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EURUSD: Bearish reversal if the 1D MA50 breaks.EURUSD is on the lower levels of neutrality on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 46.772, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 17.817) as it reversed aggressively on the 1.12100 R1 level, forming what is so far a DT (double top) on a 1month 1D RSI bearish divergence. The same divergence was formed on the December 28th 2024 HH and it caused a decline to the 0.618 Fibonacci level. The trigger point to sell is always the 1D MA50. Consequently, we will turn bearish if it is crossed, aiming at the 0.618 Fib (TP = 1.08350). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
by InvestingScope
1
XAU slightly increased after a sharp decline in the previous sesWorld gold regains momentum World gold prices recorded a slight increase of 2,636 USD/ounce, showing a recovery compared to the previous session. In the previous trading session, the price had fallen to 2,629.5 USD/ounce due to pressure from the signal of a moderate pace in the Fed's next interest rate easing cycle. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell spoke at the annual meeting of the National Association for Business Economics (NABE), emphasizing that the economy is in a solid state and the Fed will continue to carefully evaluate input data when considering the next policy adjustment.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TrategySherpa
Investors stay away from goldAs risk appetite increases, investors are shunning gold, which is often seen as a safe haven asset in times of uncertainty. Earlier, Tim Waterer, market analyst at futures trading firm KCM Trade, said gold still has room to rise to $2,700 an ounce if this week's labor market data could prompt the Fed to cut interest rates by another 0.75 percentage points by year-end. Meanwhile, Bart Melek, head of commodity strategy at TD Securities, said the Fed is on a loose monetary policy path after cutting interest rates by 50 basis points and signaling that rates could fall to 3% by 2026, which bodes well for gold.
TVC:GOLD
by NicoTradingMaster
XAU drops to record low after Fed newsThe global XAU price has retreated from a recent record high on September 30, but is still set for its biggest quarterly gain in more than eight years on geopolitical tensions and a rate cut by the US Federal Reserve. Investors are looking ahead to this week’s US jobs report and non-farm payrolls data due later this week. Bullion’s gains on Monday were limited by some profit-taking and a boost in risk sentiment after Chinese stocks were poised for their best day in 16 years, analysts said.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NicoTradingMaster
AUDUSD: Top of Megaphone hit. Reversal expected.AUDUSD is almost overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 68.054, MACD = 0.006, ADX = 53.204) as the price reached the HH trendline at the top of the Megaphone pattern. The 1D MACD printed a sequence almost identical to the December 28th 2023 top, which soon after declined to the 0.5 Fibonacci level. Consequently, we take this as a strong sell signal, aiming at the 0.5 Fib (TP = 0.66500). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
1
XAU is supported to increase in priceThe PCE index is a measure of inflation based on changes in personal consumption expenditures and is used by the Fed as its preferred indicator of inflation. Personal spending can reflect consumer confidence. This week's US jobs report is important, according to Marc Chandler, CEO of Bannockburn Global Forex. He said that if the market receives a negative report on the labor situation, gold prices will break out. Conversely, if the report is positive, gold could come under pressure and fall.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NicoTradingMaster
NZD/JPY Short, AUD/JPY Short and CAD/CHF ShortNZD/JPY Short Minimum entry requirements: • If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it. AUD/JPY Short Minimum entry requirements: • If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it. CAD/CHF Short Minimum entry requirements: • If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
Short
by StewySongs
1
#EURCHF 1DAYEUR/CHF 1-Day Chart Forecast: The EUR/CHF currency pair is in a sustained **downtrend** on the 1-day chart, indicating strong bearish momentum. This suggests that selling pressure is likely to continue in the near term. Given the current market conditions, a sell opportunity is present as the pair trends downward, respecting the descending trendline. However, traders should remain cautious for a potential **trend reversal**. If the price **breaks above the trendline**, it could signal the end of the downtrend and open up a **buy opportunity. Key points to consider: Forecast Sell: The downtrend provides an opportunity to enter short positions, targeting further declines. A stop-loss should be placed above recent highs to protect against a trend reversal. Watch for Breakout: If the price breaks the trendline, it may invalidate the sell outlook and present a buying opportunity. Look for confirmation of the breakout before entering long positions to avoid false signals. In summary, the current market favors a **sell strategy** as long as the price remains below the trendline, but traders should be ready to shift their bias if a breakout occurs.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
EURUSD: Your Trading Plan For Next Week Explained 🇪🇺🇺🇸 EURUSD is trading in a long-term bullish trend on a daily. In September, the price formed a huge ascending triangle formation - a classic bullish accumulation pattern. Your strong bullish signal will be a breakout of the underlined resistance - the neckline of the pattern. A daily candle close above that will confirm the strength of the buyers and a bullish trend continuation. Next goal will be 1.124 then. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Long
by VasilyTrader
6
USDJPY Analysis: Anticipating a Slight Bearish Bias for Next WeeUSDJPY Analysis: Anticipating a Slight Bearish Bias for Next Week Date: 28/09/2024 As we look ahead to the coming week for the USDJPY currency pair, a slight bearish bias seems likely based on the latest fundamental factors and market conditions. Several key drivers contribute to this outlook, and in this article, we'll explore the factors that may weigh on the USDJPY pair, creating potential opportunities for traders. 1. Dovish Signals from the Federal Reserve One of the primary drivers for USDJPY's potential bearish bias next week is the recent dovish shift in the Federal Reserve's tone. While the Fed has maintained a firm stance on keeping interest rates elevated to curb inflation, recent economic data in the U.S. suggest that inflationary pressures may be easing. If the Fed signals a slower pace of tightening or hints at rate cuts in the future, this could weaken the U.S. dollar, pushing the USDJPY lower. The key phrase here is "inflation slowdown," as this could be the primary focus in upcoming economic releases. Traders should keep a close eye on any updates from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and other policymakers, as dovish commentary could lead to further USD weakness. 2. Japan's Central Bank Policy On the other side of the coin, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) continues its ultra-loose monetary policy. While the BoJ has resisted raising interest rates, there have been increasing discussions around tweaking its yield curve control (YCC) program. If the BoJ surprises markets by adjusting its policy, this could provide a boost to the Japanese yen, exerting downward pressure on USDJPY. The BoJ's governor, Kazuo Ueda, has emphasized that they will remain accommodative, but with inflation in Japan beginning to rise, markets may start to price in a more hawkish BoJ in the near future. 3. U.S. Economic Data and Dollar Sentiment U.S. data releases, including the upcoming non-farm payrolls (NFP) report and the core PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) index, will be crucial in shaping the USDJPY trend next week. A weak NFP or lower-than-expected PCE inflation figures could weigh on the U.S. dollar, contributing to a bearish outlook for USDJPY. Additionally, geopolitical tensions or unexpected developments in global markets could drive safe-haven demand for the yen, pushing USDJPY lower. With risk-off sentiment growing due to uncertainties in global markets, the yen may see inflows as investors seek safety. 4. Technical Analysis From a technical perspective, USDJPY has been hovering near key resistance levels, and the pair’s inability to break higher could signal a pullback. If USDJPY fails to hold above the 149.00 level, it could retrace toward the 147.50 and 146.00 support areas. Short-term momentum indicators, such as the RSI (Relative Strength Index), are showing signs of overbought conditions, further supporting the potential for a corrective move lower. Conclusion In summary, the USDJPY currency pair could experience a slightly bearish bias next week, driven by dovish signals from the Federal Reserve, potential shifts in Japan’s monetary policy, and weaker U.S. economic data. Traders should remain vigilant about key data releases, Fed speeches, and any surprises from the Bank of Japan. As always, proper risk management is crucial when navigating currency markets. Stay tuned for more updates on USDJPY and other forex pairs. As we enter a potentially volatile week, it's essential to monitor these key drivers and make informed trading decisions. Keywords: USDJPY analysis, Federal Reserve policy, Bank of Japan, USDJPY bearish bias, forex trading, USDJPY technical analysis, USDJPY forecast, U.S. economic data, dovish Fed signals, forex trading signals, tradingview analysis
Short
by PERFECT_MFG
GBPJPY: Inverse Head and Shoulders calls the bottom.GBPJPY got oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 28.124, MACD = -0.770, ADX = 29.222) as it was rejected today on the 1D MA50. On Sep 16th it touched the bottom of the long term Channel Up and rebounded, while the 1D RSI has been on a bullish divergence. We expect this bottom to be in the form of an Inverse Head and Shoulders. We are aiming for the 1D MA200 and the 0.5 Fibonacci level (TP = 150.500). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
1