XAUUSDHello traders ,what do you think about GOLD?
GOLD fell after the pullback to the trend line and reaching the resistance zone.Now it has reached the support zone of 2315. After the correction and breaking this support zone , it is expected to fall at least to the specified levels.
What do you think, at what price will gold close tonight?
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Forextrading
XAUUSD : Gold continues to increase strongly todayGold prices yesterday had an early rebound hitting a high of $2,375 then retreated again before closing at $2,378 after important news and market expectations were reflected in the price. Regardless of the reason behind it, this is it
proving that investors are still interested in gold or have returned after recent dovish signals from major central banks. Maybe this is the first sign of a comeback. The market is probably quite nervous now ahead of tonight's NFP report.
The US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report is expected to show an increase of 185,000 jobs in May. However, negative JOLTS Job Opportunities data and ADP Nonfarm Jobs Change data less than that in this week
reduces investor optimism about the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report. If the NFP report also shows weakness, the USD may come under more pressure and increase market confidence that the Fed will soon cut interest rates, supporting gold prices.
XAU turned around to find the peak againUS non-farm report will show XAU optimism
The short-term uptrend will start from here
traders now see about a 67% chance the Fed will ease monetary policy in September, up from less than 50% last week.
Experts predict that the upcoming Fed meeting will likely keep interest rates stable in the context that inflation in the US remains high.
Gold increased again after an unusual decreaseIf withinside the preceding consultation, the spot charge of XAU at the global marketplace unexpectedly reduced whilst the United States introduced terrible financial records, then withinside the night consultation of June 5, it fluctuated consistent with the rules.
The US additionally recorded a decline in customer activity, with retail income in April lots decrease than expectations, thereby slowing down the country`s economy.
With a weaker economy, the United States Federal Reserve (Fed) can also additionally must reduce hobby quotes quickly after a protracted delay. The USD will consequently be beneathneath downward pressure, thereby pushing up the charge of gold.
The US launched hard work records displaying that this marketplace is weakening rapidly. In May, US non-public corporations employed fewer people than marketplace expectations.
Job boom and salary boom will gradual withinside the 2nd 1/2 of of 2024. Observers are looking for wonderful weaknesses withinside the hard work marketplace, tied to each manufacturers and consumers.
Spot gold fees accelerated once more particularly because of an uncommon lower withinside the preceding consultation after traders guess that this commodity might surpass the essential barrier of 2,350 USD/ounce however failed.
XAU increased quite strongly again after plunging in the previouIf in the previous session, the spot price of XAU on the international market suddenly decreased when the US announced negative economic data, then in the evening session of June 5, it fluctuated according to the rules.
The US released labor data showing that this market is weakening rapidly. In May, US private businesses hired fewer workers than market expectations.
Job growth and wage growth will slow in the second half of 2024. Observers are watching for notable weaknesses in the labor market, tied to both producers and consumers.
XAUUSD : Gold turned up slightly again after the USD newsYesterday on June 5, world prices increased to a high of 2,357 USD and reached 2,373 USD this morning, supported by the weakening of the USD and a decrease in US government bond yields after the latest data showed changes. The labor market is very hot. According to how high
According to ADP, employers added 152,000 jobs in May, much lower than forecast and the number recorded last month, and also the lowest level since the beginning of the year.
RJO Futures senior market strategist Bob Haberkorn said weak labor numbers such as the coronavirus outbreak could prompt the Fed to act somewhat. According to FedWatch CME, the market believes there is about a 67% chance that the Fed will conduct its first rate hike in September, up from less than 50% last week. A low interest rate environment reduces the cost of holding gold, thereby increasing the appeal of this precious metal amid global instability.
In addition, the World Gold Council (WGC) said that net purchases by global central banks increased to 33 tons in April. This is also a big driving force pushing gold prices up recently.
NZD/CAD Short, NZD/CHF Short, GBP/CHF Short and SUGAR/USD ShortNZD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If 2 touch 5 min continuation, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
NZD/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
GBP/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
SUGAR/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
Gold plummeted without stoppingThe USD increased slightly thanks to bottom-catching demand after this currency continuously decreased recently. Previously, the USD fell because there were more signals that the US would soon cut interest rates.
It is likely that it will take until September or November for the US to cut interest rates. Many other central banks such as Europe's ECB or Britain's BOE may cut interest rates sooner. This also means that, in the short term, the USD may still increase.
When the USD moves up, it will be difficult for precious metal products to increase in price, or even decrease due to a prolonged increase from the end of 2023 until now.
Gold is in a downtrend and will fall sharplyGold prices (XAU/USD) may find support at the 50 EMA in case the price breaks out of a sideways range after initially trading off the May highs.
XAU/USD has broken the main uptrend line and may be in a short-term downtrend. According to the mantra "the trend is the trend", the probability of price increase will continue to decrease. The 50 EMA at 2,310 USD and the May 3 low at 2,277 USD will be the final supports before gold prices fall further. The RSI indicator also dropped, surpassing level 50, further reinforcing this scenario.
On the contrary, the resistance levels to pay attention to are the EMA 20 at 2,350 USD and the main resistance is the 2,400 USD area, corresponding to the main trendline of the rising wave from the beginning of the year. To overcome these levels will require a lot of effort from buyers and enough momentum and is unlikely to happen in the short term.
XAUUSD : Gold will fall after today's dataThe price of gold (XAU/USD) yesterday fell more than 1.4% from a high of 2,352 USD to a low of 2,318 USD, a decrease of about 40 USD. This trend is partly due to the slight recovery of the USD, which has a negative correlation with gold. In addition, investors' attention may be shifting to the bond market as concerns about economic growth increase after recent poor data from the US.
Job openings data according to the newly released JOLTS report were lower than expected with only 8.06 million in April, compared to the forecast of 8.34 million and 8.35 million in March (according to data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics). ). This data shows that the US labor market is showing signs of weakness. The US non-farm payrolls (NFP) report scheduled to be released on Friday will be the most important event this week. JOLTS numbers lower than expected are considered a bad signal. If NFP also shows similar results, the USD will likely come under significant selling pressure, thereby supporting gold prices.
Long term trade for XAURegarding long-term trading, traders should trade according to the USD market through US monetary policy, XAU price will thereby be supported.
In the near future, the US will cut interest rates but it still depends on many factors from the central bank
Many other central banks such as Europe's ECB or Britain's BOE may cut interest rates sooner. This also means that, in the short term, the USD may still increase.
XAU dropped sharply in today's trading sessionThe USD increased slightly thanks to bottom-catching demand after this currency continuously decreased recently. Previously, the USD fell because there were more signals that the US would soon cut interest rates.
Gold prices in the international market decreased mainly because the USD inched up slightly and the commodity closely related to gold, oil, plummeted.
It can be seen that in the medium and long term, the USD is under pressure to decrease in price following the loosening of US monetary policy. Gold price will thereby be supported.
However, it is likely that it will take until September or November for the US to cut interest rates. Many other central banks such as Europe's ECB or Britain's BOE may cut interest rates sooner. This also means that, in the short term, the USD may still increase.
When the USD moves up, it will be difficult for precious metal products to increase in price, or even decrease due to a prolonged increase from the end of 2023 until now.
Gold will cool down in the next trading sessionsExperts accept as true with that the Fed`s hobby charge route may be the principle element affecting the route of gold withinside the brief term. Therefore, the marketplace will retain to concentrate for statistics this is predicted to have an effect at the Fed's selection.
This week, except employment data, the gold marketplace will watch for the hobby charge selection of the European Central Bank (ECB). The financial institution will nearly genuinely reduce hobby charges with the aid of using 25 foundation factors and this can end up the primary predominant crucial financial institution to reduce hobby charges this cycle
xan rate can also additionally get better withinside the subsequent buying and selling sessions
Many analysts expect that, beforehand of the Fed's financial coverage assembly on June 11-12, many traders will boom buying, inflicting gold costs to boom sharply earlier than the assembly.
NZD/CAD Short, NZD/CHF Short and SUGAR/USD ShortNZD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If 2 touch 5 min continuation, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
NZD/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If 2 touch 5 min continuation, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
SUGAR/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
3 key points in Performance ReviewIn this live trading session video,we look at our current open position on AUDUSD trade and a review of our trade history on our traders challenge account. We then take a deep dive analysis on the 3 key points in performance review like a professional. The concepts and ideas in this video can be cross transferred onto any strategy.
XAUUSD : Gold is slightly decreasing after the increaseTechnically, the $2,360 area, corresponding to Friday's session high, is considered the closest barrier, followed by the $2,364 level. Overcoming these barriers in a convincing way can trigger the excitement of buyers and push the gold price to the $2,385 area, then towards $2,400. The upward momentum could even continue to extend to the $2,425 area, or even the historic peak recorded in May at $2,450.
On the contrary, the SMA 50, currently fluctuating around 2,334 USD, will act as the first important support. The next support zone is around 2,325 USD and beyond is yesterday's session low near 2,314 USD. However, it should be noted that oscillators on the daily chart are starting to show negative signals. Therefore, a credible break-down above the 50 SMA could pave the way for stronger declines, sending gold prices to retest the $2,300 level and even the key support zone around 2,285 - 2,284 USD.
Fed interest rates impact XAU in the short termExperts believe that the Fed's interest rate direction will be the main factor affecting the direction of gold in the short term. Therefore, the market will continue to listen for information that is expected to have an impact on the Fed's decision.
This week, besides employment data, the gold market will wait for the interest rate decision of the European Central Bank (ECB). The bank will almost certainly cut interest rates by 25 basis points and this could become the first major central bank to cut interest rates this cycle
xan price may recover in the next trading sessions
Many analysts predict that, ahead of the Fed's monetary policy meeting on June 11-12, many investors will increase buying, causing gold prices to increase sharply before the meeting.
AUD/NZD Short and WTICO/USD ShortAUD/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
WTICO/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
EURUSD: Buy the 4H MA50 pullback and sell at the top.EURUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 63.032, MACD = 0.002, ADX = 27.518) and on 4H it is attempting a closing above the R1 level. On the short term we have a Channel Up that will validate the new Bullish Leg if we close a 4H candle over the R1 level. If that happens, we will buy the first pullback to the 4H MA50 and aim for a +1.43% from the latest Low (TP = 1.09400), exactly what took place on April 26th. In the same manner, we will short then and aim for the 4H MA200 (TP = 1.08500).
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