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Fibonacci Extension

Bitcoin: Potential 2025 targetsHere you can see the similarities between the last three halving cycles and compare them to the current fourth one. The blue zones represent when the price has broken the 0.382 fib after a bear market roughly one year before the halving. The price never broke the 0.786 fib before the halving, so I don’t expect the price to go above $50,000 until at least few months after the halving in 2024. The green zones represent the time from the halving to the peak. The price reached the 1.618 fib in each of the previous cycles (and got a massive rejection). This cycle the 1.618 fib is at $174,000. The orange zones represent blow-off tops. In the first two cycles the price kept going all the way to the 2.272 fib. In the last cycle it didn’t happen (but it was still a very bullish phase). This cycle the 2.272 fib is at $462,000. I have copied the price action of the last three cycles and adjusted them to the current fib levels to get a visualization of what we can expect after the next halving. I don’t know what will happen before the next halving, but I expect the price to range between $20,000 and $50,000. Main target for 2025 is just under $200,000. And maybe we’ll see $420,690 just for the meme.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Fahrrr
2
Advance Enzyme: Prempting a Cup and Handle Breakout!🚀 Advance Enzyme: Prempting a Cup and Handle Breakout! 🚀 Current Market Price: 425 Stop Loss: 330 Targets: 540, 640, 740 Advance Enzyme is on the verge of a significant move, showing signs of a cup and handle breakout. A monthly close above 429 could mark the end of a nearly 2-year consolidation, setting the stage for a big rally. A large wick in the chart suggests that strong momentum could come above 510. Additionally, a clear double rounding bottom pattern on the line chart indicates a potential breakout above 430, supported by the Fibonacci 62% level. 📉 Risk Management: Ensure to manage risk with a stop loss at 330. 📊 Disclaimer: As a non-SEBI registered analyst, I recommend conducting thorough research or seeking advice from financial professionals before making investment decisions. Exciting times ahead! #MarketAnalysis #AdvanceEnzyme #TechnicalAnalysis #CupAndHandle #InvestmentOpportunities #BreakoutTrading
NSE:ADVENZYMESLong
by satyam15
BTC : Fibonacci Grid Time and Space only exist between two points. You can build an entire grid system using only two points, and multiples of the distances between those two points. On a price and time scale, this can be useful in establishing critical levels used to assist us with trading. Which two points you choose can unfold entirely different results. In this example, two relatively recent points were chosen to maximize accuracy and effectiveness of the grid in relation to the most current candles. This idea is presented using the 2Day timeframe to allow the display of the entire history of Bitcoin. Finding the two points used to build this particular grid structure is as simple as locating the intersection of price level 0 and time level 0 (0,0), and the intersection of price level 1 and time level 1 (1,1). Multiples of the vertical distance between the two points are extended vertically on the price scale, and multiples of the horizontal distance between the two points are extended horizontally on the time scale. Within these unitary extensions, Fibonacci-numbered levels are specifically highlighted as vital extension levels based on the two chosen points. Don't forget to also view the chart using the linear price scale for an alternate perspective. Any two levels on the same scale can be further divided if needed to assist with action on smaller scale frames : For more information on how Fibonacci levels can interconnect and overlap, see this shadow-banned educational idea : Finally, thank you to my followers and to those who enjoyed viewing these ideas. Please feel free to give them a boost if you like them. // Durbtrade
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Durbtrade
9
GBPUSD → False breakdown led to the beginning of correctionFX:GBPUSD forms a false breakdown of resistance, which leads to a change in the nature of market movement. At this time, the dollar temporarily changes course and moves to the correction phase. GBPUSD is globally bullish. After breaking through resistance on D1, the price moves into the correction phase, which was generally logical to expect. Ahead is the key area on H4 - 1.29 from which a rebound is possible. A reversal pattern is forming locally, but the probability of a trend change is low. In the medium term I expect a correction to 0.5-0.7 fibo with further reversal, but the long-term outlook is bullish. The reason for this movement is the unstable fundamental environment due to the presidential race in the U.S. as well as the politically dependent opinion of the Fed, as well as the forex market movements are beginning to be influenced by Trump's speeches.... Resistance levels: 1.2978 Support levels: 1.290, 1.286, 1.284 Technically, we should wait for a bounce from 1.29 by 10-20% from the current movement with the aim to continue the correction towards the mentioned support zone. Thursday's news supported the dollar, today the general fundamental background remains (no news). Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ GBPUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
5
Is 240k BTC a Crazy Idea? Maybe not...Corrections both lasted almost a perfect year. People are beginning to accept the 4 year cycle based on the halvening. 3 years of bullish action, 1 year of bearish correction. If the top trend line remains valid into the next bull run, there is a case for a 240k coin. This would land the price action somewhere between the 2.618 and 3.618 fib extension. This would also give us another touch on the top trend line. Send it. Am I crazy? You decide, in the comments of course. Not financial advice. Novice trader here. Do your own DD! Comment and let me know how bad this idea is!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by BallsOfSteel32
11
GOLD → False breakdown. Will we return to the bullish trend?FX:XAUUSD is entering the correction phase after a false breakdown of trend resistance and the previous ATH. The fundamental background is changed by Thursday's news that supported the dollar. Overall, the environment on D1 is still bullish. If the price finds a strong support in the near future, for example 2390-2400, this area may get the status of an intermediate bottom, thus forming a new trading range. There is no news today, thus the fundamental background remains the same. Trading has been complicated lately by the presidential race in the USA. The statements of Powell, politically dependent Fed, Trump can be perceived by traders quite strongly. But the medium-term outlook is determined by the fact that politicians are generally set to lower the dollar, which is generally favorable for gold, which may soon return to the bullish trend phase (locally) Resistance levels: 2420, 2429, 2450 Support levels: trend, 2402, 2900 Technically, the price may continue the correction to trend support, but due to the pool of liquidity in the area where the price may land within the correction, gold may get a reaction in the form of a bounce to the nearest resistance Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
25
EURUSD → The bulls can take us to 1.100 ↑FX:EURUSD maintains a bullish structure. Ahead is the key resistance from which a pullback may follow before further growth. On Saturday, there was high-profile news related to the attack on former US President Trump. The markets expected a more violent reaction from the opening, but in general only a small gap was created and it was dealt with rather quickly. Accordingly, the situation is stable. Fundamentally, everything is positive enough with the aim of continuing growth, but today at 16:30 GMT Powell speaks and it is worth to pay attention to his speech. Technically, the key resistance at 1.0916 is ahead, from which a pullback may follow, as this strong area will not be broken at the first time. Resistance levels: 1.0916 Support levels: 1.08522 There is a high probability of a rebound from resistance. As part of the correction, the nearest liquidity area may be tested before the subsequent retest of resistance, breakout and growth to 1.10 Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with EURUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
DXY: Deep Dive Analysis And Its Impact on Other Assets✨Welcome to my channel. Here, we conduct a daily analysis of crypto projects and forex pairs. 📅 Today's Analysis : Today, we'll be diving into the Forex market and analyzing the DXY index. 🔄 Previous Analysis Recap : In our last analysis, we reviewed this index in the weekly and monthly timeframes, incorporating fundamental analysis based on US interest rates and economic conditions. We noted that if support at 100.883 is broken, the price might start a downward movement. Today, we'll delve into the weekly, daily, and 4-hour timeframes to examine the smaller cycles and waves of this index. 📰 News Overview : Let's start with significant US news. The most noteworthy event is the incident involving Donald Trump, the Republican representative, who luckily survived. This incident has swayed many votes towards Trump, and positive discussions about him are trending on social media. This happened on a Sunday, so its impact on the Forex market was limited, but it immediately influenced the crypto market. Given Trump's support for crypto, Bitcoin saw a 2% upward candle and continued a short-term upward trend. On the other hand, the situation for Democrats isn't looking good. Joe Biden, their representative, seems unlikely to win based on his debate performances. The general sentiment on social media favors Trump, and with the power of media, it seems likely that Trump will be the next US president. If Trump wins, we might see growth in the crypto market due to his supportive stance. 📅 Weekly Timeframe [/b In this timeframe, after a significant price rise, the correction began, and the price dropped from the 113.305 peak to the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 100.883. It has since formed a long-term range between 100.883 and 106.630 since late 2022. Within this range, there's a symmetrical triangle pattern, and we are in the last third of the triangle with reduced price fluctuations between 104.039 and 106.121. 🎯 If the price gains downward momentum, our target can be 100.883. If it breaks the 106.121 resistance, the price will enter a strong supply zone between 106.121 and 106.630. For more details on this zone, we should move to the daily timeframe. 📅 Daily Timeframe In this timeframe, I've adjusted the support and resistance levels for more precision. The supply zone between 106.338 and 107.017 is crucial because the price faked out below the trendline once and bounced back up from the 100.883 static support, indicating a strong upward trend. However, it failed to penetrate this supply zone and was rejected at 106.338 without reaching the main resistance at 107.017. 📉 Last week's candle closed below the trendline, but I don't consider this breakout valid yet as it could be another fake-out, with the price bouncing from the nearest support and resuming its upward movement. I'll wait to see if the 104.039 support holds before confirming the trendline break. If this support breaks and the price stabilizes below it, a downward wave may begin, targeting 102.668 and then 100.883. 📈 If the price bounces back up from 104.039, the nearest resistance is at 106.338, a very strong supply zone. 🧩 Given the fundamental conditions and the break of 38.71 support in the RSI oscillator, a price decline seems more likely, but nothing is certain. If I see bullish signs and confirmations according to my trading strategy, I will adjust my view. The market is always changing, and one should not be biased towards a previous analysis. 📅 4-Hour Timeframe: This timeframe is too noisy for detailed analysis, so I'll focus on triggers and key points. 📈 If the price stabilizes above 104.524 and forms a higher high and low, we might see a Failure Swing pattern, indicating a trend change per Dow Theory. If this pattern completes, we can consider the market bullish in the 4-hour timeframe. Breaking the 50 level in RSI could provide additional confirmation. ⚡️ Next resistances are 105.162 and 106.121. 📉 For a bearish scenario, the 4-hour trigger aligns with the daily, and a break below 104.039 would suggest a downward move. 🔍 Let's look at the DXY's impact on Gold and Bitcoin. 👑 Bitcoin Analysis If the USD strengthens, Bitcoin might see another correction wave to the 56k and 47k levels. If the USD weakens, new ATHs for Bitcoin could be on the horizon. 🧲 Given Bitcoin's strong upward momentum and the visible curved trendline, we can target 130k for Bitcoin if the USD's value drops. 🥇 Gold Analysis Gold has significant upward momentum and is currently recording new ATHs. If the DXY declines further, gold could target $2800. 🔑If the DXY strengthens, gold might correct to around $2000, but this seems unlikely as gold typically has minor corrections and maintains a long-term upward trend. ⚠️Please note that this is not financial advice. I'm simply introducing this project to you, and remember always to do your own research. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
TVC:DXYShort
by itsparham96
1
TRIP.com / Beginning of Up Trend Stock Beginning of the trend Stock, breaking the Wyckoff accumulation Phase and has Volume Profile Normal Distribution Support The volume from Accumulation Phase has not yet been sold out. It can continue with accumulated volume with first target at 261.8 Fibonacci Retracement and cluster with 161.8 of Fibonacci Extension. Strategy Buy on dip at 368 - 390 for buy set 1 and if the price drops to 368, there is still buy set 2 at prices 330-355 by waiting for Reversal Pattern. Trading in your plan with your faith, C.Goii Super Trader
HKEX:9961Long
by CoachGoii_SuperTrader
Bitcoin's Parabolic Potential & MANA's Key Levels Revealed📅 Let's dive into today's analysis. We are focusing on the crypto market, where we've seen an upward move, and Bitcoin is at a critical and exciting position. The coin I'll be analyzing today is MANA. 👑 Bitcoin Analysis 🔍 Bitcoin Technical Analysis In the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin has started to correct after reaching the 59323 support level and has now created a bullish structure in this timeframe, reaching the 63700 resistance level. A correction to 0.382 of this upward wave has been made, creating a box between 36700 and 62634. 🧲 Trend Line Analysis Additionally, there is a curved trend line supporting the price. Since this line is curved, it could trigger a parabolic movement in the market. Conversely, if this trend line breaks, we might witness another sharp drop in the market. 📊 Volume Analysis The market volume is ranging and is neither converging with buyers nor sellers. The direction will likely depend on which side increases its volume. 📈 Long Position Strategy Long Position: We can enter a long position with a break above 63700, targeting 64530 as the first target. A riskier trigger is at 63122. RSI stabilization above the 55.87 resistance can act as confirmation for these positions. 📉 Short Position Strategy Short Position: For a short position, first wait for a candle to stabilize below the curved trend line and activate the 62634 trigger. The second trigger is breaking the trend line at 62168. The RSI confirmation trigger is at 40.72. 🔍 MANA Analysis 🗂 Project Overview Decentraland is a crypto and metaverse project where everyone can buy land and introduce their projects to others. The native token of this platform is MANA, and all transactions on this platform are conducted using this token. 🧲 Trend Line Analysis In the 4-hour timeframe, this coin has started a downward trend from 0.4832 and dropped to the 0.3170 support level. After reaching this support, it corrected up to 0.236 and created a range box. This coin also has an upward curved trend line that could trigger a parabolic movement in the coin. 📈 Long Position Strategy Long Position: Stabilizing the candle above the 0.236 area could push the price upward, creating bullish momentum to move towards the 0.5 Fibonacci area, which coincides with 0.3896. For this position, buying volume must enter the market, and the RSI trigger is at 59.26. 📉 Short Position Strategy Short Position: For a short position, first wait for the curved trend line to break. For additional confirmation, we have two triggers: the first is at 0.3287, and the second is at 0.3170. If these levels break, we can expect the price to move down to 0.2792 based on Fibonacci Extension. Personally, I would open a position with a break below 0.3170 only if the selling volume increases and the RSI is below 50. Otherwise, I will wait for a break below 0.2792. 📝 Conclusion In conclusion, both Bitcoin and MANA are showing critical levels that could determine their next major moves. Bitcoin's parabolic potential hinges on its curved trend line support, while MANA's future depends on its range and trend line dynamics. Keep an eye on the volume and RSI confirmations for better entry points. 🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
by itsparham96
1
Gold Analysis in Forex Market📅 Let's get into today's analysis. I've decided to focus more on Forex analyses, and today we're analyzing gold with the main timeframe being daily. I'll be looking at the chart solely from a technical analysis perspective. 🔍 In the daily timeframe, as you can see, after breaking the 2075 resistance level, bullish momentum entered the market, and we managed to move up to the 2425 resistance level. After this sharp upward movement, the market entered a correction phase and corrected down to 2289. Currently, the price is ranging between the 0.236 Fibonacci level and the 2425 resistance. I believe that until the SMA99 reaches the price, new bullish momentum could enter the market, and you can confirm this momentum by a break above 2425. If the candle closes below the 0.236 Fibonacci level, we might move down to the Golden Zone of Fibonacci, which lies between 0.5 and 0.618. 🧩 There is also a minor trend line that the price has reacted to three times so far, which could be a key determinant for future price movements. 🧲 Regarding the SMA99, it has the property of creating significant distances when the market is trending. However, it eventually acts like a black hole, pulling the price towards it. This is happening after the rejection at 2425, and I believe the price will range until it meets the SMA99. Additionally, this SMA acts as a support and resistance level, potentially supporting the price once it reaches it and pushing the price upward. 📈 For a long position on the daily timeframe, it seems appropriate to wait for a break of the trend line and a confirmation above the 2425 area. The target for this move, based on Fibonacci extension, could be 2759. However, this target is quite high, and if the price aims to reach it, it will likely be a long-term move. 📉 For a short position, breaking below 2289 serves as a good trigger. If the price stabilizes below this level, it might move down to the area between 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels. This position is quite risky as the High Wave Cycle for gold is bullish, and this move in the Low Wave Cycle could be filled with noise. For shorter-term positions, it's better to look at the 4-hour timeframe. In this timeframe, we have a long-term range box and a significant support area at the 0.236 Fibonacci level on the daily chart. There’s no need to extend the analysis here; I’ll just discuss the entry triggers. 📈 For long positions, we have three different triggers. The first trigger is at 2338, which is the riskiest one with a target of 2365. The next trigger is at 2365 with a target of 2439. The final trigger is at 2439. 📉 For short positions, there's a very risky position with a trigger at 2320, and the second trigger is the break of the support area. ♟ Now, let me explain how I personally trade with each trigger. For the long trigger at 2338, I open positions in lower timeframes such as the 1-hour chart and set a small stop loss to quickly reach a risk-reward ratio of 2, which is my first target, with minimal risk. For the 2365 trigger, I open a position with normal risk and a regular stop loss size. For the 2439 trigger, I open a position with a larger stop loss because the trigger is at an all-time high (ATH) and represents a very strong supply zone. For short positions, I do not open any until the price stabilizes below the support area. 📝In summary, gold is currently in a ranging phase between the 0.236 Fibonacci level and the 2425 resistance level. Depending on the break above 2425 or below 2289, there are opportunities for long or short positions, respectively. For those trading in shorter timeframes, key entry triggers and careful risk management are essential to navigate the market effectively. 🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by itsparham96
3
Nifty Higher Highs! Nifty has been seen gone bonkers and making swift moments upwards, without giving any breather to option writers. India VIX too marching along nifty(as suggested in previous post). Here in this study, on the left, I highlight the fund managers' chart or Quarterly Chart of Nifty. With help of #Elliot wave principles, I have marked the #Fibonacci Extension level on the lifetime chart of Nifty. Interestingly, Fibonacci levels have acted as major #Resistances. We have see big corrections only at these levels. We had expected Nifty to spend some more time at 2.6 Fib levels or 18000. But, Nifty has surpassed this 2.6 Fib Level and now heading towards 3.6 Level or ~24250. Before that I do not foresee any major correction! Note how Quarterly 50 EMA as been the lifeline or rock solid #support, even in time of distress. On the right, is the post-covid rise of Nifty on Monthly time-frame. I have plotted EMAs and MACD. Very beautifully price has mostly been above monthly 5 EMA to continue its upwards journey. Monthly 13 EMA and 26 EMA have acted like good support, ideal for swing entries. Currently price has broken out of the 2023 #Flag&Pole pattern. Zooming towards the next Target ~24250. Here I would like to draw your attention on #MACD. The rise after the covid-fall had given us positive crossover. And it is only now that we are getting a positive crossover which has now sustained with the flag breakout and aiming upwards. Isn't it a great confirmation. It is buy on dips all the way, provided you get those dips now ;-) Note: Current Monthly candle is still a running candle. It can even close at lower levels or turn negative. So is the case with the Quarterly candle. But this will not change our view. Our view will still be bullish towards our next target ~24250, just that the momentum might get slow and that we might take more time to reach our target.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by TradeRight_by_VP
2
Market Insights: Navigating Bitcoin and DYDX📅 Let's dive into today's analysis. The market continues to range, and Bitcoin had a fake breakout yesterday, returning to its range box. Today, it might finally find a suitable condition for a long position. Today's altcoin focus is DYDX, which presents a good shorting opportunity. 👑 Bitcoin Analysis 🔄 As usual, I'm analyzing Bitcoin in the 1-hour timeframe. We had a short entry trigger at 60718, but after breaking this level, the price couldn't continue its downtrend and returned to its range box. If you entered on very low timeframes like 15 minutes, you probably hit a risk-to-reward ratio of 2 and hit your target. However, if you entered in the 1-hour timeframe like me, you would have hit your stop loss, which happened to me as well. 🔍 Now, let's find today's trading triggers. After the fake breakout, we can say the first sign of buyers entering the market was seen. However, it's Saturday, and the volume is very low, so we can't say that buyers are showing a weak trend. I think it's better to stay away from the market today and tomorrow due to low volume, but we should check the market every few hours because we might miss a sharp move. 📈 For a long position, I personally will wait for the 62168 trigger, as it will likely take some time for the price to reach it. By then, the weekend will be over, and the market will have more logical volume. If the trigger breaks quickly before the weekend ends, we can conclude the market has momentum, making it viable to open a position. 📉 For a short position, 60718 is still suitable, but if the price revisits and reacts to this level again, it will be even more suitable for a short. I'm not focusing much on Bitcoin short positions because DYDX has a better trigger for shorting today compared to Bitcoin. 💱 DYDX Analysis 🗂 Let's move on to DYDX. There's no need to explain the project in detail because I covered it fully in previous analyses. However, to give a brief summary, DYDX is a decentralized platform where you can open positions. For more details, you can check out past analyses. If you want a comprehensive analysis of DYDX covering all timeframes and a detailed project explanation, let me know in the comments, and I'll do that for you. 🔍 In the 4-hour timeframe, as you can see, there's a downtrend starting from the break of 1.935 down to 1.306. Drawing a Fibonacci retracement, we see it corrected up to 0.382 and formed a range box between 1.1306 and 1.505. On a smaller scale, there's a smaller range box between 1.434 and 1.343. 📈 For a long position, we can enter after breaking 1.434, aiming for 1.505. The next trigger is breaking 1.505, which could move the price towards 0.618. The final target for this position is 1.794. 📉 For a short position, we have two triggers: 1.343 and 1.306. If the price makes another downward move, it can reach 1.030, a level indicated by the Fibonacci extension. 📊 For all triggers, note that volume should increase in the direction of the position you want to open. Otherwise, we have a divergence, and the trend can't be trusted. 🧩 Regarding RSI, there's an ascending triangle. If the trendline of this triangle or the 57.16 resistance breaks, it confirms the activation of this pattern, providing a confirmation for the position you want to open. The trendline break trigger is 36.71. 📝Both Bitcoin and DYDX are at pivotal points. Bitcoin's low weekend volume suggests caution, while DYDX presents clear short and long opportunities based on the triggers discussed. Monitor volume closely and ensure confirmations through RSI patterns to make well-informed trading decisions. 🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
by itsparham96
3
Bitcoin - Ultimate 2025 target + Name your coinBitcoin should bounce soon from the 62,400 level and continue in the bull market to an all-time high. Why 62,400? All details are in my previous analysis in the related section down below. Critical news: Looking at AI-generated images and listening to AI music causes internal mental bleeding. Regulations on AI will follow. Bad news for AI crypto coins? (Source: X). Michael Saylor's MicroStrategy Acquires 11.9K More Bitcoin for $786M. The company now holds 226,331 bitcoins worth just shy of $15 billion. The company's bitcoins were purchased at an average price of $36,798 each. (Source: CoinDesk). To establish the ultimate profit target for the whole bull run, we need to use the Fibonacci extension and Elliott Wave theory. Throw away all Fibonacci levels on Bitcoin and use only following that works: 0.382, 0.500, 0.618, 1.000, 1.382, 1.618, 2.000, 2.382, 2.618, 3.000 etc......First, we need to make an Elliott Wave count, and after that, we can use the Fibonacci extension tool. As per my Elliott Wave count, we are in the final wave (5) of the whole bull cycle. That means we are in an impulse wave (1)(2)(3)(4)(5) and finishing the fifth wave. In general, to establish the profit target for wave (5), we need to use the Fibonacci extension tool from the start of the bull market, to wave (3), to wave (4). Usually, we want to target the 0.382 fib extension or the 0.618 fib extension. But in this case, it seems to be too low, so I am targeting a 1:1 FIB extension because of the wave (2) look. This gives us a profit target of 114,853. Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Also, name your coin in the comment section and I will tell you my opinion + TA. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
Long
by Xanrox
269
DXY Weekly Analysis and Its Impact on Forex PairsLet's dive into today's analysis. Today, I want to share a Forex analysis with you, focusing on the DXY index. The timeframe for this analysis is weekly, but we'll also take a look at other timeframes. 🧲 Long-Term Support First, let's examine the curved trend line on the monthly timeframe, which has been significant since 2008, acting like a magnet attracting the price. This trend line is a crucial support for the dollar and has kept the overall trend of the dollar bullish for years. 🔑 Key Resistance Levels Additionally, in this timeframe, if we apply a Fibonacci extension from the previous wave, we see that the top of this wave, which corresponds to 113.7, has completed at the 1 level. If this peak is breached, we could move up to 1.618, which is 131. However, there's a significant resistance at 119.76. 📰 Interest Rates and Economic Outlook Given that the US interest rate is already high, it's unlikely to increase further beyond 5.5% as it could harm the US economy in the long term. On the other hand, inflation has reached 3.25%, nearing the 2% target. Therefore, there's no reason to raise interest rates further. If they start reducing the interest rates, we could see an uptrend in stock markets like crypto and renowned global stocks such as Apple, Microsoft, Tesla, etc. If this happens, the DXY trend will turn bearish and could potentially drop back to the 89.59 support. 📅 Weekly Timeframe Analysis In the weekly timeframe, the curved trend line is also evident, and the price is near this trend. Drawing Fibonacci from the previous wave shows that the price has bounced back from the 0.5 level, overlapping with the old support at 101.195, and has created a range box between this area and the 0.236 level at 106.723, forming since late 2022. 📈 If 106.723 is breached, we could target 113.701 and the next target at 119.76. However, due to anticipated rate cuts, I believe the USD will remain bearish and won't go beyond 113. 📉 For a decline, if 101.195 breaks and the Federal Reserve starts lowering rates, we could expect a drop to the 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci levels, which are 98.023 and 94.374, respectively. 🔎 RSI Indicator The RSI is ranging between 66.02 and 34.17. Given that FOMO is less powerful in the Forex market compared to crypto, if we reach either of these numbers, it might be time to take profits as the trend could weaken. 💵 Impact on EURUSD and USDCAD 🇪🇺 EUR/USD If the DXY drops, we might see the EUR/USD break the 1.1064 resistance, and even move towards 1.1205, and then target 1.16588 and 1.22423. However, 1.22423 seems distant and unrealistic given Europe's current strength. In case of a DXY increase, the EUR/USD could head towards the historical low of 0.96801 after breaking 1.05195, though it's likely to find support sooner. 🇨🇦 USD/CAD For USD/CAD, a rising DXY could push it to 1.43687 after breaking 1.38713. Conversely, if the DXY drops, the trend line might break, and after breaking 1.31457, it could move towards 1.20374. 📝 Conclusion In summary, the DXY index is at a critical juncture with significant supports and resistances on both the monthly and weekly timeframes. Anticipated changes in US interest rates could significantly impact its trend. While the USD may see some strength in the short term, a long-term bearish trend seems likely, particularly if interest rates begin to decrease. This will, in turn, affect major Forex pairs like EUR/USD and USD/CAD, with potential bullish moves in EUR/USD and bearish moves in USD/CAD depending on the DXY's movement. Always remember to conduct thorough research and apply sound risk management in your trading strategies.
TVC:DXYShort
by itsparham96
4
IMX Analysis: Daily Review and Bitcoin Update🔍Let's dive into today's analysis. Today, we're focusing on the IMX coin, examining it in the daily timeframe. But before we get into that, as usual, let's review the daily Bitcoin analysis and provide an update on yesterday's analysis in the 1-hour timeframe. 👑 Bitcoin Analysis 1-Hour Timeframe Bitcoin analysis is in the 1-hour timeframe. As mentioned yesterday, the market needs to establish a new structure. Given that today is Saturday and market volume is low, it is advisable not to open any positions today and tomorrow. 📈 After the recent drop, we saw a slight upward movement with very low volume, which appears to be a pullback to 64530, overlapping with the middle line of the descending channel. If selling volume enters the market simultaneously with a rejection from this area, despite it being Saturday, I might open my position with less risk. The target for this position could be the channel's bottom or 63343. 🔑 Breaking 44.53 can be a good confirmation for this risky short position. ⚠️ Currently, I don't have a trigger for a long position and won't open one until buying volume enters the market. If you want to open a long position, breaking 64530 could be suitable, but I don't recommend opening a position with this trigger, and I won't either. 🎮 IMX Analysis 🔫Overview IMX operates in the field of crypto games, providing infrastructure for other projects. It allows both game creation and gameplay within its ecosystem, making it a comprehensive platform for enthusiasts of crypto games and play-to-earn models. 📅Daily Timeframe Looking at the chart in the daily timeframe, the first thing that stands out is the head and shoulders pattern, with its trigger already activated. This pattern emerged from the coin's upward movement from 0.4915 to 3.6567, with the trigger appearing at the 0.382 level. Upon breaking this trigger, we can aim for the targets indicated in the chart. 🎯 The first target is the 1 Fibonacci extension point on the downside, overlapping with the 1.2463 support, forming a strong area. The second target is an extremely strong area for several reasons: it is the 1.618 Fibonacci extension point and one of the most important support levels for this coin. Additionally, it is the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement point and the first target of the head and shoulders pattern. 🔻 Currently, the trend for this coin appears bearish. Breaking 23.75 in RSI can introduce more downward momentum into the market. However, for a long or spot purchase, I'll wait until the price moves above the 1.7739 area and RSI breaks 39.60. Only then will I consider a long position. 📝 In summary, while the current market sentiment for both Bitcoin and IMX is bearish, careful observation of key levels and triggers can present potential trading opportunities. For Bitcoin, caution is advised with low market volume over the weekend. For IMX, the head and shoulders pattern indicates possible downward targets, but significant levels must be watched for potential reversal signals. Always wait for volume confirmation to avoid false moves and optimize your trading decisions.
Short
by itsparham96
2
Bitcoin - historical bull trap! + Name your altcoinMake sure you prepare for this huge historical bullish trap on Bitcoin. Why? First, look at the price action. We have a bullish flag, that's what everyone sees. The market makers count every cent on their accounts, and this is a pretty good opportunity for them to make a lot of money by trapping retail traders. What will a typical retail trader do in this situation? Probably buy/long BTC at around 71k to 75k. That's where the whales step in and start selling, sending BTC back to 63k! Why 63k? This is a strong support because we have an unfilled FVGAP + Point of control (POC) of the previous market structure. I really don't see any bullish sentiment during the summer season, as statistically, Bitcoin has been going sideways.  From the Elliott Wave perspective, we are in wave 5 of the first impulse wave, which is of course very bullish for the long-term, but buying at the end of wave 5 is probably not a good idea. What successful traders generally do is wait for an ABC corrective pattern to form before buying. In the comment section, name your altcoin, and I will make a technical analysis for you and my opinion! Please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
Short
by Xanrox
261
Pulse of an Asset via Fibonacci: AAPL at ATH Impulse Redux"Impulse" is a surge that creates "Ripples", like a pebble into water. "Impulse Redux" is returning of wave to the original source of energy. "Impulse Core" is the zone of maximum energy, in the Golden Pocket. Are the sellers still there? Enough to absorb the buying power? Reaction at Impulse is worth observing closely to gauge energy. Rejection is expected on at least first approach if not several. Part of my ongoing series to collect examples of my Methodology: (click links below) Chapter 1: Introduction and numerous Examples Chapter 2: Detailed views and Wave Analysis Chapter 3: The Dreaded 9.618: Murderer of Moves Chapter 4: Impulse Redux: Return to Birth place <= Current Example Chapter 5: Golden Growth: Parabolic Expansions Chapter 6: Give me a ping Vasili: one Ping only . . Ordered Chaos every Wave is born from Impulse, like a Pebble into Water. every Pebble bears its own Ripples, gilded of Ratio Golden. every Ripple behaves as its forerunner, setting the Pulse. each line Gains its Gravity. each line Tried and Tested. each line Poised to Reflect. every Asset Class behaves this way. every Time Frame displays its ripples. every Brain Chord rings these rhythms. He who Understands will be Humble. He who Grasps will observe the Order. He who Ignores will behold only Chaos. Ordered Chaos . . . want to Learn a little More? can you Spend a few Moments? click the Links under Related.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by EuroMotif
2
GOLD - Starting another wave up to 2720 (+17%)GOLD is in a strong bull market, that's for sure. The key to success is to trade with a trend to increase the probability of your decisions. GOLD is likely to make a multiyear bull market and can double or triple in price in a few years. Of course, if you hold GOLD, that's very smart for the upcoming years. But right now, we need to take a look at short-term opportunities for swing and day traders. What I generally recommend is to trade with the bullish trend and employ only long-term strategies. Avoid shorting GOLD in general. As you can see on my chart, we have an ascending parallel channel, and the price is near its dynamic support upward-sloping trendline. What we want to do here is enter a long position. Also, my Elliott Wave count suggests that GOLD is going to make another 2 huge waves to the upside in the following few weeks. Always start making your Elliott Wave count from the bottom of the trend. This trend started on October 5, 2023. If you see something like (1)(2)(1)(2) at the start of a trend, it is called an Elliott Wave nest, a strong bullish setup. This occurs very often on the stock market and in Bitcoin, so make sure you learn this technique. Overall, I am very bullish on GOLD and if you trade futures, you can make good money with leverage. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xanrox
24
Bitcoin - 300,000 USD by 2025, here is why!There is almost no doubt that Bitcoin will continue in the bull market in 2024/2025. After the ETF approval, Bitcoin is going up as institutional investors gain confidence in this type of investment. But what all people want to know is when to sell Bitcoin and prepare for the next bear market. Bitcoin's bear markets are very devastating, and the usual correction is around 80% - 70% from the peak. That's why it's good to time a good exit point if you are a trader. If you are a hodler, then you probably have your bitcoin in a Trezor hardware wallet and you don't care about volatility, even though it's not nice to see that your portfolio is down by 70%. To determine the exit point, we need to use technical analysis on a weekly/monthly scale. In the chart, you can see price action in recent years and all these swings during previous bear markets. We can draw a massive ascending parallel channel and take a look at the market cycles. Selling at the top of the upward-sloping trendline is definitely a good idea, but will Bitcoin offer this opportunity? Sometimes markets turn bearish just before key levels.  From a time perspective, October or September 2025 seems like the right time to sell Bitcoin and go into fiat or stable coins. Then buy again, cheaper after the crash. The 2021 peak is a strong level, and Bitcoin should never go below this level. I think Bitcoin volatility should decrease, and we should not see tremendous crashes anymore, but a 50% or 60% crash is something that is definitely very likely. Forget about 80% or 90% of the crashes that happened in 2015 or 2018. This chart is a representation of the logarithmic scale. If you switch to a classic linear scale, we get a target for the whole bull market of only around 130,000 USD. I will do a linear scale representation in one of the next analyses, so make sure you follow my account so you don't miss this very important analysis! Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Xanrox
59
GOLD - Will double in price in a few years! (cup and handle)GOLD is at its all-time high levels and will continue in the price discovery action. Why? On the chart, you can see a cap and handle formation that is currently breaking out on the monthly chart. This is a huge event for gold, and therefore the price can double in a few years from now. Does it mean that we will see a multi-year bull market? Definitely yes. This cup and handle formation is fully confirmed. The monthly candle closed above the neckline of this pattern with a bullish engulfing candle.  How to trade? If you are an investor, simply buy gold and hold, you can expect a pretty good and reliable return in a few years. If you are a swing trader, I recommend trading with the trend and going for buy/long only strategies. Do not short gold on futures, as it will lower the probability of success. And if you are a day trader, also focus on long-only strategies, and you can potentially short GOLD, but only with limit orders that you put above the current price. Avoid trading bearish breakouts, as they tend to take liquidity (stop losses) and reverse.  What is the profit target for gold in 2026 or 2030? There is no historical price action, so to determine our profit targets, we need to use the Fibonacci extension tool and Elliott Wave theory with simple trendlines. On the chart, you see my Fibonacci projection (wave 1 -> wave 2). Usually, the market tends to react to the 1.0 extension, the 1.618 FIB extension, and the 2.0 extension. These are strong levels, but only for a short-term bounce. As my title says, I am expecting a huge bull market, so do not forget to follow my account to stay updated! Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xanrox
29