GBPUSD: Bullish Rebound Confirmed, Eyes Set on 1.28321In the intricate realm of global finance, the decisions and policies of major central banks wield considerable influence over currency markets. One such pivotal institution is the Federal Reserve, the central bank of the United States, whose recent policy trajectory has had a discernible impact on the GBPUSD currency pair. This essay delves into the nuanced dynamics that unfolded in response to the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and its consequential effect on the GBPUSD exchange rate.
The Federal Reserve's Dovish Turn:
Central to this narrative is the Federal Reserve's decision to temper the pace of interest rate hikes. The Fed opted for a dovish stance, signaling a cautious approach towards tightening monetary policy. Powell's inclination towards dovishness, characterized by a reluctance to aggressively raise benchmark interest rates, marked a departure from more hawkish postures seen in the last year.
Impact on GBPUSD:
Commencing on December 14th, an observable surge in the GBPUSD exchange rate ensued, catapulting from 1.25002 to 1.27937. This substantial uptick was emblematic of market participants reacting to the Federal Reserve's dovish signals, with investors seeking higher-yielding assets in response to the diminished allure of the U.S. dollar. The relative attractiveness of the British pound against its American counterpart found favor among traders, contributing to the pronounced rise in the exchange rate.
Support Levels and Resilience:
While the GBPUSD pair experienced a subsequent correction, touching the support level at 1.26124, its resilience was noteworthy. The bounce back from this support level underscored the underlying strength and confidence in the pound, even in the face of corrective movements. This resilience is indicative of a market sentiment that continues to favor the British currency.
Future Trajectory: A Glimpse at 1.28321:
As the GBPUSD pair rides the waves of market sentiment and central bank policies, forecasts point towards a potential further ascent. The likelihood of the exchange rate climbing to 1.28321 is grounded in the persisting dovish stance of the Federal Reserve, which, if sustained, could continue to dampen the appeal of the U.S. dollar in comparison to other currencies.
Rejection at Support: Unleashing Bullish Momentum
In the 2-hour timeframe, GBPUSD witnessed a crucial rejection at the 1.26903 support level, signaling a robust defense by bulls. This pivotal event serves as a potent indicator of underlying strength, hinting at a potential shift in market sentiment and affirming the narrative of a bullish continuation.
Technical Analysis: Bullish Rejection Pattern
Beyond numerical significance, the rejection at 1.26903 represents a convergence of market forces. Buying interest surpassed selling pressure, forming a bullish rejection candlestick pattern. Traders interpreting this pattern would likely see it as a confirmation of the market's intent to resume its upward trajectory.
Continuation of Uptrend: Fueled by Resilience
Confirmation of the rejection aligns with GBPUSD's resilience amid corrective movements. Buoyant market sentiment, driven by the Federal Reserve's dovish stance, acts as a catalyst for renewed upward momentum. Surpassing the previous high of 1.27937 becomes critical, paving the way for an ascent towards the envisioned target of 1.28321. Traders armed with confirmation from the rejection may target this milestone in the ongoing bullish trend.
Risk Management: Navigating Uncertainties
While the support rejection supports a bullish outlook, prudent risk management remains crucial. Unforeseen geopolitical or economic developments could introduce volatility, necessitating vigilance. Traders must be mindful of stop-loss levels and stay attuned to evolving market conditions.
Conclusion:
In the dynamic realm of currency markets, the rejection at the support level of 1.26903 serves as a pivotal chapter in the ongoing saga of GBPUSD. It not only validates the resilience of the pound but also provides a technical confirmation for those seeking to ride the anticipated wave of bullish momentum. As the pair gears up for a potential ascent towards 1.28321, traders and analysts alike will closely monitor the evolving landscape, mindful of the delicate balance between opportunity and risk in the ever-shifting currents of the foreign exchange market.
Fundamental-analysis
BTC Dominance 4HChartHello everyone, I invite you to check the current situation on BTC domination on the four-hour interval. First, we will use the blue lines to define the local channel of the downward trend in which the price has rebounded from the upper limit.
Now we can move on to marking support places in the event that capital continues to move to alts. And here, first of all, we have visible support at the price of 52.52%, then at the lower border of the channel there is a visible support zone from 52.10% to 51.57%, and then we can see support around 50%.
Looking the other way, we will check the resistance areas, and here we can see that resistance has formed at the level of 53.12%, then there is a resistance zone from 53.59% to 53.86%, and then strong resistance around 54.58%.
Please pay attention to the CHOP index which indicates that most of the energy has been used, on the RSI indicator we have returned to the support point, which could have resulted in a slowdown in the decline, while on the STOCH indicator there is a movement below the lower limit, which may also translate into a rebound.
XAU LONG (takeoff)Just as I published the weekly analysis before the open of this week's candle, xau broke through with the bullish momentum (although it was kind of a slow market movement ).
If the momentum keeps up,it could hit the 70's and probably create a spillage to create another highest-high In the market
Follow for more helpful analysis...👍
What is Fundamental Analysis in the Forex Market?Fundamental Analysis in Forex Trading: Factors that Affect Currencies
READING TIME: 11 MINUTES
Estimating future price movements in the currency market is challenging for many. Globally, the foreign exchange market commands the biggest slice of the financial ‘cake’, claiming an eye-watering US$6.6 trillion in global FX market turnover.
Traders will use a variety of tools to assist them in predicting the price movement, most commonly technical analysis and fundamental analysis are methods that traders use to get a gauge of potential movement in the market.
Fundamental Analysis Defined
Currency pair in forex refers to, two currencies are paired together and quoted through a ‘base’ and ‘quote’ currency. The euro in EUR/USD (a major currency pair) is the base currency and represents one unit; the US dollar is the quote currency and provides the value of a currency: the euro in this case.
Fundamental analysis studies economic developments of a country, events influencing the supply and demand of their respective exchange rates, either positively or negatively. Analysts employing fundamental analysis tend to approach markets using a macro-driven theme.
Macro analysis, or top-down approach, focuses on broad economic factors. This involves a comprehensive assessment of the economy, evaluating aspects such as economic indicators—interest rates, growth and inflation—as well as central bank policy.
Fundamental analysis is composed of three core elements:
• Central bank policies
• Economic indicators
• Geopolitical events
These three components working in harmony should translate to clearer market trends and present potential trading opportunities. If one of these areas is in disorder, interpreting a fundamental picture becomes difficult.
Fundamental analysis essentially informs traders and investors why the market advances and declines, and provides a trade decision: to buy, sell or trade flat.
Central Banks
A country’s central bank is charged with the duty of regulating banking institutions and implementing monetary and fiscal policies.
Well-known central banks:
• United States Federal Reserve (or ‘Fed’)
• European Central Bank (ECB)
• Bank of England (BoE)
• Bank of Japan (BoJ)
• Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA)
Everything begins with the central bank and they’re assessment of economic indicators. Traders and investors attempt to anticipate a central bank’s actions by evaluating economic indicators and reacting to the outcomes from the forecast (Actual versus Variance). The market projects a forecast for an economic indicator and subsequently responds to the actual figure released.
Ultimately, trading opportunities present themselves when economic data harmonises with a central bank’s sentiment. This—coupled with a well-defined technical approach to fine tune entry techniques—delivers an overall trading picture to operate with.
Central Bank Announcements:
Major central banks meet every 4-6 weeks. The Fed and BoE meet every six weeks (8 times per year), while the RBA meets 11 times each year. Market trend, or ‘market direction’, is derived from the sentiment within the market, with the central bank acting as a stabilizer by using monetary policy. It is therefore crucial market participants recognise the arrangement of these central bank meetings and understand the terminology used.
Central bank governors are the head of their respective central banks. The head of the US Federal Reserve currently is Jerome H. Powell; Andrew Bailey heads the Bank of England and the governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia is Philip Lowe.
Central Banks: Why Are They Important?
Central banks assess the current market sentiment at each meeting and consider whether any changes need to be made for the near-term monetary policy. The members will review data gathered over the last 6 weeks to assess on what measures need to be taken such as changing the current interest rates or using quantitative easing.
A country’s central bank raising rates can be categorised by way of a ‘hawkish bias’; what they’re essentially doing here is talking up the prospect of raising rates. The prospect of cutting rates is also an option on the table for central banks, emphasising a ‘dovish bias’. Either a hawkish or dovish tone can translate into big price moves in financial markets. If economic conditions remain unchanged, the central bank is likely to adopt a neutral stance: no bias.
Typically, the central bank meeting is accompanied by a statement and, of course, the interest rate decision. These are critical to understand. The statement is the primary avenue employed to communicate with investors regarding monetary policy (actions undertaken by a central bank): the outcome of the vote on interest rates alongside other policy measures and economic commentary. In addition, here you will find what the central bank’s forward projections are. A week or so later, the ‘minutes’ are available: a more comprehensive analysis of the statement and the talking points discussed in the meeting.
See here for the latest US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Statement.
Out of the interest rate decision and statement, you’re looking for market sentiment—the direction provided by central banks and the core overall trends in the market.
The first two weeks of every month is ‘usually’ clear in terms of central bank sentiment, following a fresh statement from the bank.
Economic Indicators
Economic indicators, as their name implies, are statistics—often on a macroeconomic scale—designed to measure economic activity. Traders and investors use these indicators to analyse the well-being of a country’s economy. Government organisations and private groups release several economic reports on a weekly, monthly and quarterly basis, each measuring activity in a particular segment of the economy.
Widely followed indicators are employment/unemployment (payrolls), inflation (consumer price index), growth (or gross domestic product), retail sales, the stock market, industrial production (Producer Price Index) and housing figures. In terms of release schedules, approximately five key economic indicators are released each week.
No single indicator provides a clear picture of the economy’s health. At best, each indicator provides a ‘snapshot’ of current conditions. But when piecing the economic indicators together, you should get a clearer picture of how the economy is faring.
However, it is crucial to understand that some economic indicators are more important than others at certain points in time. Inflation, as of this article, is important. Significant indicators to watch can be found on the statements from central banks in their forward guidance.
Economic Calendar
An Economic Calendar is widely used among independent Forex traders and investors.
High-impacting economic releases are marked red. Orange represents potentially medium-impacting events and yellow indicates a low-expected impact on price levels, or price action.
We also have Previous or ‘Prior’, ‘Forecast’ and ‘Actual’ figures. Forecasts are generally a collection of economists’ views which are then averaged.
New Forex traders might want to note what the Q/Q and Y/Y labels refer to.
Geopolitical Events
Geopolitical tensions can complicate technical analysis and fundamental analysis, distorting the general flow of key fundamental drivers in the market. However, absent of disruptive geopolitical events, trending markets become visible.
Geopolitics events are divided into wars and conflicts, terrorist attacks and international tensions. US-China trade is a good example and the ‘Brexit’ situation (United Kingdom exit from the European Union).
The announcements surrounding geopolitical issues are usually not scheduled, unlike the central bank announcements and economic data. As you can imagine, this may cause confusion in currency markets and make them difficult to trade.
Conclusion
To wrap things up, fundamental market analysis in the Forex market looks at three core components: the central bank’s ‘direction’, economic indicators to provide instant bias, and the geopolitical situation. To aid timing, we use technical analysis to fine-tune entries.
Like technical analysis, fundamental analysis involves broad study and is beyond the scope of an article to detail each element. For that reason, the objective of this article is to provide a foundation in which to build from.
VRA parabolic curve 🪝 started 📌Hi 👋 I am RAJ 🤎 professional trader 📌
Invalid 📌 if parabolic curve 🪝 is broken // DYOR
Just casual analysis on BITFINEX:VRAUSD
I think 🤔 so far it's going in parabolic curve 🪝
Well ❤️🩹 strong community coin 🪙 expecting 200% rise in this min bull run 2-6 months below
From live price 📌 i Calculate %
🚀 FET/USDT - Gem Coin for Bull Run 🌟Strategy:
Consider FET as a gem coin for the upcoming bull run.
Adopt a strategy of buying in every dip and holding in the spot.
Buy-in Range:
Accumulate in the range of %0.65 to $0.68 - $0.48 to $0.50.
Targets:
🎯 $3.5
🎯 $5.5
Caution:
Stay informed about the market conditions.
Be prepared to adapt to changing trends.
Potential Upside:
If the strategy aligns with the bull market, reaching $3 and $5 targets could be achievable.
🔄 Stay Watchful:
Remember, cryptocurrency investments carry risks. Make informed decisions and stay updated! 📈💹 #FET #USDT #CryptoInvesting 🚀📰
XAU BUYFrom my last publish, the apt analysis of the xau market was the bullish insight, the buy momentum has kick-started and the zones whicb can cause a market reaction has been carefully highlighted,let's watch it all play out as the market continues moving
Follow for more helpful analysis on the xau market 👍...
XAU blueprint In accordance to my last publish on the xau Daily time frame analysis, we all agree that the (long term) foresight of the xau market is bullish, all I've done in the 4hour time-frame is highlighting all possible zones of a possible reaction leading to a minor sell.
Note that any of those zones highlighted which causes a market reaction resulting in a sell/bearish movement is merely a retracement as the foresight is bullish 👍
Follow me for more updates on the analysis and market turnarounds....
FRONTLINE PLC Long - Dollar Cost AverageThis is an analysis of Frontline PLC - a Norwegian oil transportation company, the following is strictly my own personal opinion and does not constitute financial advice.
Key numbers:
Dividend yield expected 2024 - 17%
P/B - 2.03
P/E - 5.41
Market cap 47 178 MNOK (4.5 BUSD)
Analyst estimates:
Analyst estimate average for FRO is 267.5 NOK which is equivalent to a 32.3% increase from todays price.
Key information:
FRO has had a significant increase in price the past 6 months, and analysts estimate an increase in both dividends and growth for the company in the coming years.
Technical analysis:
FRO made a bullish divergence on the 195-200 support level recently, after a significant sell off the past few weeks the stock did not even drop as a result of dividends being paid out to stock holders, and I see this as a sign of the stock being about to reverse the downwards trend and begin to move back towards my price target of 260-280.
Strategy:
I am currently in possession of FRO shares with a GAV of 150 NOK/Share as well as increasing my position on friday for 200 NOK/Share. I am looking to hold these shares until price reaches 260-300 NOK/Share depending on coming events. If the price keeps moving down, I will look to hold my position until the stock reaches my price target regardless, as the dividend payout is significant. This might change if significantly bearish news arise, but I do not see that as a high probability at this moment.
If price reaches my profit target, I will again look at analyst estimates and given there is no change I will exit my position for a significant gain. If analyst estimates increase I will either close part of my position or hold it until bearish divergence on the 4H timeframes.
US Financial Markets facing CPI after US Down-Graded to AA+- Emerging Markets are in a paranoid state due to Major US Financial Markets nearing
scheduled date of CPI numbers releasing day.
Consensus forecasts are anticipating Inflation to steadily
go up for the rest of 2023 and entering '24
10'th of August/23 will be a very important day for The Global Financial Markets.
Casualties might follow soon due to the turbulence of this frenzy economic environment created.
Is US about to enter a recession ?
Or do you believe Powell's joke of 'Soft Landing'
How about another joke Powell ...
Note that US technically had entered recession by two negative consecutive Quarters,
however, it got 'saved' by promising growing employment numbers.
Seems like Feds are masters at postponing cascading tragedies,
great tricksters filled with riddles.
With Euro-Zone being officially in Recession for a while now,
it's just a matter of time for US fate to be sealed.
Why learn economics !?
Broader and clearer pictures to strategize your investing/positioning and smaller
time frames trading decisions, be it swings, intradays or scalps.
Seems like it is enough today for a good poker player and a gambler to trade the markets.
How many times can you get lucky in repetitive motion and consider making in to trading
for a living ?!
Not long .
Open your horizons and explore financial literacy to be more in touch with
Facade of Financial Markets.
Technical vs. Fundamental Analysis: Finding a BalanceLooking to make more holistic investment decisions, but not sure how? Understanding the difference between technical and fundamental analysis and how to incorporate both is an essential step to accomplishing holistic investing. Today we will explore how finding a balance between these pillars of trading can help you navigate the complex world of investing.
The Importance of Finding a Balance
Finding the right balance between technical and fundamental analysis can be the key to successful investing. By combining the two approaches, traders gain a comprehensive understanding of a stock's potential, taking into consideration both the short-term market trends and the long-term value.
When it comes to investing, it's important to have a complete view of the market. Relying solely on technical analysis may leave you susceptible to missing out on crucial information about a company's financial health and growth prospects. Similarly, relying purely on fundamental analysis may cause you to overlook short-term market trends that could impact the stock's price in the near future, potentially leading to poor entries and exits.
A balanced approach allows you to leverage the strengths of both technical and fundamental analysis, providing you with a more complete picture of the investment opportunity at hand. So, whether you're a short-term trader or a long-term investor, finding the sweet spot between technical and fundamental analysis can help maximize your chances of making a profitable investment.
Understanding Technical Analysis
Technical analysis focuses on analyzing historical price and volume data to predict future price movements. Traders using this approach often rely on chart patterns, indicators, and trendlines to identify buy and sell signals.
Chart patterns, such as triangles, head and shoulders, and double tops/bottoms, provide insights into potential price reversals or continuations. These patterns are formed as a result of the collective actions of market participants and can signal impending price movements. However, when using price patterns it is critical to understand the statistical odds of success for completion of the pattern. Price patterns can be subjective to the trader's skill and overall directional bias, so traders should combine price patterns with other forms of technical analysis.
Indicators, such as moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Bollinger Bands, help traders identify overbought or oversold conditions, measure the strength of a trend, and spot potential entry or exit points. When indicators are combined to form a robust and complementary system traders gain a wealth of information about the near-term health of an underlying asset. It is critical to note that no indicator system is perfect and will not guarantee you a 100% success rate. However, when paired with proper risk mitigation, psychology, and supporting forms of technical analysis, using indicators can lead to long-term success.
Trendlines are used to analyze the direction and strength of a stock's price movement. Drawing trend lines connecting the highs or lows of a stock's price can help identify support and resistance levels, price channels, and potential trend reversal areas.
Support and resistance zones are price levels on a chart that indicates where trends are likely to pause or reverse. Support is a zone where a downtrend pauses due to demand, while resistance is a zone where an uptrend pauses due to supply. These zones are based on market sentiment and human psychology, shaped by emotions such as fear, greed, and herd instinct. Traders tend to congregate near these zones, strengthening them. Support levels indicate a surplus of buyers, while resistance levels indicate a surplus of sellers. It's important to note that these levels are not exact numbers but rather "zones" that can be tested by the market.
Understanding how these tools work and how to interpret their signals is crucial for technical analysis. It allows traders to make intuitive decisions based on historical price patterns and market dynamics. However, it's important to note that technical analysis has its limitations.
Limitations of Technical Analysis
While technical analysis can provide valuable insights into a stock's potential price movements, it's important to recognize its limitations. Technical analysis is primarily focused on historical data and patterns, which may not always accurately predict future price movements.
Market sentiment, news events, and other external factors can significantly impact a stock's price, often rendering technical analysis less effective. If you don't believe me, just look at the price charts for the last four years. Try to pinpoint major world or domestic events such as the start of the pandemic or the Fed's hawkish shift. Additionally, technical analysis does not take into account the intrinsic value of a company, which is a key consideration in fundamental analysis.
Therefore, relying solely on technical analysis to make investment decisions may leave you vulnerable to market uncertainties and potential pitfalls. This is where fundamental analysis comes into play.
Understanding Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis involves examining a company's financials, industry trends, and market conditions to determine its intrinsic value. Investors who lean towards fundamental analysis believe that a company's true worth is reflected in its financial strength and growth potential.
Key factors considered in fundamental analysis include a company's revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, debt levels, competitive positioning, and management team. By analyzing these factors, investors can assess whether a company is undervalued or overvalued, and make investment decisions accordingly. Most, if not all of this information is readily available on the internet, but it can take some digging to find all the information one would need. There is also a wide range of financial-related indicators readily available on TradingView.
Fundamental analysis also takes into account macroeconomic factors, such as interest rates, inflation, and government policies, which can impact the overall market and the performance of individual stocks.
How to Conduct Fundamental Analysis
Conducting fundamental analysis involves a thorough examination of a company's financial statements, such as its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement. These statements provide insights into a company's revenue, expenses, assets, liabilities, and cash flows.
Analyzing financial ratios, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, return on equity (ROE), and debt-to-equity ratio, helps investors assess a company's financial health and profitability. Much of this information is available on TradingView under the financials tab. TradingView has done an excellent job of making a majority of the aforementioned financial data available, right at your fingertips.
Industry analysis is another important aspect of fundamental analysis. Understanding the industry dynamics, competitive landscape, and market trends can provide insights into a company's growth potential and its ability to outperform its peers. There is a plethora of this information online, and diligence in your research will make a world of difference.
By combining financial analysis with industry analysis, investors can gain a deeper understanding of a company's overall prospects and make more informed investment decisions.
Finding a Balance Between Technical and Fundamental Analysis
Finding the right balance between technical and fundamental analysis requires a thoughtful approach. Here are some strategies to help you integrate the two approaches:
Start with fundamental analysis: Begin by analyzing a company's financials and industry trends to assess its long-term growth potential. This will provide you with a solid foundation for your investment decisions.
Use technical analysis for timing: Once you've identified a promising investment opportunity based on fundamental analysis, use technical analysis to refine your entry and exit points. Technical indicators and chart patterns can help you identify optimal times to buy or sell a stock.
Consider the bigger picture: While technical analysis focuses on short-term market trends, it's important to consider the long-term value of a company. Evaluate the fundamental factors that can impact a company's growth potential and use technical analysis as a tool to validate your investment thesis.
Keep an eye on market sentiment: Market sentiment can influence stock prices in the short term. By staying informed about news events, economic indicators, and market trends, you can better understand the context in which technical and fundamental analysis are operating.
By finding a balance between technical and fundamental analysis, you can better manage your investment decisions that take into account both short-term market dynamics and long-term value. This balanced approach can help you navigate the complex world of investing and maximize your chances of success.
In conclusion, understanding the difference between technical and fundamental analysis is crucial for making theoretically sound investment decisions. By finding a balance between the two approaches, you can gain a comprehensive understanding of a stock's potential, considering both the short-term market trends and the long-term value. So, whether you're a short-term trader or a long-term investor, incorporating both technical and fundamental analysis can help provide a better view and maximize your chances of making profitable investment decisions.
Happy Trading!
Gold struggles to gather momentum following rebound to $2,040Gold advanced to the $2,040 area in the second half of the day on Thursday but lost its momentum. Despite the renewed USD weakness, rising US yields limit XAU/USD's upside as market focus shifts to Friday's November jobs report.
Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts some buying for the second straight day on Thursday, albeit lacks follow-through and remains confined in a familiar range held over the past three days through the first half of the European session. The fundamental backdrop, meanwhile, seems tilted firmly in favour of bullish traders amid growing acceptance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is done with its policy tightening campaign and will start cutting rates as early as March 2024. Furthermore, the recent dovish rhetoric from European Central Bank (ECB) officials, along with the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) and the Bank of Canada's (BoC) decision to hold rates steady, lifted hopes that interest rates have peaked globally. This, in turn, is seen as a key factor acting as a tailwind for the non-yielding yellow metal.
Meanwhile, a strong pickup in demand for the Japanese Yen (JPY) demand, bolstered by expectations for a hawkish pivot by the Bank of Japan (BoJ), prompts some profit-taking around the US Dollar (USD). In fact, the USD Index, which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, corrects sharply from a two-week high touched on Wednesday and turns out to be another factor lending support to the US Dollar-denominated commodity. Apart from this, the prevalent cautious market modo turns out to be another factor contributing to the modest intraday uptick. Bulls, however, seem reluctant and prefer to wait for the release of the US monthly jobs data on Friday.
EUR USD IdeaIt sounds like the EU pair presented a favorable opportunity, reaching up to the previous range's mega sell level, knocking them out, and now experiencing a heavy selloff. I hope you and your fellow traders followed the steps provided, engaging in both swings and scalps. A nice Christmas indeed if the charts have been cooperative.
Looking forward to what 2024 will bring, it's crucial to stay positive and remember that successful trading requires patience. Invest time in allowing trades to come to you, rather than the other way around. It's a slow game, but patient investors tend to find success in navigating these charts. Wishing you continued success in your trading endeavors!
ETH/USDT 1DInterval ChartI invite you to review the ETH/USDT chart on a one-day interval. Here, using the blue lines, we will define the upward trend channel in which the price is fighting to go higher. It is worth remembering that such a positive breakout from the channel often results in a movement close to the height of the channel itself.
In such a situation, we will use the FIb Retracement tool to check potential resistance points, and we can immediately see that the price is currently fighting the first such resistance at $2,241, then we have resistance at $2,566, and interestingly, we can still see a move to the previously mentioned levels after leaving the channel upside, to a very strong resistance zone from $3,028 to $3,601.
However, when the exit level of the channel is rejected, we can see a rebound and for this purpose we will check the support areas in a similar way. Here we have a visible support zone from $1,941 to $1,742, and then we have a second zone from $1,575 to $1,410.
The CHOP indicator shows that there is still energy for a move, the RSI indicator is again approaching the upper limit with room for the price to go slightly higher, while the STOCH indicator shows a strong breach of the upper limit, which may lead to a price recovery.
BTC Long-Term 1DChartHello everyone, I invite you to review the situation of BTC in the USDT pair, taking into account the one-day interval. Let's start by defining the downtrend line that has been broken out with a white line, and then we can mark the uptrend line in the same way. Then, using the yellow line, we will determine the upward trend line, which is at a slightly higher level than the trend line itself.
Looking at the recent dynamic increases, it is worth checking where the price should resist further increases. And here, after deploying the Fib Retracement tool, we have a clearly visible strong resistance zone from $41,335 to $48,294, which is where the BTC price enters. Only when we manage to get out of this zone and positively test it, should the path towards the previous ATH be opened. at $68,488.
At this point, it is also worth checking where the most important support points are in a situation when the market starts to turn and we see a correction. Here you can see possible resistance around $36,000, but much more significant is the strong resistance zone from $37,737 to $28,638, if this zone is broken further we may see equally strong resistance around $25,540.
Let us also remember about the EMA Cross 50 and 200 indicator, which, when turned on, allows us to check the position of maintaining a strong upward trend. It is worth observing this indicator, because in a situation where we start a correction, it can help us determine where such a correction will end.
Please pay attention to the CHOP index, which indicates that the collected energy is used for growth and there is still some left for possible continuation, on the RSI indicator we are again approaching the upper limit, but when we look at the STOCH indicator, we will immediately see a clearly overheated indicator, which may lead to a price recovery.
BTC/USDT 4H - Will BTC start a bigger correction?Hello everyone, let's take a look at the BTC to USDT chart on a 4-hour time frame. As you can see, the price is moving above the local uptrend line.
When we unfold the Fib Retracement grid, we will see a support zone from $38,625 to $37,822, while we still have strong support at $35,614.
However, before we start the above-mentioned correction, we can see that the price is above the last resistance and the next strong resistance is at $41,041.
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that most of the energy has been used, on the RSI indicator, similarly to the STOCH indicator, we are moving at the upper limit, which should translate into a stronger recovery in the coming days.
XAUUSD(DEMANDS) INSTITUTIONAL ANALYSISXAUUSD(DEMANDS)
Unveiling the Dynamics of Gold Prices in 2023
In a year marked by economic fluctuations and global uncertainties, the trajectory of gold prices has been a focal point for investors and analysts alike. As we step into the final quarter of 2023, understanding the nuances of gold's market performance becomes increasingly pivotal.
The Current dilemma: Gold Price Update
At the outset of the year, gold experienced a surge, reflecting prevalent market apprehensions regarding inflation, geopolitical tensions, and monetary policy shifts across major economies. As of , the price of gold stands at per ounce, showing [Percentage change of 1.76% over the past Higher highs
Factors Influencing Gold's Valuation
Several key factors continue to influence the dynamics of Gold price
1>Inflation Concerns: Heightened inflation rates have historically correlated with an increase in gold prices, as investors seek safe-haven assets to hedge against currency devaluation.
>Geopolitical Unrest: Uncertainties surrounding global geopolitics often drive investors towards gold as a perceived safe investment during turbulent times.
>Central Bank Policies: Monetary policy decisions by major central banks, particularly the Federal Reserve, continue to impact the valuation of gold, with interest rate changes affecting its attractiveness as an investment.
>Market Volatility: Fluctuations in stock markets and the broader financial landscape also play a role in shaping investor sentiment towards gold.
Expert Insights and Future Projections
>Experts and analysts forecast diverse perspectives on the future of gold prices. Some anticipate a bullish trend, citing ongoing inflation concerns and geopolitical tensions. Others suggest a potential correction in prices as economies stabilize and central banks adjust policies.
Implications for Investors and Market Observers
For investors and individuals tracking the gold market, understanding these price trends can be crucial for portfolio diversification and risk management strategies. Furthermore, for industries reliant on gold, such as jewelry and technology, price shifts may influence production costs and consumer pricing.
Conclusion
The gold market remains a barometer of economic uncertainties and investor sentiment, often reflecting broader trends in the global financial landscape. While the current price holds significance, comprehending the multifaceted factors shaping gold's valuation provides a comprehensive perspective crucial for market participants.
Note *The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only . Market conditions fluctuate, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAUUSD BREAKDOWN IN THE NEXT PUBLISH. THANKS
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