Fundamental Analysis
Gold is experiencing a massive sell-off, today's market analysisGold fluctuates in a wide range. The hourly chart forms a converging triangle. Pay attention to the range of 2603-2630 to buy low and sell high. The market will be closed early today on Christmas Eve and will be closed all day tomorrow.
Gold bulls are powerless, and the main market is still under the control of bears. The gold 1-hour chart hit 2633 twice and was blocked. Then the short-term gold has formed a double top. Gold may fall further. The gold moving average resistance now moves down to around 2632!
First support: 2608, second support: 2600, third support: 2588
First resistance: 2620, second resistance: 2632, third resistance: 2646
Trading strategy:
BUY: 2603-2601
SELL: 2628-2630
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Total 3At the moment, I am expecting the TOTAL3 index (the total market capitalization of altcoins excluding BTC and ETH) to enter the discount zone, which usually corresponds to areas of strong oversold conditions. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is already close to the 30 level, signaling a potential reversal or at least a slowdown in the decline.
Typically, such a zone becomes attractive for purchases as it represents points where the risk is reduced, and the growth potential is high. However, it’s important to consider overall market dynamics, external macroeconomic factors, and the behavior of major players.
I am continuing to monitor the RSI level and price reactions at key support zones.
World gold prices slightly decreased as the USD increasedHowever, the precious metal is under some pressure as the dollar index rose sharply and US Treasury yields rose slightly.
The Conference Board reported on Monday that its US consumer confidence index fell to 104.7, down from a revised 112.8 in November. The reading was weaker than expected, with economists predicting the index would be largely unchanged.
“Expectations that consumer confidence would continue to recover were not realized in December, as the index fell back to its two-year average,” said Dana Peterson, chief economist at the Conference Board.
Gold is struggling to find its way amid the holiday lull, said James Hyerczyk, an analyst at FX Empire.
“The Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance and forecast of fewer rate cuts in 2025 are keeping gold under pressure. The precious metal will face key support tests during the holiday week
USDJPY : CAPITALIZING ON YEN STRENGTHThe Japanese yen (JPY) has recently been trading near a five-month low against the U.S. dollar (USD), influenced by the monetary policy stances of the Bank of Japan (BOJ) and the Federal Reserve. The BOJ's decision to maintain its ultra-loose monetary policy, without clear indications of future rate hikes, contrasts with the Federal Reserve's hawkish tone, which includes projections of a measured pace of rate cuts in 2025.
This divergence has contributed to the yen's depreciation, with the currency experiencing a 4.7% decline this month, reaching levels that have prompted market participants to remain alert to potential intervention from Japanese authorities.
Looking ahead, some analysts anticipate a potential strengthening of the yen later in the year. Factors such as expected rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and a shift in market focus towards U.S. elections could influence this trend.
However, in the immediate term, the yen's performance is likely to remain under pressure due to the current monetary policy divergence between Japan and the United States. Market participants should closely monitor central bank communications and economic indicators, as these will play a crucial role in shaping currency movements in the near future.
TRADE IDEA FOR THIS WEEK:
SELL USDJPY
GOLD trading liquidity is low during the Christmas holidayAmid sluggish trading during the holiday season, OANDA:XAUUSD decreased slightly, dragged down by the strength of the US Dollar and high US Treasury bond yields. And the market needs to wait for clearer signals from the Federal Reserve's 2025 monetary policy.
Although the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points last week, this signaled fewer rate cuts in 2025, sending gold prices to their lowest since mid-month 11 last week.
While non-yielding gold benefits from the low interest rate environment, the market will need to readjust expectations for the year ahead.
The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and fewer interest rate cuts in 2025 have weighed on gold prices, and gold will face pressure during the holiday week.
Interest rate cuts initially boosted gold prices, but the Fed's forecast of only two rate cuts by 2025 (down from four in September) sparked a sell-off that sent gold prices to lows. lowest since mid-November.
With economic data limited this week due to the Christmas holiday, gold prices are expected to remain in a tight range. Liquidity remains low, reducing volatility and keeping price action subdued.
Gold has hit multiple record highs this year and is up 27% year to date, its best annual gain since 2010, thanks to strong central bank buying, geopolitical tensions and monetary policy monetary easing by major banks.
President-elect Donald Trump will take office on January 20. The market is about to return to trading in a Donald Trump environment, we cannot forget the trading period when he was in office, how the market fluctuated with his emotions on each line.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold continues to maintain activity below the confluence resistance area noted by readers in yesterday's publication at the upper price channel edge and the 0.618% Fibonacci level, to maintain the trend. main discount.
While the recovery has been limited, gold is also trading above the $2,613 technical level, and gold could fall a bit further with a target of around $2,591 as it is sold below $2,613.
The relative strength index (RSI) is operating below 50, which should be considered a negative signal for the trend of gold prices.
During the day, as long as gold remains below the EMA21, the upper price channel edge and the 0.618% Fibonacci, it remains inclined towards a bearish outlook with notable technical points listed as follows.
Support: 2,613 – 2,600 – 2,591USD
Resistance: 2,634 – 2,643USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2646 - 2644⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2650
→Take Profit 1 2639
↨
→Take Profit 2 2634
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2594 - 2596⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2590
→Take Profit 1 2601
↨
→Take Profit 2 2606
XAUUSD: 23/12 Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2660, support below 2580
Four-hour resistance 2650, support below 2600
Gold operation suggestions: Last Friday, the overall technical side of gold ushered in a wide range of long and short shocks. After the continuous decline and plunge on Thursday, the previous day, breaking the 2600 mark, it rebounded slightly throughout the day on Friday. It ushered in an accelerated high breakthrough before and after the US market and stood above the 2610 mark to continue the bullish rebound. It closed near 2622 last Friday. Today, gold opened in the Asian session and was not strong. It began to fluctuate. Gold has not had a unilateral market for the time being.
From the 4-hour analysis, today's short-term support below is around 2627, focusing on the 2600 first-line support, and the upper pressure is around 2650-60. It is bullish above the 2627 daily level long-short watershed. Because Christmas is coming soon, gold can be bought on dips.
BUY:2627near
BUY:2622near
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Gold price analysis December 23Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices held steady near $2,625 in early Asian trading on Monday. The Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance could weigh on the yellow metal. However, a weaker greenback following weaker inflation data could limit the yellow metal’s
downside. The Fed cut interest rates at its December meeting as expected but signaled it would slow the pace of further reductions in borrowing costs. The Fed’s dot plot, a chart that projects the future path of interest rates, shows a half-percentage-point cut in rates by 2025, compared to a full percentage-point cut expected in September. This, in turn, further boosts the US Dollar (USD) and weakens USD-denominated gold as higher real interest rates increase the opportunity cost of bullion.
Technical Analysis
Gold marked a second consecutive bullish rebound today. Although there were some adjustments at the beginning of the Asian session, as long as the correction does not exceed 2605, it is still a buying opportunity worth paying attention to. 2651-2665 are considered the two technical resistance zones of gold price today before it wants to uptrend again and find the peak around 2692. If 2605 is broken, 2657 will be the target of all subsequent downtrends.
GBPCAD trading siggnals⚡️GBPCAD is following wave 5 of the Elliot wave pattern.
⚡️The breakout from the boundary zone when there was a strong candle closing through the 1.80600 zone and the price traded above the 2 EMAs confirmed that the buyers won the market.
⚡️Expect the peak of wave 5 to end around 1.815 which is our TP 2 zone.
BTC USD IdeaWe are closely looking level 90,682.58 on the BTC/USD pair. It appears the market is entering a bearish pullback towards the end of the year. On the order book, we see large funds selling positions to secure year-end profits. We consider this market condition a pullback phase if we break through the 90,682.58 fractal low. This is normal and occurs every December in the markets. Overall, we only scalp trade during December and January, without expecting any significant moves. We will keep you posted if volume returns to the markets.
GOLD recovered quite strongly, falling after FOMCOn the Asian market today (Thursday, December 19), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot trading recovered strongly after a sharp decline in the previous trading day. Gold price reached its highest level at the time of writing at 2,618 USD/ounce, an increase of nearly 30 USD during the day.
The market will next receive US economic data, including final third-quarter GDP and weekly unemployment claims.
Market attention will then turn to Friday's release of the U.S. personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, which will boost the U.S.'s copper performance. US Dollar and gold in the short term.
FOMC
On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates as expected and predicted less policy easing in 2025. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said the threshold for the next rate cut could be higher, which sent the US Dollar and US Treasury yields soaring, while at the same time, Gold fell more than 2% to a one-month low in trading on Wednesday.
Federal Reserve officials cut interest rates for a third straight time on Wednesday, but lowered their forecast for the number of rate cuts next year, signaling they are increasingly cautious about being able to reduce spending. How quickly does the loan cost?
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 11-1 on Wednesday to lower the federal funds rate to a range of 4.25%-4.5%. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack voted against, in favor of keeping interest rates unchanged.
In the FOMC policy statement, Fed officials noted that economic activity continued to expand at a solid pace. Labor market conditions have generally eased since the beginning of this year, with the unemployment rate rising but remaining low. Inflation has made progress toward the committee's 2% target but remains high.
The new Dotplot chart shows some officials expect fewer interest rate cuts next year than they estimated just a few months ago. Fed officials currently expect the benchmark interest rate to be between 3.75% - 4% by the end of 2025, which, according to the median estimate, would mean two rate cuts of 25 points each. basic.
Jerome Powell
The Fed will cut interest rates only twice next year amid rising inflation, according to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, a forecast consistent with Trump's wait-and-see approach when he returned to the White House in January.
Powell said Fed policymakers want to see more progress in reducing inflation when considering future rate-cutting strategies.
US federal funds rate futures have reflected that the Federal Reserve will leave its benchmark overnight interest rate unchanged at its policy meeting on January 28-29 next year.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
Thus, gold has enough conditions to decrease in price after falling below the 0.618% Fibonacci level and bringing price activity back below the EMA21 moving average, with a sudden impact from fundamental factors.
In the short term, although gold recovered from the 0.786% Fibonacci retracement level at $2,591, which was the bearish target noted by previous readers, it could still continue to decline further with a target around $2,538. . When the Relative Strength Index dropped below the 50 mark and was quite far from the oversold area, it showed that there is still plenty of room for price decline ahead.
During the day, gold price increases as long as they do not surpass the 0.618% Fibonacci level and EMA21 should only be considered short-term recovery.
Along with that, the downward trend in gold prices will be noticed again by the following technical levels.
Support: 2,591 – 2,552 – 2,538USD
Resistance: 2,624 – 2,634USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2635 - 2633⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2639
→Take Profit 1 2628
↨
→Take Profit 2 2623
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2549 - 2551⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2546
→Take Profit 1 2556
↨
→Take Profit 2 2561
View Of #BTC for 2025 on 2D Time FrameMy target of 1 #BTC = 100K$ is completed. Now, on 12/24/2024, I update my new technical analysis of #BTC for 2025.
The red top 3 can stop anywhere in the 108K-130K zone.
The blue 12345 is the small wave of the red wave 3.
The blue top 5 can also stop anywhere in the 108K-130K zone to create the red top 3.
Supposing the red wave 3 ended at the 108K peak, the blue 4 will not stop in the 92K-85K zone, but there will be a D1 candle closing below 85K to confirm that the price can go deeper to the red bottom 4 before continuing to increase in price according to the red wave 5.
Safe entry AMD Buy and HoldNASDAQ:AMD
AMD is currently showing a solid pullback from its all-time high (ATH), with shares trading around $124. While $120 looks like a strong entry point, there’s potential for the stock to dip further, possibly hitting $100. Time will tell if it reaches that level.
Under the leadership of CEO Lisa Su, AMD has evolved into one of the top semiconductor giants, making impressive gains in both CPU market share and stock value in recent years. With a rapidly expanding footprint in the AI chip market, the company is well-positioned for future growth.
My 2025 price target for AMD is approximately $250, driven by its continued innovation and strong market dynamics.
HBAR/USDT Technical Analysis🚀 Trade Setup Details:
🕯 #HBAR/USDT 🔼 Buy | Long 🔼
⌛️ TimeFrame: 1D
--------------------
🛡 Risk Management:
🛡 If Your Account Balance: $1000
🛡 If Your Loss-Limit: 1%
🛡 Then Your Signal Margin: $12.87
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☄️ En1: 0.21697 (Amount: $1.93)
☄️ En2: 0.17562 (Amount: $4.5)
☄️ En3: 0.14618 (Amount: $5.79)
☄️ En4: 0.11674 (Amount: $1.29)
--------------------
☄️ If All Entries Are Activated, Then:
☄️ Average.En: 0.17147 ($12.87)
--------------------
☑️ TP1: 0.3922 (+128.73%) (RR:1.66)
☑️ TP2: 0.4672 (+172.47%) (RR:2.22)
☑️ TP3: 0.56253 (+228.06%) (RR:2.94)
☑️ TP4: 0.68378 (+298.78%) (RR:3.85)
☑️ TP5: 0.81766 (+376.85%) (RR:4.85)
☑️ TP6: Open 🔝
--------------------
❌ SL: 0.03824 (-77.7%) (-$10)
--------------------
💯 Maximum.Lev: 1X
⌛️ Trading Type: Swing Trading
‼️ Signal Risk: ⚠️ High-Risk! ⚠️
🔎 Technical Analysis Breakdown:
This technical analysis is based on price action, SMC (Smart Money Concepts), and ICT (Inner Circle Trader) concepts. All entry points, Target Points, and Stop Loss are calculated based on professional mathematics formulas as a result you can have an optimal trade setup based on great risk management.
📊 Sentiment & Market Context:
The HBAR/USDT pair is showing strong bullish potential as market sentiment shifts in favor of Hedera Hashgraph’s scalability and unique consensus mechanism. Hedera has been gaining significant attention due to its high-speed, low-cost transactions and growing enterprise adoption.
Technically, we are seeing key indicators point to a continuation of the bullish trend, with a recent breakout above resistance levels suggesting further upside potential. The market is currently in an accumulation phase, with strong support around key Fibonacci retracement levels.
Fundamentally, Hedera’s consensus algorithm (Hashgraph) stands out for its speed and security, making it a strong contender in the decentralized finance and enterprise blockchain space. With increasing use cases and strategic partnerships, HBAR could continue to outperform in the coming months.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
Trading involves significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your research and trade responsibly.
💡 Stay Updated:
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Netflix to $1,100 ?With Christmas around the corner, Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) is set to benefit from increased streaming as families worldwide spend more time indoors during the holidays. This seasonal trend, coupled with Netflix’s rich content library and holiday-themed releases, positions the platform for significant engagement and subscriber growth.
The stock recently closed at $909.74, and analysts at TipRanks have set an optimistic target of $1,100 per share. With increased global streaming hours and strong content strategies, Netflix is well-positioned to ride the holiday momentum. Investors should watch Q4 subscriber growth for further insights into this upward trend.
Intel to $26Intel Corporation (INTC) shows strong bullish potential, supported by both technical and fundamental factors. On the technical side, the stock has rebounded from the $19 support level, aligning with the 0% Fibonacci retracement level, indicating a possible trend reversal. Key resistance levels lie at $26 and $30, and RSI suggests the stock is oversold, signaling renewed buying momentum. Recent Heikin-Ashi candles also confirm reduced selling pressure and a shift towards a bullish trend.
Fundamentally, optimism surrounds Intel's new CEO, who brings a vision for innovation and market recovery. Additionally, Donald Trump's support for U.S. businesses could lead to government incentives for domestic semiconductor manufacturing, directly benefiting Intel. Trading near historic lows, Intel offers an attractive entry point with substantial upside, particularly as it aligns with government priorities and surging chip demand.
The combination of oversold technicals, leadership changes, and political tailwinds positions Intel for a strong recovery, with the $26 level as the first key target.