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Gold Trade Report UpdateDate: August 15, 2024 Instrument: Gold (XAU/USD) Timeframe: 30-Minute Chart Trade Type: Short Position at 2459.301 pending order will be great 1. Market Overview: Recent Performance: Gold has shown volatility recently, with a prior attempt at a bullish move that did not sustain. Current Sentiment: The overall sentiment remains cautious, with traders awaiting a clearer direction. There is a potential for a short-term upward push before a reversal to sell. 2. Trade Setup: Expected Scenario: Anticipating a short-term bullish push, likely to retest a resistance level before reversing into a short opportunity. Resistance Level: Watching for resistance around , which could be a prior swing high, Fibonacci level, or trendline. Confirmation Signals: Flag Structure forming Channel or Trendline Break below support after the push up. Bearish reversal candlestick pattern (e.g., engulfing, pin bar). Divergence on momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD).
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by justTheRookieTrader
MovieBloc (MBL) Flag breakout confirmationThe best returns in the final phase of the bull market shall be afforded to those who enter long positions right now, when emotions are raw. Not when the euphoria comes, anyone can make gains in a raging bull market. Long positions taken now when emotions are raw and traders discombobulated shall make the strongest returns. There are many examples of such opportunities in the market right now. On the above 10 day chart price action has corrected around 40% since late March. A number of reasons now exist to make this an attractive long position. They include: 1) RSI resistance breakout. 2) Hidden bullish divergence. Do you see it? Black arrows. You can wait years to see such a clean example. They occur as price action prints higher lows at the same time as oscillators print lower lows. 3) Price action breakout on flag. The flagpole extension forecasts a move to 10 cents. That is a 3000% upside move. Is it possible price action corrects further? Sure. Is it probable? No. Ww Type: trade Risk: <= 6% Timeframe for long: Now Return: At least 2000%
Long
by without_worries
4
Gold Trade ReportDate: August 15, 2024 Instrument: Gold (XAU/USD) Timeframe: 30-Minute Chart Trade Type: Short Position 1. Market Overview: Recent Performance: Gold has shown volatility recently, with a prior attempt at a bullish move that did not sustain. Current Sentiment: The overall sentiment remains cautious, with traders awaiting a clearer direction. There is a potential for a short-term upward push before a reversal to sell. 2. Trade Setup: Expected Scenario: Anticipating a short-term bullish push, likely to retest a resistance level before reversing into a short opportunity. Resistance Level: Watching for resistance around , which could be a prior swing high, Fibonacci level, or trendline. Confirmation Signals: Trendline Break below support after the push up. Bearish reversal candlestick pattern (e.g., engulfing, pin bar). Divergence on momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD).
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by justTheRookieTrader
GOLD at a Tipping Point: Rally or Reversal?Comprehensive Analysis of XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar) Across the 1-hour, 15-minute, and 4-hour charts, the current market structure of Gold against the U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) reveals a critical juncture, with several key technical patterns and liquidity zones influencing potential price movements. --- 1. Overall Market Structure: Large Ascending Channel (4-Hour Chart) - Channel Formation: The price has been trending within a **large Ascending Channel** since early May, with well-defined higher highs and higher lows. This channel serves as the primary structure guiding the market’s long-term movement. - Upper and Lower Boundaries: The upper boundary near 2474.774 (Daily LQZ) and the lower boundary near 2355.819 (Daily LQZ) are critical levels. The price is currently closer to the channel's upper half, indicating potential room for further upside but also a heightened risk of reversal. 2. Intermediate Market Structure: Recent Ascending Channel Breakdown (1-Hour & 4-Hour Charts) - Smaller Ascending Channel: On the 1-hour and 15-minute charts, a smaller Ascending Channel had formed recently, suggesting a potential continuation of the upward move. However, this channel experienced a breakdown, indicating a shift in short-term momentum. - Retest and Flag Formation: Following the breakdown, the price formed a flag pattern. This typically signals consolidation before continuation in the direction of the previous trend (which was down, post-breakdown). The resolution of this flag is crucial for the next significant move. --- 3. Liquidity Zones (LQZs): Key Decision Points - 1-Hour LQZ at 2441.637: A significant resistance level that the price is currently hovering near. Its strength has been tested, and it could either cap the current move or be breached if buying pressure increases. - 4-Hour LQZ at 2458.954: Positioned slightly above the current price, this is another critical resistance zone, closely aligned with the broader channel's upper resistance area. - Daily LQZ at 2474.774: This is a major resistance level that coincides with the upper boundary of the large Ascending Channel. If reached, it could signal an important inflection point. - Support at 2402.417 (1HR) and 2355.819 (Daily): These are key levels of support that could come into play if the price fails to break higher and instead moves downward. --- 4. Volume Analysis: Gauging Momentum** - Recent Volume Trends: Across the charts, volume has shown signs of moderation, particularly during the formation of the flag pattern. This suggests a potential lack of conviction among market participants, which could lead to a volatile breakout or breakdown. - Volume at Key Levels: It will be essential to monitor volume closely at critical LQZs and the flag pattern boundaries. A breakout with strong volume could confirm the direction, while a low-volume move might indicate a false breakout or temporary move. --- 5. Mass Psychology and Market Sentiment - Herd Behavior: The market is at a psychological tipping point. If a breakout from the flag pattern occurs, it could trigger a strong collective buying response, driving the price higher toward the 4HR and Daily LQZs. Conversely, a failure could lead to a rapid sell-off as participants rush to exit. - Overextension and Exhaustion: The proximity to significant resistance levels increases the risk of overextension. If the price approaches the Daily LQZ at 2474.774, traders should be cautious of a potential reversal due to exhaustion of the bullish trend. --- 6. Potential Scenarios and Strategic Considerations - Bullish Scenario: - Breakout Above Flag: A confirmed breakout above the flag pattern, supported by strong volume, could push the price towards the 4HR LQZ (2458.954) and potentially the Daily LQZ (2474.774). - Continuation Within the Larger Channel: If the price clears the 4HR LQZ, it could target the upper boundary of the large Ascending Channel, aligning with the Daily LQZ at 2474.774. - Bearish Scenario:** - Breakdown from Flag: A breakdown from the flag, especially with increasing volume, could signal a short-term bearish move, targeting support levels at 2402.417 (1HR LQZ) and 2355.819 (Daily LQZ). - Rejection at 1HR LQZ (2441.637): If the price fails to break the 1HR LQZ convincingly, it could lead to a retest of lower support levels, indicating a potential retracement within the larger channel. - Neutral/Baseline Strategy: - Wait for Confirmation: Traders might consider waiting for a clear breakout or breakdown from the flag pattern and observe how the price reacts at the nearest LQZs. This approach reduces the risk of being caught in a false move. - Risk Management: Stops should be placed strategically around the flag pattern’s boundaries or key LQZs to protect against adverse moves. --- Conclusion: The XAU/USD pair is currently at a crucial inflection point. The broader market structure, combined with recent developments in the 1-hour and 15-minute charts, suggests that the next significant move could set the tone for the short to medium term. Close attention should be paid to the flag pattern, volume behavior, and the reaction at key liquidity zones, particularly the 1HR and 4HR LQZs. A breakout could lead to a test of the upper boundaries of the larger channel, while a breakdown might see the price revisiting lower support levels within the channel. This is a classic setup where waiting for confirmation before entering a position could offer a strategic advantage, allowing for more informed and controlled trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Adlercon333
1
Is Polkadot going to make lower low?Yellow Line - BOS zone White Line - Resistance of Bearflag pattern. This is my idea on BINANCE:DOTUSDT and how it will go. We all know Dot is one of the top altcoins with huge potential. As you can see BINANCE:DOTUSDT is much likely to form a bearflag pattern before it goes up. If DOT ever reaches the 2.5-3 zone I would re-enter Long position again. You may think why 2.5-3 zone? isn't it going to make lower low? For me seeing a lower low is a confirmation that we are in a bearflag pattern and checking the bottom support line 3rd time is a huge confirmation to consider a Long Position. So time will tell!
by terayu
GBPUSD: Your Trading Plan For Next Week 🇬🇧🇺🇸 GBPUSD is trading in a global bullish trend. We see a correctional stage on the pair at the moment. The market is currently stuck within a falling parallel channel - a bullish flag pattern. A bullish breakout of the resistance of the flag - a daily candle close above that, will be a strong bullish signal. It will signify the end of a correction and a resumption of a bullish trend. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Long
by VasilyTrader
3