant and stay updated for any developments following the release.
Stay tuned for further updates as the situation unfolds.
***** Avoid Short Term Long Trades.
Best regards,
GBPUSD is approaching an important resistance areaHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.24200 zone, GBPUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.24200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBP/USD has a strong bearish momentum, could it fall further?Price is rising towards a resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.23887
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.24280
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.23010
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBP/USD Outlook: Waiting for CPI
Hello traders,
As we approach tomorrow's release of CPI data for both GBP and EUR, it's likely that the markets will adopt a wait-and-see approach until then.
Considering the longer-term perspective, GBP appears to be oversold within a bearish channel. As such, it's advisable to avoid short-term trades with high risk exposure.
Keep an eye on the yellow trend line, as a break above it could present opportunities for long trades.
Trading Scenarios:
The UK CPI is estimated to be around 3.1%. Any bullish surprise, particularly between 3.2% to 3.3%, may offer a favorable zone around 1.2482 for shorting the pair. However, a figure exceeding 3.5% could signal a potential change in trend, prompting us to seek technical reasons to long the pair.
Conversely, any bearish surprise has the potential to breach key levels and invalidate the bearish channel. In such a scenario, I'll promptly announce new scenarios.
In the absence of any surprises, it's prudent to explore zones closer to the current price for shorting opportunities.
Stay informed and remain adaptable to evolving market conditions.
Best regards,
GBP/CHF potential bearish reversalThe price is rising toward a resistance level, which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement; it could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.13236
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.14028
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Take profit: 1.11771
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPUSDEverything you need to know is plotted with lines inside the chart
But in short:
I think the price should have a pullback to Fvg (before Choch), and this pullback can be with shadow because a flipzone also support Choch zone.
At the moment, my view is bullish up to FVG, and as soon as it hits it, it will probably be bearish (after checking the strength of the buyers).
Good luck