Forexmarket
Demystifying a Fakeout ; Fake Breakout ; Wyckoff Theory / EURCADIn this Analysis I break-down what everyone knows and hates most. The Fakeout.
The fakeout is simple. I hope this conveyed in the Chart.
1. We are in a Range
2. We closed outside the Range, we get candle closure confirmation. The 3 C's.
3. Shortly after we print candles back inside the range, closing strongly
4. At this stage you can wait for a retest of the bottom of the range (like me)
or you can just place an entry right then .. because the Fakeout structure has initiated at this point
Thoughts on where we are going form here anyone?
I'm Looking to 148 for swing trading.
We must stay above 146 now since we closed above this zone
on Friday's NFP day.
EURUSD 342 Pip Move Week / Interest rates / Change in Sentiment?Well, Quite the analysis here today. My bias is Bullish on this pair as we move into next week
2/6-2/11. We may consolidate for a few days around 1.146, but I think eventually bulls will take us
to 1.15750. Please follow for more content like this. Cheers.
Dorianfx
NFP Day, Discount on GBPUSD Longs? Our Bias is Bullish on this Pair due to Interest Rate News this week.
- Was anticpating a discount in prices during NFP release today
- Got an entry on 1m/3m Timeframes when Price began to consolidate
after we got a significant reaction to news
- It;s friday, Taking profit before weekly candle closes
-Looking for 1.34450 to take partial profits
GBPUSD // NFP Week // Continuation or Fakeout Will we see a continuation of bullish strength given Fundamentals / Rate Hike
-Bullish Market Structure on 4hr TF
-Bullish Market Structure on Daily TF
-Momentum bullish
-Trading with weekly candle bias
- Or
Will we see a brush for liquidity and sweep back down towards
1.345
USDCAD Idea // Looking for 1.265US crude oil is very bullish
and there is some correlation with CAD because
CAD exports revenue mainly comes from Oil sales to USA
Looking bearish on this pair to 1.265
Maybe i'm somehwta impatient but i'm not exactly seeing the dollar bulls at the moment.
this could all change if NFP tomorrow, safe trading folks,
Ill be closing this trade forsure before NFP.
GBPJPY Day Trade Idea // Price Action TradingGbpjpy can move quite a bit. It can be a blessing and curse.
Mentioned previously in the > JPY Weakness Post, we discussed potential JPY weakness
, given current market sentiment leading up to interest rate announcments for the GBP and the EUR.
Very bullish Price action confirming our bias, this means buy the pullback
>> and aim for good risk reward
>> be confident in your decision
>> embrace a probabilistic mindset
>> When you take wins, don't be surprised because that's what you were looking for in the market.
>> Losses suggest higher volatility that you didn't anticipate correctly, or you are simply outright wrong with your analysis, and you should go to the Higher time frames , and this will give you your answers, with appropriate reasoning and logical thinking
EURUSD ; Less than 24 Hours to NFP / 1.14550 > Range > BreakoutEURUSD is looking quite bullish
as EURO buyers showed up quite strong early in the week
and have maintained a stronghold on the order flow. This shift in Sentiment
from the prior week can feel quite drastic, on an intraday basis. But thats the nature of the
Lower Time Frames. The lower time frame gives more detail and more noise so you cant get one without the other.
However , create a bias for direction on the Higher time frame, and look for confirmation of your bias on the smaller timeframes.
This takes time, experience, resilience, reviewing your losses, dealing with life outside trading etc.
It is possible, not syaing it will happen, but we could come up to 1.153 tomorrow as NFP closes the week off, just based on momentum and fundamentals
sentiment, etc. cheers everyone
Euro Bulls like potential Interest rates hikes in GBP, Others 2?Quite bullish we are here as you can see with market Structure Buying the pullback targeting our daily
> targeting 1.135
> Trading with trend
>Fakeout structure on Daily TF, Bullish
> Weekly Candle bullish
> Momentum bullish (Large ATR on Daily)
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Japanese Yen weakness? > We Have Bear Market Structure on the Daily/Weekly Timeframes
> No Planned Red Folder News events for the next few weeks
> Perfect time to trade with the trend
> As a Result I am Bullish on Some of the Yen Pairs such as GBPJPY
> Especially considering Pound Interest rates rumours, we still have
another 2 days until we see what the rates really are going to be
for the Brits
+9% Despite Poor USD ; ADP NewsBias remains the same for this pair
Despite DXY going wild
Crude oil is also in quite a volatile range for CAD
ASP news this morning was very poor for the USD
However we have only see DXY appreciate since the news
This is because USD is a safe haven despite the worlds largest economy having
bad employment numbers. We would like to see a continuation of bull market structure as we move into london close
for our bias to remain strong. NFP in 2 days
GBP Strength?News came out on Forex Factory, a News article regarding the Bank of England. Apparently they are going to raiser interest rates for the Second Month in a row. The last time they did this was 2004. This is a big deal because of the cost of money has increased. This can be attributed to the Federal Reserve for adding more Poker Chips to the Table. Inflation. We have moved bullish nearly 100
pips since this rumor came out. Looks like people are buying the rumor. I believe this news may be a catalyst for a more bullish next few weeks. It may encourage bullish sentiment in the markets, continurbting to a rebound in other risk on assets. possibly the dollar cools down. anyways, cheers everyone. Like and Follow for more content like this
Price Action Is Key!!!Price Action Trading Is A Method Of Trading Where Trading Traders Are Able To Make Trading Decisions About Trades Based On Price Movements - Price / Market Data... Without Relying On Indicators etc...
#1. Price Action Refers To The UP And DOWN Movement Of A Security's Price When It Is Plotted Over Time
#2. Candlestick Patterns - Candlestick Formations - Chart Patterns Are Derived From Price Action.
#3. Price Action Involves The Use Of A Naked Market Chart... With The Use Of RAW PRICE DATA
#4. Price Action Is Definitely Leading The Way... To Trading Without Lagging Indicators
#5. Price Action Does Not Involve Those Messy Charts And Clutter That Takes Up Half The Screen
Market Trading AffirmationsAn Affirmation Is Defined As An Assertion That Something Exists Or Is True. An Affirmation Is Designed To Help Remind You And Encourage You That Something Must Be Done And It Must Be Adhered To
As The Saying Goes... As A Trader “You Cannot Change The Markets... You can Only Change Your Response To What They Do.”
Trading Affirmations Are Very Important And Very Much Needed Whenever You Attempting To Trade The Markets
• Pre-Trade Affirmation #11- I Will Never Trade Over My Pre-Determined Risk Threshold And I Will Stick To My Pre-Determined Dollar Risk Amount
• Pre-Trade Affirmation #12- I Have A Completely Relaxed Self-Assurance. I Am Also Sure And Very Certain About Myself And All That I Do In Each And Every Situation That May Arise
• Pre-Trade Affirmation #13- I Need To Continuously Prepare Myself To Continually Monitor My Susceptibility To Making Trading Errors By Keeping A Full Log With Details And Information About Them
• Pre-Trade Affirmation #14- I Need To Accurately And Positively Learn To Keep A Detailed And Descriptive Forex Market Trading Journal Of Each And Every One Of My Trades… No Matter The Outcome Of The Trade
• Pre-Trade Affirmation #15- I Am Committed To All And Whatever It Takes For Me To Reach My Trading Goals – My Trading Visions – My Trading Beliefs – My Trading Objectives And Most Of All My Trading Achievements
Pre-Trade Affirmations are very important.
You would never want to start your day much less your Trading Day without your Pre-Trade Affirmations.
They are very important and a very crucial part of your Trading. (You Should Always Read These Each And Every Day Before You Trade)
Market Trading AffirmationsAn Affirmation Is Defined As An Assertion That Something Exists Or Is True. An Affirmation Is Designed To Help Remind You And Encourage You That Something Must Be Done And It Must Be Adhered To
As The Saying Goes... As A Trader “You Cannot Change The Markets... You can Only Change Your Response To What They Do.”
Trading Affirmations Are Very Important And Very Much Needed Whenever You Attempting To Trade The Markets
• Pre-Trade Affirmation #1- I Am A Successful And Profitable Trader
• Pre-Trade Affirmation #2- I Objectively Define My Edge Within The Market
• Pre-Trade Affirmation #3- I Am Going To Spend My Time Wisely And Meaningfully
• Pre-Trade Affirmation #4- I Am Positive And I Will Pour Happiness Into All That I Am Doing
• Pre-Trade Affirmation #5- I Understand That Consistency Is More Important That Being Right
• Pre-Trade Affirmation #6- I Will Constantly Reward Myself As The Market Makes Profit For Me
• Pre-Trade Affirmation #7- I Am Patient And Let Trading Opportunities Present Themselves To Me
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Pre-Trade Affirmations are very important.
You would never want to start your day much less your Trading Day without your Pre-Trade Affirmations.
They are very important and a very crucial part of your Trading. (You Should Always Read These Each And Every Day Before You Trade)
CADCHF: Potential Long Trade Explained 🇨🇦🇨🇭
CADCHF broke and closed above a daily key level yesterday.
Retest of the broken structure may give us a long opportunity.
To catch it with a confirmation, follow a minor consolidation range on hourly time frame.
0.732 - 0.7325 is its resistance.
Wait for its bullish breakout (you need an hourly candle close above that to confirm the breakout),
then buy aggressively or on a retest.
Initial target will be 0.7365
❤️Please, support this idea with like and comment!❤️
EURCHF: Bearish Wave is Coming?! 🇪🇺🇨🇭
EURCHF is trading in a sharp bearish trend.
The price nicely retraced to a key weekly structure resistance.
On that, a classic bearish accumulation pattern was formed.
I believe it's time to sell the pair.
Goal - 1.0452
❤️Please, support this idea with like and comment!❤️
XAUUSD 1H - LevelsQuick update for the end of day. We managed to hold support below at the levels we suggested that gave trades an opportunity to go long into the 1814 level as the first target. Well done to those who followed.
Now we want to see where we close today. We have a potential level above around 1818-19 where if the price pushed upto in the late session could be an opportunity to short back down into the 1810 and below that 1806 price regions.
We're not going to risk anymore trades today as its the end of the day and we prefer to start fresh in the morning. This is only for reference so please use the levels on the charts.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
CHFJPY: Overbought Market & Correctional Move 🇨🇭🇯🇵
What a sharp bullish rally on CHFJPY at the end of December.
The market was nicely growing within a rising channel.
The price managed to reach an important psychological level 127.0.
Then bears started to push and managed to break a support line of a channel.
It looks like the market is overbought and a pullback is coming.
Initial goal - 124.5
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XAUUSD - End of week!Very disappointing NFP!
So they targeted just below the 1785 KOG target level and then rejected. Ideally we would have wanted more of a stage show from NFP but instead traders got choppy up/down ranging movement. In any case, it gave the entry and is following the long scenario we have mentioned in the NFP Report.
We would suggest you protect any long trades you have from the lower support before market close this evening. We're hoping we can achieve that first target of 1797 before the market closes, if not, we'll look for it on market open. We'll stick with the plan for now and update it on our next post with the week ahead analysis.
See you on Sunday for the KOG Report.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
$EURUSD - Possible rebound hereHi guys! 👋🏻
🔔 Possible uptrend continuation of #EURUSD here after a retest of the dynamic resistance as support.
🔔 The pair has also made a breakout from a critical dynamic resistance and has tested it as support several times, I believe it is also a good sign of a short-term uptrend for #Euro
✊🏻 Good luck with your trades! ✊🏻
If you like the idea hit the 👍🏻 button, follow me for more ideas.
AUDUSD: Important Breakout & Bullish Continuation 🇦🇺🇺🇸
During the last three weeks, AUDUSD was forming an inverted head and shoulders pattern.
This morning the price violated its neckline to the upside.
It looks like the pair is preparing for a bullish continuation.
Next resistances:
0.727
0.735
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