Get started

FLAG

AUDJPY Same Sell, Choose The Best Pair So similarly, AUDJPY has the similar sell price action like CADJPY. Its important to understand currency correlation, and why we need to choose the best 1 or 2 pairs of the same currency to enter. IF JPY is going to get stronger, then likely all the JPY will move. But if we are wrong on our analysis, all the JPY could reverse. So its in our best interest to reduce our risk in trading, choose and focus on the best potential setup in the market. Ideally, we need to wait for the bearish continuation correction on the lower time frame to confirm another move down.
Short
by jojofang0901
11
Silver Higher Time Frame Outlook Hello everyone: Most of the time I only focus on technical side of things, but this time I will go over both the fundamental and technical of Silver for the long term. Silver was only trading around 8-9$ around the 2008 market crashed, and peaked at 50$ in 2011. IT had slowly but surely dropped down to the lows again around 13$ in end of 2015. Understand that the price of silver can not go lower as there are many cost associated with silver. Whether is production, labor, inflations..etc. Price is not sustainable at low cost. Which leads to people understand the likelihood of price rising again. On the other hand, purely from a technical perspective, we are see a period of consolidation phrase from 2015 - 2019. If Covid didn't happen, price wouldn't test the lows of 2013 again. Regardless of the short term push down, we see price had the massive bullish push to the upside, clearly break all previous highs. This can be the start of the HTF bullish run. Latest price action shows us a big potential consolidation in the making. Can be the next continuation correction to push the price up. My approach would be wait for this HTF correction to complete tp give me more confluence that we are likely to resume the bullish move to the upside, and wait for LTF continuation correction for the buys. Thank you
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by jojofang0901
30
NQ - still (cautiously) bullish despite the volatilityDespite all the uncertainties and volatility in the market, the US indices especially Nasdaq has been resilient. Nasdaq has led the run up since the start of this year and as long as NQ continues to be in the lead among the 3 major indices (namely NQ, SPX an DJI), the market could remain overall bullish. The most recent "fearful" event (collapse of SVB) last week brought Nasdaq down briefly below it's 200 day MA but the reversal back up was just as quick once this problem was deemed contained. The new support is now established at 11700 (just slightly below the 50% fibonacci retracement of it's bullish AB swing, or 200 points (1.7%) below its 200 day MA @ 11900) The weekly chart painted a clearer view of it's bigger direction: A basing formation that has begun since hitting "the" low last October and a strong rally that ensued since the start of this year. Then a protracted 50% pullback of this rally in the past 6 weeks forming a potential "bull flag". A break out of this flag will be a good start that the upward momentum is continuing. Nasdaq first traded above the 200 day MA on 26 Jan and had retested this MA several times since (very briefly each time). This 200 day MA is hence still proving to be a support so far (though it has dipped briefly below that again last Friday on "panic"). As long as Nasdaq can continue to stay above the 200 day MA, then mid term trend is likely still up (worst case, the bull could be sluggish and choppy). Should FED raise interest rate again next week, then we could have another knee jerk sell off. However that could also mean that the economy isn't weak enough for Fed to want to stop raising the rates, it's a Goldilock situation. But let's see how the market reacts (once the knee jerk reaction, if any, begins to fade). The longer term bulls would be better off sitting tight or buying the dips unless we see a clear break below the 200 day MA. Short term trader will probably love this volatile market trading both ways. p/s SPX is now just under it's 200 day MA (red flag still), the coast will be clearer (for the bulls) if SPX could also start to have a close above this MA. Let's see. Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by Juliac
BTC/USD Daily Timeframe - Maybe Quasimodo Level Hi Dears Today let's analyze the bitcoin chart by RTM Method and in the daily timeframe. If you look carefully to this chart, you can see the resistance level (SR Line) at around 21500 then the FTX news cause the market to fall sharply to around 15500. This level was broken on 17 Jan 2023 and the price bounced sharply. The FL is made and we can see that there is a pullback to this FL zone on 10 Feb 2023. This FL was Engulfed 3 days ago and the price returns to its uptrend. The important thing is that the FL is engulfed clearly by the price so we have to take our bearish scenario. Also the Quasimodo Pattern is creating and we have to wait for this pattern to be completed. we engulfed the bottom of the left shoulder and a head is seen. When the price reaches the Kink zone, we have to wait for trigger or signal bar. Then we make short at this level. Becarefull that we have to see the trigger and then go short. Sincerely Hosein Poursaei
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by hosein-9879
Possible beginning of a new bearish leg for SPXSummary: Main bearish trend (dotted teal downtrend line) Reversal attempt in progress (purple uptrend line) 200-SMA breakout in jan-2023 Failure to continue the breakout (failed bull flag - orange lines) Arrow #3 as a good entry option for a bear trade. Possible beginning of a new bearish leg, aligned with the main trend Possibility to surpass the last low (oct-13-2022). Set target @3,330.00. Timeframe expected: 3 to 4 months. Detailed explanation: 2022 was a very bearish year for stock markets, and prices have navigated under the 200-days simple moving average (200-SMA) for the most part of the year. On the other hand, the first months of 2023 had some attempts of breakout to this widely known indicator. By December, 2022, prices tried to break-up the 200-SMA, but failed, then pulled back and tried a new breakout in January, 2023, that succeeded and provided some hope for a reversal. Arrow #1 is signaling the top of this bullish leg. After this, prices developed a little bull flag (orange lines) , near a resistance level. I have been closely following the price movement on this flag, to try to catch a trading opportunity, bullish or bearish. The bullish case was the most evident, and would happen with the breakout of the flag, confirming the continuation of the main trend reversal. But if it didn’t come true, prices could continue on a longer range or even breakdown the 200-SMA, providing, hence, a bearish trade. It turned out that the second case is being developed. On February 21st the bull flag was undone, by a very bearish -2% candle, then some days passed and the 200-SMA offered a support for the prices, this movement came along with some doubt candles (tiny ranges, long wicks), their in the area near arrow #2. This arrow points specifically to a bullish engulfing candle, that signaled a possible return of the bull and that the 200-SMA would indeed sustain the prices. After that, a bullish candle confirmed the engulfing pattern, and I considered that now it was a “make or break” situation, that either had to continue with strong buyings or finally give away and return to the main bearish trend (dotted teal downtrend line) . The second scenario happened, with a classical shooting star candle denoting a top, indicated by arrow #3 and followed by a relevant -1.53% bearish candle. I consider it can turn out to be the beginning of a new bearish leg in favor of the main market trend. If it breakdown the 200-SMA (and the previous bottom, of arrow #2) we will probably be full gas back to the bearish trend, reverting that secondary bullish trend indicated by the purple line. Predicting the future is impossible, but trading is a probability game, and to my criteria the odds are high enough to make a bet now. So, I started a trade yesterday near the market close. The stop zone is a little above the high of the shooting star candle of mar-06-2023, and my target is @3,300.00, I chose this number considering that this is a movement with the main trend, and that the last low (oct-13-2022) is usually surpassed in this kind of situation. PS: I know there’s a whole FED policy/interest rates discussion going on, and that it provides much of the ultimate reasons for the market movements I described, but I will stick to technical analysis here and to the principle that the chart sums it all up, hence I considered only price patterns in my analysis.
SP:SPXShort
by thessia_
1