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Buy GBP/JPY Triangle BreakoutThe GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 195.76 2nd Resistance – 196.50 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
30
AUDJPY Analysis - BuyAUDJPY Analysis Overview 1. Seasonality: AUD: Bearish until midweek — Seasonal weakness in AUD early in the week aligns with a short-term bearish sentiment. JPY: Bullish — JPY strength throughout the week supports its safe-haven appeal. --- 2. COT Report (Commitment of Traders): AUD: 4-week flip indicates a Sell bias. Non-commercial short positions are increasing, signaling bearish sentiment for AUD. JPY: 4-week flip indicates a Buy bias. Non-commercial long positions are increasing, reinforcing bullish sentiment for JPY. --- 3. Fundamental Analysis: LEI (Leading Economic Indicator): AUD:Decreasing — Suggests deteriorating economic momentum, adding to bearish pressure. JPY: Range — Neutral economic conditions but still supportive due to JPY's safe-haven status. Endogenous Factors: AUD: Mix to Decreasing — Weak internal factors limit AUD’s strength. JPY: Increasing — Improving domestic conditions support JPY buying. --- 4. Exogenous Factors: GBPJPY: Strong Sell — Broader risk-off sentiment in the market favors safe-haven currencies like JPY over risk-sensitive ones like AUD. --- 5. Technical Analysis: On the 1-hour chart: A Cup and Handle pattern and an ABCD pattern are forming, indicating bullish potential. After point C, the price is making Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL), suggesting a bullish continuation. These bullish patterns present a good Buy Opportunity, especially as the price confirms its breakout above the handle. --- Bias: Buy Despite AUD's seasonal weakness early in the week, the technical setup on the 1-hour chart favors a bullish bias for AUDJPY. JPY's strength provides additional support for safe-haven flows, but the technical patterns indicate that AUDJPY has room to rally in the short term. Consider entering long positions upon confirmation of the breakout above the handle.
Long
by asadamalik
NVIDIA set to make one more higher high to $165?Technical Analysis: ================ A series of higher highs and higher lows in Weekly Timeframe: NVIDIA has found support at $132, which previously acted as a resistance area during June, July, and August 24. If the stock continues to rise from this level, we could see another higher high (yellow cap) around $165. Alternatively, a deeper correction toward $104 could still be on the table if the support fails. Fundamental Analysis: ================== 1) If NVIDIA struggles, it would suggest AI's momentum is waning—which is clearly not the case. This downtrend might simply reflect profit-taking by large traders. 2) The "Santa Rally" is in play, and NVIDIA appears to be on the "nice" list, signaling potential upward momentum. 3) NVIDIA's Blackwell product line is expected to contribute significantly to profits in the next quarterly earnings, potentially providing a substantial boost to the stock. I bought NVIDIA stock at $145 and plan to hold sell at $160.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by spranav
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 16, 2024 EURUSDThe Euro-dollar pair starts the week with continued gains, trading around 1.05200 during the Asian session on Monday. This rise can be attributed to the decline in the US Dollar (USD) amid lower US Treasury bond yields ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate decision scheduled for Wednesday. The Fed is widely expected to announce a 25 basis point rate cut at its final monetary policy meeting in 2024. Market analysts predict the U.S. central bank will cut rates but prepare the market for a pause given the strong U.S. economy and inflation stalled above 2%. According to CME's FedWatch tool, markets have already all but priced in the possibility of a quarter basis point rate cut at the Fed's December meeting. In addition, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference and dot plots will be closely watched. Earlier this month, Powell struck a cautious tone, saying, “We can afford to be a little more cautious in trying to find a neutral stance.” He indicated he was in no rush to cut rates. The euro gained support after President Emmanuel Macron appointed centrist ally Francois Bayrou as France's prime minister, raising hopes for political stability. Macron promised to quickly select a new candidate for the job after Michel Barnier was forced to resign following a confidence vote in parliament. Trading Recommendation: Watch the level of 1.05000, if consolidated below consider Sell positions, if rebounded consider Buy positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
WHERE WILL THE EUR GO NEXT?Trading Plan Baseline Short-Term Sentiment Bias: - Euro under pressure, trading below $1.05 due to ECB rate cuts and political uncertainty in France and Germany. - Markets expect an additional 50 basis points cut by February. Upcoming Risk Events : - German Manufacturing PMI (Dec): Previous: 43.0, Consensus: 43.1. - German Services PMI (Dec): Previous: 49.3, Consensus: 49.5. - Eurozone Flash Manufacturing PMI: Previous: 45.2, Consensus: 45.3. - Eurozone Flash Services PMI: Previous: 49.5, Consensus: 49.5. Surprise: Positive Surprise: - Outcome: PMI beats expectations. - Trade: Long EUR/CHF (bond yield spreads suggest upside). Negative Surprise: - Outcome: PMI misses expectations. - Trade: Quick scalp on EUR/NZD (slight downside based on bond yield spreads). Bigger Picture Macro-Fundamental Bias - ECB's Stance: Data-dependent approach, removed restrictive rate stance. - Inflation Outlook: Headline inflation projected to average 2.4% in 2024, decreasing to 1.9% by 2026. - GDP Revisions: Lowered to 0.7% in 2024 and 1.1% in 2025. - Market Expectations: Continued rate cuts expected due to weak growth and low inflation.
by Midas_Macro
GOLD → Consolidation. Which way will the momentum go? XAUUSD in consolidation phase. The market is nervous because of misunderstanding of further actions in anticipation of news. What to expect and what can happen? The US labor market is stronger than expected, but the dollar remained cold amid expectations of more important news. At the moment, there is a 75% chance of a 0.25% interest rate cut. But, the dollar is still in demand due to the unstable geopolitical background. At the moment gold depends on the US employment data, ADP and Powell's speech Bad employment data may increase the probability of further Fed rate cuts in 2025. And vice versa. But, this background is unlikely to create a medium-term potential for gold..... Also, in the perspective of NFP... Technically, gold is in consolidation and the price exit from the flag boundaries may be accompanied by a strong impulse. The probability of a further fall is a little higher... Resistance levels: 2651, 2660 Support levels: 2636, 2618 Gold continues to test the support 2636, which only increases the probability of a breakdown and further fall. But on the background of the news, the price may test the resistance before a further fall
FX:XAUUSD
by MarketAnalyzar
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 13, 2024 USDJPYFading hopes of a Bank of Japan rate hike in December are putting the JPY bulls on the defensive. Higher U.S. bond yields are supporting the dollar and putting pressure on the low-yielding yen. The Japanese yen (JPY) continues to defend against its U.S. counterpart, lifting the USD/JPY pair closer to 153.000 or a new monthly peak during the Asian session on Friday. Recent media reports suggest that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will not raise interest rates at its upcoming meeting next week, which in turn continues to undermine the Yen. In addition, expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will be less dovish continue to support rising US Treasury yields and put further pressure on the low-yielding yen. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan's quarterly Tankan survey released today showed that business confidence of Japan's major manufacturers improved slightly in the fourth quarter of 2024. This fits well with the central bank's plans to gradually raise interest rates and could deter yen bears from aggressive bets. In addition, lingering geopolitical risks and concerns over US President-elect Donald Trump's tariff plans should help limit losses for the safe-haven yen ahead of next week's key central bank events - the Fed and Bank of Japan meetings. Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 153.000, trading mainly with Buy orders.
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBPJPY BUYS TO 194.600?Trading Plan for GBP BASELINE 🎯 Current short term sentiment bias and upcoming risk events (previous # & consensus expectations) that can impact said sentiment Current Short-Term Sentiment Bias : - The British pound is trading around $1.276, near a one-month high, driven by expectations of a cautious BoE. - Investors are focused on upcoming UK economic data, particularly GDP and manufacturing production for October, which are expected to show modest growth. Upcoming Risk Events : - GDP (MoM) (Oct): Consensus 0.1%, Previous -0.1% - GDP (YoY) (Oct): Consensus 1.6%, Previous 1.0% - Industrial Production (YoY) (Oct): Consensus 0.2%, Previous -1.8% - Industrial Production (MoM) (Oct): Consensus 0.3%, Previous -0.5% - Manufacturing Production (MoM) (Oct): Consensus 0.2%, Previous -1.0% - Manufacturing Production (YoY) (Oct): Consensus 0.9%, Previous -0.7% - Monthly GDP 3M/3M Change (Oct): Consensus 0.2%, Previous 0.1% SURPRISE ⚡ What outcome of the risk event will surprise the markets based on the baseline Positive Data Surprise : - Outcome: If the data beats expectations across the board, it will likely reinforce market expectations of no rate cuts next week. - Market Reaction: Continued pound strength. - Trade Pair: GBP/JPY - The yield spread between UK and Japan bonds suggests potential upside for this pair. Negative Data Surprise : - Outcome: If the data misses expectations, the pound could weaken as investors speculate on a more dovish BoE outlook. - Market Reaction: Pound weakness. - Trade Pair: GBP/NZD - The yield spread between UK and New Zealand bonds favors a downside move in this pair. BIGGER PICTURE 🌐 Does this outcome changes the larger macro-fundamental bias Macro-Fundamental Bias: - Current Expectation: The BoE is expected to hold interest rates steady at 4.75% at its next meeting on December 19. - Future Outlook: Governor Andrew Bailey has hinted at gradual rate cuts starting in 2025, with markets pricing in three 25-basis-point cuts by the end of next year. - Implications: A positive data surprise would support the current expectation of no immediate rate cuts, while a negative surprise could lead to speculation about a more dovish stance from the BoE.
by Midas_Macro
Gold Trading Idea: Is a New ATH on the HorizonGold prices took a breather on Thursday, snapping a four-day rally and dropping over 1%. This pullback comes amid mixed US economic data, with softer-than-expected job reports and higher producer prices creating uncertainty. Profit-taking ahead of next week’s Federal Reserve meeting further pressured prices, with XAU/USD currently trading around $2,684. Fundamental Insight Despite the recent dip, Gold remains a safe haven asset in the face of geopolitical tensions and central banks’ dovish monetary stance. The European Central Bank’s third consecutive rate cut and expectations of the Federal Reserve reducing rates by 25 basis points next week could set the stage for renewed upside momentum. As we edge closer to year-end, political tensions and easing monetary policies globally could fuel Gold’s potential to challenge new all-time highs. Technical Outlook On the charts, Gold respected the $2,720 key level, forming a double-top pattern reminiscent of a "batman face." Key levels to watch are: Resistance: $2,720 Support: $2,689 and $2,610 A break above $2,720 could signal a bullish continuation, while a dip to $2,610 may offer a strong buying opportunity for long-term traders. Stay tuned for more trading insights and strategies!
TVC:GOLD
by InwardTrader
1
Sell EUR/USD Channel BrekoutThe EUR/USD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.0482 2nd Support – 1.0445 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
32
Will the better-than-expected employment data revert AUD's trend+ Macro theme: The RBA kept rates at 4.35%, sounding more optimistic about inflation and hinting at future cuts. But Thu's job numbers might spoil those plans—Unemployment Rate dropped to 3.9%, showing a surprisingly strong labor market. This hot jobs data could push back those early 2025 rate-cut forecasts many have been making. + Technical theme: - AUDUSD found support and bounced above 0.6365. The price is within the descending channel and below both EMAs, indicating a bearish momentum persists. - If AUDUSD extends its decline below 0.6365, the price may retest the subsequent support at 0.6300, confluence with the 100% level of Fibonacci Extension. - On the contrary, if AUDUSD surges above 0.6474, breaking its descending channel and EMA21, the price may retest the following resistance around 0.6560. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
by DatTong
XAUUSD BULLISH ANALYSIS (READ CAPTOIN)Hi taders! Share your opinion regarding this chart. Current price: 2695 Currently gold is being supported by buyers as all d1 candle of this week have created bullish candles. After temporary retracement market has returned to it's bullish trend. Rejection of h4 candle is another indicator of a strong bullish market. If gold breakouts the price 2711 which is our demand zone then market will go further high up to 2732. Key points: Support zone : 2690-2680 Resistance zone 2710-2722 Please like comment thank you support
TVC:GOLDLong
by LindaFxTrading
1
AUDUSD ShortAUD/USD remains in a bearish trend, with recent price action aligning with technical and fundamental signals. Traders are watching US PPI data today for potential market-moving insights. Technical Setup Using Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Fibonacci retracement, the 0.71–0.79 Fibonacci zone stands out as a key resistance level, supported by a Fair Value Gap (FVG) from the last swing high. Price is testing the 50% Fibonacci level, creating an opportunity for a short trade. Trade Plan Entry: 0.7120 (near the 0.75 Fibonacci level). Stop Loss: 0.64729 (above the 0.79 Fibonacci level for risk protection). Take Profit: 0.63378 (targeting below the Fair Value Gap for a clean exit). Risk/Reward Insights This setup offers a Risk/Reward Ratio of 1:3, with a risk of 64.7 pips to potentially gain 192.1 pips. Disclaimer Trading involves significant risk. Always trade with a clear plan, implement stop-loss orders, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. This analysis is not financial advice—trade responsibly and stay informed. Follow for more actionable trading insights and strategies!
Short
by InwardTrader
AUDUSD ShortAUD/USD remains in a bearish trend, with recent price action aligning with technical and fundamental signals. Traders are watching US PPI data today for potential market-moving insights. Technical Setup Using Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Fibonacci retracement, the 0.71–0.79 Fibonacci zone stands out as a key resistance level, supported by a Fair Value Gap (FVG) from the last swing high. Price is testing the 50% Fibonacci level, creating an opportunity for a short trade. Trade Plan Entry: 0.7120 (near the 0.75 Fibonacci level). Stop Loss: 0.64729 (above the 0.79 Fibonacci level for risk protection). Take Profit: 0.63378 (targeting below the Fair Value Gap for a clean exit). Risk/Reward Insights This setup offers a Risk/Reward Ratio of 1:3, with a risk of 64.7 pips to potentially gain 192.1 pips. Disclaimer Trading involves significant risk. Always trade with a clear plan, implement stop-loss orders, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. This analysis is not financial advice—trade responsibly and stay informed. Follow for more actionable trading insights and strategies!
Short
by InwardTrader
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 11, 2024 EURUSDEUR/USD lost around 0.2% on Tuesday, declining for the third consecutive day and hitting 1.0500 again, as the euro's bullish near-term recovery comes to naught. Ahead of the key U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation figure due for release on Wednesday and the European Central Bank's (ECB) next meeting on Thursday, traders once again adopted a cautious stance. Wednesday's CPI inflation index will be one of the last key data points before the Federal Reserve's (Fed) last meeting in 2024. Signs that inflation progress has stalled could kill hopes for a third consecutive rate cut on December 18. With the current rate cut on Wednesday, U.S. CPI inflation for November is expected to rise slightly to 2.7% y/y from the previous reading of 2.6%, while core annual CPI is expected to remain at 3.3%. Traders estimate the probability of the last quarter-point rate cut this year at 85%. The ECB's latest rate meeting is scheduled for Thursday, and investors are widely expected to get another quarter-point rate cut. The ECB's main refinancing operations rate is forecast to be cut to 3.15% from 3.4% and the ECB deposit rate is forecast to fall to 3.0% from 3.25%. Trade recommendation: Watching the level of 1.0480, trading mainly with Sell orders
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
US CPI, WHERE WILL THE DOLLAR GO NEXTTrading Plan BASELINE C urrent Short-Term Sentiment Bias : - The market is currently focused on the upcoming US inflation report and its implications for Federal Reserve policy. - There is an 86% probability priced in for a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Fed later this month⁵. - The dollar index is steady around 106.3, reflecting cautious sentiment ahead of the inflation data. SURPRISE Outcome That Will Surprise the Markets Based on the Baseline: - Lower-than-expected inflation data : This would likely lead to USD selling as markets fully price in the anticipated rate cut. A good trade in this scenario would be GBP/USD longs, leveraging the pound's net long positions and the USD's net short positions. - Higher-than-expected inflation data : This would likely result in USD strength as investors adjust their rate cut expectations. A good trade in this scenario would be EUR/USD sells, based on stronger USD institutional positioning compared to the EUR. BIGGER PICTURE Does This Outcome Change the Larger Macro-Fundamental Bias? - Lower-than-expected inflation : Reinforces the expectation of continued easing by the Fed, aligning with the current macro-fundamental bias of a dovish Fed aiming to support economic growth and achieve its 2% inflation target. - Higher-than-expected inflation : Could shift the macro-fundamental bias towards a more cautious Fed, potentially delaying further rate cuts and maintaining a tighter monetary policy stance to combat persistent inflation⁷⁸. Notes - Macro-fundamental bias: The market expects the Fed to continue easing monetary policy to support economic growth and achieve its inflation target. This expectation is based on the Fed's dual mandate and recent economic indicators. - Short-term sentiment bias: The market is currently focused on the upcoming US inflation report and its potential impact on Fed policy, as well as interest rate decision.
TVC:DXY
by Midas_Macro
2
Boeing Seller Exhaustion sets in🐂 Trade Idea: Long - BA 🔥 Account Risk: 15.00% 📈 Recommended Product: Stock 🔍 Entry: +/- 149.00 🐿 DCA: No 😫 Stop-Loss: 135.00 🎯 Take-Profit #1: 260.00 (50%) 🎯 Trail Rest: Yes 🚨🚨🚨 Important: Don’t forget to always wait for strong confirmation once possible entry zone is reached. Trade ideas don’t work all the time no matter how good they look. Do not get a victim of FOMO, there is always another trade idea waiting. 🚨🚨🚨 If you like what you see don’t forget to leave a comment 💬 or smash that like ❤️ button! — BA sees massive seller exhaustion over the last few weeks. There is nothing negative that could be published now that has not already been priced in. Trump's policy of higher tariffs should protect Boeing and the backlog is already at over 10 years of current sales. In view of the duopoly and the points mentioned above, as well as the technical chart picture, strong buying should be made here. — Disclaimer & Disclosures pursuant to §34b WpHG The trades shown here related to stocks, cryptos, commodities, ETFs and funds are always subject to risks. All texts as well as the notes and information do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. They have been taken from publicly available sources to the best of our knowledge and belief. All information provided (all thoughts, forecasts, comments, hints, advice, stop loss, take profit, etc.) are for educational and private entertainment purposes only. Nevertheless, no liability can be assumed for the correctness in each individual case. Should visitors to this site adopt the content provided as their own or follow any advice given, they act on their own responsibility.
NYSE:BALong
by LGNDRY-Capital
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 10, 2024 USDJPYDoubts about the Bank of Japan's ability to keep raising rates proved to be a key factor undermining the yen. The Japanese yen (JPY) lost ground against its U.S. counterpart for the second straight day on Tuesday and lifted the USD/JPY pair to a one-week high, above the mid 151.000s during Tuesday's Asian session. Uncertainty over how soon the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may raise interest rates again has JPY bulls on the defensive. In addition, the overnight rebound in US Treasury yields from October lows undermines the low-yielding Yen. Furthermore, the US Dollar's post-NFP rebound from near one-month lows, backed by expectations of a less accommodative stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), acts as a tailwind for the currency pair. That said, the softer tone of risk sentiment, concerns that US President-elect Donald Trump's tariff plans could trigger a second wave of global trade wars, and geopolitical tensions help limit deeper losses for the safe-haven yen. Traders may also refrain from aggressive bullish bets on the USD/JPY pair and prefer to wait for the release of the latest US consumer inflation data due on Wednesday. The all-important Consumer Price Index (CPI) report will be seen as a fresh signal that the Fed is going to cut rates. This, in turn, will stimulate demand for the dollar and provide meaningful momentum to the currency pair ahead of the central bank's key events next week. Trading recommendation: Trade mainly with Buy orders from the current price level.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Sell GBP/USD Channel BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.2668 2nd Support – 1.2620 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
13
DOGS/USDT - Bullish Channel in H4 ChartThe DOGS/USDT pair on the H4 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent formation of well-defined Bullish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Days. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 0.0007321, positioned close to bottom of channel level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.0008984 2nd Support – 0.0009749 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
13
BONK/USDT - H4 - Wedge BreakoutThe BONK/USDT pair on the H4 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Wedge Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming Days. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around Breakout. Target Levels: 1st Resistance 2nd Resistance Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
2
NEIRO/USDT - H4- Triangle BreakoutThe NEIRO/USDT pair on the H4 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming Days. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around Breakout. Target Levels: 1st Resistance 2nd Resistance Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
2