NATURAL GAS Breakdown OpportunityHi!
NATGAS is pretty bearish, reading about a warm December, at least in the US, and overproduction. (reading headlines at naturalgasintel.com).
So, I'm expecting price to break down at the test of this trendline, which could be a good opportunity to SHORT on this one.
Have a great week ahead, and please comment if you have something good to add.
Best Regards,
ThomChris
GAS
🔝 US Gas prices become more affordable as key breakdown is hereAmericans could breathe a sigh of relief with gas prices set to be more affordable this year.
US gas prices hit their highest 52 Weeks in August and September ahead of Labor Day, with the national average standing at $3.82 a gallon FRED:GASREGW , per AAA Gas Prices .
Gasoline prices hit summertime levels in over a decade even as the driving season comes to a halt, as a result of rising crude-oil prices TVC:USOIL driven by production cuts.
Brent crude TVC:UKOIL , the international benchmark, jumped to $90 a barrel earlier is September for the first time in 2023 after both Saudi Arabia and Russia extended oil production cuts of 1.3 million barrels a day through December 2023 in a bid to maintain price stability.
Higher US gas prices NYMEX:RB1! are a problem for the Federal Reserve, which has been trying to tame historically high inflation. The central bank has already hiked interest rates ECONOMICS:USINTR by more than 500 basis points since March 2022, helping lower the pace of consumer-price increases to 3.2% in July from last year's highs above 9%.
But the jump in fuel prices is threatening to derail the progress the Fed has made in taming inflation.
As a result, just after September, 2023 FOMC meeting market participants are waiting one or maybe two dovish Fed's Rate price actions in 2024. At the same time before September, 2023 Federal Reserve meeting, market expectations were about three cuts, near to four. (up to 100 b.p.).
Meanwhile juts a take a look what technical picture in RBOB Gasoline futures RB1! price says.
Near the middle of August, 2023 Gasoline futures prices turned massively down, due to seasonal backwardation in RBOB futures contracts, where autumn RBOB futures contracts are usually to be trade lower vs. summer RBOB futures contracts.
Moreover, in the last day of Q3'23 RBOB futures price turned firmly lower, breaking down the major trendline support that was actual all the time from disinflationary Covid-19 era. Moreover weekly SMA(52) is broken down also.
In a conclusion, I have to say that retail gasoline prices are usually to follow the major trend, within one or up to two months.
NATURAL GAS BEARISH OUTLOOKThe recent surge of warm fronds impacting the United States, the largest consumer of natural gas, shows no signs of dissipating soon, exerting significant pressure on its market. This has led to a substantial decline in the price of the gas, plummeting for eight consecutive days from 2.841 to 2.375, marking a staggering drop of over 16%.
Technical indicators are not signaling an imminent reversal of this trend in the short term, as both the MACD and RSI exhibit robust Sell signals. Should the current trajectory persist, there's a possibility that the price could dip to support levels around 2.124.
A potential pivot point at 2.405 might be considered, potentially leading to a price rebound to 2.712.
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NATGAS Long From Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NATGAS fell down following
The collapse of oil but
Has now reached a horizontal
Support of 2.430$ from where
We are already seeing a
Bullish reaction so I think
That the price will go up
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
IMPP: Potential Bullish Consolidation In Certain ShipownersWith BDRY (The Baltic Dry Index ETF), finally going up, we may start to see more shipper stocks go up. We've already started to see an uptick in SB, GASS, TK, and TNK, now we might start to see some action across the entire sector.
I still would want to focus on those that are giving us at least a somewhat decent pattern, and IMPP in this case is both cheap and has potentially formed a Double Bottom with Bullish Divergence above the previous level of resistance. Given that it focuses on Oil and owns Ships, I think it can start rising with the Baltic Dry Index, especially if we get more demand for oil in the coming months.
Its hard to talk Straight and Right/!>Hello dear participants in the Market
I am trying to somehow use political perspective as less as I can to express my view on the economic part.
But I think the general awareness on the subject justifies my use of this kind of references more. There is a lot happening and its getting harder to stay neutral.
The line between the power(political) and finances had become so thin, and we can see the market reaction to this struggles and sometimes it feels like a financial battlefield between grand players and sides(there is a visible harmonious movement most often).
What they are referring to these days as “the axis of evil” the new version of it of course, it must not hide or going unseen the impact of Many other parties playing…
But considering these three major countries, Iran, china and Russia influence and sometimes shared interests, makes the idea of an unusual(unwritten) alliance between them more possible But there are differences in their decision making dynamics.
China has a future defining role here.
It seems like they are preparing for different scenarios, maybe in controversial ways sometimes But if the peace chances looks stronger, I believe that they are ready to contribute to the way of maintaining and restoring some of the civilization's values in this chaos.
Iranian anti semitic government position in regard of the current events is disappointingly clear, in fact it’s been clear since it’s evolution turn-around in 1979, and like so many nations most of it’s people aren’t at the same page with their government's foreign policies and its overseas activities.
Its very important for us at this stage, to try define some key words because it makes a lot of difference given our minds way of measuring things nowadays. So given the circumstances the word “fair” make a tricky obsession of our sense on it, so the term “balanced expectations” is a more suitable and calculable way to deal with the reality we’re facing now.
What that should motivate us besides color, culture, religion, language, geography and even differences to stand out against the path which officially started nearly two years ago have to be the desire for peace and tranquillity. because if this continues it will ultimately touch all of our lives more than how much it already did and it won’t be a pretty sight for none of us if we let it be.
I think one thing we can do (which some began and are doing) is to determine the post-war solutions around geopolitical conflicts
So much that we will see a New(considering the expectations formed by the previous re-actions) picture better than before this chaos because we paid and are paying a painful price ever since and I think no Sane Mind having a desire for more now.
The game of power has been always suggested any shortage in responding as a sign of weakness and its true that we’re all a product of nature after all and we didn’t lose our animalistic instincts, we just learned to live above them, and base our judgments on reason and flexibility with counting on the hard earned values we gathered throughout our (bloody) history as humans(the good definition of it),
So we know enough, and it’s our choices which’s making the difference…
The more validate type of analysis about political military actions is to analyze interests gained by parties, and its true that manipulation of this kind of basic perception is a tool being used and using still
And even this method of manipulating could cause some kind of reverse psychology effect, so confusion is the main game and ultimately a lesson i hope it to be for us to learn, a lesson which should enhance how we perceive the ongoing reality.realities
Its seem like Middle east war has its own attention especially with America from west and almost all nations in the Region.
What “feels” like an expected discrimination, is showing itself and what threatens the future of our Civilization in peace and prosperity is this very feeling’s existence ! But Europe, is one of the powerful forces in the axis of peace and i think they can help out Ukraine if it receives proper (especially)financial support so it makes our currency related plans more clear.
Ukraine's destiny, is very sensitive to our specie's evolution in its history and it will define all of us as modern civil humans in an uniquely designed era of our world.
And i think its time for Capitalism to engage its resources into the ongoing issues more than ever and the front line of supporting is the Europe zone. It’s obvious that we all want peace but its not that simple, there are a lot of variables with different natures and reaching that point with solid and stable outcome needs…<;,>’’
We understand now that our destiny (living..) is very much linked to each other at this stage of the civilization, So as peoples affected by decisions out of our control or even knowledge we should remind our selves that we are the main vein of every major changes through history and this time we can choose not to be just the subject of Their deciding, for Ourselves. S
People can show that they have a say in or against politics around this deep rooted chaos, now is the time, now we have the chance to brighten our role(as a..?) in this critical chapter of modern history, to honor the sacrifices of those who lost their lives for the path to the next chapter of our Civilization as a Whole in peace and harmony. And its kind of exciting to witness and participate in the building of a new world a one
which… (:coming soon:), uniquely with no similarity to anything in our known history.
GAS/USDT Break out with a strong green candle. Continue Upward ?💎 GAS is currently a standout in the market, having broken out of a descending triangle pattern. This breakout was accompanied by a robust green candle, signaling strength. GAS is now entering a retesting phase at the demand area, previously a supply zone.
💎 Should GAS successfully navigate this retesting phase, there's a strong likelihood it will resume its ascent, aiming for the designated target supply area.
💎 However, if GAS struggles during the retesting phase and breaks below the demand area, we might see it retreat back to the support zone.
💎 A critical point to watch is if GAS fails to find footing at the support zone and doesn’t consolidate. In such a case, losing this support or breaking down could be indicative of a shift to bearish territory, potentially leading GAS to descend further towards a more substantial support area.
GAS ANALYSIS (4H)We have a support zone which is 50% of Mastercandle. We had higher penetrations to support this, which indicates the presence of relatively good buyers. By maintaining the green area, it can go up to the red area
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
NATTY 15% Correction on the way?Natural Gas has recorded a negative bearish divergence on the 4hr which I believe is the sign of a correction to retest the green base below.
It had fired on all of it's cylinders yesterday which I believe was a dead cat bounce removing as many short sellers as possible.
Shorting this time of year usually means commission from your broker - mine is offering 3% of my total investment.
RSI AND VOLUME FLOW POINT TO DIRECTION SHIFT IN XOPXOP
Using $XOP as representative of the Oil and Gas Exploration Industry.
Pearson's R^2 = 0.95 indicating strong tendency for signal to centralize around its multi-year linear mean (LM, 150.22).
Signal currently resides just above the lower third standard deviation (-3) off the linear mean(LM).
Statistically speaking it would be tough to hold this position for very long and I would expect for signal to either breakdown below the (-3) or mean revert upward toward the LM in the next couple weeks.
In this case a mean reversion up to the LM at 150.22 would be necessary for the current multi-year trend to be maintained at its current trajectory.
Trend breaks down with signal below the -3 (119.06).
Price declining into stronger relative strength and positive volume flow (VFI) can be a sign of the market 'absorbing' price at these levels.
This can be indicative of 'seller exhaustion' and often precedes an 'increased potential' for a directional change in price trend.
(NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE)
Ride the Waves: GAS/USDT Short Position Signals 📉🚀 #CryptoAle🚀 **Crypto Signal Alert!** 🚀
**Trading Pair:** GAS/USDT
**Short Position Targets:**
- Target 1: $20.668
- Target 2: $16.940
- Target 3: $11.916
- Target 4: $7.510
- Target 5: $5.570
**Stop Loss:**
- Set at $41.121
**Wallet Usage:**
- Utilize 30-40%
**Risk Management is Crucial!**
Enjoy these complimentary signals! 💰📉 Make informed decisions, and may the market be in your favor! 🚀✨
WHAT IS THE SUCESS OF GAS-USDTThank you for reading this update.
We can learn a lot from the building coin GASUSDT, what makes this coin increase time by time, and where is this coin going. The last one Let the market show this where the coin is going.
As traders when we started studying this coin we found a lot of nuggets about how we can expect the coming a better way the volume, this coin did show how the building volume was able to increase in a short term of time.
We found out that the best success this coin had is the whale-building trend, this is going out of any TA.
The trend of this coin did show unexpected volume that is building with time, and there is still a possibility this coin can gain $20 since it is on whale volume
This is not trading advice since crypto can change with time.
see this 100% as just a view from another trader.
This coin has a high risk for day traders since it can drop more % we have seen this more times.
(until now it did recovery all the breakdowns.)
Natural Gas - Keylevels - DailyNatural Gas remains in a downward trend, we are getting closer to winter, and demand will increase.
Why doesn't the price increase more?
Or...why doesn't the price increase according to your expectations?
Simple..
The story of the war has calmed down and the FUD on prices has decreased and in addition to that, the main factor is that in several countries in EUROPE, the price of gas is capped, so that regardless of demand and supply, the price on the bill remains the same .
My opinion is that if this winter we see Natural Gas between 4-6 dollars, it would be advisable to mark our profits and wait for next year.