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S&P 500 Market Update Part 2 + Trade Plan AMEX:SPY Greetings everyone, Let’s analyze the recent price action of the S&P 500. I SPY 🕵️with my eye a reversal . The index reached a key milestone, breaking above $600 USD shortly after the US election. However, this achievement was short-lived. After briefly crossing the $600 level, it was quickly rejected, falling back below—a classic case of what traders often call a fakeout or a “look above and fail.” Momentum Shift: A Rollercoaster Analogy Imagine a rollercoaster that has climbed to its peak with tremendous force (the catalyst). The potential energy built up from the climb is unleashed as it starts descending rapidly. Similarly, after a period of intense buying pressure, the market often runs out of steam, stalling and reversing direction—just like our rollercoaster hurtling back downward after reaching its height. What Happened Next? Following the breakout, extreme selling pressure set in, driving prices down sharply. During market hours, the price bounced between highs and lows, showing signs of uncertainty and volatility. Renewed Interest and Its Consequences As the price dipped, confident buyers stepped in, creating a back-and-forth movement akin to a seesaw. This tug-of-war in price action is evident in the bear flag pattern which formed on the chart. While the bear flag doesn’t guarantee further downside, it often signals the potential for continued selling pressure based on historical patterns. What’s next for the S&P 500? I have my long term support target which I expect price may revisit in order to build enough momentum aka buying pressure. For its next major move - whether it’s up once more or continued lower Major Levels: 586 Major SR 591 Strong Resistance as of late 596.89 Zone to consider going long if price renters and holds. Trade Plan: I gave out the trade idea to short if priced Reversed at $600 in my previous market post. Give it a like 👍. If you were able to catch that trade through reading my previous or on your own accord please like or drop a comment on how you executed the trade. Trade Plan Assuming you were trading since 600, I would be de-risk by taking some profit. Setup: 1. Bearish engulfing at major resistance levels & short to the previous lower levels. 2. I would also be looking for a strong reversal at the levels noted to re-enter the short. 3. The end goal is 588.xx + a small margin of error. Thanks, - C Lemard
AMEX:SPYShort
by coilemard
1
$AAPL back to $200?The NASDAQ:AAPL chart looks weak. Since October, you can see price formed a lower high and now has been consolidating in a bear flag. Should the flag break down, I think we'll see a sharp move down to $200 or one of the supports below it. Why such a large move? The chart has an imbalance on it from how quickly price rose in the first half of the year. I think price needs to correct lower to fix the chart imbalance. The move should play out by Jan 6. Let's see.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by benjihyam
BTC Futures Expectations: Anticipating the Next Market MovesTwo major macro events are now behind us; the Fed rate decision and more notably, the U.S. Presidential Election. With a clean red sweep, we have begun to see Scenario 1 play out from our previous post. However, given the surge of retail euphoria and excitement, this run towards the 90k mark was not entirely unexpected. November 11, 2024 has now set a crucial range for the weeks ahead. Big Picture BTC Futures: Key Levels to Watch: pATH support: 78,960 - 77,155 Key Bull Zone: 68,100 - 65,500 Yearly Mid: 67,375 Yearly VPOC: 68,100 Scenario 1 — Consolidation While Capped by Weekly High and Monday’s Range In this scenario, we can expect further consolidation as more participants enter the market. Based on our current expectations, BTC may consolidate near new ATHs and above key pATHs support. Perhaps we may see another bull flag formation, which may fail at first and test the key pATHs support before another upward move. Here, the key would be shaking out late breakout traders, with a possible dip before another move higher as outlined. Scenario 2 — Euphoria Turns to Frustration and Shakeout for Late Breakout Traders In this scenario, we expect a deeper pullback that could be more intense—shifting the euphoria into gloom. A bottom signal will likely emerge as market sentiment turns bearish. BTC futures could dip back to pATHs, followed by a quick V bottom recovery that tests the confluence of yVPOC, key bull support, and yearly midpoint. Scenario 3 - Sustained Bullish Momentum to 100K In this scenario, a bullish run continues towards the 100K mark before it starts to cool down and consolidate between 90K and 100K price levels. This is a warning for those trying to time a top in BTC futures. It is better to plan than to step in blindly and fire from the hip. Considering trading CME BTC futures? You can now access CME MBT Micro Bitcoin futures, 1/10th the size of one bitcoin, and CME BFF, Bitcoin Friday futures, sized at 1/50 of a bitcoin, Bitcoin Friday futures is a short-dated contract that provides an accessible, capital-efficient way to manage your bitcoin trading strategies. Disclaimer: The views expressed are personal opinions and should not be interpreted as financial advice. NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products. Derivatives involve a substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors.
CME:BTC1!
by EdgeClear
Nasdaq 100 Consolidates Near Record High: Is a 22,000 Target NexThe U.S. presidential election has sparked optimism also in the stock market, with the technology index rising by 1,000 points. Following this new all-time high, the Nasdaq 100 ( PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 ) is now consolidating just below that level. This consolidation is taking the shape of a flag pattern, which could signal potential for further upward movement. A breakout to the upside would confirm this pattern and could set the stage for additional gains, with a target of 22,000 points.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by Mihai_Iacob
2
Is Bitcoin's Bullish Momentum Sustainable? A Detailed AnalysisBitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has been on a tear recently, with prices surging to levels not seen in years. This article delves into the key factors driving this bullish momentum and explores the potential implications for the cryptocurrency market's future. The Bull Flag Formation: A Technical Analysis Perspective A key technical indicator that has caught the attention of analysts is the formation of a bull flag pattern on Bitcoin's price chart. This pattern is characterized by a sharp upward move, followed by a period of consolidation within a descending trendline. Once the price breaks out of this flag, it often leads to a significant upward move. First Mover Americas highlighted Bitcoin's flirtation with the $90,000 level, emphasizing the volatility of the market. Such price swings are common in cryptocurrencies, particularly during periods of high momentum. The Role of Retail Investors While institutional investors have been a major force in the crypto market, retail investors, often referred to as "shrimps," have also played a crucial role in driving Bitcoin's recent rally. These shrimps have been actively accumulating Bitcoin, even as whales have been offloading their holdings. This suggests that retail investors are increasingly confident in Bitcoin's long-term potential. Overheating or Sustainable Growth? A common concern among investors is whether Bitcoin's rapid price appreciation is sustainable or if it is a bubble that is about to burst. Key metrics like the Hash Ribbons Indicator can provide valuable insights into the health of the Bitcoin network. The indicator, which tracks Bitcoin's hash rate's long-term and short-term moving averages, has recently crossed over, signaling strong miner confidence. This bullish crossover has historically been followed by significant price increases. Furthermore, Bitcoin's Weekly RSI (Relative Strength Index) has entered the overbought zone, indicating that the asset may be overvalued in the short term. However, the last time the RSI reached this level, Bitcoin surged by over 80%. It's important to note that technical indicators should be used in conjunction with fundamental analysis to make informed investment decisions. The Impact of Increased Trading Volume The surge in Bitcoin's price has been accompanied by a significant increase in trading volume. This increased activity, driven primarily by retail demand, has further fueled the rally. As more and more investors flock to the cryptocurrency market, the demand for Bitcoin is likely to continue to grow. Conclusion Bitcoin's recent bull run has been fueled by a combination of technical factors, strong investor sentiment, and increased retail demand. While the cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, the underlying fundamentals of Bitcoin remain strong. As the network matures and adoption grows, Bitcoin's long-term prospects appear promising. However, it's essential to approach cryptocurrency investments with caution. Investors should conduct thorough research and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Potential Downtrend in UPSUnited Parcel Service has been falling since the middle of last year, and some traders may see risk of another acceleration to the downside. The first pattern on today’s chart is the arrangement of the 50-, 100- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs). The faster SMAs have mostly remained below the slower ones, which is potentially consistent with a long-term downtrend. Second, the series of higher highs and higher lows since August may be viewed as a potential bearish flag. Further declines from here may suggest a breakdown is occurring. Third, UPS spiked toward $145 after the last quarterly report in October but quickly faded. That potentially confirmed resistance near the July 22 close, one day before a bearish earnings gap. Next, MACD is falling. The 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has also crossed below the 21-day EMA. Both of those patterns may suggest the short-term direction is growing bearish. We end with the weekly chart. The October 2023 low around $134 offered support in June. Prices tried to reclaim it last month but are now back below it. Is that longer-term level breaking? TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:UPS
by TradeStation
ASHOKLEY NSE BULLISH FLAG&POLE DTF/WTF SWING/POSITIONAL ASHOKLEY NSE Stock Analysis Trade Plan: Entry: 50% of the total quantity at 216 DTF Close, with an additional 50% added at 242 DTF Close Price. Stop Loss: 201 Target SWING: 264 ATH , Target 1: 275 Target 2: 310 Hold for a period of SIX months to TWO year or until the target 2 is reached. Chart Pattern: The stock had a nearly Four Month Bullish Run and now Retraced to 50% FIOBR in about a month Forming a Bullish Flag and Pole Pattern ,during the bull run it touched an all-time high (ATH) of 264. The Flag structure has been broken on the upside with a strong bullish candle a couple of days ago and a fair retracement yesterday. Technical Indicators: The stock’s daily timeframe (DTF) shows that the price is currently trading above the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) and below the 50-day EMA. The EMAs are in Transition stage of alignment. A potential bullish trend in formation on the DTF/WTF timeframe. Volume Analysis: There has been a surge up of volumes on the buy side for a few weeks now. There Decline in the sell volume indicating a potential reversal shortly. Prioritize Watch List: Keep this stock in your watch list for further analysis and potential trading opportunities. Disclaimer: This information is solely for educational and reference purposes. Trading inherently carries risks, and it’s crucial to exercise caution and conduct comprehensive research before making any investment decisions. Make sure you have a well-defined risk appetite, proper position sizing, and a stop-loss order based on your risk tolerance. Review your Portfolio periodically. Exit positions when the price closes 7-8% below your entry point or Earlier basis your Risk profile. Consider re-entering the market when the trend reverses.Before engaging in any trading activities, it is paramount to thoroughly comprehend these technical analysis concepts and conduct extensive research on the stocks you are interested in. Furthermore, consulting a certified financial advisor can offer valuable insights and guidance before making investment decisions. Technical Analysis Concepts: Multiple Time Frame Analysis (MTFA): Daily Time Frame (DTF): Used for short-term analysis and identifying trends. Weekly Time Frame (WTF): Provides a broader perspective and helps in trend confirmation. Monthly Time Frame (MTF): Ideal for long-term analysis and trend analysis. All-Time High (ATH): The highest price reached on a specific chart. Lifetime High (LTH): The highest price reached over the entire chart’s history. Stop Loss (SL): A predetermined price level at which an investment is automatically exited to limit potential losses. Swing Trade: A trading strategy that involves holding positions for a significant period, typically few weeks to months. Positional Trade: A trading strategy that aims to capitalize on long-term trends and position oneself accordingly. CHART PATTERNS Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle (RBC&H): A pattern that signals a potential reversal from a downtrend. Breakout (BO): A price move closure above a resistance or below a support level. Flag & Pole BO: (F&P BO) Bullish Continuation Pattern Consolidation : Price Typically Swings between a Range for a period of Time Long or Short basis the MTFA. Breaking out of this range UPWARDS is an opportunity to BUY and DOWNWARDS is SELL opportunity. Moving Averages: Exponential Moving Average (EMA): A popular moving average that places more weight on recent price data. Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA): A moving average that gives more weight to high-volume stocks. Fibonacci Retracement/Extension: Trend-based Fibonacci Retracement: Used to identify potential support and resistance levels during re-tracements. Trend-based Fibonacci Extension: Used to identify potential breakout levels during extensions.
NSE:ASHOKLEYLong
by billpramod
What is a BULL Flag Charting Pattern and How to draw it? 1/8This is video 1/8 of this series of BULLISH Chart Patterns. A bull flag is a continuation pattern that appears in a strong uptrend, signaling that the prevailing upward trend may continue. Here's how it looks: Flag Pole: A sharp, steep rise in price forms the flag pole. Flag: A period of consolidation with lower highs and lower lows, forming a flag that slopes against the prevailing uptrend. Breakout: A strong move upwards out of the flag, confirming the continuation of the uptrend. The bull flag pattern is popular among traders because it provides clear entry and exit points and is relatively easy to identify. It's a great indicator for momentum traders looking to capitalize on the continuation of a bullish trend. Like l Follow l Share Stay tuned for the other 7 BULLISH CHARTING PATTERNS
NASDAQ:GOOGEducation
by RonnieV29
14
$VKTX is about to FEAST! Don't miss out on this BioTech trade. 🚀 Here it is: Your Free Saturday Setup! 🚀 Just as promised, here is a detailed video analysis on NASDAQ:VKTX Viking Therapeutics! 🧬 This trade meets all the criteria of my "High Five Setup" trading strategy, backed by solid technical analysis. Also, it has the potential to return over 100% on your capital deployed. With more probabilities on our side, the likelihood of success is through the roof! 📈💥 Check it out, and let’s ride this wave together! 🌊 Stay tuned for more insights! 🔔 NFA #Trading #StockMarket #Biotech #Investing #HighFiveSetup
NASDAQ:VKTXLong
by RonnieV29
41