Forextrading
GBPUSD: Buy signal at the bottom of the Rising Wedge.GBPUSD is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 34.906, MACD = -0.012, ADX = 45.336) as it almost reached the HL trendline of the Rising Wedge. The technical bottom should start forming now and with the RSI hitting the oversold limit (30.000) on Friday, we can claim that there is a significant upside behind this with limited risk. The similar bottom of October 3rd 2023 targeted initially the 0.618 Fibonacci level. That is our target this time also (TP = 1.03080).
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Gold ready to above 2600 read the caption People got bullish on stocks. I get it. There’s a political change coming, and many investors might be excited about that while I don’t think that others would be willing to sell given this sentiment.
However, I have to point out that tops are formed when the sentiment is extremely bullish. While this doesn’t have to be the final top for this rally (I admit, I thought that we saw a top already and stocks kept on rallying), I do want to stress that this is one of the moments where at least a local top becomes likely
USOIL:Today's short trading strategy
Crude oil began to contract delivery, the action of these two days should be relatively large, today's thinking or bearish, weekly line again closed negative, and the center of gravity began to move down, crude oil also fell below the bottom of the hour level, today's rebound continues to empty, do not chase, this position is the bottom of crude oil week, has been volatile for a few weeks;
Today the bearish pressure around 68.00 has been broken and is currently around 67.00, the lower target is seen around 66.00. Please do not continue to short after arrival, wait for the market to confirm before trading. Follow me for updates
EURUSD Down Trend ContinuationEURUSD has opened with an upward gap and is moving toward a significant resistance zone within a larger bearish trend. If the market meets resistance here and rejects both the resistance zone and the upper border of the descending channel, it may indicate an impending bearish reversal. Historically, this level has acted as a strong resistance, with price bouncing off it multiple times, which reinforces the likelihood of another rejection.
There is potential for a push above last week’s high as an initial move to gather liquidity, followed by a bearish reversal aiming to fill the recent gap. If this scenario unfolds, the target would be the support zone around 1.08510, aligning with the gap-filling objective and providing a solid level for further downside momentum
EURUSD Possible Up correctionEURUSD has reached the psychological level of 1.0500 and, on the 1-hour timeframe, has formed a double bottom pattern, suggesting a potential slowdown in selling pressure. The price is currently moving sideways above this level, indicating possible consolidation. Notably, approximately a year ago, the price surged from this support zone, identifying it as a demand zone. With the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) reaching a strong resistance zone, there's potential for a reaction that could lead EURUSD to pull back toward the downward trendline. The target is the resistance zone around 1.0635
London Session Focus: USDJPY Momentum & Potential AUDUSD BuyThis morning during the London session, my primary focus is on the USDJPY. We anticipate a momentum low developing below the current price level.
Additionally, the AUDUSD has flagged a potential buying opportunity around the 0.6450 level.
The EURUSD and GBPUSD (Cable) are also showing potential for bullish moves; however, their price structures are currently less defined than those of the above-mentioned pairs.
Trade wisely and happy trading!
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold, after its recent decline, is approaching a support zone. The downtrend is expected to continue until it reaches this support level. If buyers show a positive reaction at this area, we may see an upward correction, potentially reaching higher resistance levels.
If this correction occurs, it could present a selling opportunity for traders around resistance, as there may be a continuation of the downtrend after the correction.
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Xauusd weekly chart Gold trades little changed on Friday, holding steady in the $2,560s after making a slight recovery from the two-month lows reached on the previous day. A stronger US Dollar continues to put pressure on Gold since it is mainly priced and traded in the US currency.
Gold sell support 2536
Support 2518
Support 2491
Support 2473
Resistance 2585
Resistance 2601
Forex Trade Planning: USD Dominance and Potential CorrectionToday's trade planning session highlighted the USD as the strongest currency on the daily Currency Strength Index (CSI), while the EUR emerged as the weakest.
General CSI Overview:
Buy pairs: USD, CHF, GBP, JPY, AUD
Sell pairs: CAD, NZD, EUR
In our H1 timeframe market analysis, we anticipate a deeper correction in existing trends. The wave structure for major pairs versus the USD has reached momentum high and momentum low 5. From this level, a correction of the trend is expected.
It is important to note that significant effort and time are required for a trend reversal. Nevertheless, there has been a notable decline, breaking key structures in USDJPY, which could indicate a more substantial downturn for the USD and potentially lead to a larger secondary trend.
Trade carefully and happy trading!
GBPNZD: Turning bearish if the 1D MA50 breaks.GBPNZD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.440, MACD = 0.004, ADX = 26.806), trading right over its 1D MA50. If broken, it will be the validation of the new bearish wave of the 1 year Channel Down. The 1D RSI is forming the very same Arc pattern as the May bearish wave. Upon validation, we will get short and aim for the 1D MA200, over the 0.786 Fibonacci level (TP = 2.12500).
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USDJPY: Buy opportunity inside the 1H MA200 and 4H MA100.USDJPY is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.138, MACD = 1.880, ADX = 50.518) which perfectly explains the Channel Up it's been trading in since October 8th. At the moment the price is on an aggressive bearish wave, which got accelerated today as it was rejected on the 1H MA50. The result is so far a direct hit on the 1H MA200 for the first time since Nov 10th. The last two HL were on the 4H MA100 however, so there is still some more room to fall but even on the current level the reward largely outweighs the risk. We are just over the 0.5 Fibonacci level afterall, which is where the November 5th low was formed. We're long, aiming for a +3.20% rise (TP = 158.500).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Gold buy momentum here is opportunity read the caption From the long-term Elliott wave perspective, price appears to be correcting the bullish cycle that started in October 2023 when Gold was exchanged for 1810. After completing wave (IV) of the supercycle degree in September 2022, Gold rallied to complete waves I and II of (V) in May 2023 and October 2023 respectively. Thus wave III of (V) started in October 2023 at 1810. However, it appears wave III has not finished yet. The current pullback is expected to either be in wave ((4)) of III already or wave (4) of ((3)) of III. The most important task now is to note what
AUDCHF: 4H Golden Cross emerging. Buy opportunity.AUDCHF is technically neutral on the 1D (RSI = 49.632, MACD = 0.000, ADX = 25.946) and 4H timeframes alike as the price is consolidating on the HL trendline of a medium term uptrend. That uptrend is technically the bullish wave of the 3 month Channel Up. The pair is about to form a 4H Golden and last time this was formed on the bullish wave prior (Sep 23rd) the wave was only halfway through. The 1D MACD formed the usual Bullish Cross just after the bottom so we have all the technical validations to go long and target the R2 level (TP = 0.58700).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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DXY: Highly overbought on 1D. Excellent short.The U.S. Dollar Index has turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 73.223, MACD = 0.950, ADX = 43.535) as the current weekly candle is only a few clicks away from the top of the 2 year consolidation Rectangle pattern. Even the 1W RSI (67.108) is about to turn overbought but has already reached the top of the 1 year R1 Zone. All the above create the conditions for the perfect long term short. Our target is the 1W MA200 (TP = 101.750), which supported the price during the bearish wave of July-August.
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Gold will bounce back to hit top level read the caption (CPI) rose by 0.2% in October. Over the past year, it increased by 2.6%. On the other hand, the core CPI increased by 0.3% monthly and 3.3% annually. This data strengthened market expectations of the US Federal Reserve's potential third interest rate cut in December. According to CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, the likelihood of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the next FOMC meeting surged to over 80%. This is up from less than 60% just a day
Gold next move and highly accurate read the caption At the time of writing, however, market participants are battling to establish a trend. The USD retains its strength, but the momentum eased, while US indexes pared the bleeding, with only the Nasdaq Composite trading in the red. The macroeconomic excitement will likely recede as the US other relevant figure to release for the rest of the week
Gold confirm buy target here is opportunity read the caption Gold (XAU/USD) came under heavy selling pressure and slumped below $2,700 on Wednesday as US Treasury bond yields rallied on Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential election. Inflation data from the US and Fedspeak next week could offer fresh insights into whether Gold will be able to shake off the bearish pressured
Gold price is trending down ? Why ? World gold prices dropped to their lowest level in nearly 2 months due to pressure from the strong recovery of the USD. Recorded at 8:33 a.m. on November 13, the US Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the greenback with 6 major currencies was at 105,897 points (up 0.04%).
The inverse relationship between gold and the USD seems to have disappeared in recent times. However, since the US presidential election, this relationship has returned strongly.
The USD is expected to benefit from some of the policies of US President-elect Donald Trump, as they will likely cause US interest rates to remain relatively high for a longer period of time and that will be unfavorable environment for gold.
Next week's economic calendar is quite bleak, especially when compared to last week's boom. The main economic news events to watch will be the US core CPI on Wednesday. The US Federal Reserve (FED) is expected to closely monitor CPI for signs that consumer inflation is continuing on its path towards 2%.
Thursday's US PPI report, weekly jobless claims data and Friday morning's US retail sales release for October will also provide specific data on Americans' purchasing power in the current high-cost environment.
🔥 TVC:GOLD BUY 2590 - 2592🔥
💵 TP1: 2600
💵 TP2: 2610
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2583
🔥 TVC:GOLD SELL 2628 - 2630🔥
💵 TP1: 2620
💵 TP2: 2610
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2637
EURUSD: Showing no signs of stopping before 1.04000.EURUSD is almost oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 32.891, MACD = -0.007, ADX = 29.222), which is a sign of a potential slowdown on the October sell-off but not of stopping. We believe that as the price is approaching the bottom LL of the Channel Down, it will slow down in an attempt to form sideways a bottom as during the weeks of September 25th - October 16th 2023. The ideal entry will be with the 1W RSI as close to being oversold (30.000) as possible and symmetric 1W MACD shows it can happen by December 9th. That means that we can continue shorting the pair, targeting the 1.1 Fibonacci extension (TP = 1.04000), which is where the bottom was priced on October 2nd 2023.
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GBPUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GBPUSD?
This currency pair is currently moving within a descending channel and trading below its resistance zone. Given the current conditions, after some minor fluctuations and corrections, the price is expected to move towards lower levels.
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