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Fundamental Analysis

BTCUSDT - Bearish sign?daily chart displays a ascending broading wedge pattern can notice obviously how price action going when touches the lower side of the pattern You'll notice a full absorption of the candle, with only a wick touching the lower part of the pattern. It's important to understand that the ascending wedge pattern is inherently bearish, often signaling a downward move. However, Bitcoin rarely gives you a clear short signal like this—it will likely liquidate all short positions first. What’s expected is a strong upward move in the coming days, followed by a drop. Bitcoin’s target for this correction is 85k.
Short
by ceciliones
1
GOLD tries to recover after the holidayOn this trading day, gold traders OANDA:XAUUSD will need to focus on data on initial jobless claims in the US, which could have an impact on market trends in the short term. The seasonally adjusted number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits for the week of December 21 will be released today (Thursday) and is expected to be 224,000. Data released last week showed initial jobless claims in the United States fell from 242,000 to 220,000 in the week ended December 14, below expectations of 230,000, showing signs that the labor market movement is still steady. If the latest initial unemployment claims turn out to be lower than expected, this will have a positive impact on the US Dollar and a negative impact on the price of gold and major non-US currencies. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has recovered from the technical level of $2,613, but the recovery is still limited by the upper edge of the price channel, along with the nearest resistance level noted at the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement point. % and EMA21. Considering the current price position, gold still has a technical outlook of falling in price with the main trend being noticed by the price channel. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index has not yet surpassed the 50 level, the 50 level is considered resistance/support depending on the position of the RSI and on the current daily chart it is considered a resistance. In the short term, if gold falls below the technical level of $2,613 it will have room to fall a bit further with a target level then around $2,600 and more to the $2,592 price point of the 0.786% Fibonacci retracement. . As long as gold does not break above the price channel, with price activity stabilizing above the EMA21, it remains biased to the downside, with notable levels listed below. Along with that, using POC Volume Profile, at 2,646USD there is also a large trading volume, this position should also be considered a technical resistance. Support: 2,613 – 2,600 – 2,592USD Resistance: 2,634 – 2,646USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2651 - 2649⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2655 →Take Profit 1 2644 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2639 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2589 - 2591⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2585 →Take Profit 1 2596 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2601
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Solana: Slight Drop on the Horizon?Solana Mirrors Bitcoin’s Movement Solana is currently trying to stabilize around the $194 level, though this support line appears weak. Fibonacci retracement indicates the potential for a further drop to 38% or $191. Fundamentally, Solana remains a strong asset with significant potential . However, its short-term performance is influenced by market buzz, particularly speculation surrounding Trump’s and Elon’s next moves. At this stage, there are no possible options for entering deals, so we remain observing the situation.
BINANCE:SOLUSD
by themr-im
Illiquid Assets: Comprehensive Overview, Risks, and ExamplesIlliquid Assets: Comprehensive Overview, Risks, and Examples Illiquid assets are those that don’t trade easily, often requiring more time and strategy to buy or sell effectively. Understanding these assets' unique characteristics and risks is crucial for traders who want to navigate their complexities. This article explores what makes an asset illiquid, the risks involved, and essential considerations for trading it. What Are Illiquid Assets? The illiquid asset definition refers to an asset that isn’t easily converted to cash. In turn, illiquid assets are those that aren’t easy to buy or sell without achieving a less-than-fair market price. They are the opposite of liquid assets, such as many stocks or government bonds, which can be traded with minimal impact on their value. Illiquid assets typically have fewer buyers and sellers, leading to less frequent trades, slower transactions, and more price variability. Outside of the markets most traders regularly interact with, illiquid investments might include things like private equity, real estate, or certain collectibles, where valuation and demand can be uncertain. However, in financial markets, certain stocks, currency pairs, cryptocurrencies*, and commodities can also be considered illiquid. For traders, this lack of liquidity means a trade can be harder to execute at the desired price, sometimes resulting in higher transaction costs or delays in getting out of a position. Illiquidity is particularly relevant in times of market stress when demand can dry up entirely, leaving traders holding assets they can’t easily convert to cash. The appeal of illiquid assets often lies in their potential to offer returns over time, but they come with the trade-off of being more challenging to manage in a fast-moving market. Characteristics of Illiquid Assets When comparing liquid vs illiquid assets, there are a few distinct traits that set them apart. These characteristics are worth understanding, as they directly impact how traders approach these assets. Low Transaction Volume One major feature of illiquid assets is limited trading activity. Unlike stocks that see hundreds or thousands of daily trades, illiquid assets might only attract occasional buyers and sellers. This low volume makes it harder to find a counterparty when you want to buy or sell, leading to longer wait times and potentially bigger price fluctuations than with more frequently traded assets. Valuation Challenges Determining the exact market value of illiquid assets can be tricky. Limited market activity can translate to a lack of up-to-date price data when a market is illiquid, meaning it might be challenging to set an accurate price. To use an extreme example, in real estate or private equity, values might depend on periodic appraisals rather than constant, real-time trading data. This uncertainty can make it harder for traders to calculate potential returns or evaluate risk effectively. Limited Market Interest Illiquid assets generally attract a smaller, more niche group of investors or traders. They may be specific to certain industries, geographic locations, or specialised interests, which limits their appeal. This restricted interest reduces demand, further contributing to their illiquidity. Illiquid Assets: Examples In most trading markets, illiquidity isn’t the norm, but it does occur in specific cases. Illiquid assets in trading tend to arise in less popular stocks, certain currency pairs, niche cryptocurrencies*, and specific commodities. Lesser-Known or Thinly Traded Stocks While major stocks in popular indices enjoy high liquidity, smaller or less-known stocks often don’t. These might be stocks of companies in emerging sectors or regions, with limited investor interest and low daily trading volume. When trading these stocks, a limited number of buyers and sellers can make transactions sluggish and cause price swings. Traders need to be cautious, as buying or selling large quantities can quickly impact prices. Exotic Currency Pairs In forex markets, major currency pairs like EUR/USD or USD/JPY are highly liquid. But when you move to exotic pairs—often involving currencies from smaller or emerging economies—liquidity dries up. These pairs see fewer trades, meaning bigger spreads and potential slippage. For traders, it can be harder to execute trades at ideal prices, and sudden market events can cause sharper price moves due to limited liquidity. Explore real-time charts for various currency pairs, from major to exotic, in FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform. Niche Cryptocurrencies* Cryptocurrencies* offer another example. While major coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum are liquid, lesser-known altcoins often suffer from low trading volume. These niche coins may appeal to traders looking for high potential returns, but limited buyer interest can lead to volatile price swings and long waits to complete trades. Traders should account for the possibility of holding such assets longer than expected if market demand drops. Specialty Commodities Major commodities like crude oil, gold, and natural gas are generally liquid, but niche commodities can be far less so. For instance, specific metals or agricultural products may have fewer buyers and sellers, leading to greater price instability and higher transaction costs. In these markets, illiquidity can make it challenging to find counterparty interest, especially when market conditions shift. Risks Associated with Illiquid Assets in Trading Illiquid assets come with unique risks that can complicate trading strategies and impact potential returns. These risks are essential to understand, as they can significantly affect both short- and long-term outcomes. Price Volatility With fewer market participants and less frequent trading, illiquid assets are prone to greater price volatility. Even small trades can lead to significant price swings, as a limited number of buyers and sellers creates a more sensitive market. For traders, this volatility can mean unexpected price shifts. Exit Challenges Selling an illiquid asset can be far from straightforward. When there’s limited interest from buyers, exiting a position may take longer or require a price concession to attract potential buyers. This delay or the need to sell at a lower price can impact overall returns, especially in cases where funds need to be freed up quickly. For traders, this creates a challenge: they may need to hold positions longer than anticipated, which could conflict with other trading opportunities or cash flow requirements. Slippage Risks Slippage—when there’s a difference between the expected price of a trade and the price at which it’s actually executed—can be especially pronounced with illiquid assets. This occurs because prices are more likely to move between the initiation of a trade and its completion in markets with limited participants. For instance, if a trader tries to execute a larger-than-usual order in a low-volume stock, they might face a sharp price increase or decrease as their order shifts the market, leading to a less favourable outcome than planned. Higher Transaction Costs In illiquid markets, transaction costs tend to be higher, as brokers and exchanges factor in the risk of dealing with less popular assets. This can result in wider bid-ask spreads, where the gap between the buying and selling price becomes more significant, increasing trading costs. For traders, higher transaction costs can impact profit margins, making it essential to weigh these added expenses when dealing with illiquid assets. Capital Lock-In Illiquid assets can also result in capital being locked up for an extended period. If market interest wanes or demand plummets, selling may be impossible without a considerable discount. This “lock-in” risk can create challenges for traders who may need to access funds or reallocate capital elsewhere. For traders with capital tied up in illiquid assets, unforeseen market conditions or shifts in trading strategies can pose significant financial strain. Practical Considerations for Traders When trading illiquid assets, a few specific strategies may help manage the unique risks and challenges. Liquidity Analysis Evaluating an asset’s liquidity is essential. Traders may consider metrics such as average daily trading volume, bid-ask spreads, and historical transaction frequency. These indicators give insights into how challenging it might be to execute trades without major price impacts. Timing and Market Conditions Timing becomes especially critical with illiquid assets. Market conditions, such as economic stability or demand in specific sectors, can influence the limited buyer and seller pool. Monitoring broader trends helps traders anticipate demand shifts that could affect transaction possibilities or asset valuations. Portfolio Diversification Balancing illiquid assets with more liquid investments in a portfolio can potentially reduce overall risk. Diversifying investments across various asset classes allows traders to maintain greater flexibility. This approach helps ensure that funds aren’t overly tied up in assets that may require extended holding periods. Position Sizing Larger positions in illiquid assets can magnify challenges. Adjusting position sizes based on liquidity can potentially mitigate risks and improve a trader’s ability to exit positions without large price impacts. The Bottom Line In summary, illiquid assets present unique opportunities and challenges, requiring careful planning and strategy from traders. Understanding their characteristics, risks, and practical considerations is essential to navigate these markets effectively. For those interested in exploring a wide range of markets with competitive costs, consider opening an FXOpen account. FAQ What Is the Meaning of Illiquidity? The illiquidity meaning refers to the challenge of quickly buying or selling an asset without causing a significant impact on its price. Illiquid assets generally have fewer buyers and sellers, low trading volumes, and infrequent transactions, making them challenging to convert to cash quickly at fair value. What Is an Example of an Illiquid Currency? An illiquid currency is typically one that belongs to an emerging or small economy, like the Tanzanian shilling or Icelandic króna. These currencies see limited trading in the global forex market, have fewer buyers and sellers, and often come with higher transaction costs and wider bid-ask spreads. What Is the Illiquidity Risk? Illiquidity risk is the potential difficulty in buying or selling an asset at its expected value due to limited market interest. This risk can lead to delays, lower exit prices, or forced long holding periods, affecting overall returns for traders. What Is the Equity Liquidity Risk? Equity liquidity risk is the chance that a stock cannot be sold or bought quickly without impacting its price. This risk is more common in thinly traded or small-cap stocks, where limited market activity makes finding buyers or sellers challenging. What Is the Difference Between Liquid and Illiquid Assets? Liquid assets can be bought or sold quickly with minimal impact on their price, such as stocks in major companies. Illiquid assets, however, trade infrequently, making fast transactions difficult without price concessions. *At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice
Education
by FXOpen
1
Long TIGR (Maybe Double Up) NASDAQ:TIGR is a fintech company incorporated in Singapore and headquartered in Beijing. Think HOOD for asian markets, and having direct access to those equities. From the chart you can see they clearly align with the China trade and do get a huge boost if we see China's market pick up. Current Position: Average Share Price $5.87 and continuing to buy this up. Options $6 12/20/2024 $4 01/17/2024 $5.50 04/17/2025 $5.50 01/16/2026 $5.50 01/15/2027 Still adding. I think $10 is pretty likely even in the short term, but obviously taking some long plays as well, and just picking my spots to grab options when IV is reasonable and I can get some deals. If the China / Asia trade gets some legs, I don't think $20-$25 is out of the question. My Reasoning They just did a pretty sizeable offering Oct 23 at $6.25 of 15 million shares, with underwriters getting the opportunity to buy an additional 2.25 million in the 20 days after the offering. (Which they did). This caused approximately 10% dilution to existing share holders. Share price held up pretty well and already trading well above the offering, even while the rest of China continues to downtrend or chop. 2024 Q3 - Revenue: $101 million - record high (44.1% year-over-year increase). - Net Revenue: $30.84 million - the highest in 3 years (15% year-over-year increase). - Net Income Attrib. to Ordinary Shareholders: $17.8 million (34.0% year-over-year increase). - Assets under management: $19.8 billion (115.9% year-over-year increase). - Funded Accounts: 1,035,000 (19.3% year-over-year increase). - Total Accounts: 2,370,000 (10.2% year-over-year increase). - Trading Volume: $163 billion, (103.1% year-over-year increase). - Net Profit Margin: 17.6% (-1.3% year-over-year decrease). All while the Asia trade has been pretty much a no go. In January 2024 they were issued a Type 1 license (Allowing crypto on the platform) and in July 2024 they got Type 9 license (Allowing client asset management services). Two other brokerages have also been given Type 1 licenses in 2024 FUTU and HKVAX (HKVAX also got type 7 for automated trading). FUTU is a significant competitor with 12x the market cap of TIGR, 2x the assets under management (grew 40% year-over-year), and 4x the revenue (grew 29% year-over-year), and greater brand recognition. But with 12x the market cap and lower growth numbers, TIGR seems like the better play for now, although I might add some FUTU as well. TIGR has not released specific geographic breakdowns but they have mentioned 75% of funded accounts are outside of mainland China (Q1 2024). Singapore, New Zealand, Australia, United States all mentioned as growth stories. They have a sizeable user base now, and growing rapidly. If you are long enough term you also just have the cultural tides in your favor as Asia, India are seeing retail investor participation increase rapidly. I look at this and see a double up just based on the companies growth story while Asia trade has been less than ideal . If we get an actual China pump 2.5x, 3x not out of the question. Risks I mean China right, TIGR is incorporated in Singapore which is slightly better and analysis would lead me to believe that a majority of their assets under management are in Singapore but we all know China could yank a license, attack Taiwan, or do some other bull and send the stock tumbling. It's a foreign company, the reporting requirements are different, more opaque, and harder to analyze. Other risks include just the history of the company, offerings are not super rare occurrences and the balance sheet historically is not pretty. This was not a well oiled machine from the beginning. Still a chance management blows it, you also have real competition with FUTU. However, you can't just luck into the numbers above so things are changing. IMHO.
NASDAQ:TIGRLong
by sliceofbytes
World gold price increased slightlyLooking ahead to gold prices, John LaForge, head of physical asset strategy at Wells Fargo, said during his bank's annual outlook webinar that he won't be paying much attention to the Federal Reserve in 2025. Economists at the bank expect the U.S. central bank to cut interest rates only once next year. He also pays more attention to central bank demand than the opportunity cost of real yields, said the macro investment strategist at Tanglewood Total Wealth Management. Analysts are also paying attention to emerging market consumer demand. In early 2024, gold prices were boosted by record central bank purchases and unprecedented demand from Asian consumers and investors, primarily China. World gold prices increased slightly as the USD decreased. Recorded at 9:35 a.m. on December 26, the US Dollar Index, which measures the fluctuations of the greenback against 6 major currencies, was at 107.940 points (down 0.08%). According to the World Gold Council (WGC), central banks' demand for gold has reached its highest level in more than ten years. This is a clear demonstration of gold's solid position as a safe haven asset, especially when the global geopolitical and economic situation continues to be unstable. At the same time, loose monetary policies and a slower pace of interest rate hikes from central banks have also contributed to creating positive momentum for gold prices. 🔥 OANDA:XAUUSD SELL 2631 - 2629🔥 💵 TP1: 2620 💵 TP2: 2610 💵 TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL: 2638
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
$FANG Point of interest identified on the weekly chart for FANG. For more Info: x.com The $150 price level had held and looks to be respecting the AVWAP from Oct 2022 with confirmed bullish price action I will be building a long term position in the company. Fundamentals Diamondback Energy has solidified its position as a leading independent oil and gas producer in the Permian Basin, holding net proven reserves of 2.2 billion barrels of oil equivalent and achieving an average production rate of approximately 448,000 barrels per day in 2023. The company's focus on maintaining a low-cost structure and generating growing free cash flow has enabled it to enhance its base dividend, reduce debt, and support ongoing production growth. Additionally, the strategic commitment to expanded transportation capacity and the synergistic relationship with its subsidiary, Viper Energy Partners, further underpin Diamondback's strong financial outlook and growth potential within the sector. Analyst Outlook Strong Buy 44% Buy 46% Hold 10% Source: Public.com Company Information Diamondback Energy, Inc. is an independent oil and natural gas company, which engages in the acquisition, development, exploration, and exploitation of unconventional, onshore oil, and natural gas reserves. It operates through the Upstream and Midstream Services segments. The Upstream segment focuses on the Permian Basin operations in West Texas. The Midstream Services segment is involved in the Midland and Delaware Basins. The company was founded in December 2007 and is headquartered in Midland, TX
NASDAQ:FANGLong
by Niqolus
PARQ - The LeaderThis is not an advice. Purely a personal opinion. CSELK:PARQ.N0000 In the Stage Analysis method, the Advancing stage occurs when the stock breaks free from the Base and 30-week moving average. The price of CALT moved up rapidly after breaking out the Base from the 30-week moving average. After the breakout, it increased its advancement by a staggering 677%. Similarly, PARQ is in its advancing phase and is backed by strong fundamentals. It has only gained 165% gain from its breakout. While observing the volume profile, it is noticeable for even a blind man that there is a freaking interest in the stocks. Sellers are getting hammered daily, making them regret their decisions.
CSELK:CALT.N0000
by Captain_Pathum
Old ADA giant continues to move!ADA like other legacy assets has shown good growth. I believe that such coins will not show crazy growth anymore. The global market maker has been accumulating assets and is playing its cards. This is the main reason why old coins started to rise. Regarding ADA here we can fixation above 50 EMA on daily timeframe, which confirms bullish movement further. We are also pushing back from the support zone, which was resistance a couple months ago. I would expect ADA to rise to the 0.718 Fibonacci level area. That's a pretty good target for such a project. Horban Brothers.
Long
by horbanbrothers
MRMINTUSDT || Heavily Bullish on MRMINTUSDT Mrmint Just Broke its Trendline after 45% major correction, Now broke the Trendline with hight volume. Upcoming events will drive this trend higher and higher. Events of 2025 Mrmint Blockchain Listing on Major Centralised exchanges Mrmint's product - SportsMint Launching Mrmint's product- StepMint Phase 2 Mrmint is fundamentally very Strong project. It's various products and services are used by thousands of people....I am very bullish on this. (Only for educational purposes)
Long
by Leo_Invests
1
Ethereum - too big to failIf you try to find top100 coinmarketcap coin list, you will be amazed by how many cryptocurrencies are now forgotten or even dead. Even 100M+ mcap coins die because they turn out to be merely speculative or scammy ventures. But one of the few that stayed on top of all the garbage was Ethereum. It stayed on top of everything because it was the first crypto which created an ecosystem hosting multiple "protocols" and tokens, which also helped crypto market grow not only in terms of market cap but infrastructurally. So I believe it is now too big to fail, but not just because of ~400B. market cap but also due to how many project are based on top of EVM. I think it might reach at least ~700B market cap during this cycle but later it will be among trillion mcap assets
Long
by AlexLukyanin
Zcash - investment in privacyOne of the main so-called privacy coins is Zcash. This cycle was more focused on memecoins, so a lot of functional coins were left out. I believe that privacy coins will also experience rise if not delisted from major exchanges. You can look at ZEC chart. First of all, it stayed within accumulation zone for quite some time in 2023-2024 so large volumes were traded there. During the latest correction ZEC proved to stay quite strong, and has already outperformed this correction. The first and I think most realistic target is around $140.
Long
by AlexLukyanin
7.8k SYMMETRICAL / Cup n Handle?!shared this last month, and with a breakout on most LTF and HTF’s, we shortly after invalidated and have moved towards some liquidity below. Upon switching to the monthly chart, we can see we have 6 days or so until it closes; so my theory is this: Taking into account the current patterns to 4k I’ve shared today, if not be surprised if we can close above on the monthly, confirming a successful breakout, still achieving our targets of 7.8k- as we disregard the LTF’s invalidation. Keen to see how this goes.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by locharado105
7.8k SYMMETRICAL / Cup n Handle?!shared this last month, and with a breakout on most LTF and HTF’s, we shortly after invalidated and have moved towards some liquidity below. Upon switching to the monthly chart, we can see we have 6 days or so until it closes; so my theory is this: Taking into account the current patterns to 4k I’ve shared today, if not be surprised if we can close above on the monthly, confirming a successful breakout, still achieving our targets of 7.8k- as we disregard the LTF’s invalidation. Keen to see how this goes.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by locharado105
AAVE. Strong Fundamentals Drive. 12/26/24BINANCE:AAVEUSDT #AAVE is a decentralized protocol for lending and borrowing assets on the Ethereum blockchain. AAVE is a rare, older project that managed to survive the bear market and is now making a strong comeback, signaling renewed interest and improved market performance. The project has strong fundamentals, suggesting a solid and reliable foundation for growth. I believe #AAVE has massive potential to reach its all-time high (ATH) at the very least. Look for an entry between $331 and $297, with a near-term target of $565. But ultimately, the decision is yours! DYOR.
Long
by trendbooster
Why #LINK Could Be Headed for New Highs?BINANCE:LINKUSDT At present, the coin continues its upward movement. Previously, the asset received strong buy support at the $19.78 level (also a key support level). Now, buyer interest is focused in the $24 - $20 range (this is where the largest volumes are concentrated). Spot purchases should be considered within this range as well, with possible further accumulation at the $13.78 level (unlikely, but worth noting). Spot Targets: 1️⃣ $35.76 2️⃣ $52.79 And we’re sure to reach them! I believe #LINK has tremendous potential for further growth. DYOR.
Long
by trendbooster
1