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Fundamental Analysis

U.S. Dollar IndexHello dear traders, In the past week, we witnessed the release of numerous economic news that had significant impacts on the market. These reports, especially concerning the U.S. economy, greatly influenced the price trends of the U.S. dollar (DXY) and other currencies. Analysis of Economic News from Last Week Various reputable economic organizations published reports including employment data, unemployment rates, and changes in Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Notably, the non-farm payroll (NFP) report, which was expected to indicate an increase in new jobs, turned out to be below expectations. This created heightened concerns about the strength and stability of the U.S. economy, which in turn pressured the dollar. Additionally, the announcement of high inflation rates and interest rates had compounded effects on market trends. While an increase in interest rates was anticipated, the negative news regarding economic growth raised concerns that future Federal Reserve meetings might be affected. Consequently, these combined factors led traders to adopt a cautious outlook on the market, resulting in price declines in the currency markets. Technical Impacts on the Market From a technical perspective, the U.S. dollar (DXY) chart has been showing bearish signals, and as previously mentioned, we expect a downward correction in the coming weeks. Price trends in the DXY align well with the recent economic news, as the breakdown of key support levels, such as 107.243 , and the formation of bearish patterns indicate weakness in this currency against others. Given the technical analysis, we can point out that if the downward trend in DXY continues, the charts of the euro (EUR), British pound (GBP), Australian dollar (AUD), and New Zealand dollar (NZD) will offer suitable buying opportunities. Particularly if corrections in DXY persist, we can expect further appreciation in these currencies. Conclusion Considering the detailed analysis of economic news and the technical conditions, it is recommended to keep in mind that rapid and significant changes in the market may occur following new announcements. With careful attention and appropriate risk management, you can take advantage of the upcoming opportunities. Thank you for your support and trust, and I hope the insights provided are beneficial for you. Fereydoon Bahrami "A retail trader in the Wall Street trading center (Forex)." Wishing you success!
TVC:DXYShort
by fereydoon1199
CHFJPY short tradeBias Bearish Fundamental Analysis CHF is turning more bearish as all datas are worse. JPY on the other hand is turning bullish due to global interest rate reducing Price Action: Price broken out of H1 support level and rejection from H4 resistance level. Price is likely to head lower to swing low. Confluence: Higher TF (W/D/H4) - H4 resistance level. Broke of double top pattern. RSI for H4 went below 50 Lower TF (H1/M30/M15) - Broke of H1 support level. broke of H1 double top pattern. RSI for H1 went below 50 Set up: Short setup - at H1 broken support level of double top neck level. SL - swing high of last H1 high. TP next swing low of H4. R:R 1:4.
Short
by royschen07
GBP/USD: Waiting for Reversal SignsGBP/USD: Waiting for Reversal Signs From our previous analysis, the price has created a correction near the first support zone I was observing since the previous week. However, it's too early to jump into the trade given two significant events this week: the FOMC and BOE interest rate decisions. 🗓️ Wednesday, December 18 USD Fed Interest Rate Decision 🗓️ Thursday, December 19 GBP BoE Interest Rate Decision The FOMC is expected to cut rates by 25 bps, but the focus will be on Chair Powell's speech. If his tone is hawkish, the price may move down to the second zone before it moves up. Meanwhile, the BOE is expected to keep rates on hold at 4.75%, which could support GBP strength in the short term. Overall, GBP/USD should begin rising. However, we should look for reversal signs first, as speculation remains high. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Long
by KlejdiCuni
5
Symbotic Hypergrowth? $850 Price TargetOverview Symbotic Inc. is an A.I. and robotics automation company based in Wilmington, Massachusetts that is looking to increase the ability for companies to keep up with growing demand. To do this, they utilize artificial intelligence software to maintain records and warehouse organization with the assistance of SKU numbers. Autonomous robots then account for, store, and retrieve items in a fraction of the time that it would take a human being. Symbotic's mission is to increase supply capabilities through the symbiotic relationship of artificial intelligence and robots. Its origins trace back to 2007, before it was known as Symbotic, and the company went public in 2022 ( NASDAQ:SYM ). Call it FOMO, but I think Symbotic Inc. has the potential of becoming a hypergrowth stock. I built my own fundamentals tracker to get a pulse on the tech company's vitals and, while it still is not a profitable company, it looks like it's in the early stages of becoming so. The fundamentals for Symbotic provide me the confidence to invest despite the presence of red flags which led me to performing a deep dive. My price target for Symbotic Inc. is $850 with a projected timeline before 2030. What I Don't Like SYM has lost nearly 60% in value since July 2023 from a high of $64.15 to its current share price of $26.87. If you look up Symbotic Inc. on a search engine then you will also see that there are numerous law firms attempting to build class action lawsuits. The headlines can't help but to sow distrust by utilizing strong statements such as "misleading investors" and "inflated revenue" within their subjects. Within the last few weeks Symbotic had to file a delayed annual report due to self-identified accounting errors within their balance sheets. Also, if you dig through their filings, you will find that Symbotic Inc. was born from a deal with SVF Investment Corp which, according to the filings, was headquartered in the Cayman Islands. I can only assume that the business dealings with SVF Investment Corp were to facilitate equity financing and an expedited public launch for SYM. From my findings, SoftBank Group Corp ( TSE:9984 ) is an investment conglomerate and the parent company to multiple subsidiaries. You guessed it, it is affiliated with SVF Investment Corp which functions as a "blank check company" for SoftBank. In my limited knowledge, this translates as a way for SoftBank to inject a substantial investment into the company that is now known as Symbotic Inc. No matter how savvy they may have been to launch Symbotic Inc., business deals that originate in the Cayman Islands typically raise one's eyebrows. What I Do Like Symbotic Inc. seems to have a pretty solid vision for global expansion and has attracted some significant institutional investors such as SoftBank, Vanguard, BlackRock, and Morgan Stanley to name a few. In fact, according to the NASDAQ site, 282 institutional investors hold 82% of Symbotic Inc.'s Class A Common Stock. Symbotic Inc. was founded by Richard "Rick" Cohen who currently serves as the CEO and is a legacy to the Cohen family who founded C&S Wholesale Grocers. Symbotic's technology is used by C&S Wholesale Grocers which is one of the largest privately held companies in the United States. Symbotic and SoftBank have partnered on a separate venture known as GreenBox which is meant to deliver automated warehouses made possible by Symbotic's hardware and software. According to the company's site, GreenBox is supplying warehouses as a service to consumers. With an increase in online shopping, I believe that Symbotic is both seeing and filling a need in an industry that its founder is very familiar with. I can also envision Symbotic spreading its reach internationally which helps fuel my massive price target. Megacap stocks need to have a global influence and extend across industries, which Symbotic appears to be preparing for. Fundamentals Right now, Symbotic Inc. is in its early stages and is bringing in a negative income which makes it a risky investment. However, the company's total revenue has increased by 200% from 2022-Q4 to 2024-Q4; the gross profit has also increased by 147% in the same timeframe. Symbotic's net income has revealed consistent losses since 2022, but the 2024 annual report had the smallest loss on record at a negative $84.7M which is a 39% improvement from 2022 and a 59% improvement from 2023. No matter which way you cut it, the company is still absorbing annual losses so it will be important to keep an eye on improvements and deficiencies to identify any consistent trends. NASDAQ:SYM has 585,963,959 total outstanding shares according to the 2024 Annual Report published at the beginning of December. This is a far cry from the 106M outstanding shares reported on some financial websites and even here on TradingView. From my findings, around 100M of Symbotic's shares are Class A Common Stocks and the remaining 485M are Class V Common Stocks. My focus is on the market capitalization which is a tool that I like to use when establishing long-term price targets. For Symbotic, which has the potential for global reach and use across multiple industries, I think it's reasonable to achieve a market capitalization of $500B. Price Target With the current number of outstanding shares at a market cap of $500B, this would place Symbotic's share price at $853. This type of growth would turn a $1,000 investment today into $31,710 at the projected target price; a whopping 3,000% return. HOWEVER, a lot has to happen to make this come to fruition. One thing I would like to see, in addition to profitability, is for Symbotic to begin buying back its own stock. It's become my investing philosophy that companies who believe they are undervalued will buyback their shares while companies that believe they are overvalued will issue new shares. Symbotic's total outstanding shares have increased by 5.8% since its annual report at the end of 2022. I think that my philosophy is best tailored to established companies so it is possible that Symbotic could be an exception. Because the company is so new, it may need to issue more shares to generate enough capital to stay afloat while its roots set.
NASDAQ:SYMLong
by Shepherd_Investor
ChainLink | LINK , TRUMP & Grayscale LINK pumped 500% since our last signal so Its time to Celebrate the New Year with Crypto Chainlink isn’t just mooning on price it’s taking the crown in the real world assets (RWA) sector. LINK is leading the pack in development activity, leaving Ethereum based Synthetix (SNX) and the privacy savvy Dusk Foundation (DUSK) playing catch up Price Up, GitHub Busy, and a New Year’s Party to Crash The numbers? Chainlink flexed nearly 394 GitHub events in the past 30 days, compared to Synthetix's 176.6 and Dusk's 34.7. Meanwhile, Polymesh (POLYX) and Maker (MKR) aren’t far behind, clocking in at 25.9 and 21.7, respectively Chainlink’s onchain momentum and fundamentals are bullish as well, growing active addresses and an all time high futures open interest of $770.27M are just tip of the iceberg. Grayscale announced that it has opened Grayscale LINK Trust to qualified investors, a fund that enables investors to gain exposure to XRP in the form of securities. As of December 12, Grayscale LINK Trust had a net asset value of $111.91 per share and $30,468,812 in assets under management Chainlink's LINK token is experiencing a notable increase in price and market activity, fueled by a strategic investment from World Liberty Financial (WLFI), a project backed by Donald Trump’s family. WLFI recently expanded its holdings by purchasing an additional $1 million worth of LINK, raising its total investment in the token to $2 million. LINK is trading at $29.4 (+1.5% over 24 hours), while its all time high of $52.82 (May 2021) is still 44% away. But hey, it's already the life of the crypto party, with a $1.1B daily trading volume and active trading on 99 exchanges, led by Binance. Market cap? A cool $18.6B it’s a good time to toast to LINK’s rise🍾
Long
by moonypto
KWANT - Next AI PlayKwant Bot on Telegram has the ability to conduct technical analysis basing on the chart you sent to them. The discussion is interactive too, and personally, it is more advanced than GEMXBT . Based on the Fibonacci level, it already rebound from the support level; the market cap is also still below $5 M, which can still be considered as " undervalued ". Since the 8 days of listing, the developer has enhance a lot of things in Kwant Bot, the value also correlates with the active member in telegram which currently at around 3K individuals . IMO, I'm very bullish on KWANT . Feel free to discuss. #NFA #DYOR
RAYDIUM:KWANTSOL_254P5J.USDLong
by White_Owl_
SUPRA/USDT targeting $0.25A repeat of Supra's recent run would be a 500% return. SUPRA stands out with its high-performance blockchain, capable of 500,000 TPS, making it incredibly scalable for dApps. Its Moonshot Consensus ensures low latency, potentially attracting more developers to its ecosystem. The platform's vertical integration, including native oracles and VRFs, reduces external dependency, enhancing efficiency and security. HyperNova technology offers secure cross-chain communication without bridges, positioning SUPRA as a key player in blockchain interoperability. Significant investor backing fuels further development and ecosystem growth through initiatives like the "Super dApp Showdown." Offering decentralized oracle services within its Layer-1, SUPRA could become essential for DeFi, driving token demand. These features collectively suggest SUPRA/USDT could be a strong hold for those looking at utility and growth in the crypto market.
Long
by CryptoMitchX
Hurricane Alert, XRP Is About To Move ForwardIt is pretty clear now what is just about to happen, and this is great. I think it is awesome the fact that XRP is about to move forward because recently it grew strongly and everybody rejoiced; another round and people will be even happier. I don't know where to start so let's go with the targets. $3 can be ignored as it was hit already on the 3-Dec. high. The $2.90 peak is $3 rounded up or a technical $3. The signals are the following: Weak retrace = bullish strength. High volume = bullish support. 11 days of consolidation = fair enough. The retrace activated the 0.382 Fib. retracement level for this bullish wave. On an impulse, this is standard and a resumption can happen right after this level is activated. On a correction, we see 0.618 and 0.786 Fib. retracement activated. On a bear-market, we see 1 being activated. On a retrace, normally 0.382 and sometimes 0.5 if the retrace is a strong one. All the pairs retracing activated the 0.382 Fib. retracement level and are now moving forward. Some already moved ahead (quick example: Aave). There should be two tries at $3. Let's say two daily candles and it breaks. It is going to break as resistance for sure. This is because all the chart technicals are pretty strong. The technicals are both, pretty and strong; pretty strong. The main targets based on the short-term (within 30 days but likely a few weeks only) are $3.65 and $4.68. It is a continuation of the previous bullish move. The momentum and dynamics are the same. So straight up; strong. Let's change the energy... XRP has been on a great bullish wave and this has been amazing so far. It caught many by surprise because the market was sideways so long and with bearish tendencies at that. When it broke bullish, boom! classic, it was all Crypto and it continues to be the Cryptocurrency market in the sense that there is no looking back once the bull is on. The greatest part is that we are seeing only the beginning, it will go on and on and on 2017 style. Bullish impulse bull-run mode. When you think it is over, the market will gives you more. When you think a correction comes next, the market will continue to grow. I am looking at the next move for you, just the next target and not a big picture long-term chart. When this target hits, I can publish another chart and then another one. Because the one I published is already at the bottom of the pile and it cannot be updated anymore. If I want you to read it I have to publish new ones. Question: How long can XRP's bullish wave last? Answer: Too hard to say. A standard bullish market can go through July 2025. But we don't know about standard so anything goes. Remember the Trump-effect. Potential Spot ETFs for XRP, global adoption, on and on. The market isn't being blocked anymore so there can be a long-term bull-market like we have never seen before. We just don't know but it is very likely that it will be many times stronger than anything you can account for. Question: Is it too late to enter? Answer: No. It is never too late. But entering at such a time requires some experience. The risk is higher once the action is underway. Just plan for all scenarios. What would you do if you decide to enter and there is a crash the next day? Will you hold or sell at a loss? If you hold, for how long? If you decide to sell at loss, when? 20%, 30%, 10%, 5%? If you enter now, when do you plan to exit? What's the plan? Quick profits? Stay out, there are better choices for this. Always go with the pairs with the lowest risk. You can't go wrong if you have low risk vs a high potential for reward. It is not too late. Question: What about XRPBTC? Answer: Looks good and shows plenty of room for long-term growth. Question: When will the first correction happen and how long will it last? When a major level is reached. I don't know. The signals will be clearly present on the chart. The correction can last between 1-3 months and then a new and stronger wave that ends in a bull-run. It can develop after Q1 2025, very hard for me to make such a prediction as this point. Question: When to take profits? Each time a major level is hit. Taking profits is healthy. Aim high but trim your position even if just by a little bit to allow the market to continue growing. After a strong level is hit, more profits can be taken. At the start, the bare minimum. Hold long-term. We have to see how it all unravels first because we are in uncharted territory. We've never seen Crypto with a favorable US government. We've only seen Crypto while battling against the dinosaurs. We don't know how exactly the market will respond to a favorable regulatory environment, we know it is positive, we just don't know how positive. We have favorable conditions also on the fiat side, less interest on the money and more monetary expansion, the perfect storm for Cryptocurrency to take over the world. Question... Thanks a lot for your continued support. Namaste.
Long
by AlanSantana
2
NQ1 Weekly Bias Dec. 15-20 with Levels of InterestYeah yeah yeah, I'm bearish I get it I am a horrible idiotic terrible person. Anyway here is a starter chart for shorter term levels on the way down if that indeed is the way we go for a retracement. I think end of the year cycling out of winners is inevitable especially in the over-valued nasdaq big boys. Also looking at last week, we rejected the upper 800s, which is not a good sign. Almost looked like "they" pushed it off Friday open to see if there was any retail left. Turning from cautious to bearish based on all macro evidence and other indicators. Not full blown panic mode yet, we could possibly put on another month or three of gains, but we are much much closer to the end than anyone is talking about. Also food for thought, when it's in the news it's in the price. There's tons of euphoria in the markets at the moment, with everyone pointing and chattering about the "Santa Rally" wherever I turn. Always be cautious when everyone is talking and feeling the same way, just my advice. Risk reward and risk management is all of trading. Reward for buying another 10% against a risk of losing 40% doesn't seem like something I really want to jump head first into at record setting levels of overvaluations metrics everywhere. Good Luck this week Bosses, any question as always feel free to reach out or ask in the comments.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by ajx1124
GBP_NZD (400 Pip Range Bound)The GBP/NZD currency pair has recently reached a 9-year high, indicating significant strength in the British Pound against the New Zealand Dollar. Based on the provided information and search results, here's a detailed analysis for the coming 3 days: Fundamental Analysis The GBP/NZD pair has been showing a strong bullish trend, driven by several factors: 1. Economic Divergence: The UK economy has been showing signs of resilience, while New Zealand's economy faces challenges, contributing to the pair's upward momentum. 2. Interest Rate Differentials: The Bank of England's monetary policy stance compared to the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's approach may be supporting the Pound's strength against the Kiwi. 3. Global Risk Sentiment: As a risk-sensitive currency, the New Zealand Dollar may be under pressure due to global economic uncertainties, benefiting the relatively safer Pound. Technical Analysis Short-term technical indicators suggest a potential for both bullish continuation and a possible correction: 1. Trend Analysis: The overall trend remains strongly bullish, with the pair making new highs and trading above key moving averages. 2. Resistance Levels: The pair recently reversed from a key resistance level at 2.1840, which could act as a ceiling for further gains in the short term. 3. Support Levels: Key support is identified at 2.1600, which could be tested if the pair experiences a pullback. 4. Momentum Indicators: a. The daily Stochastic indicator suggests overbought conditions, which may lead to a short-term correction. b. The 14-day RSI is at 68.10, approaching overbought territory but not yet extreme. 5. Moving Averages: The pair is trading above both the 50-day SMA (2.16) and the 200-day SMA (2.13), confirming the strong uptrend. Short-term Forecast (Next 3 Days) Consolidation: The pair should trade within the range of 2.17-2.21 as it consolidates after the recent strong move. Volatility is expected to remain high, with an average daily range of about 0.54%. Conclusion While the long-term trend for GBP/NZD remains bullish, the pair may experience short-term volatility and potential correction after reaching a 9-year high. Traders should watch key technical levels and be aware of any fundamental developments that could impact either currency. Citations: fxpro.news www.centralcharts.com www.centralcharts.com coincodex.com www.ofx.com www.icmarkets.com www.tradingview.com www.icmarkets.com www.tradingview.com au.investing.com
by NYHTSTAR
Core DAO ($COREUSDT): Daily Chart - Bullish Momentum SetupI spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more. Core DAO ( OKX:COREUSDT ): Daily Chart Analysis for a Bullish Momentum Setup Trade Setup: - Entry Price: $1.3700 (Activated) - Stop-Loss: $0.8576 - Take-Profit Targets: - TP1: $2.5710 - TP2: $3.3331 Fundamental Analysis: Core DAO ( OKX:COREUSDT ) is gaining traction as a blockchain platform focused on decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs). Built to empower community-driven projects, MIL:CORE has seen increased adoption due to its robust governance model and efficient transaction capabilities. The platform’s ability to attract DeFi and dApp developers is driving its growth in the blockchain space. With its focus on decentralization and governance, OKX:COREUSDT is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing interest in DAO-driven ecosystems. Recent network upgrades have bolstered confidence in its scalability and reliability. Technical Analysis (Daily Timeframe): - Current Price: $1.3720 - Moving Averages: - 50-Day SMA: $1.1500 - 200-Day SMA: $1.0500 - Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 66, signalling strong bullish momentum. - Support and Resistance Levels: - Support: $1.2000 - Resistance: $1.5000 The daily chart highlights a breakout above the $1.3000 resistance level, supported by increasing volume. The bullish continuation pattern suggests further upside potential toward the first take-profit target of $2.5710, with a long-term target at $3.3331. Market Sentiment: OKX:COREUSDT has witnessed a surge in trading volume, reflecting growing market interest. The token's association with emerging DAO projects and recent ecosystem partnerships have contributed to positive sentiment and increased investor confidence. Risk Management: The stop-loss at $0.8576 limits downside exposure, while the take-profit targets offer exceptional reward potential. TP1 provides an 88% return, while TP2 offers a 143% gain, making this setup ideal for swing traders aiming to capture significant upside. Key Takeaways: - OKX:COREUSDT is breaking out with strong bullish momentum, driven by growing adoption and ecosystem development. - The trade offers excellent risk-to-reward ratios, suitable for both swing and long-term trading strategies. - Discipline in execution is key to navigating potential market volatility. When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, We’ll Brave It All! *Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*
Long
by SiriusTrading