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Fundamental Analysis

GOLD H1 SHOWS BULLS / BEARS ?GOLD: Sideways Trend Persists Ahead of Fed Decision Gold price is currently trading in a sideways trend, struggling to find direction ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy announcement. The precious metal is caught between the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) support at $2,655 and the 50-day SMA resistance at $2,671. Traders are adjusting their USD positions ahead of the Fed's decision, with mixed US PMI data and geopolitical tensions supporting gold prices. Markets have fully priced in a 25 basis point interest rate cut by the Fed. Technical indicators suggest a lack of clear directional bias, with the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) trading flat at around the 50 level. Targets: Buy target : $2,700, $2,726 Sell target : $2,613, $2,600 Best Wishes Tom 😎
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tom_Trades_670
2
SIlver possible buy set upSilver is currently in a downtrend, driven by the strength of the U.S. dollar following Fed Chair Powell's speech earlier today. However, as we analyze the chart, we can see that the price is approaching a key diagonal support level. This area has historically shown buyer interest, and I anticipate a potential rebound from this zone. With the Fed signaling a slower pace of rate cuts in the coming year, the dollar's momentum may be temporary, creating an opportunity for silver to regain strength. This setup presents a favorable risk-to-reward scenario for a buy on XAG/USD, targeting a bounce from the diagonal support while keeping an eye on USD dynamics and upcoming economic data. Monitor closely for confirmation of buyer activity before entering the trade.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by Eleazarahmath
TSLA - Technicals, Fundamentals, and Who he knowsGood Morning Traders, 🚗Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA has been on a remarkable upward trajectory, and the outlook remains bullish with continued closures over $376 look for $420 to be tested and $475 next upside. Let's break down why Tesla can continue to be bullish for reasons outside of Price Action. 📈 Revenue Growth: Tesla continues to report impressive revenue growth 📈, driven by strong sales of electric vehicles and energy products 🚗⚡. Profitability: The company has turned profitable 💰, with a positive net income and strong cash flow 💵. Innovation: Tesla remains at the forefront of innovation 🔧🚀 in the EV and energy sectors, with continuous advancements in technology and production efficiency 💡. Additionally Carbon Credits and EV Policies Carbon Credits: Tesla has been capitalizing on selling carbon credits to other automakers who need them to meet regulatory requirements. This has been a significant revenue stream for Tesla. EV Credits: There are discussions about removing federal EV credits, which could impact the market. Tesla's strategic position and established market presence might make it harder for new entrants to compete without these incentives. Political Connections Elon's relationship with President Donald Trump has been beneficial. With Trump's support for electric vehicles and renewable energy, Tesla stands to gain from favorable policies and potential subsidies and knock on effects from yet to be known changes. 🌍Industry Trends The electric vehicle industry is booming, with increasing demand for sustainable transportation solutions. Polestar's strategic partnerships and continuous advancements in EV technology make it an exciting stock to watch1. Share thoughts in the comments! ❤️
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by EliteIndicatorSys
DAILY ANALYSIS - XAUUSD (THURS, 19th DECEMBER 2024)Bias: No Bias USD News: -Final GDP q/q -Unemployment Claims Analysis: -Ratecut on FOMC & indications of only 2 rate cut on 2025 -looking for price to retest the bearish structure -Looking for BUY/SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe -Pivot point: - Disclaimer: This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by HM_fxtrading
Bitcoin - Finally time for a drop! (alien technology)Bitcoin (crypto) is a technology that was brought to planet Earth by alien species. You probably heard of Grays, Reptilians, and Dracos from TV or YouTube. These days they are everywhere, and they are represented as evil to humanity. They infiltrated the government, presidential candidates, and big companies. They are here, but you don't see them. You can watch the following interview with a reptilian: www.youtube.com Crypto technology is not new in the galaxy, and humans didn't invent it. But let's take a look at the price action. The Bitcoin bullish cycle is coming to an end. I think the end will be around 125,000 USDT, so you don't want to buy the TOP. We can expect a 60% to 50% correction in 2025/2026 - that would be 60k per Bitcoin. At the top of each bullish cycle, many people get stuck with their holdings by buying near-all-time highs, then experience a massive crash in their account due to extremely high Bitcoin volatility. In the short- term, I expect a pullback to the bottom of the parallel channel, profit 1: 99405, profit 2: 94700. Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Short
by Xanrox
176
Bullish Liquidity Grab on USD/SGD ExpectedTechnical Analysis Monthly Chart: On the monthly chart, USD/SGD has shown a recovery after testing significant support zones, indicating that buyers stepped in to defend these levels. However, the recent upward movement appears overextended, suggesting a potential slowdown or correction in the near term. This aligns with broader market dynamics and the technical exhaustion seen after extended bullish runs. Daily Chart: The daily chart offers more clarity on current price action: Double High Formation: Two equal highs have formed on the chart, a classic indication of liquidity resting above these levels. From a price behavior perspective, this suggests that the market is likely to push upward to liquidate these equal highs before considering a significant move lower. Consolidation Zone: The price is currently consolidating, which often precedes a breakout. This consolidation reinforces the likelihood of a push higher to clear liquidity, especially when aligned with the broader USD dynamics. Fundamental Analysis U.S. Dollar Factors Impacting USD/SGD: The strength of the U.S. Dollar (DXY) plays a crucial role in USD/SGD movements. Here's how recent developments affect the pair: Liquidity Grab in DXY: The DXY recently breached its key level of 107.348 and is now showing bearish tendencies. However, short-term bullish corrections could provide temporary support for USD/SGD, aligning with the potential liquidity grab above the equal highs on the daily chart. Interest Rate Outlook: The Federal Reserve has shown hesitancy toward further rate cuts due to inflation concerns. Robust labor market conditions, especially during the holiday season, reduce the immediate likelihood of aggressive rate cuts. However, rising unemployment or stable-to-declining inflation could shift this outlook, leading to USD weakness and potential corrections in USD/SGD. Upcoming Economic Catalysts: Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) and unemployment data later this week are expected to influence USD sentiment significantly. If unemployment increases as expected, it could lead to a broader decline in the U.S. Dollar, impacting USD/SGD. Summary and Outlook Technical Expectations: Short-Term: USD/SGD is likely to push higher to liquidate the equal highs on the daily chart, given the consolidation and market behavior around these liquidity zones. Post-Liquidity Grab: After clearing the highs, a correction is probable, particularly if the broader U.S. Dollar weakens. This correction could take the pair back toward key support levels, depending on fundamental triggers. Key Factors to Monitor: DXY price action, particularly around its short-term support zones. NFP and unemployment data for clues on the U.S. labor market and inflation trends. Any changes in Federal Reserve policy outlook or macroeconomic developments in Singapore. Price Outlook: In the short term, USD/SGD may target the equal highs as a liquidity zone. In the medium term, the pair could correct lower following the liquidity grab, aligning with overextended technical patterns and potential USD weakness driven by fundamental factors. By aligning technical insights with the fundamental outlook for the U.S. Dollar, traders can anticipate near-term bullish moves in USD/SGD, followed by a potential correction.
Long
by Wiiso
Trading is a Game of Probability------For SMC TradersFocus on Risk Management and High-Probability Setups Trading is fundamentally a game of probabilities, which means you should take risks that align with your capital and personal risk tolerance. There is no "holy grail" strategy in trading. Instead, you need to think from both sides of the equation: start by assessing the risk you’re taking on in a trade rather than focusing on potential profits. When you prioritize managing risk, profits will follow naturally. One of the most common mistakes traders make is to focus solely on profits. They imagine the rewards but fail to account for the risks involved. Trading success comes from understanding and managing the probabilities on both sides—risk and reward. The Foundation of Trading: Risk Management 1.Control Risk Per Trade Self-Funded Accounts: Limit risk to 1%-2% of your account balance per trade. Funded Accounts: Limit risk to 0.25%-1% of your account balance per trade. 2. Adjust Stop Loss Dynamically to Protect Capital When the trade moves in your favor, focus first on securing your stop loss. Once the market breaks a recent high or low, move your stop loss to breakeven. Avoid chasing extreme risk-reward ratios like 1:30 or 1:50, which are often overhyped on social media. In reality, a 1:5 to 1:10 risk-reward ratio is excellent and more realistic. Rather than aiming for exaggerated profits, concentrate on protecting your capital and waiting for high-probability entries. Discipline and Patience: The Keys to Consistent Success Avoid Emotional Trading Emotional trading is a major obstacle to profitability. To succeed, you must remain emotionless and stick to your plan. Only take trades at high-probability Points of Interest (POI) and avoid impulsive entries. Be Patient and Wait for the Right Setup Patience is a vital part of trading. The market doesn’t always offer high-quality opportunities, so it’s crucial to wait for everything to align with your trading plan before entering a trade. Key Takeaways Risk per trade for self-funded accounts: 1%-2% Risk per trade for funded accounts: 0.25%-1% Focus on high-probability trading setups and always protect your capital by adjusting your stop loss. Aim for realistic risk-reward ratios (e.g., 1:5 to 1:10) rather than chasing extreme and impractical goals. Discipline and patience are the foundations of long-term trading success. Remember, trading is a long-term game of probabilities. Protect your capital, trade rationally, and patiently wait for high-probability opportunities to achieve consistent profitability.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Smart-Trader-KIMMM
Big Money Complacency AKA "Deer In the Headlights"The violent US market selloff this afternoon after the Fed cut interest rates was proceeded by 9 straight days of selling in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Yesterday I posed the observation that the 9 consecutive days selling had been a warning of something ominous and yet unknown coming soon to the market. But no, complacency reigned. The Fed would bail out the market the way they always do. But no, today quite the contrary. They're faith in all that was overwhelmingly "overwhelmed". The proof of that " massive surprise " was shown in the VIX, which get this rose, 74 % in just one day to 27. My point in all this is that traders in the venerable Dow Jones Industrial Average had sniffed out all of this 10 days ago. Sometimes broader markets show telling signs of "deer in the headlights". This one was about big money complacency. And as todays selloff proved.. they paid harshly for that misguided misjudgment. THE_UNWIND 12/18/24 WOOODS OF CONNECTICUT
TVC:DJIShort
by The_Unwind
IonQ: The Future Won’t Wait—We’re Building It IonQ is forging a path in quantum computing that doesn’t just promise breakthroughs—it guarantees an ecosystem. Here’s how their strategic partnerships are reshaping industries and setting the stage for quantum's practical revolution. Hyundai Motor Company: Driving Innovation into the Future Hyundai and IonQ are redefining what’s possible for autonomous vehicles and battery tech. Machine vision algorithms? Check. Electrochemical simulation for next-gen batteries? Double check. Forget electric vehicle hype. The real race is quantum-powered autonomy, and IonQ is putting Hyundai in pole position. "Batteries power cars; quantum powers the future." U.S. Air Force Research Lab: Securing the Quantum Advantag A $54.5M contract speaks volumes. IonQ is working with AFRL to push boundaries in quantum networking and secure communications. If quantum is the new arms race, IonQ is the defense contractor of the future, weaponizing algorithms and hardware for tomorrow’s battlefields. "Quantum communication isn’t a luxury; it’s a necessity in the age of cyber warfare." General Dynamics Information Technology: Quantum Meets Government IonQ and GDIT are collaborating to craft quantum go-to-market strategies, targeting government sectors—a critical area for innovation and funding. As a subsidiary of General Dynamics (GD), GDIT strengthens IonQ's position in leveraging government contracts, a proven pathway for quantum startups to scale and achieve long-term dominance. "Tech revolutions start where strategy meets funding—just ask NASA or DARPA." University of Maryland: Quantum's Academic Vanguard A $9M collaboration with UMD’s National Quantum Lab cements IonQ’s role in quantum research and education. Quantum computing needs thinkers before doers. This partnership ensures the next generation of researchers cut their teeth on IonQ systems. "Academia doesn’t just study revolutions—it starts them." QuantumBasel: A European Quantum Beachhead Deploying systems in Switzerland, IonQ is making quantum local for Europe. The data center initiative is a gateway to European markets. Why wait for Europe to come to quantum when you can bring quantum to Europe? This is how global markets are won. "Proximity isn’t just geographical—it’s strategic." AstraZeneca: Redefining Drug Discovery Partnering on quantum use cases in drug discovery, IonQ is unlocking faster, more efficient ways to revolutionize healthcare. Healthcare isn’t about treating diseases—it’s about eliminating them. Quantum is the scalpel AstraZeneca needs. "The cure for complexity is quantum simplicity." Ansys: Quantum-Enhanced Engineering Simulations Quantum technology is being integrated into engineering designs, promising faster, more accurate simulations. Engineering is no longer bound by classical constraints. IonQ and Ansys are making the impossible seem inevitable. "Design isn’t just form and function; it’s innovation and iteration." Imec & NKT Photonics: Quantum Hardware on Steroids Building next-gen Photonic Integrated Circuits and laser systems, IonQ is turbocharging quantum scalability. Hardware is the backbone of any quantum revolution. IonQ’s focus here ensures it can scale up faster than competitors. "The quantum race isn’t won by speed alone—it’s won by scalability." South Korea: A Quantum Trifecta Collaborations with Hyundai, Seoul National University, and Sungkyunkwan University focus on batteries, materials, and autonomous tech. South Korea doesn’t dabble—it dominates. These partnerships ensure IonQ is part of Asia’s tech supremacy. "Innovation thrives where ambition meets collaboration." Accenture Federal Services & Q-CTRL: Precision Quantum Improved anomaly detection with quantum computing proves the value of collaborative precision. When three leaders team up, anomalies don’t stand a chance. This is practical quantum at its finest. "The quantum revolution is precise, and precision is profitable." Big Picture: Partnerships aren’t just a strategy; they’re IonQ’s foundation. From defense to healthcare to academia, IonQ is embedding itself in industries that matter most. Want to see how quantum fits into your portfolio? Start following IonQ now.
NYSE:IONQLong
by DCAChampion
12/3/24 - $qqq - quick comment on "risk"- by now it should be obvious that this isn't "normal" (hasn't been for over a decade, but esp in the last year). M2 turned positive and risk assets followed especially as labor mkt data started "allowing" fed to cut - but remember, inflation gauges are heading higher. oil probably only has one direction (energy is a big driver) and consumers are ape'ing on basically everything w/ credit card debt exploding higher. amazing! - what concerns me, though is this next fed mtg... 1/ any "cuts" won't really move the needle in terms of truly looser monetary policy 2/ mkts are already at nosebleed highs (let's just use PE e.g. 2-3% vs. 10Y rates) 3/ any indication that the fed is going to not keep with the current programming (b/c let's face it - they're certainly - well who really knows but the dark forces from h3ll - going to accelerate the print bc it's not necessary, look at the mkts!)... which means the only possible direction is possibly more restrictive 4/ now we ARE in year end. there are technically no -ve catalysts on the horizon so to speak, and the mkts need a reason to go down, not up. so the direction holds. i'm happy holding a big allo of BTC, NXT, TSM, META and NVDA and some select other stuff in that order. it's working well and i genuinely think the valuations for these are (ironically) decent 5/ but beware. that if the mkt starts to get the picture of what i'm spelling out above... it won't be next week where you get a pullback (i'm not calling for something extreme, but 5-10% will cause tears for a lot of leveraged low IQ types and zero them quickly)... but i'm prepared with a healthy cash balance, a bunch of shorts (today it's PLTR in size, SG which i've been monetizing a bit, NN, SMR also monetizing a bit and some B2B stuff that just got too expensive like TEAM which i actually like but i digress). just good to be aware of where we're at. try typing in "QQQ/M2" into trading view and look at monthly or 3M candles. note anything interesting? it's best to normalize by money supply one way or another. when and where did we last reach these levels ;) stay vigilant and don't drink too much. the party continues but it's good to remember the exit than be woken up with some unfortunate pictures of your PnL. could have, should have. V
NASDAQ:QQQ
by VROCKSTAR