Get started

Fundamental Analysis

GOLD: Assessing Recent Market Shifts and Future OutlookFollowing a significant drop triggered by the recent USD economic news, gold prices have begun an intraday recovery from a one-month low of approximately $2,602 as I write this article. The global risk sentiment has notably deteriorated in response to the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance announced on Wednesday. Geopolitical uncertainties and concerns regarding trade conflicts have also contributed to heightened demand for safe-haven assets like gold. From a technical perspective, the bearish momentum does not appear to be over. There exists the possibility that gold prices could experience a pullback, potentially retesting a previous demand zone that may provide some support. Furthermore, the Fed’s indication to decelerate the pace of interest rate cuts has resulted in rising yields on US Treasury bonds, which typically strengthens the US dollar. This dynamic may serve to limit any further upward movement for gold, which does not yield interest, making it less attractive in comparison to interest-bearing assets. As a result, traders with bullish positions should exercise caution as the market navigates these complex influences. Previous Forecast : ✅ Please share your thoughts about GOLD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FOREXN1
1
USDCAD: One of the Most Geopolitical-Based Currency PairsHello Traders, The Trump presidency may bring three significant changes to the financial world: We might see an end to the Russia-Ukraine war. We might see more support for Israel against Iran. We might see increased tariffs on US imports. All three changes could affect the pair in both directions, making them a double-edged sword for USDCAD. Trump previously had good relations with Putin and is known for his anti-interventionism under his America First policy. Aid to Ukraine may decrease, which I am not in favor of, as Ukraine represents the frontline of democracy in the war against Putin. Abandoning Ukraine could encourage other dictators, like China, to attack other countries. Recently, Zelensky accepted the idea of temporarily giving up some territories to Russia if Russia allows NATO's presence in Ukraine, a negotiation he previously refused before Trump won the election. A peace agreement or long-term ceasefire between Putin and Ukraine may strengthen the USD, as the world would feel safer, attracting more capital to the growing US economy. However, the strength of the USD against the EUR, the 2nd most powerful currency in the forex market, could also attract more capital to Euro. The Abraham Accords were one of Trump's most successful initiatives. The proxy war between Israel and Iran escalated after the October 7 massacre, with Iran losing most of its proxies. Iran's missile capabilities have been tested and are now recognized as a weak, not-dangerous ability. Previously, Iran had three cards to play against Israel and the West: proxies, missiles, and nuclear capabilities. Now, it only has nuclear activities. Many are waiting for Israel to strike Iran's suspicious nuclear facilities. Such an attack could significantly impact the markets, particularly the CAD. There are two possible scenarios: if Iran does not retaliate due to its inability to do so, the USD would strengthen as more capital flows in. Conversely, if Iran manages to close the Strait of Hormuz for a few days, oil prices would rise significantly, prompting U.S. and Western intervention, leading to a prolonged conflict that would drive oil prices higher. Since Canada depends on oil and energy, any increase in prices would boost the CAD. Regarding tariffs, imposing them may weaken the CAD, but as Trudeau stated, Americans “are beginning to wake up to the reality that tariffs on everything from Canada would make life a lot more expensive.” Canada would retaliate, and if the eurozone follows suit, the U.S. economy could be negatively affected. As forex traders, we know how powerful and important the U.S. is, but we also recognize that other economies have their strengths, and the world is not solely defined by the U.S. For instance, an official in Ontario's government mentioned that they would restrict electricity exports to Michigan, New York, and Minnesota if President-elect Trump imposes sweeping tariffs on all Canadian products. So, consider all three factors if you plan to invest long-term in either currency. For the shorter term, we should also keep these developments in mind, as they could happen at any moment. Any night, Israeli bombers could fly over Syria and Iran to target Iran's nuclear facilities, which could lead to a substantial gain in CAD value. Right now, from a technical perspective: any retracement to the green box at 1.4190 could present an opportunity to increase the price of the pair. Conversely, a break below the channel and 1.41610 would signal a chance for more bearish moves. Sources for US Tariffs on Canada: apnews.com apnews.com
Long
by AliSignals
EUR/USD Under Bearish Pressure: A Market Analysis [Update]As anticipated in our previous analyses, the EUR/USD currency pair experienced significant downward pressure during the late American trading session on Wednesday, hitting its lowest point in almost a month, below 1.0350. Currently, while I am drafting this article, the pair has seen a minor rebound and is trading around 1.0410; however, the technical indicators still suggest a bearish outlook. The price is nearing a critical area where it may continue to decline. Our analysis reveals an imbalance on the Daily timeframe that could signal a further downturn. For more detailed insights, please refer to the link provided below. Following the last Federal Reserve policy meeting of the year, the central bank announced a reduction in its policy rate by 25 basis points, aligning with market expectations, bringing it to a range between 4.25% and 4.5%. In their accompanying statement, the Fed emphasized that they would take into account incoming data, the evolving economic landscape, and the balance of risks when evaluating future rate adjustments. In the aftermath of the Fed's decision, the US Dollar (USD) gained substantial strength, leading to a sharp decline in the EUR/USD pair. Moving forward, our outlook suggests the potential for a new bearish correction in the market as we navigate these developments. Previous close position SHORT ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
BTC Analysis On H4 T.FBitcoin Price Analysis: A Selling Opportunity Amidst Market Volatility The Bitcoin price has been moving within an upward parallel channel, characterized by inclined support and resistance lines. Notably, the trend has reversed three times from the support line and twice from the resistance line. Currently, the trend is testing the resistance line, where we anticipate a reversal. Following this, we expect the price to move towards the support line. (News Impact on Bitcoin Market) The current market volatility, fueled by rising regulatory concerns, adoption rates, and global economic uncertainty, has created a favorable environment for a potential Bitcoin price drop. Recent news and events that may impact the Bitcoin market include: 1. Regulatory developments and their potential impact on Bitcoin's price. 2. Changes in adoption rates and their effect on market sentiment. 3. Global economic uncertainty and its influence on safe-haven assets. Trade Setup: Based on our technical analysis and news impact, we recommend opening sell positions in Bitcoin. 1. Entry: Sell Bitcoin at 106000-107500 2. Stop Loss: 109500 (above the resistance line) 3. Target Prices: 1. 104000 (T.P1) 2. 102000 (T.P2) 3. 100000 (T.P3) 4. 98000 (T.P4, final target near the support line) This trade setup offers a potential profit of 8000 points, with a risk of 1500 points. We believe that the current market conditions and news impact make this an attractive selling opportunity for Bitcoin.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Chart_Champ1
3
Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30)Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) – Bullish Reversal Opportunity This chart highlights a potential buying opportunity in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) after a sharp correction. The recent dip into a key support zone could set the stage for a bullish reversal heading into 2025. Technical Analysis: Key Support Zone: The gray zone around 41,200–41,400 represents a strong demand area. Historically, this level has acted as a base for bullish recoveries. Oversold Conditions: The steep sell-off suggests that the market might be oversold, increasing the likelihood of a reversal. Weekly Pivot: The weekly pivot line serves as a near-term resistance, and a breakout above this level could signal bullish momentum. Bullish Scenario: A bounce from the support zone followed by a break above the weekly pivot would confirm the start of a new leg higher, targeting 44,000 and beyond. Fundamental Analysis: Economic Resilience: Despite recent corrections, the U.S. economy remains robust, with moderate inflation and stable growth supporting equity valuations. Federal Reserve Policy Outlook: Expectations of a pause or potential rate cuts in 2025 could reignite risk appetite, favoring indices like the DJIA. Seasonal Trends: Historically, Q1 tends to favor equities due to renewed optimism and capital inflows at the start of the year. Conclusion: Traders may consider entering long positions in the highlighted support zone, with stop-losses just below it to manage risk. A break above the weekly pivot could provide further confirmation of bullish momentum.
PEPPERSTONE:US30Long
by DreamsForx
Quantum Computing - Extremely undervaluedThis is the industry I’m most bullish on right now. Imagine buying Bitcoin when it was $500. How Does It Work? Unlike traditional computers that process information as 1s or 0s, quantum computers leverage superposition, allowing them to exist in multiple states simultaneously. This enables them to process many possibilities in parallel, making them exponentially faster than today’s fastest machines. Case in point: Google recently performed a calculation in 5 minutes that would take current supercomputers longer than the age of the universe—approximately 10 sextillion years (10,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000). What Problems Does It Solve? Quantum computing will redefine problem-solving across industries. In finance, it will optimize portfolios and manage risk. In healthcare, it will accelerate drug discovery and medical breakthroughs. In materials science, it will help innovate stronger, lighter, and more sustainable materials. For AI, it will supercharge model training and optimization. It’s not just about solving today’s challenges; quantum will tackle problems we don’t even know exist yet. This is a paradigm shift in computation. Market Potential McKinsey estimates that quantum technology could unlock trillions of dollars in value within a decade. Similarly, BCG has identified over 100 use cases where quantum has a clear technological edge. The potential is mind-boggling, and no one can fully grasp the economic impact this will have. Is It Decades Away? Not at all. While today’s largest supercomputers can only simulate up to 50 qubits, quantum startups are already hitting 10 logical qubits. Within 2 years, this could reach 100 logical qubits, and within 5 years, thousands. Commercial applications are already here, accessible through AWS, Google, and Azure, with real-world use cases in medicine, defense, and finance. Expect an explosion of innovation when quantum computing surpasses 100-1000 logical qubits in just a few years. Closer Than You Think Two years ago, AI was mocked. Today, it’s reshaping industries and jobs. Quantum computing will do the same, but faster. Quantum and AI are symbiotic: quantum accelerates AI development, and AI compresses quantum R&D timelines. For instance, Rigetti recently used AI to optimize their quantum processors, cutting weeks off development time. The tech adoption curve is accelerating—and AI is making it even faster. Risks and Opportunities Quantum will render today’s encryption standards obsolete, meaning Bitcoin and other cryptographic systems will need to adapt. At the same time, quantum networks offer unparalleled security, as information physically cannot be intercepted without detection. The Investment Case The entire US quantum industry (IONQ, RGTI, QUBT, QBTS) has a combined market cap of under $10B. To compare, valueless memecoins in crypto exceed $110B. This is a technology that will revolutionize industries and unlock trillions in value—yet it’s trading for less than Dogecoin, Pepe, and Shiba Inu combined. Let that sink in. Massive Funding Influx China is outspending the US on quantum by 5x, but this gap is expected to narrow as quantum supremacy approaches. The Quantum Leadership Act of 2024 is set to inject $2.5B into US quantum development over the next five years. The "ChatGPT Moment" Is Coming Quantum computing’s breakout is imminent. Within 2-3 years, its value will become undeniable, triggering a rapid repricing of the industry. When Bitcoin was valued at SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:10B , it traded for $500. Imagine getting in at that stage. Quantum computing offers a similar ground-floor opportunity—but with the potential to reshape every facet of modern life. Get ready for the next big tech revolution. Thanks for reading Daveatt
NASDAQ:QUBTLong
by Daveatt
20
WORMHOLE BIG CHANCE ENTRY PUMPREPOSTING* BEST ENTRY FOR $W! REFERENCES ARE PINNED! As you know, Ive been so bullish on accumulating great coins the previous quarters. Wormhole is a unique utility in the crypto space due to its robust cross-chain interoperability features, which address the challenges of blockchain isolation and enable seamless communication between different blockchain networks. Here are some of its standout features: Cross-Chain Messaging Protocol: Wormhole provides a secure, efficient messaging layer that allows decentralized applications (dApps) to operate across multiple blockchain ecosystems. This enables applications to leverage the unique strengths of various blockchains, like Ethereum's security and Solana's speed, without being siloed into a single network. Asset Transfers: It simplifies the movement of tokens and NFTs across chains, ensuring high-speed, low-cost transfers. A notable example is the introduction of native USDT transfers using its infrastructure, allowing for gas-free transactions on destination chains and minimizing fees. Developer-Friendly Ecosystem: Wormhole offers extensive tools, including SDKs, APIs, and integration options, to empower developers to build multichain applications. It supports over 30 blockchain networks, enabling use cases in DeFi, NFTs, and governance at scale. Decentralized Security: A Guardian network validates and signs messages to ensure secure cross-chain interactions. This decentralized approach enhances trust and prevents single points of failure. Not Just a Token Bridge: While it facilitates asset movement, Wormhole's primary role as a message-passing protocol makes it more versatile, powering innovations like cross-chain governance, treasury management, and dApp functionality. As per chart, Volume supports the downtrend for long time post airdrop. Only a matter of weeks if not days to send this to more than billies!!! Just putting this in my publications in case we get the easiest 10x from here! REAL BIG COOKING FOR Q1 2025 indeed! Next unlock is by april 2025 so a run up is indeed is in waiting room!
Long
by Kolrektor
USD/JPY Rises to a Nearly 5-Month HighUSD/JPY Rises to a Nearly 5-Month High According to the USD/JPY chart today, the US dollar has climbed to 157 yen. This movement was driven by monetary policies of both countries' central banks. The Federal Reserve took a hawkish stance, with Chair Jerome Powell suggesting the possibility of fewer rate cuts in 2025 than earlier expected. On the other side, the Bank of Japan's Governor Kazuo Ueda, as reported by Reuters, made "surprisingly dovish" remarks. He delivered a cautious outlook on monetary policy following the central bank’s decision to maintain its interest rates unchanged. He emphasised that: → Real interest rates remain very low. → New risks are emerging due to trade policies proposed by US President-elect Donald Trump. Technical analysis of the 4-hour USD/JPY chart shows that: → The pair moves in an upward trend, but based on pivot points (marked in red), the slope of the ascending channel might shift. → The RSI is at a multi-month high, and the black trendlines highlight significant demand strength in the market throughout December. We can suggest that the US dollar is significantly overbought relative to the yen. Could a pullback, such as to the lower black trendline, be expected? Given the importance of fundamental factors such as central bank decisions, any potential pullback might not threaten the continuation of the current uptrend through the end of the year. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
ETHEREUM → Consolidation after a bearish trend breakBINANCE:ETHUSD is consolidating within the flat boundaries of 4085 3530. In general, there is a bullish trend, the fundamental background is also favorable except for yesterday's news, which creates a small risk... The price is at a strong resistance between 4090 and 4100 and it will take a lot of energy to break this area. Yesterday's news was generally controversial but with a negative bias. Despite the decline in interest rates, there were strong hints of stopping the decline and taking a hawkish course. Bitcoin is giving a small correction against this backdrop, which is negative for altcoins. Ethereum technically did not break the bullish structure, a very strong support area of 3530 - 3440 is formed on the chart and with high probability a retest is possible, a liquidity grab with the aim of further growth. There are risks for further fall, they can be taken into account, but we can consider an attempt of growth as a priority. Resistance levels: 4086, 4100, 4372 Support levels: 3530, 3440, 3261 Since the price is inside the consolidation, our strategy is simple - trading from the channel boundaries. Accordingly, based on the current situation, we should consider a retest of support before further growth. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5
d Buy Signal for MOVE/USDT📈 Investment and Buy Signal for MOVE/USDT ✅ Suggestion: This asset is bullish, and you can open a market long position now. 🎯 Target Levels: The labeled price targets will be achieved soon. 🚀 📊 This is a great opportunity for investment and trading. 💬 To manage this signal effectively and access more opportunities: 1️⃣ Follow my TradingView page 📊 2️⃣ Send me a private message for personalized guidance. 💎 Let’s profit together from this bullish move! 💰
BYBIT:MOVEUSDT.P
by DAVID_SNIPERRR
Nasdaq 100 Index Plummets After Fed DecisionNasdaq 100 Index Plummets After Fed Decision On 17th December, analysing the Nasdaq 100 chart (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), we: → Drew a blue upward channel relevant for 2024; → Noted that the price was near the upper boundary of the channel, while the RSI indicator had entered the overbought zone; → Suggested that bulls might face difficulties in pushing the price to a new all-time high. Yesterday, the Fed cut the interest rate by 0.25%. Although it was anticipated, the market reaction was sharply negative. The Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) dropped by approximately 4%. The steep market reaction was driven by Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments during the press conference, where he stated that the FOMC plans to cut rates only twice in 2025, contrary to market expectations of four cuts. Technical analysis of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) chart shows that: → The price remains in the upper half of the channel, supported by the 21,230 level, which previously acted as resistance (as indicated by arrows). → We can assume that the area around the median of the blue channel (marked by orange lines) could act as a barrier to further downward momentum, as medians often serve as equilibrium zones where supply and demand balance out. What’s next? According to analysts at Zacks, record highs for the tech stock index may not be a topic of discussion in the near future. There is a possibility that a local descending channel could form, potentially driving the price into the lower half of the broader upward channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
2
GOLD recovered quite strongly, falling after FOMCOn the Asian market today (Thursday, December 19), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot trading recovered strongly after a sharp decline in the previous trading day. Gold price reached its highest level at the time of writing at 2,618 USD/ounce, an increase of nearly 30 USD during the day. The market will next receive US economic data, including final third-quarter GDP and weekly unemployment claims. Market attention will then turn to Friday's release of the U.S. personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, which will boost the U.S.'s copper performance. US Dollar and gold in the short term. FOMC On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates as expected and predicted less policy easing in 2025. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said the threshold for the next rate cut could be higher, which sent the US Dollar and US Treasury yields soaring, while at the same time, Gold fell more than 2% to a one-month low in trading on Wednesday. Federal Reserve officials cut interest rates for a third straight time on Wednesday, but lowered their forecast for the number of rate cuts next year, signaling they are increasingly cautious about being able to reduce spending. How quickly does the loan cost? The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 11-1 on Wednesday to lower the federal funds rate to a range of 4.25%-4.5%. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack voted against, in favor of keeping interest rates unchanged. In the FOMC policy statement, Fed officials noted that economic activity continued to expand at a solid pace. Labor market conditions have generally eased since the beginning of this year, with the unemployment rate rising but remaining low. Inflation has made progress toward the committee's 2% target but remains high. The new Dotplot chart shows some officials expect fewer interest rate cuts next year than they estimated just a few months ago. Fed officials currently expect the benchmark interest rate to be between 3.75% - 4% by the end of 2025, which, according to the median estimate, would mean two rate cuts of 25 points each. basic. Jerome Powell The Fed will cut interest rates only twice next year amid rising inflation, according to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, a forecast consistent with Trump's wait-and-see approach when he returned to the White House in January. Powell said Fed policymakers want to see more progress in reducing inflation when considering future rate-cutting strategies. US federal funds rate futures have reflected that the Federal Reserve will leave its benchmark overnight interest rate unchanged at its policy meeting on January 28-29 next year. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Thus, gold has enough conditions to decrease in price after falling below the 0.618% Fibonacci level and bringing price activity back below the EMA21 moving average, with a sudden impact from fundamental factors. In the short term, although gold recovered from the 0.786% Fibonacci retracement level at $2,591, which was the bearish target noted by previous readers, it could still continue to decline further with a target around $2,538. . When the Relative Strength Index dropped below the 50 mark and was quite far from the oversold area, it showed that there is still plenty of room for price decline ahead. During the day, gold price increases as long as they do not surpass the 0.618% Fibonacci level and EMA21 should only be considered short-term recovery. Along with that, the downward trend in gold prices will be noticed again by the following technical levels. Support: 2,591 – 2,552 – 2,538USD Resistance: 2,624 – 2,634USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2635 - 2633⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2639 →Take Profit 1 2628 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2623 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2549 - 2551⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2546 →Take Profit 1 2556 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2561
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
RON to new ATHBINANCE:RONINUSDT Ronin is the most used gaming blockchain in the world, boasting over 100k daily active users and has previously peaked at 1 million DAU. Their curated game library is growing and retention numbers are strong. BINANCE:RONINUSDT Ronin will be opening up in Q1 2025 allowing any developer to utilise its blockchain for deploying contracts, games, nfts and more. The fundamentals are solid leading into Q1 and expecting the price to continue climbing unless there's a black swan event where BINANCE:BTCUSDT and COINBASE:ETHUSD drop heavily.
Long
by Kanocrypt
Powell Shocks the Crypto Market: Bitcoin Slides BackwardThe cryptocurrency market suffered a notable drop after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that the Fed “cannot own Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies.” These statements, made in the context of a financial stability conference, intensified the downward pressure in an environment already affected by recent monetary policy decisions. Bitcoin and Ethereum on the Decline Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency, lost more than 4% in the last 24 hours, falling below $25,000. Ethereum also experienced a similar decline, settling near $1,500. Both currencies face a challenging outlook amid regulatory uncertainty and risk aversion in global markets. The cryptocurrency is currently trading at the Sunday trading range on the 15th of this month, coinciding with the checkpoint (POC) at $101,711. For the time being, the value is holding and bullish pressure is once again picking up the market. Powell and the role of the Fed Powell stressed that while the Fed is interested in exploring the issuance of a central bank digital currency (CBDC), it does not see owning Bitcoin as consistent with its monetary policy or financial stability objectives. This comment reignited concerns about the future of cryptocurrencies in an environment where regulators are seeking greater control. Market Outlook Uncertainty over regulatory policies in the U.S., coupled with signs of a more restrictive Fed, continues to weigh on the cryptocurrency market. Investors are now closely watching any developments in digital asset legislation, as well as the impact of monetary policies on risk appetite. Meanwhile, cryptocurrencies face an uncertain path, marked by the tension between their growing adoption and the increasingly strict oversight of global regulators. Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:BTCUSDLong
by ActivTrades