MKR 1D Review Long-TermI invite you to review the chart of MKR in pair to USDT. Here the price stays above the uptrend line
After unfolding the trend based fib extension grid, we see that we first have a support zone from $ 1067 to $ 1008, then we can mark the second support zone from $ 950 to $ 867, but when the zone does not hold the price, we can see a drop to the area of strong support at $ 763.
Looking the other way, we can similarly determine the places of resistance that the price has to face. And here we see that the price has rebounded from the beginning of the $1265 to $1349 resistance zone, then it needs to break through the second very strong zone from $1442 to $1569 and then it can move towards the resistance at $1729.
When we turn on the EMA Cross 10 and 30, we see that the MKR is moving in a local uptrend.
The CHOP index indicates that the energy has been used, the RSI is moving in the upper part of the range, which may result in a larger price correction, and the STOCH indicator shows that there is a lot of energy, which, combined with the RSI, may result in a price correction.
Fundamental-analysis
ETH/USDT 1DInterval Hello everyone, I invite you to review the chart of ETH in pair to USDT, also on a one-day interval. First, we will use the yellow line to mark the uptrend line above which the ETH price is staying.
Now let's move on to marking the places of support. We will use the trend based fib extension tool to mark the supports, and as you can see, we can first mark the support zone from $1784 to $1670, then we have support at $1559, and then another very strong support at $1399.
Looking the other way, we can also mark the places where the price should encounter resistance on the way to increases. And here we will similarly mark the resistance zone from $ 2034 to $ 2160, the price of which has no strength to break through, but when it does, it must overcome a very strong resistance at the price of $ 2291.
The CHOP index indicates that there is still energy to continue the movement. On the RSI we see a rebound and a place for the price to go lower, while on the STOCH indicator we see that the energy has been consumed, although we can still see the price fall.
Bitcoin Weekly UpdateHi Friends,
This week, in lieu of a video, I'm going to give the update via static post. Bitcoin is still ranging as I stated it might continue to do in my last video and the accumulation in this range is extremely bullish IMO. Now, I know there are many analyst who want to claim this is a Wyckoff distribution with the potential being down at this point. Although, this could be the case, I don't think so. I'm more inclined to believe the potential remain upwards at this point vs. down.
Of course, a break below my 29,900 level of support could mean I am wrong. And though, we have closed a candle or two below that level a couple of times, the market has never followed through with confirmation on the next. Indeed, ranging on this fence line has made many of my subscribers and followers nervous. And really, isn't that the whole point. The market movers are very aware of these psychological levels and will play traders until exhaustion sets in. I believe that is what is occurring rn. Many nervous longs may exit during this period. It is then that the prices could move swiftly up.
That green level that we're flirting with rn btw ...that marks (approximately) the body high of the June 10th candle of 2022 right when everything went to hell in a handbasket and BTC crashed from our price today of around 30,000 all the way down to 17,500 in just over a week! This is why it is so significant.
The fact that we made it through and are sitting above that orange major resistance area is a very positive sign for the bulls. I know, I know. Just barely. Still the accumulation up here has lasted almost a month now and I am thrilled. This is a huge win for the bulls.
And checkout that bull flag on my RSI chart!
Really, at this point though, to know more about what Bitcoin is actually going to do here, it's better to ignore Bitcoin. Not completely. As you can see, I am still tracking indicators from it's chart. But our macro-econ picture here in the U.S. is a great help. I have predicted for the last year that the market would become irrational, acting out against all fundamental indications regarding the longer-term economic picture which shows recession and long term stagnation on the way. I have stated that regardless of the clear picture that this is where we are eventually headed, before that, a blow-off top would occur. And that is exactly what is taking place right now. The dollar is crashing, the VIX remains at 2 year lows, and stocks are blowing up. These events are more significant to understanding where Bitcoin will go than anything.
Until next week, best on all your trades!
Peace y'all.
Stew
XAUUSD:Trend Analysis 1965take off
Today's trend and analysis can be seen in my previous article, which can be said to be completely consistent. We emphasize today's support level 1965.gold sell@1980-1985tp 1970-1965 This is our plan for today. Our next plan is gold buy@1965 tp1980-1990.
More analysis and signals will be updated in time, and interested friends can keep up.
XAUUSD:Short-Term Focus 1970-1985
Yesterday was negative, so the short-term is a stagflation rhythm, but if it goes directly to V and reverses the decline, the price should rebound again at the key support. The high point of the second rebound is lower than the previous high and then falls again. It can be confirmed that the stage top appears, which is consistent with the structure formed by the previous bottom. The short-term price focuses on the 1970-1984 range
More analysis and signals will be updated in time, and interested friends can keep up.
XAUUSD:Chasing high has no advantage
Yesterday, I analyzed that gold will fluctuate and rise, gold buy1972 tp1980-1985, and finally reached the target point of our attention near 1984. This position is an important suppression level in the early stage. With strong pressure, today's hourly line closes below this position, which will bring a certain callback.
Since looking at the bottom in 1920, it has been bullish until around 1984. The overall rise has eaten up most of it. I will not be blindly bullish in the future. I will wait patiently for the daily level to fluctuate at a high level before making further plans. Many people will definitely say that this is the time It's not easy. It's bullish with the trend. It's true that the trend is so, but under the strong weekly line of 4 consecutive positives, there is no advantage in chasing higher.
gold sell 1984-1989 tp 1980-1975
Share this point of view with my friends, I hope you can make more money and realize your dreams. Friends in need can keep up . Continually updated
XAUUSDas we all see that gold is not stoping and keep rising as my fundamental analysis gold may make new higher soon or later by the end on september that we will see..keep eyes on who love to trade on gold. what you all think let me know. i hope the analysis i predict on 1D chart frame easy for you all.
xauusd:The support level 1965 has a huge upside
Gold formed a big positive line yesterday and rose in volume, confirming the stable situation after stepping back to 1946 the day before. It broke high again the next day, closed at a high level, and continued to stabilize at a new high level. It hit a recent new high of 1985, getting closer and closer to the 2000 integer mark. There is a little room for release today, and it is expected to touch the 2000 mark. At present, the daily line closes at a high level, and the short-term will continue to rise moderately. Judging from the K-line shape and the moving average indicators, gold has formed multiple divergent patterns, and with the upward moving average indicators, it has formed a supportive upward trend. The breaking high of 1963 has also been converted into a support level.
Overall, gold continued its upward momentum, breaking highs became support. Continue to be bullish today, and it is expected to gradually break through the 2000 mark.
gold buy 1968-1973 tp 1990-2000
ETH/USDT 1D Interval ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the ETH to USDT chart on a single day time frame. As you can see, the price is based on the uptrend line.
After unfolding the trend based fib extension mesh, we see that the first support is at $1869, and then the second at $1825.
Now let's go from the resistance line, as you can see the first resistance is $1942, if you manage to break it, the next resistance will be $1975, $1998 and $2029.
The CHOP index indicates that there is energy for further movement, the MACD indicates the transition to a downward trend, and the RSI is rebounding to the middle of the range, which may result in a further price drop.
Canadian Dollar To All Time Lows???CAD/CHF is currently sitting at a key level and a big test. Today is also the day of the Canadian Interest Rate decision.
Forecast is for Canada to increase their rate from 4.75% to 5% which would be an increase of 0.25 points. However, this same prediction was made for the RBNZ last night and they decided to keep their rate the same.
If the BoC do keep the rates the same, or increase the rate I don't see how either could be positive for the CAD, simply putting it the country is not in the best of positions.
We also had the worst CPI report in almost 2 years not too long ago and an increase in Unemployment rates last month, despite adding jobs.
I don't see how any Canadian led pair could be considered bullish, given the state of the country and my bias is for a short here.
ETC/UST 1D ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to review the ETC chart on the one-day interval. As we can see, the price did not manage to stay on the downtrend line and was quickly reversed.
After unfolding the Fib Retracement grid, we see that the price is holding just below the support at $19.19, the next support is at $16.69, then the third support at $14.84, and when we go lower we have a fourth very strong support at priced at $12.57.
Looking the other way, we can similarly determine the places of resistance that the price has to face. And here we see that the first significant resistance is at $21.67 with the downtrend line, then resistance at $24.15 and then the price will move to resistance at $27.26.
At this point, it is worth including the EMA Cross 200, which indicates that the ETC attempted to return to a strong uptrend, but it was a false break and a quick return.
The CHOP index indicates that there is a lot of energy for the upcoming move, the MACD indicates the continuation of the downward trend, while the RSI has approached the middle of the range, so the move will be based on BTC price jumps.
99 Next for DXYHey Traders! 👋
For Day 44/100 of our challenge, we will look at where the bearish Dollar will go to next
Technicals:
- 190-day range broken to the downside
- Closure below support
- Next key level is 99
- Expecting 99 this coming week but can potentially struggle to close below it
Fundamentals:
- With a soft inflation print last week and also highlighting decline in inflation across the board, it gives the Fed less reason to follow through on their "two more rate hikes" plan. This will cause the market to reprice "some" of the hope built up on this statement by the Fed and may even continue to reprice the rate cut bets this year.
We're bearish on the dollar for the week ahead.
Have a nice Sunday ☀️
Cryptocurrencies and Market Psychology (long Review)How do we determine whether the Cryptomarket will rise or fall, at what point of the trend?
I will share my past experiences, thoughts and information I have compiled and evaluate the subject in terms of market psychology.
While explaining these as much as I can, I will make use of a lot of data and resources. Roughly speaking, market psychology is the whole of the phenomena that we feel emotionally in the face of the movements experienced and enable us to make decisions in line with them.
In other words, it is what we feel in response to price movements. Hence the enthusiasm we feel in response to rising prices in the market and the anger we feel in response to falling prices and losses. Crowds, masses, groups, whatever you call them, act on emotions and impulses.
They have a common collective behaviour, separate and distinct from what they feel individually. This is whatever the direction of the market is. Except for exceptions and a certain minority, it is not possible for investors to get rid of this and think differently.
You can sense this both from yourself and from your surroundings. When the markets are at their peak, investors are very happy, they invite everyone to join them in this happiness, their faces are smiling, and they believe that they will earn even more in time.
''After an event is repeated two or three times in a row, the "arterior cingulate" and "nucleus accumbens" parts of the human brain automatically expect it to be repeated. if it is repeated, a natural chemical "dopamine" is released and your brain is covered with a soft happiness.
So when a stock goes up several times in a row, you expect it to continue, and your brain chemistry changes as the stock goes up, making you feel very happy, so you become addicted to your predictions.
But when stocks fall, the resulting monetary losses activate the "amygdala" part of your brain - the part of the brain that drives fear and anxiety and activates the famous "fight or flight" response that occurs in all cornered animals.
Just as you can't stop your heart rate from rising when a fire alarm goes off, and you can't stop running backwards when a snake crosses your walkway, you can't stop being scared when stock prices fall.''
behavioural economics
after an event is repeated two or three times in a row, the "arterior cingulate" and "nucleus accumbens" parts of the human brain automatically expect it to repeat. if it repeats, it is a natural person.
This period of making easy and fast money makes people feel very good. People think that they are very successful and that this will continue. But this is an illusion.
The reason why the masses make big and fast money during this period is not their own success, but because the market allows it. The end of these events is usually full of bitter experiences.
The 2001 nasdaq crisis, the 2008 crisis, the cryptocurrencies in the last months of 2017, the 2021 bitcoin rally, and the current Turkey's stock are examples of this. Of course, before evaluating these, it is necessary to know what the stock market is, who wins, what is its real face.
One of the biggest misconceptions about the stock market is that the new entrant or the less experienced person makes the evaluation only within the period he entered. This is a mistake, what should be done is to analyse the relevant market with its entire history.
You've heard the saying, "It's increased 30 times in 2 years, if it goes another 10 times from here. Probably not. This 10 times more thought has been formed in line with the above-mentioned and is not rational. ''If we had bought that coin or stock in time, we were rich now.''
This phrase is also very familiar.
Those who invest uninformedly with the discourses of others, people who think that they are distributed free of charge on the stock exchange, crypto, those who think it is a place of easy fast money folding are always in the last link of the chain and are doomed to lose.
What has invited these people to the stock market recently is the enthusiasm experienced in the markets. Think about the motivation of people jumping from the top of the shares. It's going up, so let me get in and win.
From Daniel Kahneman's book Thinking fast and slow:
''People have the illusion that they are 'making accurate predictions'.'' One of the relevant chapters is below:
"So the success of a buy-sell is not due to skill, but to luck. And even when they are presented with evidence of this fact, they ignore it and continue to live the same way.
The rest of the story is even more interesting.
Algorithms that use only 2 parameters in predictions that largely depend on luck are more successful against people who are fed with more parameters/information.
Because human thoughts vary too much according to their body chemistry,
and as they are fed with more information, their self-confidence and therefore the risks they take increase and they lose more easily.
That means this,
For example, when betting between teams x-y, a simple algorithm that calculates the probability of team x winning based on x's score in the last 5 matches and the score in the last 5 seasons against team y,
In the long run, it is more successful than a person who knows these two pieces of information and the number of injuries, the weather, the number of fans and who the referee is in that match.
Therefore, algorithms using Markov chains make money, while amateurs who are influenced by the sunny weather and make more optimistic choices lose money all the time. Another conclusion to be drawn:
Machines are more successful with less information. This makes them superior to humans. Humans are still incapable of comprehending - accepting - even the statistical facts that are shown to them. we are still prisoners of the illusions that our minds play on us.''
People are psychologically influenced by their environment. Explanation: when the stock market was at 1000 points, no one was interested, but now everyone has the desire to become an investor. The same goes for bitcoin.
People who I could not convince to buy in the $ 3000-5000 USD range started to ask if it would go between 50-69k USD.
The same people now think that bitcoin should never be bought at 16 thousand.
All these are not calculated thoughts, they are purely impulsive behaviours. The result of these behaviours is to lose.
As long as people and markets exist, these cycles will always continue. There will always be new winners and losers. This is the purpose of the stock market.
Now, what are the above-mentioned things useful for us? With all this information, we are trying to find out where we are in the market relative to the peak and when we should exit. In other words, when to buy and when to sell, to find the time to sell.
When does the bear market (bear period) start? It starts 1 candle after the peak candle. It is the best selling place. That is, the peak.
We use technical analysis, the internal dynamics of the market and the psychology of this market to identify the peak areas (i.e. the best selling points).
Remember, we are not trying to analyse point by point. We are just trying to more or less predict the zones and maximise our own profits. Trying to find peaks and troughs is unnecessary and foolish.
Buying at average cost and selling at average cost will give you the most effortless profit.
Some wrong moves and behaviour patterns that prevent winning:
-Rushing to win.
-Not having information about the market, not learning.
-Being hopeless and negative due to constant losing (not looking objectively).
-Looking for back doors, trying to pull the gain forward (emotional or sentimental trade, or margin)
-Constantly listening to others without doing enough research, losing and blaming them for mistakes,
-Excessive enthusiasm at the top, excessive fear and anger at the bottom.
Those who follow the whole market only news-oriented.
These can multiply even more. People with these behaviour patterns cannot make money from the market.
You have heard it everywhere: "The stock market is a means of transferring money from impatient people to patient people". You will realise the truth of this saying as your experience increases.
Of course, this alone is not enough, there are many factors such as the right timing, the right stock coin selection, the moves you will make in the uptrend. But one of the basic disciplines you need to have is patience.
Let's go back to psychology and emotion. The masses in the stock market (small investors); are guided and manipulated through emotions. In other words, it is to get your consent on an action that you will not do and to make you take that action.
Manipulation is to persuade you for a transaction that is to your detriment. Through various methods, the money in the hands of small investors is collected in the hands of large investors, capital groups, new rich people. In other words, wealth transfer takes place.
Thanks to many stock exchanges, commodities, cryptos, parity in the world, these wealth transfers are taking place at any moment.
Examine all world markets from past to present, it will be more understandable.
Why am I telling so many negative things? Because in order to win the game, we need to know what the game is, what the rules are. You can get away from the news, fuds, psychological attrition movements, manipulations, knowing the rules of the game.
It's a kind of self-protection. Once you lose, it's hard to overcome the psychology of it. Emotions come into play. You can be a prisoner of ambition and anger. So you can know these and try not to lose from the beginning or try to get out with less damage.
The stock market is an environment where the right information is very valuable, because we come across the most information pollution, ignorant comments, and directive content on the stock market. Even twitter alone is enough for this hollow content.
I mentioned the part about the peaks. Enough of this negative information. I apologise that the topics may be a bit intertwined. If we come to the bottom points, the opposite of these are experienced. I have talked about them at length before, they can be read.
Let me make a few recommendations. Choose the people you care about carefully. No one has a magic wand or secret information that will make you 100x. Stay away from dishonest people, ignore duplicate scam accounts.
There are plenty of paid and unpaid trainings (stock market, crypto) on the internet, spend time on them. Browse books written about the stock market. Try to fill yourself with knowledge. On fundamental and technical analysis, investor psychology,
Try to learn about behavioural economics (economics), about the basics of the stock market. Don't depend on anyone, but try to get information from everyone.
Also, get to know a little bit about what you are investing in. Do not jump in with gas, with a moment of excitement, just because someone said so. Give importance to past experiences. A lot of experience is important in the stock market.
Think medium and long term, not short term.
It is not important to earn in a month in a week. It is important to be able to earn and protect it in a year or two years. Consider it as investment and accumulation, not gambling.
What needs to be done to win is plain and simple, what is difficult is to apply them.
Matic/Usdt 1D ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to review SOL in pair to USDT, on a one-day interval. First, we will use the blue lines to mark the downtrend channel where the price is moving in the upper range.
Moving on, we can move on to marking support areas when we start a larger correction. And here, the first support is at $22.38, the second support is at $19.68, the third support is at $17.44, and then we have a strong support zone from $15.20 to $12.
Looking the other way, we see that the price has reached an important resistance zone from $ 27.14 to $ 32.34, which so far has no strength to break. However, if it manages to exit the descending channel upwards and break through the resistance zone, the next resistance will appear at the price of $38.89.
Please look at the CHOP index, which indicates that we have a lot of energy for the upcoming move, MACD indicates that we are in a downtrend, while the RSI has a rebound and we are moving at the downtrend line, which may indicate a larger correction.
SOL/USDT Review Long-TermHello everyone, I invite you to review the SOL chart, taking into account the one-day interval. As we can see, the price has moved up from the sideways trend channel, and is currently testing the maintenance of increases, at this point it is also worth using the yellow line to mark the local uptrend line along which the price moves.
In order to determine the current support spots when SOL starts a correction, we will use the Fib Retracement tool and we can see that the first significant support is at $22.91, then we have a second support at $20.04, then a strong support zone from $17.31 to $13.24
Looking the other way, we can similarly determine the places of resistance that the price has to face. However, here it is worth noting that the price is struggling to stay above the resistance at $ 26.99, which is located at the golden point fib. then we have a strong resistance at $32.24 where the price turned around and a third resistance is at $38.71.
We will now mark the place where the price moved decisively above the EMA Cross 200, which gave a strong confirmation of the transition to an uptrend.
The CHOP index indicates that the energy has been used, the MACD indicates that the uptrend is maintained, while the RSI crossed the upper limit of the range, which gave the price a pullback, but we should still see a rebound after such a large increase.
ETH/USDT Daily Review 4HIntervalHello everyone, I invite you to review the chart of ETH in pair to USDT, on a four-hour interval. First, we will use the yellow line to mark the downtrend line from which the price went up. It is also worth mentioning that after turning on the EMA Cross 200, we can see that the moving average of 200 held the price before falling further.
Now let's move on to marking the places of support. We will use the Fib Retracement tool to mark the supports, and as you can see, we have the first support at $1843, the second support at $1801, and then we can mark a very strong support zone from $1760 to $1701.
Looking the other way, we can also mark the places where the price should encounter resistance on the way to increases. And here the first strong resistance that the price is currently fighting is $1882, then we can mark a very strong resistance zone from $1944 to $2030, and when it manages to break out above, the price will be able to move towards the resistance at the previous high of $2140.
The CHOP index indicates that there is still energy to continue the movement. The MACD indicator confirms the local uptrend. On the other hand, the RSI is moving around the middle of the range, which may indicate that there is still room for the price to break out of the first resistance.
BTC/USDT 4HINTERVAL Review Resistance and SupportHello everyone, I invite you to check the current situation on the BTC pair to USDT, taking into account the four-hour interval. First, we will use the blue lines to mark the local sideways trend channel, while locally we can mark the uptrend line along which the price is currently moving towards the upper border of the channel.
Now we can move on to marking the places of support in the event of a correction. And here we have the first support at $30,514, and then we have a strong support zone from $30,266 to $29,929, however, when we break below this zone, we can see a drop to around $29,493.
Looking the other way, in a similar way using the Fib Retracement tool, we can determine the places of resistance. We will first mark an important resistance zone from $30,829 to $31,136, once it is broken, price will attempt to attack the resistance at $31,520 so it can move further up.
As we can see, EMA Cross 10 and 30 indicate the place of confirmation of the transition to a local uptrend.
The CHOP index indicates that the energy is gathering strength, the MACD indicator confirms the ongoing local uptrend, while the RSI is moving in the upper part of the range, which may affect the price with a slight correction.
GOLD// XAUUSD🔰 Pair Name : XAU/USD
🔰 Time Frame : 4H
🔰 Scale Type : MID Scale
🔰 Direction : SELL
Core CPI data will be released in a few hours. What to expect?
USD Strength: The expectation of core inflation remaining above the Federal Reserve's target suggests that the Fed may consider further rate hikes. Historically, higher interest rates tend to attract foreign investors seeking better returns, thus potentially increasing demand for the USD. As a result, there could be a positive impact on the strength of the USD if the Fed decides to raise rates in response to elevated inflation.
If core inflation remains above the Fed's target and there is a possibility of further rate hikes, it may create an environment of uncertainty and inflation concerns, which could potentially increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. This increased demand for gold may contribute to upward pressure on its price.
Considering the information provided, if the USD strengthens due to expectations of further rate hikes driven by persistent core inflation, it could potentially exert downward pressure on gold prices. However, the impact may be tempered by the role of gold as an inflation hedge, as elevated inflation levels and uncertainty surrounding future rate hikes could support increased demand for gold and potentially lead to higher prices.
On the other hand, from technical point of view gold has created a significant imbalance in the 4-hour chart, as we have observed in the market. We believe that gold will need to fill that market imbalance before experiencing further upward or downward movements, which will depend on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.
BNB/USDT 1DReview Resistance an SupportHello everyone, welcome to a review of the BNB vs. USDT pair, taking into account the one-day timeframe. First of all, using the blue lines, we can mark the sideways trend channel in which the price is currently approaching its upper limit.
Now let's move on to marking the places of support. We will use the Fib Retracement tool to mark support, and here we will first mark the strong support zone from $234 to $228, however, if the price falls below this zone, we can see a drop to around $220.4.
Looking the other way, we can also mark the places where the price should encounter resistance on the way to increases. And here we see that the price is moving towards the upper border of the channel, where we have a strong resistance zone from $244 to $250, only when we exit it upside, we can attack the resistance at $256.8.
Index CHOP indicates that there is still energy to continue this movement. The MACD indicator, despite corrections in the channel, maintains an upward trend. On the other hand, on the RSI we approached the middle of the range, despite everything we can see an attempt to attack the first resistance zone.
XAUUSD: Operating strategy for the second week of JulyThis week's gold analysis: The trend of gold this week is still the same as last week, and it cannot get out of the range shock. I originally thought that the non-agricultural situation could break the current situation of gold. Still seems disappointed.
After bottoming out and recovering on Friday, it seemed that the rise was strong, but it was just in shape. After rising to the 1934 line, the bears had the upper hand, and there was no upward momentum anymore. Before I thought that the overall short position cannot be reversed if it does not stand above 1930, which also proves what I thought. At present, we can see that the price of gold has risen by about 25 U.S. dollars since the news of non-agricultural benefits came out, and the closing price is also firmly above 1925. It can only be said that the current gold short forces have been temporarily suppressed, and the bulls have the momentum to regain their dominant position, but before breaking through the 1940 position, it can be said. So what we are considering now is not to look long or short, but to consider the position of entry is the key. This week mainly depends on the release of CPI data on Wednesday to see if gold can break through the range and go in a new direction.
So this week's operation strategy, just find a suitable point to enter the market. Because I only do short-term within the day, so the operation is still the same as last week, just sell high and buy low. Net assets increased by 37% last week, hopefully I will make more profits this week! Focus on the 1910~1940 interval, follow my new post for more detailed entry timing