UK100 - From Strength to StrengthThe UK100 has been going from strength to strength in recent weeks, relatively undeterred by the wobble in broader stock markets over the last week or so as it eyes January 2020 highs above.
It's already back in pre-pandemic territory and the momentum indicators on both the daily and 4-hour charts continue to look healthy. That may suggest resistance around 7,560 is looking a little vulnerable, with the next big test above coming around 7,700.
Ultimately, the ability to achieve these levels will depend on risk appetite remaining strong in the markets which, as mentioned, hasn't really been the case recently.
Higher inflation and interest rates pose a risk to the global economy and the markets, while recent strength in the pound could begin to weigh given the historic negative correlation between the two.
But for now, the trend looks strong. Any sign of divergence on approach to 7,700 - should we get that far - will be interesting given how big a level of resistance it is and could signal a corrective move.
FTSE
FTSE 100 (UKX) | The best places to start a downtrend📍Hello traders, FTSE 100 (UKX) in daily timeframe , this analysis has been prepared in daily timeframe but has been published for a better view in 2 day timeframe.
All of these counts correspond to a b wave at a higher time.
This wave b is formed in the form of a zigzag and from this zigzag the waves a and b are finished and the wave c is being formed.
The c-wave consists of microwaves 1, 2, 3, and 4 in the form of a channel or triangle, and we assume that the 5-wave microwave is at the end of its motion process.
Either it ends in the same range after the formation of the other two waves, or it completes after hitting the upper side of the channel and the fall starts from that area.
The descent will be confirmed when the canal floor and red circle are broken.
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FTSE100 Sell & Buy SetupThere are two setups on this chart:
1. Buy Setup
We expect the price to pull back to the Supply Zone where we are looking to sell and take profit at the next Demand Zone.
2. Buy Setup
If setup 1 plays out as expected and the price return to the demand zone (setup 1 target), we will buy at the level and take some profit at 7481.6 area. I personally will be holding some of the position in case the price still wants to continue going up.
Feel free to ask any question and I will do my best to answer.
FTSE Another Leg Lower is Expected To Take PlaceShort-term Elliott wave view in FTSE suggests that the rally to 7404.31 high ended wave ((1)). Down from there, the index is doing a pullback in wave ((2)) to correct the cycle from the 10/28/2020 low before the upside resume. The internals of that pullback is unfolding as Elliott wave zigzag structure where initial decline to 7198.76 low ended wave 1. Then wave 2 ended at 7311.94 high, wave 3 ended at 7044.3 low. Wave 4 bounce ended at 7161.91 high and wave 5 ended at 6989.66 low thus ended the first leg in wave (A).
Up from there, the index made a short-term bounce in wave (B). The internals of that bounce also unfolded as a lesser degree zigzag structure where wave A ended at 7182.01 high. Wave B ended at 7083.21 low and wave C ended at 7378.92 high. Near-term, as far as bounces fail below 7378.92 high and more importantly below 7404.31 high the index is now expected to start the (C) leg lower. And expected to see more downside towards 6966.22- 6710.86 100%-161.8% Fibonacci extension area of (A)-(B). From there, the next leg higher is expected to take place or should produce a 3 wave bounce at least. Alternatively, if it breaks higher then the index might have done a running flat correction from the August peak.
$FTSE Can Rise One More Time To Fall - Important Key To MarketsTraders, FTSE (UK100) completed a huge bearish W pattern which gave us the level 7339. (See the attached idea). It missed the an important pre-covid level where we have a gap left. Last time it came very close and fell down for an initial reaction to create a bear trap. Now it will most probably try again to close that gap up and collect few stop losses around the FCP zone. This can be very good opportunity to short FTSE100 market for longer term.
US30 (Dow Jones), US500 (SNP500) and NASDAQ (NAS100) all have been closing their past gaps. US30 has few left close to all time high. As these gaps are closed on the high side, only bottoms ones will remain. FTSE is one of them. Having said that, do not take gap in to your trading strategy as gaps may take years and decades to fill.
Trade what you see and keep the risk management tight.
Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
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-Vik
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📌 DISCLAIMER
The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
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UK 100 PlanDon't forget to click the follow button to get detailed daily analysis,
Here we have our UK 100 (FTSE) chart.
This is an asset I trade daily.
With the current news sentiment we have seen a fast and sharp move down followed by a swift rebound. we are at Key MA's and some good support.
We are looking to get long again. TGT area is noted by the Blue arrow on the chart.
Elliott Wave View: Rally in FTSE Expected to FailShort-term Elliott wave view in FTSE suggests cycle from September 20, 2021 low has ended with wave (1) at 7403.36. The Index is currently correcting that cycle within wave (2). Internal subdivision of wave (2) is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave (1), wave ((i)) ended at 7342.61 and rally in wave ((ii)) ended at 7370.01. Index resumes lower in wave ((iii)) towards 7241.99 and bounce in wave ((iv)) ended at 7289.51. Final leg lower wave ((v)) ended at 7198.76 and this completed wave A.
Rally in wave B is in progress to correct cycle from November 12, 2021 high. Internal subdivision of the rally is unfolding as another zigzag in lesser degree. Up from wave A, wave ((a)) ended at 7307.89 and pullback in wave ((b)) ended at 7245.98. Near term, expect the Index to extend higher in wave ((c)) towards 100%-123.6% extension area at 7355.55 – 7381.47 . This should complete wave B in higher degree before the Index turns lower. As far as pivot at 7403.36 high remains intact, expect the rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside in wave C.
UK100 - Breakout or Correction Imminent?The UK100 has been on a good run in recent weeks, in keeping with the broader trend in stock markets that have reacted very positively to a strong third-quarter earnings season.
This followed an adjustment prior to the start of the season as investors started pricing in earlier and earlier rate hikes, not to mention more of them over the next couple of years, in response to higher inflation signals.
Broadly speaking, they find themselves caught between two opposing forces at the moment. Earnings euphoria and inflation fear which is why in many markets we're only seeing marginal moves and in some, simply treading water and waiting for the next signal.
So for the FTSE to continue making steady, albeit small gains has been encouraging. It has recently run into resistance though at 7,400 which is a notable historic level of support and resistance, as the big round numbers so often are. It was particularly the case in the late summer to early winter period of 2019 when it really struggled to break above here. We all remember what came shortly after.
For the first time since the pandemic, it's trying to break back above here again but it's struggling once more. The MACD and stochastic show it was struggling for momentum in the days leading up to the level and we appear to have since seen some profit-taking.
This begs the question, is a breakout imminent or are we facing a deeper correction after a decent run? That will depend on how the index responds around 7,300-7,320.
Not only is this the next big number down, but it also coincides with the 55/89-period SMA band on the 4-hour chart that has tracked the rally higher, offering support on any pullbacks. A break below here could signal a deeper correction.
A rebound off here could trigger another run at 7,400. If this happens, the momentum indicators will be key. And a failure to make a new high will be another red flag as far as the rally is concerned.
Elliott Wave View: FTSE Extending in Wave 5Short Term Elliott Wave view on FTSE suggests the rally from September 20, 2021 low is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse. Up from September 20 low, wave 1 ended at 7159.61 and dips in wave 2 ended at 6945.50. The Index then rallies higher in wave 3 towards 7281.176, and pullback in wave 4 ended at 7192.05. Internal subdivision of wave 4 unfolded as a zigzag structure as 30 minutes chart below shows. Down from wave 3, wave ((a)) ended at 7219.71 and wave ((b)) ended at 7251.55. Wave ((c)) of 4 lower ended at 7192.05.
Wave 5 higher is currently in progress with internal subdivision as another impulse in lesser degree. Up from wave 4, wave ((i)) ended at 7303.39 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 7232.28. Wave ((iii)) rally is in progress as another impulse in lesser degree. Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 7331.25 and dips in wave (ii) ended at 7268.79. Near term, expect wave (iii) to end soon, then it should pullback in wave (iv) before the next leg higher in wave (v) of ((iii)). Near term, as far as pivot at 7232.28 low stays intact, expect dips to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for more upside.
FTSE on the rise.. Short back down to the strong support.From a Pro FTSE Stock Index trader..
Looking for the FTSE to come back to the Support + Mixture of MA's and we will look long again. For now, It is short back down to this area, where we will then flip long.
Lets get it!
UK100 buy running ⤴️🙌We are using our POW reversal strategy for this trade a UK100 long.
Trade details for current trade are shown on the chart.
We are working the 15M time frame on this strategy.
We're looking for the green line which is take profit target.
Little blue arrow is entry point and purple line is stop loss.
Trade history can be seen at the foot of this trade idea too for full transparency.
Previous trades also can be seen on chart.
Both were long trades and both found TP so lets see if we can go three for three.
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Darren
Elliott Wave View: FTSE in wave 4 PullbackFinancial Times Stock Exchange (FTSE) has continued higher following other major indices world wide. Short term Elliott Wave view suggests the rally from September 20, 2021 low is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from September 20 low, wave 1 ended at 7159.61 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 6945.04. Index then resumes higher in wave 3 towards 7243.85. Internal subdivsiion of wave 3 is unfolding as an impulse in lesser degree.
Up from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 7146.85 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 7063.43. Index then extends higher in wave ((iii)) towards 7243.85. Index then pullback in wave ((iv)) which completes at 7180.20. Afterwards, it resumes the rally to 7281.17 to complete wave ((v)) and wave 3. Wave 4 pullback is currently in progress to correct cycle from October 6 low before the rally resumes. Potential support area for wave 4 comes at 7153 – 7202. This is 23.6 – 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of wave 3. Near term, as far as wave 2 pivot at 6945.04 low remains intact, expect wave 4 pullback to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.