Gap
$CVNA Massive Earnings Movement$CVNA had a ripper of a day on the back of earnings. This propelled prices right back up to the major range highs. The difference this time around is that the volume is backing the move up now and earnings being the catalyst shows immense longer term strength (potentially weeks to months).
Trading FB next weekI have a bullish bias on FB and believe we re-test ATH very shortly on some market strength and a rotation back into tech.
FB provides some very interesting upside and downside opportunities above the ranges given. Below, there is a true gap to be filled if it falls below. Above, fibs are shown from different timeframes, thicker lines on larger timeframes, which will naturally be points of larger resistance. Some 'wick gaps' may be filled quickly above despite not being true gaps. Definitely one to watch.
Large gap to fill above, unusual options activityCame up on the unusual options activity scanner and its easy to see why. From the long upper shadow of the candle you can see it tried to move thru the gap but likely followed the market and retreated. Given enough time, over a few sessions and some upward momentum in the market, this may fill to the upside.
AAPL: Another Dead Cat Bounce?Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how Apple is doing today!
First, AAPL is doing a pullback, as we’ve been warning here since the beginning of this month (links to previous AAPL analysis below) and the hourly chart is still very bearish.
It lost the support around the pink line at $ 110, and now it is trading under the 21 ema, doing descending tops and bottoms . There is no reversal sign ahead, and it seems the bear trend will persist a little longer.
Let’s see the daily chart for more clues:
Apple just filled one of its gaps (blue area), which we have been talking about since my last analysis, on Sep. 10, and today’s candlestick is the least positive (so far), which is also normal, as the gap will work as a support in the short-term.
But today’s candle could be just a quick rally in the hourly chart, a characteristic of a Dead Cat Bounce pattern. Unless we don’t see a clear reaction on AAPL in the next few days, the $100 (middle pink line) will be the next target for it.
Unless Apple starts trading above the 21 ema in the hourly chart again, and starts doing ascending tops and bottoms , the bearish momentum will continue, and so far, the reaction didn’t come.
But I confess if today’s end up being a Piercing Line pattern I would see a little light at the end of the tunnel, but it is too soon to say this. And if you liked this analysis, please, support it ! And follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
Trade well and stay safe.
ILMN- Leader in gene sequencingILMN is short-term to mid-term bearish, long term- bullish. Relief bounce is overdue as the selling pressure seems to be overheating and could soon be exhausted.
ILMN is still a leader in gene sequencing with roughly 70% market share, but its short-term prospect is damaged by waning consumer interest and tariff.
Looking for daily close above 275 and weekly close above 300.
Potential short play once the price reverses up to the supply zone.
TSLA: Weekly Outlook and Key Points.Hello traders and investors! Let’s do our weekly complete Multi Time Frame Analysis (MTFA) on Tesla today!
We see a trendline in the hourly chart, which Tesla is respecting so far, indicating that it still is a short-term bull trend , and it is trading above the 21 ema, which is another good sign.
Tesla must not lose this trendline, because the bull trend will get weaker, and Tesla might retest the support at the red line around $ 408 again. Then the situation will get critical, because if this point will be lost, it will trigger a pivot point and the blue line at $ 398 might not hold the price. The target for it would be the pink line at $ 329.
On the other hand, if it defeats the $ 461 it will trigger another pivot point , that could lead Tesla to its All Time High ($ 502) again.
Now, let’s see the daily chart:
Tesla is going up, but today’s candlestick is quite bearish. The two red lines can be seen from this perspective as well, and as long Tesla keeps trading between them, nothing new will happen.
The good news is that it is trading above the 21 ema, so we are in bull territory. The bad news is that it recently filled a gap, which can be seen as an Exhaustion Gap , so the stock may move sideways for a while.
Now, let’s finish our study by looking at the weekly chart:
Tesla is performing very well this week, and it is clearly between its support at the purple line ($ 359) and the resistance at the All Time High ($ 502).
Since Tesla is in this mid-point, we must be extremely careful. Yes, it could fly again, but we could see a pullback to the 21 ema, something we don’t see since March.
Either way, it is still a bull trend, but be careful, because the volatility is pretty high. Between $ 359 and $ 502 a lot of things could happen, and maybe the famous Battery Day will bring even more volatility. And if you liked this analysis, please, support it ! And follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
Stay safe and have a great weekend!
TSLA: Some Pivot Points to guide you!Hello traders and investors! Tesla is dropping again, but would this be the beginning of a further drop, or would be just a pullback to gather strength and then, resume the bullish momentum? Let’s see.
Tesla is testing again its supports, and we can trace a purple trendline on the chart, which connects the previous bottoms. The red lines are pivot points , and it is too soon to say to which side we are going to see a breakout.
Either way, an upwards breakout would lead TSLA to its All Time High, at $ 502.20. If it loses the lower red line, then Tesla will seek further supports. The blue line at $ 398 is the first target, and the pink line at $ 329.88 is the last target for this pivot.
Now, let’s see the daily chart:
Here we see that Tesla just filled this gap, so it is not a Runaway Gap , and it is just a Common Gap , at least for now. If Tesla loses the $ 408, the market might understand that this is an Exhaustion Gap , and again, the $ 329 is the natural target for the stock.
On the bright side, it is still above the 21 ema, and this would be another support, and as long Tesla trades above it, the trend will remain bullish.
Let’s see which pivot point will be triggered next, and if you liked this analysis, please, support it ! And follow me to keep in touch with my daily studies, I’m sure you’ll find something useful around.
Stay safe.
TSLA: Near its record high! Will it reach there?Hello traders and investors! Let’s see what’s going on with Tesla now!
It is doing a pullback, which is acceptable, since the last 2 days were quite intense. The short-term trend is still bullish and there are no signs that it is going to reverse. As long Tesla continues to trade above the 21 ema or the black line at $ 426, the trend will remain bullish.
Only if Tesla loses one of the points above you should start to worry. Keep in mind that we still don’t know what kind of gap we have in the yellow area. If it is an Exhaustion Gap , it will be filled soon, and this could drag the price down to the pink line at $ 398.80.
On the other hand, if Tesla triggers the pivot point at $ 461.88 (yellow line), it might have the strength to retest the All Time High again ($ 502).
Now, let’s see the daily chart:
The daily chart suggests that a sharper pullback could occur, if Tesla loses its points mentioned above. It could hit the 21 ema again and starts a sideways movement just like it did in July.
This means that the bull trend will start to get weaker, but it isn’t a reversal sign yet. There are no descending tops and bottoms, and the next bottom is quite distant, it is the red line at $ 329, which is the bottom of the Downside Tasuki Gap candlestick pattern.
So far, Tesla is performing very well, and I hope this analysis helps you! Please, support this idea and follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis!
Take care.
SPX: What to expect next?Hello traders and investors! Will SPX resume its bull trend? Let’s see about it.
First, the trend is bullish in the short-term, and as long SPX keeps above the 21 ema and the purple trendline , it will remain bullish. Only if it loses one of these 2 points, we will see the trend getting weaker.
Also, keep in mind the black line around 3424, which is an important resistance, as it is the same point SPX did a top recently, after it filled the blue gap . If this black line will be defeated, the next targets are the green lines.
If the purple trendline will be lost, along with the 21 ema, the next target would be the red line, and the yellow gap down there would help to drag the index down.
Either way, the recent movement could be seen as an Ascending Triangle chart pattern.
Now, let’s see the daily chart:
While the short-term is still bullish, the daily chart is not so much. SPX is still struggling a lot to defeat the 21 ema, which is flat .
If the hourly chart turns bearish by losing the points mentioned above, the daily chart suggests that a sharper pullback is possible, because SPX can trigger a pivot point (yellow line), and its target would be at least the 3280 (red line).
These are the most important points for SPX right now, and if you liked this analysis, please, support it! And you are invited to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis. I’m sure you’ll find something interesting around here.
Stay safe.
NVDA: What's next?Hello traders and investors! Let’s study NVDA today! There are some important points to keep in mind.
First, it did a double top at the black line ($ 532.23), but the pattern wasn’t triggered. Only if NVDA loses the red line at $ 505.51 the bearish pattern will be triggered, and it could drop all the way down to its previous support at the purple line ($ 468.39).
Meanwhile, the 21 ema will offer a support for the price.
Also, we can see 2 gaps here: One Breakaway Gap that started the drop, and the gap left on Monday, which we don’t know what kind of gap is. If it is a Common Gap , it will be filled in the next few days, and it will help to drag the price down to the purple line.
If it is another Breakaway Gap, then NVDA probably will defeat the black line and it will seek its resistances. The only resistance left is the All Time High.
The daily chart can offer us some interesting insights:
Now the 21 ema is flat again, something we don’t see since February, but NVDA is trading above it, which is good.
But a pullback to the black trendline would be something acceptable for NVDA and it wouldn’t change the long-term bull trend. So, no need to panic if you see a sharper pullback , ok? This is expected.
The last four candlesticks were bearish, but NVDA is moving erratically. The hourly chart is clearer in my opinion, and I would use the points I previously mentioned to guide myself.
Also, since you’ve made this far, please, support this idea! And you are invited to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses. I’m sure you’ll find something interesting around here.
My best regards.