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Ganncycles

Sacred Trading In light of the recent Mercury retrograde cycle, we have observed significant market movements that align with key zones, suggesting potential reversal points. Let me clarify: while I acknowledge the historical correlations between planetary movements and events, I do not base my trading decisions on astrology, nor do I consider myself an astrologer. This analysis is simply a brief exploration of astrotrading over a two-day period, aimed at sharing my observations and experiences. Over the weekend, I studied various planetary constellations and noted that certain alignments seem to influence market reversals. The key constellations are: Sextiles (60°): Often indicate three peak patterns. Trines (120°): Suggest rectangular trendline patterns, typically flatter than 45°. Conjunctions (0°): May signal immediate reversals depending on the planets involved. Squares (90°): Typically align with 45° angle trendlines within a square. Oppositions (180°): Indicate the start of new planetary cycles. The most significant planetary influences include: Full Moon and New Moon phases Mercury transits and conjunctions Venus/Moon angles Mars/Moon alignments, which can cause market volatility, irritability (notably in the current cycle) Occasionally, Saturn, Jupiter, and Uranus can also have a reversing influence. This exploration is a homage to Mercury, the messenger of god, and an attempt to share insights with you guys.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by Heaven10
What is the best XAUUSD trading strategy?When it comes to trading XAUUSD (Gold/US Dollar), there’s no one-size-fits-all strategy. The “best” approach is highly individual, depending on your trading style, risk tolerance, and personal preferences. In this article, we will explore four popular trading strategies for XAUUSD: Trend Trading Breakout and Retest Trading Swing Trading Scalp Day Trading We will consider strategy pros and cons, trader personality factors, highest potential yield, stop losses and other lifestyle factors. 📈 Trend Trading The concept of this strategy involves identifying and following the prevailing trend in the XAUUSD market. Traders buy when the trend is upward (bullish) and sell or short-sell during a downward (bearish) trend. The main focus is to capture gains through large movements rather than small fluctuations. Trend Trading uses technical indicators like moving averages, trendlines, or MACD to identify trends and enter trades. Pros: Following the dominant trend in XAUUSD can lead to significant profits, especially in strong, sustained market movements. It’s relatively easier to identify and follow trends, making it suitable for both beginners and experienced traders. By trading with the trend, traders potentially reduce their risk exposure. Cons: Trend traders might enter a trade after a trend has been established, potentially missing early profits. Misidentifying a trend can lead to losses, especially in volatile markets. This strategy requires patience, as holding positions for longer periods can lead to substantial drawdowns during retracements. Suited personality: Ideal for patient individuals who are comfortable with holding XAUUSD positions for longer durations. 📈 Breakout and Retest Trading For breakout and retesting, traders look for moments when XAUUSD price breaks out of its typical trading range or surpasses a significant resistance or support level. This strategy capitalizes on the momentum that follows a breakout. A retest phase, where the price returns to the breakout point, often serves as the entry point. Breakout and retest trading use chart patterns and volume indicators to identify potential breakouts and confirm their strength. Pros: Traders can capitalize on new trends early, potentially increasing profits. This strategy provides clear signals for entry (breakout) and exit (retest failure). It works well in various market conditions, especially during high volatility periods. Cons: Traders may encounter false signals, leading to premature entries and losses. This strategy demands rapid responses to market changes, which can be stressful. Setting stop-losses can be challenging, particularly in volatile markets. Suited personality: Breakout and retest trading is best for decisive traders who can act quickly and are comfortable with a higher level of risk and uncertainty with Gold. 📈 Swing Trading Swing traders hold positions in the XAUUSD market for several days or weeks to capture gains from short- to medium-term price movements or “swings.” This approach balances between the longer-term view of trend trading and the short-term nature of day trading. Swing trading uses a combination of technical analysis and a basic understanding of market fundamentals to identify potential swing opportunities. Pros: Requires less screen time than day trading, allowing for a more balanced lifestyle. Swing traders take advantage of market “swings” or short-term trends, often leading to substantial gains. Allows for diversification of trades over different time frames and assets. Cons: Positions might have to be held through periods of adverse market movements. This strategy needs a good understanding of market fundamentals and technical analysis. Holding positions overnight can expose traders to unexpected market events. Suited personality: Ideal for gold traders who have the patience to wait for the right opportunity, and are comfortable with holding positions for several days. 📈 Scalp Trading Scalping involves making numerous, rapid trades on small price changes in the XAUUSD market, accumulating profit from these minor fluctuations. Scalp trades are held for a very short duration, often just minutes, and require quick decision-making and execution. This strategy has a strong focus on liquidity, volatility, and using smaller time-frames like one-minute to fifteen-minute charts for precise entry and exit points. Pros: Scalpers can make numerous trades in a day, accumulating profits from small price movements. Short holding periods reduce exposure to large market movements. Offers an engaging and dynamic trading experience Cons: Requires constant market monitoring and quick decision-making throughout your trading period, however your trading period could be as little as 1 hour a day. Risk to reward per trade are typically smaller as many scalping strategies aim for a 1:1 to 1:3 risk to reward Suited personality: Scalping is best suited for people who can make quick, decisive moves. It’s most suitable for personalities who like to do highly focused work in small burst time periods and for traders who don’t want to hold positions overnight. Which XAUUSD Strategy Gives The Highest Yield? Determining which XAUUSD trading strategy can provide the highest yield and profits is a complex question and highly dependent on market conditions, the trader’s skill level, risk management, and the ability to consistently execute the strategy. However, we can explore theoretical scenarios for each trading style using a $10,000 trading account over a 6-month period, with each trade risking 1% from a stop loss. We will also consider the compounding effects of growing a trading account and trading Gold exclusively. 📈 Trend Trading Yield Potential: Moderate to High Trend trading can yield substantial returns over time, especially in strong, consistent market trends. Scenario Example: Assuming a conservative estimate of 3% profit per successful trade. With 10 good trend-following trades over 6 months and compounding gains, the overall profit could be substantial. However, the growth rate would be slower compared to scalp trading due to fewer trades and a longer holding period. 📈 Breakout and Retest Trading Yield Potential: Moderate This strategy can be profitable in volatile markets, but it may offer lower compounding effects due to fewer trades compared to scalping. Scenario Example: Assuming an average profit of 2% per successful trade and around 15 trades over 6 months. The compounding effect would be present but less dramatic than scalping due to fewer trades and potentially more varied outcomes. 📈 Swing Trading Yield Potential: Moderate Swing trading can offer good returns, especially if large swings are captured, but the compounding effect is less pronounced due to the longer duration of trades. Scenario Example: With an average of 4% gain per successful trade and about 8 trades over 6 months. The compounding effect would contribute to growth, but the overall yield would be less compared to scalp trading due to the lower number of trades and slower turnover of capital. 📈 Scalp Trading Yield Potential: Very High Scalping, with its high frequency and quick profit opportunities, offers the highest yield potential, especially when compounded. Scenario Example: Assume an average gain of 1.5% per trade, with 2 trades each day. Trading 20 days a month, this results in 40 trades per month. With compounding, each win adds more to the account balance, which then increases the amount risked (and potentially gained) in each subsequent trade. Over 6 months, this compounding effect, coupled with a consistent win rate, could significantly amplify the initial $10,000 investment, potentially doubling it or more, depending on the exact win rate and consistency of the trader. Considering all of the above strategies, scalp trading shows the highest potential for compounded yield due to its high frequency, larger per-trade gains and ongoing compounding effects. It also requires a high level of skill and consistency. Each XAUUSD trading style has its own risk-reward balance and compounding potential, and the choice should align with the trader’s capabilities, risk tolerance, and trading goals. Stop Loss Considerations for XAUUSD Trading Strategies These trading styles each have its unique characteristics that can influence the likelihood of hitting a stop loss. When a stop loss is hit, your current position is closed instantly, ending the trade, resulting a loss. Understanding these following factors is crucial for effective risk management and XAUUSD strategy selection. 📈 Trend Trading Delayed Entry Trend traders often enter a trade after a trend is established, which can increase the risk of a reversal hitting the stop loss. Length of Trends If a trend unexpectedly shortens or reverses, stop losses may be hit more frequently, especially in highly volatile markets. Drawdowns During Retracements Trends often have retracements. If the XAUUSD retracement is deeper than expected, it might hit the stop loss before resuming the trend. 📈 Breakout and Retest Trading False Breakouts A common risk in breakout trading is the occurrence of false breakouts, where the price breaks a key level but then quickly reverses, often hitting the stop loss. Volatility Spikes Around breakout points, volatility can spike, which can cause prices to fluctuate rapidly and hit stop losses unexpectedly. Re-test Failure If the price fails to re-test successfully and instead reverses quickly, it can lead to hitting the stop loss. 📈 Swing Trading Overnight and Weekend Risk XAUUSD swing trades are often held for several days, exposing them to overnight and weekend risks where gaps can occur, potentially hitting stop losses. Market News and Events Swing traders might be more exposed to the impact of scheduled economic events or unexpected news, which can cause sudden market moves. Changing Market Sentiment As swing trading involves a longer time frame, a shift in market sentiment or trend can lead to stop losses being hit before the anticipated move materializes. 📈 Scalp Trading Rapid Price Fluctuations Given the short time frame of XAUUSD scalp trades, rapid and unexpected price movements can easily hit tight stop losses. Spread and Slippage In scalp trading, the cost of the spread and potential slippage can be significant relative to the trade size, increasing the likelihood of hitting the stop loss. It’s important to trade with a broker with low spreads Market Noise Scalp trading is often affected by market noise (random price fluctuations), which can trigger stop losses more frequently compared to other styles. Each trading style has its specific factors that can lead to the triggering of stop losses. Understanding these can help in refining stop loss placement, strategy selection, and overall risk management. Best XAUUSD Strategies Based On The Trader So we’ve finally made it to our key breakdowns and suggestions based on trader preferences. Based on the various aspects of XAUUSD trading strategies we’ve explored above, here are some suggestions tailored to different types of traders and objectives. 👤 What is the best XAUUSD trading strategy for beginners? Trend trading is generally the most suitable for beginners. This style’s relative simplicity in identifying trends and its emphasis on patience and discipline provide a solid foundation for new traders. It allows beginners to understand market dynamics without the pressure of making rapid decisions. This is not to say that beginner traders can’t start their trading journey with other strategies. 👤 What is the best XAUUSD trading strategy for advanced traders? Scalp Trading is the most suited gold trading style for advanced traders. It requires quick decision-making, an in-depth understanding of market movements, and the ability to handle high-stress situations effectively. Advanced traders are typically better equipped to handle the fast movements of scalp trading, including the rigorous discipline and risk management it entails. Scalp trading XAUUSD often becomes the natural progression of a gold trader. 👤 What is the best XAUUSD trading strategy for the highest potential yield? When executed effectively, scalp trading offers the highest potential yield. It capitalizes on small, frequent price movements, allowing skilled traders to accumulate gains rapidly. However, it’s important to note that this high potential yield comes with increased risk and requires a significant amount of skill, experience, and psychological fortitude. 👤 What is the best XAUUSD trading strategy for people who want structure in their day? Scalp trading can provide a structured trading day due to its high-frequency nature. It requires a trader to be active and focused during specific market hours. If you prefer a structured environment, and want to “work” only during certain hours and in short bursts, scalp trading offers this consistency. This can also provide freedom off the charts outside of your main scalping hours. 👤 Best XAUUSD trading strategy for people who want freedom away from screens? For individuals seeking more freedom and less time glued to the screen, swing trading is suitable. It doesn’t require constant market monitoring and allows for trades to be held over several days or weeks. This approach provides more flexibility and free time, fitting well for those who value a less intense trading lifestyle. The downside is that there are far less trades meaning you could experience weeks or months with no profits, and also illiquid access to any profits made. Scalping is a second alternative for freedom away from screens, especially for scalpers who aim to make 1 to 2 trades a day over a short time period then spend the rest of their day doing non-trading related activities. 📈 Best Overall XAUUSD Trading Strategy Scalp trading stands out to us as the best XAUUSD trading strategy for these reasons: Highest potential yield based on compounding gains Ideal for both advanced traders and beginners (who are committed to learning) Ideal for structure of your day and trading during specific hours Ideal for traders seeking freedom outside of their screens by not holding on to open positions while they are away from their screens Ideal for full-time job salary replacement in terms of liquid access to profits due to more frequent trades (Of course, this is performance dependent!) For traders who have the necessary skills, discipline, and experience, scalp trading can be extremely rewarding and profitable. It offers a dynamic trading environment and the potential for high returns. If you’re looking to scalp gold, it’s crucial that we emphasize that it requires a high level of education and mentorship before you commence scalping. Beginners are advised to start with the right foundations which we can teach you and provide a solid and stable learning curve to your scalping journey.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by opes_trading_group
Local Bitcoin time-analysisLocal Bitcoin View based on time analysis and price structure. Based on the analysis of time, the main local (daily) pivot points on Bitcoin are: Daily pivot Points: August 28 (08/28/2023) - today; September 6 (09/06/2023) The local structure of Bitcoin is shaky, but it's not that bad. Today, the 28th of August is a very important day because it contains the daily pivot point. The next daily pivot point will be on September 6th. Given the presence of a reversal point today, it is important to watch a daily close very carefully. Local Bitcoin Forecast: I believe the most expected move is to see the final short squeeze on Bitcoin before we are taken into a longer correction. However, given the presence of a daily pivot point today, there is no need to rush with longs, we are waiting for the daily close! It may turn out that today we will close the day with a sale which means we might get squeezed down to support before the next daily pivot point (September 6). Opening Position: Long: $24,800-$25,500 . Open in several limit orders! Stop loss: $24,400 Bitcoin local targets: Target 1: The minimum target for a short squeeze is the lower retest of the $28,300-$30,300 zone. 28K+- remains a zone about which there is distribution or accumulation! Target 2: $32,800-$33,300. The bull structure is still not broken and the probability that the current markdown is a manipulation remains significant. I remind you from the previous analysis that we have a Weekly Swing Point on October 16 (16.10) until Bitcoin can easily make new highs. Trade Plan: (1) in the zone of $28,000-$29,000 we fix a part of the accumulated position! (2) Stops are moved to breakeven! (3) If after we squeeze into the zone, there will be consolidation for a couple of days - close the rest of the position! (4) If we get above the zone and consolidate, we expect the second target: 32.8-33.3K! X8 Crypto
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by SigmaCryptoChad
1
Mastering Gold Trading: Precise Timing Introduction: Welcome to a groundbreaking trading opportunity that could revolutionize the way you approach gold trading. In this comprehensive analysis, we're about to delve into the world of W.D. Gann methods and advanced mathematical techniques to unveil timing pivot predictions that offer exceptional insights into the gold market's major reversals. By meticulously analyzing the 15-minute timeframe, we've decoded key patterns to help you anticipate market movements and position yourself for potentially lucrative trades. Understanding the Method: At the heart of this analysis lies the revered W.D. Gann methods, a cornerstone of technical analysis, and their symbiotic relationship with advanced mathematics. These methods, which combine price and time analysis, provide us with a unique lens through which to perceive the gold market's hidden rhythms. By scrutinizing historical price data and aligning it with mathematical principles, we've uncovered crucial pivot points that have historically indicated significant market shifts. The Power of Timing Pivot Predictions: Imagine knowing exactly when the market is poised to make a major reversal. With our timing pivot predictions, you'll gain the edge you need to plan your trades effectively. These predictions identify specific timeframes when market sentiment and price momentum are likely to undergo substantial transformations. Whether you're a seasoned trader or a newcomer, having this advantage can drastically enhance your trading strategy. How to Utilize the Predictions: Our comprehensive analysis is all about translating insights into actionable strategies. We provide clear entry and exit points for your trades, taking the guesswork out of your decision-making process. Our carefully calculated predictions highlight the moments to consider opening a position and, equally importantly, when to close it. By aligning your trades with these timing pivot predictions, you position yourself strategically to potentially maximize profits while minimizing risks. Trade Idea in Motion: Let's put theory into practice with a recent real-world example. Based on our analysis, we've identified a compelling trade ideas for the upcoming week. We anticipate major reversals to occur around within the 15-minute timeframe. This are opportunities to consider entering a long/short positions, targeting massive ROI profit margins. Our predictive analysis indicates that the reversal's momentum could extend, making this an excellent chance to ride the market wave. Risk Management and Beyond: No trading strategy is complete without robust risk management. We'll guide you through optimal stop-loss placement to safeguard your capital in case the market behaves unexpectedly. Furthermore, we'll explore potential trade extensions, helping you recognize when to stay in a position for the potential of greater rewards. Conclusion: Get ready to elevate your trading game with our precise timing pivot predictions based on W.D. Gann methods and mathematical insights. By understanding the historical patterns and aligning them with mathematical principles, we're offering you a chance to anticipate major reversals like never before. Embrace the power of informed trading decisions, guided by our carefully curated entry and exit points. As you embark on this trading journey armed with cutting-edge analysis, remember that success favors those who dare to take calculated steps into the future of trading. Disclaimer: Trading involves inherent risks, and while our analysis provides valuable insights, it doesn't guarantee success. Always exercise caution and conduct thorough research before making trading decisions.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by Anonymous_Analyst
Forecast for Bitcoin for 2024: we are waiting for a reversalAt the moment, I am learning Gann methods and applying them on $BITSTAMP:BTCUSD. I also look at the world market. I have a table based on the astrological cycle that tells us that 2024 is going to be very interesting. Like in 2006... And if you look at square 6 for a $BITSTAMP:BTCUSD. A 45 degree angle works great for him on this square. This can be seen in history, where 2014 and 2019 were reversals. It is not yet clear what will happen in 2024 - growth or decline. But we will be able to find out by the end of 2023.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Super_Profit_Trade
GOLD DAILY SWING FORECASTBased on my study on Gann + Fibonacci + Elliott Wave, here's i present you the 2 months forecast for GOLD Calculating swing height is much more harder since it was actually controlled by monetary policy rather than just a natural phenomena, what we can actually count is just the time So we know when it will go up or down I don't guarantee a perfect timing nor trading plan, but rather a good insight based on my knowledge! Further update will release very soon Sincerely, H. Haidar
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by Chartwatcher1996
1
GOLD INTRADAY SWING FORECASTOkay, so eventually i realized some more knowledge on time advantage you can only trade based on time, but the cycle sometimes out of phase.. so what you only need to do is to combine time cycle and volume Few knowledge, that i will share at this post 1. every 8PM (UTC+7) (H3 TF), a trend tends to change. I've found that the volume will significantly change at that specific time, causing a volume imbalance between buyers and sellers that eventually will lead to a trend change after a couple bars. 2. Because you know that reason, you can calculate it with math or just by using geometric object, in this case i use a special algorithm rather than use that, so i can count it almost perfectly to smaller TF..if i'm being greedy i could count it with M1 TF 3. I will not give you a perfect timing, but rather a time cycle guidance which i never know will it work in the future. Had been backtested with 97.8% correlation Cheers, Chartwatcher1997
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Chartwatcher1996
4
1 Week Gold Intraday Turning Point ForecastHi, everyone! Following my previous daily forecast, as i said before i will try to do a intraday forecast Okay, so this is how central banks actually trade They don't care about price, but they do extremely care about time Behind this forecast i use a method called harmonic analysis which W.D Gann use in 1920s and because we live in technology era i also combine it with my special custom neural network algorithm, which i designed earlier. I haven't test this method yet, but i think it should work too,, but maybe it could also happen very off from what we expect earlier. So, remember that i don't provide any trading plan! Okay... i just want to share my knowledge on GOLD All time zone was in UTC+7 and 24H format to avoid confusion 12/06 5:15 8:00 14:45 20:30 23:30 13/06 3:45 8:00 11:15 16:00 22:30 14/06 2:30 5:30 8:45 15:15 17:45 23:45 PROBABLY MAJOR (DUE TO FED NEWS) 15/06 3:45 9:15 HARMONIC MAJOR (MATHEMATICAL TIME MAJOR CYCLE) 10:45 15:30 19:15 00:30 16/06 4:45 9:45 13:45
TVC:GOLDShort
by Chartwatcher1996
SPY Update (weekly)We struggled once again at the 50% retrace from 2022 low to high, the ABCD points A and C rejected off this important level around 414 to create something akin to a short term double top. I am projecting continued selling to continue to the Gann confluence point around 390 on around June 5, even though technically the RSI (12) weekly is at 53.96. However, the RSI trend is flat. The saying goes, "Sell in May and go away" and the "anomaly has a strong track record. Take this information from the Book "Market Anomalies", by the founder of Zacks Investment..... "Using the rule sell on the first trading day in May and buy on the sixth trading day before the end of October, for the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 futures indexes for the years 1993–2010, respectively. This rule did indeed beat a buy-and-hold strategy ---------------- For the S&P 500 a buy-and-hold strategy turns $1 on February 4, 1993, into $1.96 on December 31, 2010, whereas, sell in May and move into cash, counting interest (Fed funds effective monthly rate for sell in May) and dividends for the buy and hold, had a final wealth of $3.73, some 90.7% higher ---------------- ...... sell-in-May-and-go-away is superior to buy and hold" At a minimum, now is not the time to be adding longs....
AMEX:SPY
by UnknownUnicorn13101
A Sample of Gann applied to Palladium This is a sample of a properly squared asset using Gann Fans and Boxes. The technique is simple as Gann spoke. Price = Time. Once these are matched up an asset is what they call "scaled". Gann's theory spoke of how price/ trend changes were to be expected when price moved outside of the Gann Box. In this case we can see that they happen on a yearly cycle and iterations of that. Now this chart has an extended 3rd box, but the iteration is not known right now because price has not shown support. Gann also spoke of the importance of determining tops and bottoms as well as support and resistance. From my experience when the cycles are known the tops and mids of the boxes are clear points of resistance and support (blue lines). The yellow lines are just the Gann Boxes with Fibonacci points of interest. You can set the Gann Box however you like in TV settings. You can zoom in to see how this system works with the price. Each line of the Gann fan have a personality when it comes to price action. Esp the yellow 1/3 line. TV has these lines backwards, but if your familiar with Gann you know the power of this line (yellow). Once a chart is properly scaled you can lock the scale and change the timeframes for added detail as seen here. SO if there is any drift seen it is because the scale was lowered here vs using the actual scaled days. A powerful tool when trading and done properly b/c u get to see the details while keeping all the data on screen. Most ppl do not properly scale their charts and that can have unreliable results. Just sharing, I work most of my charts like this and add other techniques to make trading decisions. Enjoy. Note u can zoom in and out using the price scale to the right.
TVC:PALLADIUMEducation
by Moorsc0de
1
A 10 years experimental outlook for DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGEHi, everyone. Currently i'm learning Gann's method on annual forecasting. But, i'll tried it to make it 10 years further. It's so hard to find his documentation on his techniques, so i may be wrong. Everyone who see this post, live in a little bit more than 50% of major 60 years cycle like 1929 and 1869. So, the next cycle would be around 2049 But if this was correct, i can see that there is no crashes until January 2026. and you should thank me and Gann later for inventing this useful manual technique. But if this was completely wrong or not correct at all, it's definitely my fault..cause i still know nothing...so please don't hate me. I use a combination of machine learning algorithm named Learning Vector Quantization , this algo is supervised learning which i set the dataset from 2010 (after last crash), and EMA 21/34/90 to filter out the trend. In combo with that, i also use a time series model based on financial astrology as how Gann's did in the past. In this case, i don't use Gann angle because it is very effortful, so there will be a 1 or 2 bars different each swing. Using gann's angle provide more accuracy of how the price will go, but it took a lot of time. So, because i'm predicting 10 years further i'm not gonna using it this time. Yeah, so that's where all of my prediction comes from. Hope you explore more, so you'll realize how cyclical the market is. Cheers, H. Haidar PLEASE REMEMBER THAT I COULD BE WRONG, OKAY. SO YOU DONT BLAME ME FOR YOUR TRADING DECISION
TVC:DJILong
by Chartwatcher1996