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Fundamental-analysis

Next Gold Target 2090 or 2350? Check Analysis📣Hello Mates! We have seen that gold is continuously bullish and its momentum is not going down, so now we think that gold has gone as high as it was supposed to go, maybe it can go up a little more to 2280 or 2300. May then continue to go down and meet our targets of 2150 and 2090. 🔑 Remember, money management is crucial. Before employing our analysis, please conduct your own research and refrain from investing more than 2% of your portfolio. 📈 Our resistance levels are spotted at: - 2266.00 📉 And our support levels are set at: - 2150.00 - 2090.00 Stay tuned for further updates and trade smartly! 📊
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BigtimeFx
1
Gold next move? check analysis 📣Hello Mates! We have seen that gold is continuously bullish and its momentum is not going down, so now we think that gold has gone as high as it was supposed to go, maybe it can go up a little more to 2255 or 2265. May then continue to go down and meet our targets of 2223 and 2190. 🔑 Remember, money management is crucial. Before employing our analysis, please conduct your own research and refrain from investing more than 2% of your portfolio. 📈 Our resistance levels are spotted at: - 2266.00 📉 And our support levels are set at: - 2223.00 - 2190.00 Stay tuned for further updates and trade smartly! 📊
FX:XAUUSDShort
by BigtimeFx
1
📈Mastering Stock Selection:A Journey to Long-Term Wealth💰Part1Interested in selecting high-quality stocks and growing your wealth through long-term investing? Today, I'll guide you through effective stock selection methods, including the top-bottom and bottom-top approaches. Remember, as Warren Buffett famously said, "The stock market is designed to transfer money from the active to the patient." 💼📈 Let's start with the top-bottom approach. First, you choose an economy, such as Indian, US, or UK. Next, select a sector within that economy, like Financial Services, IT, or Pharma. From there, narrow down to an industry within the sector, such as AI, Clean-technology, or Hardware. Finally, choose a company within the industry. Don't worry if it seems complex – I'll provide examples and guidance throughout. 💡🔍 Conversely, the bottom-top approach flips this order. We start by selecting a company, then move up to its industry, sector, and finally, the economy. 💼🔄 Let's put theory into practice with the top-bottom approach: (a random example) 1. Choose India as the economy. 2.Select the IT sector for its promising future. 3. Opt for AI as the industry due to its potential. 4. Select Infosys as a company. Now, it's your turn! Share examples of top-bottom or bottom-top approaches in the comments for practice. 💬💡 In the upcoming discussions, we'll delve into the fundamentals of sector, industry, and company analysis. Don't worry—I'll explain everything from market cap and cash flow to return on equity (ROE). 📊✨ Target of likes (boosts): 25+ (if we achieve our target than I will make Part 2) 🎯🚀 Follow for more such ideas & learning content! 🔍
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by smarttrader012
1
Gold | Ready for a big surge or a big drop? 📈📉Gold is currently moving in a descending triangle. Key support: 2144 - 2149 Key resistance: 2158 - 2163 Gold is waiting for interest rates to come in and provide a 200-400 pip fluctuation! 💰 Fundamental analysis: Numbers above the expected limit of inflation in the United States last week confirmed that price pressures persist and the final stage of reaching the Federal Reserve's 2% inflation target remains a challenging process. This led to a 25 basis point increase in the yield of U.S. two-year Treasury notes during the week and the 10-year Treasury yield crossing the 4.30% threshold. However, U.S. key indicators, with some arguments suggesting that the previous adjustment to reduce the central bank's interest rate hike delay until June 2024 would be sufficient, managed to stay on their short-term consolidation path. But on Friday, the tables turned and the S&P500 dropped from an all-time high, as equity bulls preferred to take a cautious stance ahead of this week's Federal Reserve meeting in anticipation of possible hawkish tones from the Fed. The upcoming week will be a capybara week for central banks, with the Federal Reserve garnering more attention than others. The central banks of Japan, Australia, Switzerland, and the Bank of England are among the central banks that will make their latest decisions on interest rate changes this week. Additionally, in the UK, February inflation data will be in focus ahead of the central bank's meeting as significantly different results from expectations could have a considerable impact on the Bank of England's decision on Thursday. Today, industrial production, retail sales, and unemployment rate data for China in February and January were released. Despite continued weakness in China's real estate sector adding increasing pressure on the economy and confidence in the country's economic outlook, China's industrial production and retail sales surpassed expectations from January to February, marking a strong start for 2024 and providing relief for policymakers. Today's data results, following better-than-expected recent exports and consumer inflation indicators, reinforce Beijing's hopes of achieving what analysts describe as the ambitious goal of 5% gross domestic product growth in the current year. 📈🌏 What is the most likely scenario for the Federal Reserve meeting? 🤔 The Federal Reserve, in its January meeting, kept the interest rate unchanged at 5.25% - 5.50% for the fourth consecutive session. The bank's statement indicated that while the option of lowering interest rates is still on the table, the Federal Reserve is not in a rush to implement this option and wants to ensure more certainty that inflation is moving steadily towards 2%. It is expected that in Thursday's meeting, the Federal Reserve will maintain the interest rate unchanged at 5.25% to 5.50% and release a similar statement to the January one, reiterating its previous positions. Therefore, such a procedure will draw attention to the updated dot plot chart, which will be the focal point of the March monetary policy meeting of the Federal Reserve. If only two participants adjust their forecasts, the midpoint indicates that the Federal Reserve expects to have only two interest rate cuts, much less than the seven cuts the market had predicted in the second week of January for 2024. The occurrence of such a scenario will support the dollar. 💵 The S&P Global PMIs and Jerome Powell's speech, market drivers post-Thursday On Friday, the initial estimates of the S&P Global PMIs will attract investors' attention. Forecasts suggest a contraction in both manufacturing and services sectors in March. If the results exceed expectations, it could provide some support for the dollar index. Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve Chair, will be scrutinized on Friday, with not much time gap from Thursday's meeting. There is a slight possibility that Powell's positions on Friday may differ significantly from the Fed's stance on Thursday. However, if Powell's positions align with the updated dot plot and the Fed's stance, it will deepen the created volatility; otherwise, it will adjust the fluctuations arising from Thursday's results. 📈🔍🗣️
OANDA:XAUUSD
by uPaSKaL
64
Buy GBPUSD H4 Chart - ChannelGBPUSD Buyers Eyeing Opportunity : The GBP/USD pair on the H4 timeframe presents a potentially bullish opportunity due to a price nearing a breakout from a well-defined channel pattern. This suggests a possible shift in momentum and a higher likelihood of an uptrend in the coming days. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position (buying) around the 1.2600 - 1.2570 zone. This zone represents an attractive entry point near the potential breakout level. Target: The initial bullish target lies at 1.2820. Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the lower support line of the channel, ideally around 1.2550. This helps limit potential losses if the price breaks down from the channel pattern and the downtrend resumes. Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
23
Sell USDCAD - H1 Ascending TriangleUSD/CAD H1: Ascending Triangle Hints at Potential Downturn, Shorting Opportunity Emerges! The USD/CAD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to the presence of a well-defined ascending triangle pattern. While ascending triangles can be continuation patterns, a breakdown from this pattern, especially on higher timeframes like H1, suggests a higher likelihood of a trend reversal towards the downside. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position below (ideally around 1.3600). This offers an entry point close to the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: The initial bearish target lies at 1.3460. Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken resistance line (rising trendline) of the triangle, ideally around 1.3630. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
9
Sell NZDCHF Rising WedgeThe NZD/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a rising wedge pattern. This pattern, despite an initial upward angle, is often seen as a bearish reversal signal. Key Points: Rising Wedge Breakout: The price has been trading within a rising wedge pattern characterized by converging upward trendlines. While the initial trend appears bullish due to the rising trendlines, this pattern can often be a bearish reversal signal. The recent break below the lower trendline signifies a potential confirmation of a downtrend continuation. Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 0.5425, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: The initial bearish target lies at 0.5390, which represents the support level before the wedge formation. Further downside targets could be determined using other technical analysis methods like Fibonacci retracements or extensions. Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken resistance line of the wedge, ideally around 0.5445. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
1
Stock Market Logic Series #9Two Daggers Buy Pattern EXPLAINED This is a super powerful pattern for a buy. Especially if you are a value investor. What do you want to look for? 1. You must see TWO daggers to the downside. A dagger is an extremely abnormal drop in price with a HUGE volume. You want to see the first dagger, and then pray for the price to continue falling at a normal rate. Normal rate = people are trying to pick the bottom (without success). Then you want to look for (wait = put alerts) for the SECOND DAGGER. Then after the second dagger arrives and you get a second sharp drop in price, then you want to expect a rejection up and a new strong trend up should emerge. 2. Exterme volume on the daggers! Ideally, you want the volume of the second dagger to be bigger than the first one. This means that someone is loading all he can get since he KNOWS KNOWS KNOWS that the price is going to get higher for sure. I bet you would have done the same... if you KNOW KNOW KNOW its going UP! This pattern does not happen all the time, and it is more likely to happen near the end of a bear market. But prices get so unreasonably cheap, that its obviously for fundamental reasons that they are wrong! so someone who KNOWS will take all the money he can get to load into this stock at this price.
NASDAQ:METAEducation
by ZoharCho
Retest 1.083 prior to more Downside -> EurUsd 🐺Based off fundamentals and apparent momentum in the market, my bias remains as bearish for the EurUsd currency pair. The Monthly candle has reteaced nearly all of it's gains as we come to a close in 2 days. The the top wick signals rejection from the high of the Monthly resistance to me (1.103). This coincided with Jobs data and Increasing inflation data and the last few weeks we have observed bearish momentum in the market. Yes this week so far we have recieved some buying pressure off the 1.0805 daily support level. Although with GDP data forecasted to remain unchanged tomorrow and Housing data expected to grow for the U.S. economy, I can observe more potnetial USD strength to end the March Monthly candle. First target is 1.0805 retest of the Daily support level, then 1.08 4hr zone and ultimately 1.0768 weekly level
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
4
SMR approaching DCA opprtunityNYSE:SMR is approaching a potential entry point for the start of a DCA strategy for a long term hold. SUMMARY Wait to see where the price moves. Using a combination of RSI reaching 30 and the price falling to (with a 3 day filter) around $4 or if the price continues to fall then around $2 (another 3 day filter at this level too), begin entry with a DCA strategy. Alternatively, if the price rises above $6, after a 3 day filter, begin DCA. If the price starts forming a flag between $5 and $5.80, enter once RSI has reached 30 (for those with a higher risk appetite can just use the RSI as an indicator) or await a range breakout/down to either enter at the $4 or $2 or $6 level as described above with or without a three day filter. The price was seeing exponential growth in the leadup to the latest quarterly earnings report and popped a few days after. However, the price has subsequently fallen back down and now seems to be forming a pattern. It is unknown really what caused the price to jump. And there has not been any significant insider trading on the day (or lead up to the day) where the price recently peaked. The company itself has a healthy balance sheet and debt/equity ratio. It is still in the growth phase as they build somewhat emerging tech (nuclear power is established but their approach to providing customers modular smaller power stations is unique) and a large part of their customer base is still a maturing market (power hungry data centres wanting their own onsite nuclear power source, particularly those now being setup for providing AI). The company's income statement reflects this as net income over the recent years remains negative and is also not showing an upwards trajectory. With this in mind this would be a stock for a long term hold with a DCA investment strategy until, whichever comes first, either a total dollar figure invested is reached or the company becomes long term profitable (i.e. exits the growth phase). With the recent price fluctuations it is crucial to not enter too early as due to the immature nature of the industry and company, the price also has a high likelihood of remaining at a low level for quite some time. However, a DCA entry opportunity is also forming based on one of the 3 of the more likely price trend scenarios described in the chart. Details on these are as follows. Scenarios 1 and 2: Wait to see which way the price begins to move and see if it falls to one of the two support levels identified, make use of the RSI to identify the optimum entry point. If the price falls to $4, add in a 3 day filter to see if the price doesn't fall further and likewise add in a 3 day filter if the price continues to fall from $4 to $2. If the RSI has reached 30, and the 3 day filter has shown that $4 or $2 were a support level begin DCA. If the price continues to fall below 2, halt the DCA to see where the price becomes stable and then restart once the RSI starts trending upwards again. Scenario 3: If the price begins ranging between $5.30 and $5.80, depending on risk appetite, begin DCA once the RSI reaches 30 or starts trending upwards. If the price breaks out above $6, then add in a 3 day filter to ensure the breakout wasn't a false dawn, and start the DCA investment independent of where the RSI is.
NYSE:SMRLong
by slip_stream
Whats EURUSD Next Target?📣Hello Mates! Yesterday, we observed significant growth in the market, with the euro climbing to 1.08650. Following that peak, the market began to decline and has been steadily falling since then. We believe that the downward trend will continue, potentially reaching our targets of 1.08000 or 1.07765. 🔑 Remember, money management is crucial. Before employing our analysis, please conduct your own research and refrain from investing more than 2% of your portfolio. 📈 Our resistance levels are spotted at: - 1.08380 - 1.08900 📉 And our support levels are set at: - 1.08200 - 1.07650 Stay tuned for further updates and trade smartly! 📊
Short
by BigtimeFx
2
Whats GBPUSD Next Target? See Our AnalysisWe have observed that since GBPUSD broke from 1.28000, it has been continuously declining. According to our prediction, GBPUSD may continue to decrease further, with our target set at 1.25380, 1.25000. If GBPUSD breaks the 1.26380 resistance level again, its target would be 1.26800 🔑 Remember, money management is crucial. Before employing our analysis, please conduct your own research and refrain from investing more than 2% of your portfolio. 📈 Our resistance levels are spotted at: - 1.26780 - 1.27800 📉 And our support levels are set at: - 1.25770 - 1.25380 Stay tuned for further updates and trade smartly! 📊
by BigtimeFx
Whats Gold Next Target? See Our Analysis📣Hello Mates! We have observed that since gold broke from $2200, it has been continuously declining. According to our prediction, gold may continue to decrease further, with our target set at $2150 or $2146. If gold breaks the 2180 resistance level again, its target would be 2200 & 2213. 🔑 Remember, money management is crucial. Before employing our analysis, please conduct your own research and refrain from investing more than 2% of your portfolio. 📈 Our resistance levels are spotted at: - 2180 - 2200 📉 And our support levels are set at: - 2146 - 2135 Stay tuned for further updates and trade smartly! 📊
OANDA:XAUUSD
by BigtimeFx
Buy EURUSD News BasedThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potentially ambiguous situation with an expanding triangle pattern. While this pattern can signal a breakout in either direction, some caution is advised before entering a long (buy) position. Potential Long Trade : Entry around: 1.0823 (current price) Target Levels: 1.0880: This represents the upper trendline of the triangle, which could act as the initial upside target upon a confirmed breakout. 1.0900: This is a further extension of the upside target, based on the recent price movement. Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss order below the lower trendline of the triangle, ideally around 1.0807. This helps limit potential losses if the price breaks down from the triangle pattern. Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
2
The next BTC target is 51000? Please check analysis📣 Hello Mates! We observed BTC going bullish continuously for the last several months, but suddenly it dropped from 73000 and retraced back to 60000. As we mentioned in the previous chart, the market would rebound from 72000 or 73000, which is now acting as our resistance. Indeed, the market bounced back from there, fulfilling both of our target markets. For instance, it could rise from 66000 to 68000 or even 70000, after which it is expected to retrace again, reaching around 60000 to 61000. Following this, there might be a slight bullish movement, and then our last target would be 51000. While we have a very strong support at 60000 or 61000, if the market breaks this support, then the next target would be 56000. If it further breaks 56000, then our final target is 51000. Now our buy targets are 66000, 68000, and 70000, and our sell zone targets are 61000, 56000, and 51000 respectively. Stay tuned for further updates and trade smartly! 📊
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BigtimeFx
2
Sell GBPUSD Bearish FlagThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to the presence of a well-defined bearish flag pattern. This pattern often indicates a continuation of a downtrend following a brief period of consolidation. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) around the current price of 1.2618, positioned near the resistance line of the flag. This offers an entry point close to the perceived continuation of the downtrend. Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the following levels: 1.2556: This represents the height of the flag, measured from the top trendline to the bottom trendline, projected downwards from the breakout point. 1.2524: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on the height of the previous price movement before the flag formation. Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the resistance line of the flag, ideally around 1.2665. This helps limit potential losses if the price breaks above the flag pattern. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
1
Sell NZDJPY Bearish FlagThe NZD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to the presence of a well-defined bearish flag pattern. This pattern often indicates a continuation of a downtrend following a brief period of consolidation. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) around the current price of 90.85, positioned near the resistance line of the flag. This offers an entry point close to the perceived continuation of the downtrend. Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the following levels: 90.30: This represents the height of the flag, measured from the top trendline to the bottom trendline, projected downwards from the breakout point. 89.92: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on the height of the flagpole (the initial downtrend before the flag formation). Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the resistance line of the flag, ideally around 91.30. This helps limit potential losses if the price breaks above the flag pattern. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
2
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 26, 2024 EURUSDEUR/USD is unable to capitalize on a good bounce from 1.08000, a three-week low, and has been fluctuating in a narrow range during Tuesday's Asian session. Spot prices are currently trading around 1.08400, almost unchanged for the day, and remain at the mercy of US Dollar (USD) price action. Last week, the US central bank said that it still intends to cut interest rates by 75 bps this year. That said, several Fed officials expressed concerns over stagnant inflation and stronger than expected US macroeconomic data. This, in turn, kept traders from placing new directional bets on the US Dollar and led to a subdued/limited price scenario for the Euro-Dollar pair. On the other hand, the common currency is undermined by expectations for a June rate cut by the European Central Bank (ECB). In fact, Bank of Italy Governor Fabio Panetta said on Monday that the ECB is moving towards an interest rate cut as inflation is falling rapidly and approaching the 2% target. Separately, ECB chief economist Philip Lane said the central bank may consider changing interest rates once it becomes more confident that wage growth is slowing and inflation is returning to the 2% target as forecast. This contributes to limiting the EURUSD's upside. Trading recommendation: Trade in the channel 1.0800-1.0870 on a bounce from the levels.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
What's Gold's Next Target? See Our Analysis.📣Hello Mates! We have observed that since gold broke from $2211, it has been continuously declining. According to our prediction, gold may continue to decrease further, with our target set at $2150 or $2146. 🔑 Remember, money management is crucial. Before employing our analysis, please conduct your own research and refrain from investing more than 2% of your portfolio. 📈 Our resistance levels are spotted at: - 2180 - 2175 📉 And our support levels are set at: - 2146 - 2135 Stay tuned for further updates and trade smartly! 📊
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BigtimeFx
SONAE: Fundamental figures too good to overlook. Time to buy?Fundamental Analysis EBITDA: +7.2% YoY (to €990M in 2023) Margin: 11.8% (-0.2 points YoY) Net Income Group Share = 357 (+6.3% YoY) PER: 1680 / 357 = 4.71 (heavily undervalued considering below data and historical PERs) Net Gearing (Net Debt To Equity Ratio, ): 526/3462 = 0.15 (15%, Prudent) Total Debt To Equity Ratio: 5383 / 3462 = 1.55 (around 1 to 1.5 is healthy according to British Business Bank's article "Debt to equity ratios for healthy businesses") Current ratio: 2010/2502= 0.80 (not healthy and almost unchanged with respect to 2022, see next line. According to Wall Street Prep, 1.5 to 3.0 is healthy) Net Debt to Ebitda = 526 / 990 = 0.53 Working Capital = -1220M€, keeps being negative. Very interesting article from eFinanceManagement explains the Advantages of Negative Working Capital for a cash-rich company whose operating cycle is fast (it may mean that they can bargain very well with their suppliers who provide the funds and the flexible time limit to pay). Prev Current ratio (2022): 1938/2465 = 0.79 Proposed dividend for 2023: 0.05639€ EPS = 357M€ / 2000M = 0.18€/share (ATH?) Current dividend yield = 6.19% Dividend Payout Ratio = x 100 = 31% Free cash flow Dividend payout ratio = x 100 = 60% Technical Analysis There was a disjoint channel happening since July 2022 on the Daily Graph in which the share price dropped out in the lower end in December 2023. Since the company has very good fundamentals, the possibility of an inverse H&S could be around the corner, having an interesting point of entry at 0.78-0.81. However, the share price is already heavily undervalued considering the fundamental analysis previously done. The daily RSI (14) bounced back in March 2023 from below 30 directly to the upper band at 70 indicating the possibility of a continuation of share price upward movement up to +20%. Therefore, it is up to the investor to decide whether at current prices (0.85-0.88€) is already worth the risk (if the 0.78€ ever gets touched and then bounces back up, the drawdown risk would be -11.4%). Finally, it is expected that on May the company will pay the dividend. Therefore, the share price may re-adjust its value upwards in April before the dividend is paid and the share price is subsequently slashed down again. Have a great week ahead.
GETTEX:YSONLong
by alexinve