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Fibonacci Extension

DOT / USDT 4H CHART - Targets and Stoploss!Hello everyone, let's look at the DOT to USDT chart on a 4-hour timeframe. As you can see, the price is moving in the uptrend channel indicated by the yellow lines. Let's start with the support line and as you can see the first support in the near future is $6.69, if the support is broken then the next support is $6.50, $6.36 and $6.21. Now let's move to the resistance line, as you can see the first resistance is $6.69, if you manage to break it, the next resistance will be $7.14 and $7.37. Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that we have a lot of energy for the next move, the MACD indicates a local uptrend, while the RSI has approached the upper end of the range, which may give an impending price rebound.
by cryptodailyuk
SPX - Just a "correction" so farThe correction in the markets last week may appear steep & violent, especially for some stocks. However, on the bigger scale of things, SPX is still looking like a "normal" correction (within a bull trend) so far. In fact, a few factors could be aligning for a possible bounce in the near term: 1.SPX closed a "dragon-fly" candlestick last Friday, signifying some buying towards the close of the session 2.A bullish divergence between price and RSI could be emerging 3.So far, the magnitude of the current retracement (CD) is similar to that of the previous retracement (AB), ie CD swing is the 100% fibonacci extension of AB, projected from point C. 4. The pullback to D is 50% fib retracement of the BC upswing (still within reasonable limits of a "correction") There is no real reason "panic" yet, unless we have SPX going below 4000 (worst case 3950) again for a start. Let's see how this week will play out. Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Juliac
WC0213 NZDCAD Outlook: M-W LongMTF Analysis Monthly TF perspective Pattern: Inverted Head & Shoulders -Right shoulder forming at the Low of previous Month January. Price is also at the previous week's level. -Looking at the next 3 months might be LONG til pattern's completed. Weekly TF perspective - My bias for Weekly Fibonacci retracement level for violent push upward is at 38.2 -- this retracement level also coincides with the downtrend Daily TF Fib 27 ext level. - Many confluence at the 00 levels on H4 and H1 OB's and wick on wick area. - .8350 is in confluence with the weekly key level Daily TF - .0875 / quarter level coincides with Daily Fib's 27 ext Bias: -Price will reach .8400 and will do a stop hunt until the 50's (.8350) before going up. -Looking at the next 3 months might be LONG til pattern's completed.
Long
by RSC_FX
2
NASDAQ 100 Futures short term goal Trend: Up trend. Although the market failed going up to the next channel, it's still in the up trend channel. Better not to do a counter trade. Symmetry: I use 12119 as a centerline for the symmetry. Let's look at a larger picture on the daily chart. 12119 is the key R/S line and also the 0.5 retracement line of prior swing from A to B, which I found meaningful most of the time. Below the centerline, the market is seen weaker; above the centerline, the market is seen stronger. Therefore, I will set my short-term price goal at 13485. What if the up trend channel broke? There are two situations. 1. The price is below the up trend channel but still above the centerline. → Uncertainties become more. Better wait for the price to be back to the channel or more clear signals to enter a trade. 2. The price drops even more below the centerline. → If the price drops below the center line, I see the symmetry broke. By then I will pay more attention to possible triangle forming. **Not Financial Advice** The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by stock_adelie
The Ultimate Algorand (ALGO) Analysis - Bottom $0.1618On the 22nd June 2019, Algorand opened at a price of around $3.28 on Coinbase, and slightly higher on Binance. Over the next few months, it dropped to around $0.1648 (maybe $0.1618 on some exchanges) and then $0.097 at the Covid crisis. Before the 2021 bull run, in November, ALGO's Support level was around $0.2247 (Point X of the harmonic) before it began its ascend. In early February of 2021, ALGO topped around $1.8427 (Point A of the harmonic) This increase is by an exact amount of $1.618, the main number in the Fibonacci sequence. Coincidence? I don't think so. After it dropped to Point B of the harmonic, around $0.67, which is a very strong Support/Resistance level. Notice the number - 0.67 is exactly 2/3 of 100. If I multiply 0.6667 by 0.6667 I get 0.44444. 0.6667 - 0.44444 = 0.223, the EXACT NUMBER of Algorand's Support level before the bullrun. OK, now this is getting crazy. Algorand then increased by 161.8% (A-B) to create Point C (around 2.5589). It then dropped to around $1.5144 - the 0.444 support level (which I have marked "S"). (Remember that 0.4444 number from earlier? Yeah.....) The price was then manipulated up to around $2.99-$3. This manipulation point is a whole new conversation involved with even more complex numbers and I think its best we avoid this in this argument, since it doesn't affect this current idea. ANYWAY, if we ignore the manipulation which we usually do in these circumstances and create Point C as our harmonic level, we can see that BC is a +1.618% of AB. Now if we draw a fib between ZERO and A we get 0.618 which is at point B OR if we draw a fib between $0.223 (Start of 2021 bull run) and $1.84 ish (Point A), we get the retracement value around 0.707 which is half of the value of 1.414, and 1.414 is the square root of 2. So AB is (XA x half of the square root of 2) and the next move entails a 1.618 move of that figure. Crazy maths... Anyway, In a standard AB=CD HARMONIC PATTERN, we have 3 different variations, AB=CD, AB=CDx1.272 or AB=CDx1.618. The most common one is 1.272, which is the square root of 1.618. Now what happens if we measure BC x 1.272? The answer is a price of ALGO of $0.1618. As soon as I saw that it hit me. That's the bottom. $0.1618, the Fibonacci golden number will likely be the bottom of Algorand in this cycle. So what is the profit target? So I checked a few measurements. I tried CD x 1.618 (if we hypothetically say that $0.1618 is the bottom of Algorand this cycle) and that gave me a figure of around $4.03. I also did (All Time High minus All Time Low) x 1.272 (the square root of 1.618) and that gave me a similar figure of around $4.03. OH ALSO, one last thing... Algorand is currently in a Bear Flag, the target is around $0.223-0.226 to Buy the bounce. It will go lower around Christmas time, but if you look at the 1.414 level (square root of 2) of the Bear Flag, it also reaches the same point around $0.1618!
by reiiss7
6
Pivotal week (or 2) ahead for the S&P The S&P500 / ES is sitting right at a critical point which I believe will break this week or next The weekly chart shows that the S&P is now above most key moving averages, including the 200 moving average (displayed in black), the 20 moving average (displayed in white) and the 50 moving average (displayed in yellow). Also it has broken above the upper resistance trend line (displayed in red), these are all obviously very bullish but a few major headwinds remain that may upset this upwards momentum. Price last week touched the 100 moving average (displayed in blue) but then rejected back down to end up finishing right at the Fib Extension 0.236 level. Ironically the 100 moving average has been a menacing level that has been difficult for the S&P to break through, 7 weeks ago and 21 weeks ago exactly the same touch and rejection of the 100ma occurred. Further to this we are about to enter one of the most bearish seasonal periods of the year for the S&P, I've included a seasonality indicator in my chart which shows 3 year, 6 year and 9 year tendencies and they all have exactly the same downwards pattern starting in February. The indicator below the Seasonality scan is RVI (relative volatility index), this is good for measuring both the volatility along with direction. Inline with what the market has been doing the past few years the RVI had been generally trending up and created a support line that was largely unbroken from end 2018 - Jan 2022, and since been broken the RVI is now showing a downwards trend and instead of a support line there is a resistance level over head that price is close to approaching. The last indicator on the chart includes Larry Williams Vix_Fix which had turned red recently (2 bars/weeks), signalling we are in historically low volatility period in the VIX, most traders know that large moves often follow periods of very low and/or contracting volatility. This last indicator also includes a display for the bond yield curve and this is currently shown in the maroon/deep red which confirms a fairly long period inverted curve which is also known as a precursor sign of recession and market sell off. The recent closed weekly candle was an indecision candle so this week that is coming or perhaps the one that follows should tell a lot about where the market will be heading over the course of the next few months A bullish bias would mean Price this coming week will disregard the seasonal bearish tendency and instead break above both the 100ma and the 0.236 Fib and close the week above these levels. A bearish bias would mean Price has closed back below the resistance level on the chart (both price resistance & RVI resistance) and price has tracked the normal declining seasonal pattern that plays out around this time of the year. I see more chart evidence of a coming decline than an incline but in any case we still need to wait for direction confirmation which should look like one of the above scenarios. So it is time to pay very close attention to the charts and In the week that follows the market direction confirmation signal I suspect we will see some large and fast moves of either sideline money coming into the market to cause one last blow off top before some kind of recession sell off later in the year or heavy selling as these key levels get rejected and the seasonal sell of takes hold.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by gary_trades
WAVESUSD: Higher Timeframe Support Zone ReclaimedThere is currently an active Bullish trade setup on the Intraday Timeframers that could take it up about 20% but when looking at the context of the higher timeframe i can see the weekly candles reclaiming an old Congestion Zone which could set it up to make a macro recovery. In the scenario of a Macro Recovery i think it could go all the way back up to the 0.886 retrace and if it's feeling even more Bullish it could go all the way up to the 1.414 Extension.
WLong
by RizeSenpai
1
Daily review of BTC interval 4HHello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on the BTC pair to USDT, taking into account the four-hour interval. First, we will use blue lines to mark the local uptrend channel in which the BTC price is moving. Now we can move on to marking the places of support in the event of a correction. And here, in the first place, it is worth marking the support zone from $ 23,361 to $ 22,779, but when we fall below this zone, we can see a drop to around $ 21,883 and even $ 20,406. Looking the other way, in a similar way, using the trend based fib extension tool, we can determine the places of resistance. First, we will mark the resistance zone from $23,769 to $24,209, when we manage to break it, we have a second zone from $24,445 to $24,744. Once these two zones are broken, we will move towards resistance at $25,121 and then $26,221. Please pay attention to the CHOP index which indicates that most of the energy has been used, the MACD indicator indicates entering a local downtrend, while the RSI shows a visible rebound, which may give room for new increases.
by cryptodailyuk
Fibonacci Retracement Levels In Forex TradingBoth novice and seasoned traders use Fibonacci levels as one of the most common and universal strategies when trading forex and other markets. It is a well-known fact that market prices incline toward levels where the bulk of market orders are gathered. Such levels can be found and predicted using a variety of ways. Systems for trading are built on a variety of levels. Since traders first realized that the price fluctuations of some assets frequently followed the Fibonacci number sequence, the Fibonacci levels have been employed in trading. The standard Tradingview trading platform, which is currently the most well-known and in demand, includes the tool because of how useful it is. Leonardo Fibonacci, who was born in ancient Italy, discovered a straightforward numerical sequence that is utilized globally and is consistent with a wide range of natural occurrences. The order is as follows: 0 followed by 1, then 1 (0+1), then 2 (1+1), then 3 (1+2), followed by 5, then 8 (3+5), etc. It appears that the Fibonacci sequence is the sum of the two numbers before it. An intriguing ratio may be calculated using these numbers: 0.618 is the result of dividing the first by the second (regardless of which of the numbers in the sequence are taken). And you get 0.382 when you split the numbers by one. The "golden ratio" is this set of fractions, and it appears frequently in nature, a striking example is a spiral like the seeds in a sunflower. The following are the trading-related Fibonacci correction levels: 0.236, 0.382, 0.500, 0.618, and 0.764. Levels of expansion are 0; 0.382; 0.618; 1.000; 1.382; and 1.618. It makes no sense for traders to manually calculate any of these figures, which are all calculated from the sequence. The key is to comprehend how they operate, what they are used for, what data they offer, and how to make effective use of them when trading. Special indicators that automatically draw lines on the chart or symbols in the trading platform are used while trading with Fibonacci levels. Retracement levels can be utilized for a number of purposes, such as support and resistance, to start trades, and to set stop orders. The usage of extension levels by traders for take-profit placement. Based on swings, or candles with at least two upper highs or upper lows on the left and right, Fibonacci levels can be applied to a chart. Additionally, bear in mind that Fibonacci levels for forex are a trending technique and are not applied during periods of consolidation. When the trend is upward, the price tends to retreat from Fibonacci-based resistance levels; the opposite is true for downtrends and support. Fibonacci Levels in Forex: How to Use Them Almost all charting applications contain Fibonacci retracement levels. Fibonacci lines are regarded as the most flexible and understandable option, however others also use fan lines, arcs, and time periods as typical tools. What do you need to know about Fibonacci numbers in order to trade? Values are calculated as 23.6, 38.2, 50.0, 61.8, and 76.4% on a scale of 0 to 100. The primary signal for foreseeing likely future price fluctuations is these ratios (prices often bounce back from levels). The indicator shows levels on the price chart and allows forecasting of future price changes.If you want to manually trade using the price chart or the software, you can select to display correction levels. To do this, drag the cursor from the bottom point of the trend to the top point. There will be five horizontal lines that display 0, 38.2, 50, 61.8, and 100% (an additional line showing 23.6% can be added). Depending on whether Fibonacci is trading above or below the lines, the lines can be utilized as support or resistance levels. The levels activate more frequently as the time span becomes longer. Finding a downward trend, appropriately stretching the Fibonacci lines, waiting for confirmation, and placing an order are the essential duties of a trader. Numerous strategies for using numerical series in trading exist. How Fibonacci Levels Work And How To Use Them In Trading Trading professionals can examine the changes in asset values by using Fibonacci numbers that are displayed as lines on the chart. As a result, resistance/support levels are established, and the degree of a trend movement's already-started corrective is examined. The price typically follows the guidelines of key levels on the Fibonacci lines. Therefore, there is a strong likelihood of a price reversal at the level, for instance, if the price crosses the line. Fibonacci retracement levels are particularly helpful for discovering pullback levels, for establishing the conclusion of a pullback, and for the continuation of price movement along with the trend because pullbacks are a natural part of every trend. The key correction levels are created by the interrelations between a trend and a correction shown by Fibonacci levels, which have recovery probabilities of 38%, 50%, and 62%. It only takes placing a grid over critical spots to see that pivotal price levels frequently cross Fibonacci percentage lines. Fibonacci levels and graphical patterns can be used to coincidentally determine market entrance and exit points. Opening profitable trading positions after a collapse or rebound from a level is beneficial. Trading professionals frequently employ Fibonacci lines to place Stop-Loss and Take-Profit orders. To avoid being caught by an unintentional pullback, it is preferable to position the Stop-Loss order above the levels (for the recovery from which the trader is counting). Take-Profit levels are based on Fibonacci extension.Remember that on a price chart, the support/resistance areas that coincide with the Fibonacci net levels are viewed as further support for the lines' significance. This instrument is the foundation of many trading techniques. Beginners should be aware that there is no definitive interpretation of the Fibonacci technique; it is merely a point of reference. Trading systems frequently incorporate Fibonacci levels with other technical analysis tools because this technique can occasionally fail to corroborate the signals. Importance Of Different Fibonacci Levels Expert traders claim that not every Fibonacci level behaves the same way on a price chart. Before using the instrument for trading, some regularities should be studied. Fibonacci levels and their importance in trading: 23.6 - weak, a clear confirmation is required to use it in trading. 38.2 - an important level, the price of the asset bounces from it for further consolidation. 50 is intermediate in importance between the two previous levels and gives a high probability of trigger. 61.8 - strong, like 38.2. 76.4 - 80.9 is a strong level as well. The likelihood of a profitable trade is quite high if we consider the strength of the levels, trade in line with the trend, weed out erroneous signals using a straightforward extra indicator, and avoid using low time frames. Additionally, it's critical to remember risk management and trading psychology's fundamental principles. Advice for using 38%, 50%, and 62% levels effectively Stretched between the trend's minimum and maximum, a grid is drawn on the graph. On the charts, three to four separate time frames with longer value movements can be displayed in various colors. Numerous Fibonacci levels will be displayed on the graph, allowing for analysis. Usually several of them exactly coincide on various time scales, therefore they are regarded as significant support/resistance levels. These three can be utilized to enter positions and exit open ones because fibonacci numbers have potentially important levels. These price retreat levels by themselves are not what drives price movement; if this line doesn't have the appropriate support, it will simply go to the next. More accurate signals are produced by combining Fibonacci with other tools (such as Moving Averages, trading channels, reversal patterns, etc.). A significant resistance/support level is 62%. When it is attained, the price frequently starts to vary erratically. When the price surges past the 62% level and moves on to the 70–75% retracement level (before returning to the 62% level), you can place an order. When two to three further crossover signals are received, trades can be initiated from deep retracement levels. It is preferable to avoid entering if there are no cross confirmations. It's also a good idea to keep in mind that once the correctional movement reaches the 62% pullback level, it may go on to reach 100% in the chosen time frame and stop the trend. Fibonacci Levels: How to Use Them in Forex Trading Fibonacci levels can be used relatively easily. The most crucial levels in forex trading are 23.6% and 38.2%, 61.8% and 76.4%. They are used to identify price pullbacks; when one appears on the chart, one should wait for a favorable price before joining the impulse (enter the movement at the moment of a pullback). When there is a significant market movement, the asset's price can drop by up to 23.6%, 38.2%, or even 50%. These ranges are regarded as ideal. Price increases of 61.8% or more may signal the beginning of a trend reversal. The Fibonacci levels should be drawn correctly: -Finding the price impulse. -Plotting the grid on the chart. -The expectation of a pullback to 23.6% or 38.2% or 50% to enter the market. -When there is no pullback, the price keeps moving, updating the lows/maximums, it is worth pulling over the grid based on new local extrema. -In this case, it is important not so much to determine the levels as to understand whether the current price movement is a correction concerning the previous one or the beginning of a new trend. When Fibonacci Correction Levels Do Not Work Fibonacci levels are not 100% reliable signals; they are more like rough guidelines that give information about the movement that is likely to occur. Fibonacci levels can also be broken occasionally, just like support/resistance levels can. There are many exceptions to the rules, therefore it is advisable to check the signals with additional tools and to take the maximum precautions when opening any position. The levels need to be carefully worked, refined, and filtered on a regular basis. Sometimes levels might be crossed, and the bounce occurs at 61.8 instead of 50%; other times, the price skips levels and views essential ones as weak and unimportant ones as important. Because of all these features, it is important to be able to combine different tools in a strategy and constantly gain experience trading with the selected tools. Conclusion The suggested strategy broadens the potential uses for trading with Fibonacci levels. You can use it to your advantage so that practically any corrective movement—not just ones that conclude at 38.2% or 61.8%—will be beneficial. You must be able to accept what the market offers you since it doesn't always move that well.
Education
by FOREXN1
15
Bitcoin - Buy here if you feel FOMO! The new bull market on Bitcoin started with a strong impulsive structure, which is definitely a positive sign. We have an unfilled CME GAP at 20,000 - 20,450, and there is a very high chance that the market will fill the GAP; I would say 90%. We can fill this gap next week, next month, or next year, believe it or not. It happened during the COVID flash crash. If we fill this gap, you want to buy as much bitcoin as possible for the long term investment! I expect this bull market to end in September 2025, so we have plenty of time! And what is my ultimate profit target at the end of the bull market in 2025? I showed you the previous analysis, so check it out! This analysis is a bullish idea, where you can buy BTC if the price drops. If you feel FOMO and you need to buy cheap Bitcoin, then 20,000 USDT is a reasonable price for you. We already bought Bitcoin at 16,500 privately for the long term investment on the spot, and I do not touch these bitcoins. This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately. On the chart, you can see my main Elliott Wave count. There are multiple valid Elliott Wave counts, but I am not able to show you all of them on the same chart. For example, wave 5 of wave 3 could still be in progress, and we could make an ending diagonal wedge. We should not go below the previous wave 1, which is at 18,373. Otherwise, this Elliott Wave count will be invalidated. The 0.618 LOG FIB is slightly above the wave 1, so this is like the worst-case scenario if a flash crash occurs to wipe out high leverage longs before continuing higher to 30k. I am very bullish on Bitcoin and my strategy is to not short Bitcoin at all. It's better to trade longs only at this moment. Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by UnknownUnicorn2537518
79
Bitcoin will 14x - 342,000 USD - 2025 projection! Welcome to this professional technical analysis. First of all, I want to say many congratulations to the bulls for this amazing start of the new bull market; it brings a lot of happiness back to the crypto community! January is one of the best months in Bitcoin's history and also for me because the profits are very high, but now let's take a look at the most important thing, which is the profit target for 2025! Bitcoin is an extremely volatile asset like no other. Every third year, we experience a brutal bearish retracement with a statistical correction of around 77% - 90%. A good strategy is not only to hold for the long run but also to sell at the top and buy at the bottom. It's not easy, of course, but it's extremely profitable. If you are a trader, I know you are most likely interested in the next profit target for this bull market. My expectation is that Bitcoin will reach its peak in September 2025, but the question is at what price? I know more about Bitcoin than anyone else, so let's take a look at it! Of course, it's very hard to predict the profit target exactly to the dollar. But we can use strong tools such as FIB extensions, trendlines, and chart patterns to determine the selling point and prepare for the next bear market in 2026. FIB extension is a very powerful tool. We need to use the LOG version and the linear version of the FIB extension simultaneously because they are both valid. On the left side of the chart, you can see a classic linear version, and on the right side, you can see a logarithmic version of the bitcoin price. The most likely and successful FIB extensions are 0.618, 1:1, 1.618, 2:1, 2.618, 4,618, and 6,618, where we may find a top and begin a new bear market later in 2025. This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately. Trendlines are very powerful as well. We have an upward sloping trendline on both the linear and log scales.Take a look at that! On the log scale, we also have an ascending parallel channel that may have significant resistance at the top of the channel as well! My conclusion is that the next peak for Bitcoin is going to be around 122,000 USDT or around 330,000 USDT. If we reach the first target and the bulls continue higher, then the second target is definitely acceptable! Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Long
by UnknownUnicorn2537518
91