MKR/USDT 4HInterval ChartHello everyone, I invite you to review the MKR chart on a four-hour interval. Let's start with the blue lines marking the upward trend channel, in which the price has locally entered a falling triangle formation, but currently we can see an attempt to exit the ongoing triangle at the top and an attempt to return to the previously prevailing upward channel.
When we unfold the Fib Retracement grid, we can see that the recent price decline was maintained by a strong support zone from $1,236 to $1,124, but now the price has returned higher, above the visible support at $1,396.
Looking the other way, we can similarly determine the resistance areas that the price must face. And here we see that the price is currently fighting the resistance at $1,451, only when it breaks above it will it move again towards the strong resistance zone at $1,566 to $1,654.
The CHOP index indicates that there is more and more energy for the move, the RSI indicator is growing again after a slight recovery, while the STOCH indicator exceeds the upper limit, which may slow down the current upward movement or result in a new rebound.
Fundamental-analysis
BTC/USDT 1DInterval ChartHello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on BTC in the USDT pair, taking into account the one-day time frame. First, we will use blue lines to mark the local upward trend channel in which the BTC price is moving at the upper limit.
To check where we are, we will use the Fib Retracement tool. And here a strong resistance zone should be marked, which in the long term blocks the price from $35,677 to $41,195, what's more, it is also the upper limit of the currently marked channel, only after we exit this zone upwards, we should see it tested and then a possible upward movement towards resistance at $48,107.
However, when this zone rejects the price and a larger correction begins, we may see the price return to the strong support zone from $32,715 to $29,404. only when the price breaks through the bottom, we still have the second zone from $24,119 to $20,285.
After turning on the EMA Cross 50 and 200 indicator, it is clearly visible that the price remains in a very strong upward trend, although we may see a correction in the coming days.
Please pay attention to the CHOP index, which indicates that energy is being collected again, on the RSI indicator we are moving at the upper limit, similarly to the STOCH indicator, which may also affect the price recovery after the recent increases.
stock telling what to dostock it, self-telling what can move except from that.
high-debt company
micro cap company
Market Cap
₹ 60.9 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 66.1
High / Low
₹ 71.8 / 38.2
Stock P/E
9.99
Book Value
₹ 37.8
Dividend Yield
0.00 %
ROCE
8.69 %
ROE
3.74 %
Face Value
₹ 10.0
Industry PE
31.1
EPS
₹ 6.63
Debt to equity
1.17
Price to book value
1.72
Debt
₹ 40.6 Cr.
EBIT
₹ 9.91 Cr.
Cash End
₹ 0.95 Cr.
Reserves
₹ 25.6 Cr.
Quick ratio
0.63
Current ratio
1.18
PEG Ratio
NPM last year
0.59 %
OPM
5.95 %
CMP / FCF
10.2
Intrinsic Value
₹ 74.2
Return on assets
1.00 %
EV / EBIT
10.1
no recommendation from me to buy or sell
The Timeless Abyss of Trading: The Greatest Trap Of All-timeI am here with a unique topic. It is about a psychological trading trap called the cycle of doom. What got me interested in this psychological topic? Well, there are very few articles about it. You can count them on one hand, and more than 90% of traders are losing money.
Most traders find their method of trading. What stops them from becoming profitable traders? Tradingview platform is one of the biggest charting platforms that provide an educational section and editorial peak for traders to sharpen their knowledge related to technical analysis, trading methodology, trading psychology, etc.
As a trader, we are making market memories by improving screen time, practicing technical analysis, analyzing option data(if applicable), and a lot more. Why do we still fall short in applying in real time? What stops us from becoming a profitable trader? Something looks missing out!
I would like to draw your attention to the psychological trap cycle of doom, a topic discussed by only a few traders. Let me be clear, I do believe that this topic is universally applicable!
The cycle of doom is made up of three phases:
The search
The Action
The Blame
"Sun Tzu said Know the enemy and know yourself in a hundred battles you will never be in peril."
In order to exit from the loop of the cycle, we have to understand the parts of the cycle.
1) The Search:
Probably, it's the first phase of the cycle. Just recall your initial stages of trading. You were finding a trading strategy to make money out of the money. You may have asked to friend, watched a YouTube video, read an article on Tradingview, bought a book or course or indicators, or purchased the strategy. At that time, you were entered into the cycle.
Additionally, we should never trade for enjoyment but treat it as a business. The statement does not apply to the initial stages. Trader explores new methods, theories, and systems.
Postulate, Trader A uses X theory to do their day trading for a living, and you were impressed and took it to put your money on it, or you found the method by yourself. The trader will switch his next position after finding a system that is convenient for his trading and trusts that he can take minimal risks to achieve expected returns.
2) The Action:
The Action phase is the second phase of the cycle. Now, you have a trading system that will make your money grow to expected returns. This phase can be super exciting for traders as they believe he has an edge and is most likely a key to opening a present of unrealistic returns.
Issues arise when a trader employs their strategy without supporting evidence, like backtesting results. Your heart may be pounding, and your fingers may be trembling like a child, but it doesn't mean you should directly trade the strategy without checking the results, failure, and performance of the system.
Just five percent of traders actually test a trading system before putting it into action. You might discover that the trading system performs well for a prolonged period. Suddenly, a drawdown appeared! At a certain point, everything may seem bleak. While profits might flow in initially, eventually, the losing trades start to accumulate.
It's a red signal for traders that their trading system is now on oxygen. I don't think traders can trust the system after a big streak of losing traders. You have entered into the blame phase.
3) The Blame:
The Blame is the final stage of the cycle. As we discussed, the trader has lost their trust in his trading system, which was a holy grail for him at the initial stage. The Red portfolio hurts more than a break-up. The trader is not happy with the system as it has wiped out the gain + trading capital, and the trading system is the only cause that affected the profit and wants to remove the system and search for a new strategy.
4) Loop of the cycle:
As can be seen, the trader again finds a new strategy and makes an effort and action on it, then blames the system. The cycle repeats and traps the trader in this way.
How to get out of the cycle?
1. Modification is the only way to survival & Trust the system:
Traders should modify their strategy according to market conditions, instruments, and trading style. Maybe not everything works for everyone. Therefore, traders should do this according to him. For example, I use Elliott wave theory as the first base and price action as a confirmation tool along with different indicators according to the situation. I do modify Elliott and price action as per my observation of price moves and wavelength.
2. Backtesting is the holy grail:
Choosing trading theory also depends on traders' mindset, risk-aptitude, and expected return. Scalpers will never check the PE, P/S, or EV/EBITDA ratio of the firm just because of their duration and risk-reward calculation.
After choosing an appropriate trading strategy, traders should backtest their trading strategy before doing real-market transaction. We have the advantage of backtesting tools, algo, and virtual account, which was not available for pit traders.
3. Risk management:
Already many ideas are available on this topic. The trading system should be giving proper returns as per the taken risk unless it is nothing more than Drilling a well in the desert.
I need more time to write a full idea on the escape of the cycle of doom.
Thank you!
@Money_Dictators
TOMO/USDT 4HInterval Chart ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to review the TOMO chart in the pair to USDT, as before on the four-hour interval. First, we will use the yellow line to identify a strong upward trend line, which, as we can see, the price has broken with a dynamic downward movement. At this point, however, it is worth adding a second line, thus defining the upward trend channel, in which, when we determine the height of the channel, we can see that the price drop is very close to the height of the channel itself.
Going further, we can move on to marking support areas when we start a larger correction. For this purpose, we will use the Fib Retracement tool, based on the recent upward movement, we can see that the price has returned to a very strong support at the level of $1.15, which is trying to maintain the price, while we still have support at the level of $0.95.
Looking the other way, we see that the price has a significant resistance zone on its upward path from $1.28 to $1.40, only later it will be able to move towards the very strong resistance at $1.73.
Please look at the CHOP index, which indicates that most of the energy has been used, the RSI indicator has rebounded from the lower limit, but it is worth being careful whether it is a false break, because the STOCH indicator shows that there is still room for the price to go lower.
XAU 4HAfter a very good rise due to the war, gold reached the important range of $2000, which it could not cross, and with the normalization of the war for gold, it could not pass two thousand and went down. It is currently in the support zone and in my opinion, it will first have an upward correction and then it will descend towards 1923.
MO Altria Group possible A=C plus bear flag Let's discuss it.Hi ,
Well, first of all, it's important to note that I have an open position in this dividend-paying stock because I want to hold it for the long term.
However, we should not ignore the fact that we will start wave C of a possible ABC correction soon. We can also see a bear flag shape. Both have a price target of ~$14 to $15.
Regarding the fundamentals, some important things:
Traditional tobacco companies have to face the fact that their products are becoming more and more expensive, thus many people buy cheaper products.
Vapor and liquid alternatives are increasingly popular among the younger generation. Because they are fragrant, tasty and cheaper.
Although these companies have made a lot of profit in the past decades, they are now facing another challenge. If they want to stay competitive, they have to develop to catch up with their competitors who produce products based on new technologies.
Altria Group is constantly working to achieve this. However, the transformation of the production technology and the necessary permits (e.g. FDA) are essential for its success. It's all money and time.
All in all, I think that stocks of traditional tobacco companies are still a good long-term investment. However, it should be taken into account that they may underperform in the coming months. And they can hit new lows.
That's why I didn't use all my resources that I intended for this stock. Because if we actually reach the ~$15 zone, then I want to significantly increase my position size there.
Please tell me what you think about it. And share your thoughts.
Do not forget. This does not constitute investment advice. Do your own research before entering a position.
Financial Planning: An IdeaHello Trader
Today we have to talk about financial knowledge, how important is it to have financial knowledge and whether can it make us financially free.
Let's begin,
Everyone needs money to survive. Financial planning is the process of managing your money wisely to achieve your financial goals. It involves planning your future finances keeping in mind your current situation.
In simple terms, financial planning helps you answer questions like:
How can I save more money?
When can I comfortably retire?
How can I pay my debts?
All these questions are very important if you want to be financially free
* Financial planning helps you identify your long-term and short-term goals, whether it's buying a house, children's education, or retirement so that you don't have to worry about anything.
* An important aspect of financial planning is insurance. It helps protect you and your loved ones from unexpected events like accidents, illnesses, or the loss of a loved one. By getting the right insurance coverage, you can minimize the financial disaster of such situations.
* Investments are also a part of financial planning. It involves putting your money into different types of assets, such as stocks, bonds, or real estate, to grow your wealth over time. Financial planning also involves knowing where to allocate your investments accurately.
Finally, financial planning includes preparing for retirement. It involves estimating how much money you will need in retirement and determining how much you should save each month to reach that goal. Retirement planning ensures that you can enjoy a comfortable and financially secure life after you stop working.
Types of financial planning
1) Tax Planning
Tax planning is the process of arranging your finances in a smart way to pay the least amount of taxes while staying within the rules set by the government. It involves making decisions about when to receive income, how to spend money, and which deductions or credits to take advantage of. The goal is to legally reduce the amount of taxes you have to pay, so you can keep more of your hard-earned money.
Types of Tax planning
Tax planning is a way to reduce the amount of tax you have to pay. But it's not just about that - it also tells you how to make smart decisions with your money to reach your financial goals. By investing in the right things at the right time, you can increase not only the tax but also your wealth. So tax planning is not just about minimizing taxes, it's about making your money work for you.
Following are the various methods of tax planning
(A) Short-term tax planning
In short-term tax planning, individuals or businesses focus on finding legal ways to reduce their tax liability as the end of the fiscal year approaches. It does not require long-term commitments but can still result in significant tax savings.
(B) Long-term tax planning
With long-term tax planning, individuals or businesses create a tax plan at the beginning of the fiscal year and follow it throughout the year. While immediate tax benefits may not be available, this approach can be beneficial in the long run.
(C) Permissive tax planning
Permissive tax planning involves utilizing various provisions within the tax laws of a country, such as deductions, exemptions, contributions, and incentives. For example, in India, there are provisions like Section 80C of the Income Tax Act, 1961, which offer deductions on specific tax-saving investments.
(D) Purposive tax planning
Purposive tax planning involves using tax-saving instruments with a specific purpose in mind. This strategy ensures that you maximize the benefits of your investments. It includes carefully selecting suitable investments, having a plan for replacing assets if necessary, and diversifying business and income assets based on your residency status.
2) insurance planning
If you don't plan properly for insurance, unexpected events in life can leave you financially vulnerable. By insurance planning, you can identify the risks that may affect your life and choose the right insurance policy to protect against those risks. So that you can protect yourself and your family financially in the future.
Let's talk about the benefits of insurance planning
(A) Protection from Unexpected Events
Having a good insurance policy helps you reduce the financial risks associated with things like illness, accidents, or even death. It ensures that you and your family are prepared to face these unexpected challenges without having to give up your quality of life.
(B) Different Types of Insurance Coverage
* There are different types of insurance policies that cover various risks. For example, health insurance plans cover medical emergencies, hospital expenses, medications, and doctor visits.
* Life insurance or personal accident insurance provides coverage in case of premature death.
* Motor insurance protects your vehicles against theft, accidents, and liabilities to third parties.
* Travel insurance policies offer coverage for unexpected events during your trips. By choosing the right combination of policies, you can create a complete financial protection plan for yourself and your family.
(C) Financial Protection
Insurance planning provides financial security by compensating for losses incurred during covered emergencies. It helps you recover financially from unexpected situations and protects your savings.
(D) Tax Benefits
Certain insurance plans also provide tax savings. For example, the premiums you pay for health insurance are eligible for tax deductions under the Income Tax Act. This means you can lower your taxable income by purchasing specific insurance policies.
(E) Peace of Mind
Having a well-planned insurance portfolio gives you peace of mind. You don't have to worry about losing your savings due to unforeseen events. You can also plan for the financial well-being of your family even after your death by using term and life insurance plans.
Insurance planning can be easier if these points are kept in mind
3) Investment planning
* Investment planning is a process that helps you make smart decisions about your money.
* It involves thinking about your goals and figuring out the best ways to use your money to achieve those goals.
* There are various options for investment, such as putting your money in stocks, bonds, or property and earning good profits.
* This planning helps you build a strong financial foundation and make adjustments as needed.
Here I will tell about 7 benefits of investment planning
(A) Building Wealth
Investment plans with life insurance are a reliable way to grow your wealth over time. As an investor, you can choose the plan that best suits your needs based on risk, returns, and the amount you can invest. These plans can provide financial assistance for future expenses like your child's education, their wedding, your retirement, or a pension.
(B) Financial Security
Life insurance policies offer both life coverage and investment options. They take care of your family financially by providing both survival benefits and death benefits. When the policy matures, you receive returns with profits. This ensures long-term financial security for your family. In the unfortunate event of your demise before the maturity period, the insurance company pays the sum assured to your nominee, providing financial protection to your family.
(C) Coverage for Death Risk
Not all investment options offer coverage for the risk of death, but investment plans with life insurance do. These plans include death risk coverage, ensuring that your family's financial needs are taken care of even in your absence. The sum assured is paid to the nominee in the event of your death.
(D)Retirement Savings
You can purchase these investment plans at any stage of life, allowing you to create a retirement corpus. By investing in these plans, you can become financially independent even after retirement.
(E) Flexibility
These investment plans offer flexibility in terms of the amount you can invest and the duration. You can choose what suits your needs and financial planning.
(E) Tax Savings
Investment plans not only provide risk cover and help accumulate wealth, but they also offer tax savings. The premiums and payouts are exempted from tax under sections 80C and 10(10D) of the Indian Tax Act. These plans offer a perfect combination of savings, wealth creation, financial protection, and tax benefits.
(F) Loan Facility
Life insurance investment plans can also act as loan facilitators, depending on the coverage you have, the premiums paid, and your eligibility for the loan amount.
4) Retirement planning
* Retirement planning is the process of preparing for life after you stop working.
* It involves thinking about how much money you will need to live comfortably when you are not earning a regular income.
* Retirement planning tells you how to save and invest your money wisely to have enough funds to support yourself during your retirement years.
* Retirement planning is essential so that you can enjoy a comfortable and worry-free life when you decide to stop working.
Understanding retirement planning
* Retirement planning is the act of preparing for life after employment, which includes not only financial aspects but all areas of one's life.
* Beyond financial considerations, retirement planning includes lifestyle choices, such as how to spend time, where to live, and when to stop working altogether.
* Retirement planning focuses on different stages of life.
* In the early stages of a career, the emphasis is on setting aside sufficient funds for retirement.
* As one approaches mid-career, it may also include establishing specific income or wealth goals and taking the necessary steps to achieve them.
* Thus, retirement planning is necessary for you to lead a comfortable life at the time of retirement.
5) Estate planning
* Estate planning is when you make important decisions about what happens to your money, assets, and liabilities after you pass away or if you become unable to make decisions for yourself.
* This includes things like choosing who will receive your assets, making sure debts and taxes are taken care of, and even deciding who will take care of your children or pets.
* People usually work with an attorney who knows estate law to help them plan.
* Some common steps in estate planning include making an inventory of what you own and owe and checking your bank account.
Process of Estate Planning
* Estate planning is the process of deciding what will happen to a person's assets after they pass away and how their financial affairs will be managed if they become unable to do so themselves. It's important to know that estate planning is not only for wealthy individuals; anyone can and should consider it.
* An estate includes things like houses, cars, investments, artwork, life insurance, pensions, and debts. People have different reasons for estate planning, such as preserving family wealth, providing for their spouse and children, funding education for future generations, or leaving a charitable legacy.
* The first step in estate planning is usually creating a will.
Other important tasks include
* Setting up trust accounts to reduce estate taxes and benefit specific beneficiaries.
* Designating a guardian for dependents who are still alive.
* Choosing an executor to oversee the will's instructions.
* Updating beneficiaries on life insurance policies, IRAs, and 401(k) accounts.
* Making funeral arrangements in advance.
* Making annual gifts to charities or nonprofits to lower the taxable estate.
* Creating a durable power of attorney to handle other assets and investments.
By taking these steps, individuals can ensure that their wishes are followed, their loved ones are provided for, and their assets are distributed as intended.
6) Cash flow planning
* Cash flow planning is all about managing and predicting how money comes into and goes out of someone's or a business's finances. It means keeping track of how much money is earned (income) and how much is spent (expenses) during a specific time, usually every month or year.
* The main goal of cash flow planning is to make sure there's enough money to cover important expenses, meet financial commitments, and achieve money-related objectives. It helps individuals and businesses make smart choices when it comes to spending, saving, and investing their money.
* Basically, cash flow planning involves creating a budget or financial plan that outlines the expected sources of income and estimates of expenses. By analyzing and keeping an eye on cash flow, it becomes possible to spot potential shortages or surpluses and adjust accordingly. This way, people can manage their money better and make informed decisions on how to use their resources effectively.
* When there's a clear understanding of cash flow, individuals and businesses can take proactive steps to ensure they have enough money to cover their needs, save for the future, and handle any unexpected financial challenges that might come up.
* Thus by doing financial planning in this way and by doing this 6-step planning you can become financially free.
Note: The next article is on the life cycle and wealth cycle in which I will tell you what percentage should be invested according to age and income.
I apologize for the grammatical errors.
Thank You!
Money_Dictators
By @Money_Dictators on @TradingView Platform
ATOM/USDT 1D Interval ChartHello everyone, I invite you to review the ATOM chart in pair with USDT, on a one-day time frame. First, we will use the blue lines to mark the downward trend channel in which the price is moving in the lower range, and it is also worth using the yellow line to define the downward trend line from which we can see that the price has gone up.
Going further, we can move on to marking support areas in a situation when the price returns to a strong correction, for this purpose we will spread the Fib Retracement grid and we can immediately see that the price is struggling to break out of the very strong support zone from $8.01 to $5.52.
Looking the other way, we see that first there is resistance at $10.35, and then we will be able to see an upward movement towards the strong resistance zone from $12.99 to $14.81.
Please look at the CHOP index, which indicates that there is still energy for a move, the RSI indicator approached the upper limit, which resulted in another rebound, similarly you can see on the STOCH indicator that when it went up, from the upper limit of the range, the price started to turn back and you can see that I have room for a bigger drop.
USDJPYWas waiting for the next opportunity after getting stopped out from the last trade. There might be the end of the uptrend for UJ for now. I've placed my trade on last Monday, and there's so many big news on USD these few days.
As there weren't any hiking in rates, it's time to fill up the imbalances below.
Let's share idea's based on UJ, do drop down a comment on why you bought it and why do you sell UJ.
NOTE: I'm not a financial advisor
Learn the 3 TYPES of MARKET ANALYSIS
In the today's post, we will discuss 3 types of analysis of a financial market.
🛠1 - Technical Analysis
Technical analysis focuses on price action, key levels, technical indicators and technical tools for the assessment of a market sentiment.
Pure technician thoroughly believes that the price chart reflects all the news, all the actions of big and small players. With a proper application of technical strategies, technical analysts make predictions and identify trading opportunities.
In the example above, the trader applies price action patterns, candlestick analysis, key levels and 2 technical indicators to make a prediction that the market will drop to a key horizontal support from a solid horizontal resistance.
📰2 - Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysts assess the key factors and related data that drive the value of an asset.
These factors are diverse: it can be geopolitical events, macro and micro economic news, financial statements, etc.
Fundamental traders usually make trading decision and forecasts, relying on fundamental data alone and completely neglecting a chart analysis.
Price action on Gold on a daily time frame could be easily predicted, applying a fundamental analysis.
A bearish trend was driven by FED Interest Rates tightening program,
while a strong bullish rally initiated after escalation of Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
📊🔬 3 - Combination of Technical and Fundamental Analysis
Such traders combine the principles of both Technical and Fundamental approaches.
When they are looking for trading opportunities, they analyze the price chart and make predictions accordingly.
Then, they analyze the current related fundamentals and compare the technical and fundamental biases.
If the outlooks match, one opens a trading position.
In the example above, Gold reached a solid horizontal daily support.
Testing the underlined structure, the price formed a falling wedge pattern and a double bottom, breaking both a horizontal neckline and a resistance of the wedge.
These were 2 significant bullish technical confirmation.
At the same time, the escalation of Israeli-Palestinian conflict left a very bullish fundamental confirmation.
It is an endless debate which method is better.
Each has its own pros and cons.
I strongly believe that one can make money mastering any of those.
Just choose the method that you prefer, study it, practice and one day you will make it.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
XRP/USDT 1D Interval Chart Overview of the XRP pair to USDT chart, on a one-day time frame. First, the yellow line will mark the downward trend from which the price has moved into the sideways trend channel marked with blue lines.
Moving forward, we can move on to marking support areas when the price starts to reverse. And here the most important support point is the zone from $0.50 to $0.46, which protects against a larger price drop.
Looking the other way, we see that the price has reached an important resistance level at $0.62, which it has no strength to break yet. However, if we manage to break above this resistance, we can move further towards the strong resistance zone from $0.74 to $0.82.
As we can see, the place where the red ema cross 10 line crosses the green ema cross 30 line from below confirmed the transition to a local upward trend.
Please look at the CHOP index, which indicates that there is still some energy left for movement, on the RSI indicator we are approaching the upper limit, which may limit the room for further growth, the STOCH indicator also exceeds the upper limit, which may also result in a rebound of the current increase.
EUR USD IdeaGood morning, fellow traders! Yesterday, our journey took us into the weekly supply zone, and we initiated a short position, narrowly missing the top by just one pip. Currently, we have daily levels below us, accompanied by a lurking liquidity void. Our belief is that the upside liquidity has already been absorbed, setting the stage for potential short positions.
With these targets beneath us, it's reasonable to anticipate reaching them relatively quickly. We're looking at potential 15-minute and 1-hour retracements into these zones, coupled with the management of ongoing positions.
However, it's essential to bear in mind that the US dollar is in a phase of consolidation, and the Euro typically remains within a certain balance unless the dollar exhibits significant movement. Trading relies on the availability of liquidity to facilitate price movement, and we must ensure our trades have room to breathe.
In trading, you can either be the liquidity or align yourself with the wiser traders who strategically position their stop-loss orders behind two fractal highs. This way, you can still profit while protecting your capital. These are the considerations we keep in mind as we navigate the market,
Dollar Index (DXY) Under a Bearish Pressure 💵
Dollar Index keeps falling from a solid horizontal intraday resistance,
as I predicted earlier.
As an extra bearish signal, we can spot a confirmed breakout
of a neckline of a descending triangle formation, with a strong bearish
reaction to that after its retest.
The index may keep going lower.
Next support: 105.65
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
EURUSD Faces Headwinds as Dollar Strengthens?EURUSD struggled to build on yesterday's gains and experienced a decline since the start of Tuesday's Asian session. The surge in the US Dollar index exerted additional pressure on this currency pair, causing it to slip below the critical 1.0600 level.
The anticipation of a more stringent stance by the Federal Reserve (Fed), supporting the upward trajectory of US bond yields and fortifying the US dollar, impeded EURUSD from extending its upward momentum seen in yesterday's trading. This aligns with the prevailing sentiment from the European Central Bank (ECB) that suggests no imminent interest rate hikes.
This sentiment gained further credence from data indicating a deceleration in Germany's annual consumer inflation, dropping from 4.3% to 3.0% in October. This marks the lowest inflation rate since August 2021, a concerning development amid looming recessionary threats.
Market participants remain confident in the Fed's commitment to its hawkish stance, given the resilience of the US economy in the face of persistently high inflation. However, all eyes are now fixed on the outcomes of the FOMC meeting and subsequent statements on interest rate policies.
Today's Market Focus:
Market participants are eagerly awaiting signals for today's potential market movements, with a particular focus on the release of Eurozone CPI data for short-term trading opportunities. Subsequently, attention will shift to the release of key macroeconomic data from the US, including the Chicago PMI and Consumer Confidence Index from the Conference Board.
Trading Opportunities:
As market projections suggest that the European Central Bank will maintain interest rates, and the Fed is expected to adhere to its hawkish stance, the weakening of EURUSD below the 1.0600 level remains a prevailing theme. This weakness is exacerbated by the strengthening US dollar and rising bond yields ahead of the FOMC meeting.
Technical Analysis:
In terms of technical analysis, the Fibonacci retracement at 23.6% (1.0643) acts as an immediate resistance level, followed closely by the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.0654. A potential reversal at these levels could instigate a decline in the EUR/USD pair.
The technical dynamics of the EUR/USD pair indicate a notable weakening in momentum, notably signaled by the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropping below the pivotal 50 level. This RSI movement suggests a bearish momentum, underscoring a broader sentiment of market weakness.
Trading Strategy:
Observing the current market conditions, it appears there is potential for executing a SELL action at the 1.0585 level should the EURUSD persist in its downward trend. In such a scenario, astute traders may contemplate a strategic approach by establishing a profit target at the 1.03500 level. Additionally, incorporating flexibility to adjust stop-loss levels proves to be a prudent measure, aligning with the individual considerations of each trader.
However, it is imperative to underscore that trading decisions must consistently derive from meticulous analysis and a profound understanding of the associated risks. Deliberations regarding a SELL action or any trading maneuver should be approached judiciously. Traders are well-advised to take supplementary steps, such as staying abreast of current economic news or other market factors, before arriving at a definitive decision.
MATIC/USDT 1DInterval ReviewI invite you to review the MATIC chart in pair with USDT. First, we will use the blue lines to mark the upward trend channel from which the price broke out, creating a downward trend channel in which we could currently see the price leaving it with a sideways movement.
When we unfold the Fib Retracement grid, we can see that the price remained at the upper limit, a very strong fundamental support zone from $0.58 to $0.31.
Looking the other way, we can see a significant resistance zone from $0.74 to $0.90, only after we break out of it and then test it positively will we be able to see a further upward movement towards the second zone from $1.15 to $1, $33.
Please look at the CHOP index, which indicates that most of the energy has been used, while the RSI and STOCH indicators show that we are moving at the upper limit, which may negatively affect the price and provide a rebound in the coming days.
BNB/USDT 1DInterval ChartHello everyone, I invite you to review the BNB chart in pair with USDT, also on a one-day time frame. First of all, we can use the yellow line to mark the downward trend line from which the price went up.
Now let's move on to marking the support places. We will use the Fib Retracement tool to mark supports, and as you can see, first there is a support zone from $224 to $220, but then we can see a decline to the very strong zone from $209 to $202.
Looking the other way, we can similarly mark places where the price should encounter resistance on the way up. And here you can see that the price has been rejected by the resistance zone from $231 to $238, only when we break above it will we move towards the resistance at $248.
When we turn on EMA Cross 50 and 200, we can see that we are still in a strong downtrend, staying below the blue line of EMA Cross 200. The CHOP Index indicates that there is still energy left for a move. On the RSI, we are moving in the upper part of the range, but when we look at the STOCH indicator, the visible rebound creates room for a potential further price increase.