GOLD → Bearish leverage continues to drive the market OANDA:XAUUSD is retesting the resistance of the newly formed descending price channel. A rebound and a retest of the 7-day flat support is formed
In the near future, the price may test the flat support at 1916.7 and form a rebound. The rebound may be small, for example, to 1924 to retest the trend resistance. After that the price may continue its fall, breaking the marked support. Globally, the price is in a downtrend. A symmetrical triangle is clearly formed on the d1 chart and we have fundamental prerequisites that the price may break the support at 1902 and head far down.
The local situation is simpler. Since the local trend intraday can change several times, our task is to look for key levels to find a good opportunity to open trades
Support levels: 1916.7
Resistance levels: 1924
The medium-term outlook is bearish. Most likely, gold may update both local and global minimums on the background of strong strengthening of the dollar ( TVC:DXY ).
Regards R. Linda!
FLAT
GOLD → Resistance retest in correction phaseOANDA:XAUUSD is strengthening on Monday and is testing flat resistance with a false breakdown. Consolidation below 1928 is forming. The growth of gold is based on the fall of the dollar index before reaching a strong resistance
On the chart, we see a flat formation after breaking the ascending channel support. Yesterday I pointed out that the TVC:DXY is in a strong bullish trend, but since the price is near strong resistance, a bounce down may follow before further gains, which is what we are actually seeing.
As far as XAU is concerned, I am waiting for a fall after a false breakdown of resistance. Before the fall we are held back by the level of 1926. The target in this case will be the support at 1916
BUT, if the dollar continues to fall, gold will break 1928, and will reach 1939, also the price can test MA-200.
On the global timeframe the preconditions for further fall are developing.
Support levels: 1926, 1916
Resistance levels: 1928
I expect gold to decline in priority, but it should be understood that the scenario may break down based on external factors.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPCAD → £ is weakening. Currency pair breaks support FX:GBPCAD breaks trend support and breaks flat support on the background of weakening pound sterling. A retest of the strong support area is formed. The main currency of the UK is also declining to a 3-month low
The price breaks the support of the ascending price channel and forms an impulse. The market is forming an attempt to change the trend. In the near future the price may form a trend correction to the nearest resistance levels before further falling. The backdrop of the strengthening dollar is strongly affecting the entire forex market. DXY continues to update global highs, which provokes the weakening of world currencies.
The level of 1.70345 and 1.7060 plays an important role for us. A retest of these areas could send the price far down. The moving averages are changing direction.
Support levels: 1.70345
Resistance levels: 1.7087
I expect the fall to continue after a slight consolidation under the uptrend support.
Regards R. Linda!
🥇 GOLD - False breakdown in a bear market Gold continues to trade within the bearish channel. A retest of the resistance area is being formed, against the background of the bearish trend there is a high chance of further decline
TA on the high timeframe
1) Downward price channel
2) false breakout
3) Current trend is bearish
4) no update of highs, the price tends downward
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Retest of support area, if price fails to break 1930, further decline will begin
2) Gold is forming a flat. False break of flat resistance is a strong signal
3) A fall to 1916 is possible, a small bounce before a further impulse that could hit the target 1903.
Key support: 1916
Key resistance: 1926
INDUDINDBK - Triangle breakout / flat formationElliott Wave Analysis:-
View 1:-
Triangle was formed and breakout happened and waiting for the retracement.
Once retracement took place we can enter into the trade with safe trade setup with Stop loss @ 1396 .
target 1:-1500
target2:-1575
View 2:-
There is a Flat formation in 4the Wave. expanding flat is getting into picture. Wave B crossed wave A and waiting for the C wave to get retraced. According to C wave we can decide whether it is an Expanding flat or Running flat.
we have to wait for retracement.
For Triangle Setup :-
aggressive buyer can enter the trade right now with same stop loss.
Conservative trader can wait for retracement.
I'm not a SEBI registered advisor.
Before taking a trade do your own analysis or consult a financial advisor.
I share chart for education purpose only.
I share my trade setup.
GOLD, to continue the bearish waveLast Thursday, gold price attempted to make a correction towards the $1930 PER ounce but was quickly rejected by the EMA-200/100 on the 4Hr time frame at $1929.814 which signifies that the bears are still in control in that region.
Last Friday, the price declines to 1919.085 at the time of market closure whereby the last two 4Hr candles closed below the trendline support that has been holding the bulls since 21st August 2023.
As long as the candles are closing below that trendline support signals the potential continuation of the bears movement down to the next significant level (1903).
Important news coming up this week which can alter the direction of the gold market so keep your eyes on the news on Wednesday to Friday. DXY has for the next consecutive 8 weeks been a bullish swing that could put more selling pressure on gold.
Wednesday: CPI
Thursday: PPI, retail sales and unemployment claims
Friday: Empire State Manufacturing Index and Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment.
Resistance: 1925
Support: 1907, 1903, 1896
🥇GOLD - U-turn. A retest of the support could break it Gold makes an unsuccessful attempt to break the resistance of the bearish channel. it is at the moment of the retest that the dollar starts to strengthen, which makes gold fall after the retest of the resistance. The FED is still sticking to continue to be hawkish on the dollar, which can have a bad effect on gold
TA on the high timeframe:
1) DXY breaks resistance and tests the 105 area. Possible correction before further rise
2) Gold retests and forms a candle that suggests a quick sell-off of the upside, which will negatively affect gold pricing on Monday and Tuesday
TA on the low timeframe:
1) The chart is showing weak buying power
2) A retest of support at 1914 is forming, a breakout could result in strong momentum to 1887 or 1860
Key support📉: 1914
Key resistance📈: 1927, 1942
GOLD → False breakdown and retest give mid-term targetsOANDA:XAUUSD is forming a signal that gives us insight into further medium-term potential. The market is trading within a descending price channel. Strong TVC:DXY continues to put pressure on the XAU price
There is quite a lot of news published in the coming week. It is worth paying your attention to the following:
13.09:
Core CPI
CPI (MoM) & (YoY)
14.09:
Core Retail Sales
Initial Jobless Claims
PPI
On the global timeframe we see a broad sideways flat formation. At the moment there is a potential for a decline towards 1800 in the medium term, and even towards 1700 or 1600 in the long term - standard trading strategies determine the trading potential within the flat.
On the daily timeframe we see a false breakdown of the descending channel resistance. After two bearish candles the market forms a shakeout and a retest of the trend resistance, but a new signal is formed - a candlestick pattern with a long candle, which is also a prerequisite for a red market.
Local support level is 1915, in the first half of the trading week the market may test this area with a high probability of further breakout and realization of accumulated potential for further decline to the lower boundary of the channel or flat
CAPITALCOM:GOLD VELOCITY:GOLD CAPITALCOM:DXY FOREXCOM:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1!
Regards R. Linda!
XAUUSD, to Short further to 1903Gold has been on a bearish wave since the start of the last Friday, 1st September and the sells continued since the start of the week to 1915.339 been the weekly low. Price below 1925 will be well resisted by the EMA-200 at 1928.
The US fundamental on unemployment claims today was negative for Gold and expected to decline further to the next significant level at 1903.
Cherish Gold traders, what are your thoughts?
Bitcoin - Secret patterns for professional traders!
The price of Bitcoin is forming a head and shoulders pattern inside this descending parallel channel! Both of these patterns are bearish, so the probability of going down is really high at this moment. To become bullish, Bitcoin needs to invalidate both patterns. Then we can think about a long position, but at this moment, not at all!
You probably want to trade with a trend, and the trend is bearish on this particular timeframe. But in the immediate short term, we could go up to form the right shoulder of the major pattern; of course, that would be an excellent opportunity to short bitcoin at a great price!
Where is the profit target for the big short? I already market it on the chart, and it's between 23064 and 22853 because it is the POC of the previous expanding triangle + 1:1 FIB extension (wave 3 -> 4).
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, last week we printed a new impulse wave, which is very clear and visible. Everything in confluence suggests that we are bearish, and continuation of the downtrend is extremely likely and almost definitely a guarantee. Sooner or later, we will break the support of 25k.
This is my outlook on BTC for this month; do not forget to let me know in the comment section what you think about it and if you are prepared for another crash. I need to know your opinion!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
🥇GOLD - Market tests resistance area by false breakout Gold is forming a local downtrend. Which is relevant after the break of the ascending channel in early September.
The realization of a strong sell signal is forming on D1
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Everything is stable. False break of resistance sends the price down
2) Potential: falling to 1900 after correction.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Price in bearish trend
2) A retest of 1926 prevents the price from updating the local high
3) Consolidation is forming below 1926 after a false breakdown
4) Bears are consolidating their positions on the background of a weak buyer
Key resistance📈: 1926
Key support📉: 1916 and 1903
💱USDJPY - Market aims for 150 on weak yenUSDJPY on the senior timeframes aims to test the global resistance level of 2022. The Japanese yen is weakening strongly against the backdrop of a strengthening dollar.
TA on the high timeframe:
1) A break of 144.897 sends the price to 148.86
2) A small rebound from this level is possible with further growth to 152.0 in the medium term.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) the market acquires a strong support area: 146.56. A rebound and a retest of the next level 147.4 is being formed
2) If the second level is broken, the market will get a target of 147.87.
3) But! A rebound to 146.56 with further growth is possible.
Key support📉: 146.56
Key resistance📈: 147.4
GOLD → Trend correction after breaking trend support OANDA:XAUUSD , after breaking trend support, forms a small correction and stops its fall around 1916. A trend bounce is forming and the price is testing an important resistance
Globally, gold is forming a global bearish price channel on the D1 chart, but on the dev timeframe we can also identify a sideways flat in the format of a symmetrical triangle. A breakthrough of one of the figura borders will form the strongest impulse to one side or the other.
Locally, on H1, the price may soon test not only the resistance level, but also one of the local highs marked by the red dot. At the moment we are considering a scenario of further decline from one of the mentioned resistance levels, as the price is forging and realizing a global bearish set-up - a decline after a false resistance of the descending channel.
Support levels: 1923.8, 1916
Resistance levels: 1926, 1932
I expect a retest of the resistance area before a further fall. The retest may be formed by a false breakout
OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD COMEX:GC1! CAPITALCOM:DXY
Regards R. Linda!
TLMUSDT → Double bottom breaks resistance BINANCE:TLMUSDT is forming a double bottom on the chart. The market enters the phase of pattern realization, and also begins to use the previously accumulated energy
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD momentarily stops its fall near the area of 26000 and stands still for a long time. Yesterday the flagship formed an impulse based on fundamental factors, which provoked a bullish movement on the altcoin market.
The double bottom is entering the realization phase, the price breaks the resistance of the descending wedge and forms consolidation. It is important for us to wait for the price to finally consolidate above the pattern resistance and form a bullish potential.
Support Levels: Pattern Resistance, 0.00936
Resistance levels: 0.01142, 0.01227.
I expect the growth to continue, if the bulls can hold the price. Medium-term target is 0.01515.
BINANCE:TLMUSD BINANCE:TLMUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Regards R. Linda!
🥇GOLD - Consolidation instead of momentum? A trap? Gold is breaking the support of the new price channel. The market is dominated by sellers due to buyer weakness amid dollar strength.
TA on the high timeframe:
1) False break of the resistance of the global descending channel
2) There is a potential for price decline to 1886.
TA on low timeframe:
1) Price tested the key descending channel support for a long time and at the same time the level of 1926
2) With the next move gold breaks the support of the descending channel
3) There is no downside after breaking the support, price is sandwiched between the 1916 support and the previously broken channel line
4) Since there is no downside momentum, price may form a retest of 1926. Further price movement will depend on this level. Since the main trend is falling, we should expect a price decline
Key resistance📈: 1920, 1926
Key support📉: 1916
GOLD → XAU makes onslaught on limit support OANDA:XAUUSD continues to decline. Since the end of the last session the price forms a limit support level and forms a pre-breakdown consolidation. The realization of a false breakout of global resistance begins
The price is forging a local support level, but still has not updated the previous one, formed in late August. Consequently, the market has a target in the near term. This target is 1914.8, also the following areas can serve as a target: 1912,8 & 1903.8.
Let me remind - earlier we observed the break of the uptrend support on the background of TVC:DXY (dollar index) strengthening.
There is also a possibility that the market may form a small correction to 1926 before falling further. At the moment, within the medium-term scenario, I stick to a further fall in the price of gold. The moving averages are forming a reversal signal (the signal is medium-term in nature).
Support levels: 1916.7
Resistance levels: 1920
I expect the fall to continue either when 1916 is broken or after the correction to 1920-1925.
OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! CAPITALCOM:GOLD CAPITALCOM:DXY
Regards R. Linda!
EURGBP → Weak market. Prolonged support retest FX:EURGBP is under resistance pressure.There is clearly either a weak buyer or a rather strong seller in the market. Regarding the limit support area, the price continues to push.
I noted the important level of 0.8541 and 0.8521. And also an important pattern - descending triangle. The support area of the pattern coincides with the area of the limit support. The price has been testing this zone for several months and there is no particularly strong pullback. The price returns to this line every time. Most likely, the weak market continues to hint to us that the global low on the chart may be updated again in the medium term. In priority, I expect a retest of the figure resistance with a further fall to the support area and testing this zone for a breakout and decline to 0.8450.
Support levels: 0.8541, 0.8521
Resistance levels: 0.8609
I expect a retest of resistance in the near future with a subsequent fall to the support area. The chance of breaking through this support is quite high at the moment
Regards R. Linda!
🥇GOLD - Bounce to resistance before further decline Gold does form a false breakout of a strong resistance area. Pay attention to the D1 chart on the left. There is a chance that gold could go down to 1885 or even 1840
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Bearish trend and global price channel keep the price above 1950
2) False resistance breakout forms a sell signal
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Price forms an attempt to change the local ascending channel.
2) Price tests 1922 and forms a rebound. The correction may reach the 1930-1935 area. This is like a major step before a further fall
3) We see a trend change and in the long term we should look for strong resistance levels to find a sell entry point
Key resistance📈: 1930-1935
Key support📉: 1922
GBPJPY, Bulla ready to retest 186.744The price movement fulfilled my last projection.
The GBPJPY bulls are ready to challenge the 186.744 price after a pull back from the last time it reached this price on 21st August, 2023.
The price is adequately supported at 184.838 and the EMA-50 on the 4hr time frame.
Let us see how it unfolds at the top.
Bitcoin - The next crash is coming! But first, bullish action.
The next crash is coming for the price of Bitcoin, but first we need to correct the recent downtrend! This correction can be pretty significant up to the 0.618 FIB retracement, which is at 27,609. You probably want to set your limit orders to short BTC at this level!
After a bullish correction, I expect another huge crash, kindly to 20k. But of course we are not going to go down in a straight line; there will be a lot of bullish corrections, so you need to be clever on when to short Bitcoin.
Resistance 2 (start of the GAP + 0.618 FIB) is at 27609, and Resistance 1 (end of the GAP + 0.382 FIB) is at 26406. I see only these 2 levels where the bears should step in again!
Above the current price, we have an unfilled CME gap exactly between resistance 1 and resistance 2. These gaps tend to be filled, but of course, it's not mandatory.
Bitcoin spiked significantly last week on the GBTC news; a lot of people were really optimistic and bought the pump, but a huge crash followed. It's similar to the XRP news: XRP pumped by 100% and then went down below the starting point of the pump.
From the Elliott Wave perspective on the chart, we can see a strong impulse wave, which is a sign of weakness for the price. The expectation is that we need to make an ABC bullish correction before continuing to the downside in the downtrend.
This is my current outlook on BTC; I am still bearish, but we need to open short at higher prices!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
GOLD → XAU breaks H1 support. False breakout on D1OANDA:XAUUSD is forming a false breakout of the resistance of the global nisode channel. On the local timeframe the price broke the trend support. Can this be considered as signals?
Yesterday I talked about potentially important levels for us. Today, price is breaking the support area (local). The reaction to this is enough to break uptrending price channel support on H1. Pay attention to the D1 timeframe. Price is forming a false breakout of the DOWN price channel resistance against the background of the DOWN trend. If the pattern is confirmed (it will be a consolidation of the price below 1932), we will see the beginning of another strong fall in the near future. I talked about the potential of such a fall a few days ago. The target of such a movement could be the area of 1900, 1850 and 1800).
Support levels: 1925, 1913
Resistance levels: 1932
The price is forming several sell signals. We need to wait for the confirmation of a bearish set-up to open trades.
Regards R. Linda!