woo usdt perpetual Hello fellow traders
Greetings from team Trading The Tides
lets talk about Woo which we been trading for the last 3 days and made around 30% in profits .
today as the FOMC is really close and there many crucial Data down the line .
First of all specifically today I don't see much buying in WOO , secondly Woo is creating more and more resistance to the upside , which make me think not to trade woo until it goes back to support and on atleast 15 min time frame creates a wick which in other sense gives idea about institution getting in to take the prices higher , so I will wait till then .
My second opinion about woo is to break the lows of the symmetrical triangle on 4h , 1h
and then we can plan a short trade again on the basis of breakdown structure with proper risk n reward .
I don't take more than 2% SL so if the trade goes opposite , I will accept the SL and look out for other opportunities .
Note :
I am just a technical , fundamental analyst and day trader .
Any info given is not a financial advice , i am only posting what i think is right , feel free to guide if u think i am wrong plz .
Thanks .
FOMC
AAPL Key Resistance Levels | QQQ & SPY Analysis | CPI May 10th- AAPL in sell zone now lots of resistance above it.
- a little bit of a red flag was the huge move off the open and then complete sideways throughout the entire day
- QQQ double top at its recent highs
- SPY double top at FOMC reactions high
- CPI data May 10th 5:30am PST
- MSFT confirmed bull flag
My today idea of Gold's possible moves 05052023Gold prices continued their upward push within the expected bullish technical path mentioned in the previous analysis, in which we relied on the confirmation of gold prices breaching the resistance of the symmetrical triangle, as we explained yesterday, heading to touch the official target of the previous analysis 2045, recording its highest level at $2067 per ounce.
Technically, and by looking at the 4-hour chart, the price is stable intraday above the 2010 resistance level, accompanied by the continuation of obtaining a positive motive from the simple moving averages that continue to hold the price from below, in addition to the stability of the relative strength index above the mid-line 50.
The bullish trend is the most preferred during today’s session’s trading. Still, with careful consideration, we find the stochastic indicator around the overbought areas. We may witness some fluctuation until the official trend is obtained, pushing gold to provide some bearish tendency to re-test 2010 before resuming the rise again, knowing that the trend is bullish. Its goals are 2070. Its break will lead gold to continue its strong rise towards 2098.
Closing an hourly candle below 2010 may lead the price towards 1980.
Note: The level of risk may be high today, and all scenarios are likely to occur, and careful consideration is required, noting that the current trading levels may not match the risk rate compared to the expected returns.
Note: Today, we are awaiting high-impact data FOMC, Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings m/m
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 5/05US indexes again came under pressure after European Indexes went lower for the session. Concerns over US regional banks and contagion into the banking sector weighed heavily on the US open. The ECB raised rates by 25 basis points as expected to follow in the footsteps of the US Fed Reserve and the RBA. Traders may be more contained today ahead of the key US employment data just prior to the US open.
Expecting a weaker open for Asian markets with the ASX200 to open down 25/30 points, the Hang Seng to open relatively flat while the Nikkei will still have to wait to play catchup as the underlying index is closed until Monday.
With Global banks still raising interest rates and economies potentially slowing down, I expect bulls will have life more difficult in the near term. Focus will be on economic data to see how the US economy is fairing.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
FOMC meeting will be favorable to the US Dollar24 hours from the next FOMC meeting, AUDUSD seems to have found resistance at around the 0.6700 level. Because of the 25 bps hike expected tomorrow, I am expecting the USD to outperform the AUD... My first target is at 0.65215 and final target is 0.64319 ( Pivots ) .
🔥 Bitcoin To $100k This Year? Rising From The Ashes Of BanksIn this analysis I want to talk about the possibility of Bitcoin going to 100k this year. This is a speculative analysis, but still based on real-world macro. Take it with a grain of salt.
Bitcoin going to 100k in the middle of a banking and inflation crisis, with a FED that's increasing the interest rates? I would've said it's impossible. Not only that, but it's in stark contrast with the usual 4-year halving cycles.
However, something has changed over the last months. In March, during the Silicon Valley Bank's crisis, we saw a massive bullish move. This had to do with the fact that people lost confidence in (regional) banks, and decided to get self-custody over their own money and buy Bitcoin (and gold). Since then, BTC has been trading bullish alongside Gold, hedging against the risk of further banking failures.
More banks have gone under over the last few days. Signature Bank and First Republic bank went down and had to be sold and/or saved. 3/4 of the biggest banks that ever went under, went under in 2023.
While the stock markets sold off over the last few days, BTC gained strength. Most notable was the reaction after the interest rate hike yesterday. The SP500 fell from a cliff, whilst Bitcoin saw a huge move upwards.
Check out the analysis below where I go more into detail on why this seemingly inverse relationship exists:
Albeit a small probability, I think that the idea of BTC going to 100k this year is not even that far-fetched. In my eyes, the banking sector is far from safe, especially now that the FED has increased the interest rates yet again and is very unlikely to reduce the rates in the coming months. More banks failing means more risk to your money, means more people buying BTC and gaining self-custody over their own money.
And yes, more banks are failing as we speak. PacWest Bancorp has seen a 75% drop since the first of May.
Smaller, regional banks falling are bullish, but won't get BTC to 100k. There is a possibility of the largest banks failing, think JPMorgan or Bank of America. And if they do, we can experience a massive influx of buying that we've never seen before, purely based on fear.
In normal circumstances, the FED will aggressively cut the interest rates and start printing money to safe the banks. They can't really do that anymore because it will cause inflation. However, they most likely will because saving one of the largest US banks is going to be more important than inflation, at least in the short-term.
In case you enjoyed this analysis, please give it a like. Feel free to share your thoughts below 🙏.
Euro thoughts before fomcI believe eurusd is gonna make new highs after today's fomc number release! We have a daily order block and price can sweep the liquidity into this order block before going for the previous weekly high as the first target!
It is much better if we do not touch the previous weekly high before the news! Otherwise the probability of the bullish case drops in my opinion!
GOLD → A bullish breakdown of the channel. Upcoming news Gold broke through the 2000 resistance zone on yesterday's news and was a bit unpredictable, strengthening for 2015, as on the older timeframe the prerequisites were only for a decline.
There is a lot of news today that will throw the market into turmoil.
Non-farm employment expectations from ADP are hard to predict as the reaction will depend on the actual figure, which we do not yet know. The PMI is expected to be more positive than in the previous period.
FOMC Expectations:
-BlackRock and former U.S. Treasury Secretary expect that the problem with banks and the government debt ceiling will not prevent the Fed from raising rates today.
-Consensus: The Fed will raise rates by 0.25% at today's meeting and then take a pause.
-Fedwatch: markets are laying down a 91% chance of a 0.25% Fed rate hike in May.
All this suggests that a slight strengthening of the dollar is likely to follow, but, again, the situation is complicated, we'll keep an eye on the press releases.
Strong resistance: 2019, 2025 and 2032.
Strong support: 2010, 2000, the boundary of the downward channel.
Gold is showing us a positive trend. If fundamentals show bullish potential for the dollar, gold will return to the correction rate format. But technically gold has accumulated a lot of potential, and a break-down of the resistance shows us the direction in which the futures are going to realize this potential.
Regards, R. Linda!
May FOMC announcment 🫨Do we have enough steam to take us to 1.11500? Anticipating that rates stay the same and that the May Decision is Bullish. Planning since Staurday this past weekend that we may be onto something here. My Belief is that May Decision is viewed as an Optimistic data point. Preparing for a fall to 1.086 if not the case. Safe Trading. I'll be looking for opportunities about 1hr after the announcment once we have momentum and determined the direction with lowerd lot size and FOLLOW you TRADING PLAN. Okay good luck and safe trading.
$QQQ closeup on the daily chaftNASDAQ:QQQ
This daily close up is a follow up to the all time analysis posted earlier.
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I expect price to retrace back to that yellow line (all time upper support line), to somewhere in the low 300s/
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Looking for a spike into FOMC first, before the downtrend trigger.
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I am majorly short-biased here, with a pre-bought long hedge at the 320.70s for the day.
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My plan is to short post FOMC.
USDJPY turned around from its high levelUSD/JPY first tried to fall back yesterday after the U.S. economic data was released. The data suppressed the US dollar, while some safe-haven funds entered the Japanese yen. The USDJPY turned around from its high level on March 8 and closed down for the first time in four days. It continued to fall in the Asia trading session. Potential, pay attention to the current consolidation near the 136 mark. During the day, it will focus on the Fed’s decision to see the hike rate journey. Suppose Fed’s hike rate continuously, the USDJPY would return to the 137 level and try to test the 138 mark. Technically, the USDJPY breaks the 135.03 support and may test 134.20 support.
Analyzing the Impact of FOMC Meetings on Stock PricesAs a stock trader, it's important to pay attention to major events that can impact the market, such as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. These meetings can have a significant impact on stock prices, and understanding their historical trends can help you make informed trading decisions.
In preparation for the upcoming FOMC meeting on May 3, 2023, we've analyzed the highs from each FOMC meeting since 2021. We've compiled this data into a timeline that shows the market's reaction to these meetings, with vertical lines indicating market open and close.
As you can see from the image below, the majority of market movers occur in the after-hours trading following the FOMC meeting. This can be attributed to the fact that traders are reacting to the decisions made by the committee and adjusting their positions accordingly.
We've also calculated the percentage change from the original opening line to the high point for each meeting, with the highest mover being 6.14% and the lowest being 4.25%. These results were found at market close on Thursday following the FOMC meeting.
It's worth noting that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results, and the market can be unpredictable. However, analyzing historical trends can be a useful tool for stock traders who want to be prepared for potential market movements.
In conclusion, the FOMC meeting on May 3, 2023, is likely to have an impact on the stock market. By understanding historical trends and analyzing market data, traders can be better equipped to make informed trading decisions. We hope that this analysis has provided some useful insights and helps you navigate the market with confidence.
I hope that this analysis of previous FOMC meetings and their impact on the stock market will be helpful to anyone who is curious or considering trading tomorrow. However, we want to emphasize the importance of doing your own due diligence and research before making any trading decisions. The FOMC meetings can be highly unpredictable, and it's essential to trade smart and cautiously.
As our analysis shows, the majority of market movement following the FOMC meetings tends to occur in the after-hours trading, making it even more crucial to be cautious. Therefore, it's crucial to stay informed, keep an eye on market trends, and use historical trends as a guide while making informed trading decisions.
In conclusion, I hope this analysis provides helpful insights for traders and investors, but remember to exer cise caution and always be mindful of the risks involved in trading. Happy trading!
XAUUSD Technical Analysis 03.05.2023 1h chart– Previous Daily candle closed strong Bullish at 2016.600 breaking above the Consolidation Zone on the Daily timeframe, Forming new Daily Support at 1982.500.
– Buys on close above 2020.000 targeting 15min Resistance formed on 14th April 2023 at 2027.100, Leaving Runners to the 30min previous Support formed on 14th April 2023 at 2032.200.
– Sells on close below 2012.000 targeting 15min Support at 2008.200, Leaving Runners to the Daily previous Strong Resistance formed on 21st April 2023 at 2004.500.
– High Impact News day ahead for the US Dollar starting with ADP Non-Farm Employment Change and ISM Services PMI at the New York session open, later on the Day we have the Federal Funds Rate review forecasting an increase in rates to 5.25% from 5.00% followed by FOMC Press Conference, High Volatility expected during the news.
SOL Brace for VolitilitySol is approaching a year long trend line with possible momentum to brake it.
Currently we are bullishly consolidating just below and today at the very bottom of a bullish flag formation reaching its end.
If support for sol is real at this price level, the chart will show it by holding this flag leading to a brake to the upside for what could be a 50% price move.
Case for bullish move is the daily 200 moving average has finally been pulled down the current trading range, possible reverse head and shoulders pattern, bullish flag consolidation. Looking at the wave trend and stochastic oscillators we can also see some roation to the upside from the bottom of their range.
Either way a significant move the upside or down side is likely as we approach the end of the flag and the 200 moving average.
If Sol cannot hold its current range a hard sell off is likely.