Fibonacci Extension
BOIL: Piercing Line Bullish Reversal Visible on Weekly at 1.618BOIL; The 3x Bullish proxy for Natural Gas is showing Bullish Divergence at a 1.618 Fibonacci Extension after confirming a Piercing Line on the Weekly Timeframe at said level.
If it plays out i think BOIL could come back up to fill some gaps, meet the moving averages, and see anywhere from a 200%-700% rise.
I do however think USOIL will see a decline and that the two will move in opposing directions for awhile as that is something that they they tend to do.
As a side note we also have a Daily Bullish 3 White Soldiers on Natural Gas itself as well as a Bullish Shark that can be seen here:
USDJPY CARRY TRADE UPDATEFrom a technical standpoint we can see both momentum and trend intensity (angle) increasing. The retests in USDJPY are becomming less frequent and not as deep. Chances of continuing to the fib extension area of 138 is extremely high.
Fundamentally the new BoJ gov nominee is known to be very DOVISH, Japanese yen should continue coming down to earth. Which makes the long term outlook of this pair rather difficult to analyze, however from a medium term a trip to the next fib zone should be expected
FTM/USDT 4HInterval Resistance and SupportHello everyone, I invite you to review the FTM chart in hand to USDT, taking into account the interval of four hours. First of all, with the help of blue lines, we will mark the inheritance trend channel, in which the price is currently moving.
Going further we can go to select the places, for this we will use the Trend Fib Extension Trend tool. And here the first support is at a price of $ 0.45, we have the second support at the price of $ 0.41, and then the third support at $ 0.36.
Looking the other way, we see that the price cannot break the first resistance zone from $ 0.48 to $ 0.50. However, if you can get out of the downward channel and pierce the resistance zone, the next zone is from $ 0.53 to $ 0.55, when the price overcomes it, the third resistance is at $ 0.58 and the fourth at $ 0.62.
Please look at the Index Chop, which indicates that we have a lot of energy for the upcoming movement, MacD indicates that we maintain a local upward trend, while we have a relaxation to RSI and move in the lower part of the range, which may indicate upcoming growth.
Daily BTC 4HChart - resistance and supportHello everyone, I invite you to check the current situation on BTC in hand to USDT taking into account the interval of four hours. First of all, using the yellow line we will mark the local inheritance trend line, from which the price of BTC came out.
Now we can go to the designation of support places in the event of correction. And Tutuj, first of all, it is worth marking support zone from $ 23296 to $ 22837, but when we fall below this zone, we have a second very strong support zone from $ 22,180 to $ 21334.
Looking the other way, in a similar way using the FIB Retracement tool, we can determine the places of resistance. First of all, we will mark the resistance zone from $ 23707 to $ 23,984, when we manage to beat it, we have a second zone from $ 24301 to $ 24712. When we manage to overcome these two zones, we will go towards resistance at a price of $ 2,5251.
Please pay attention to the Index Chop that indicates that most of the energy has been used, MacD indicator indicates the maintenance of a local upward trend, while the RSI we move at the bottom of the range.
Daily BTC 4HChart - resistance and supportHello everyone, let's look at the BTC to USDT chart on a 4-hour time frame. As you can see, the price is moving above the local downtrend line.
Let's start with the support line and as you can see the first support in the near future is $23303, if the support is broken then the next support is $22829 and $22175.
Now let's move to the resistance line, as you can see the first resistance is $23698, if you manage to break it the next resistance will be $23993, $24287 and $24711.
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that most of the energy has been used, the MACD indicates a local uptrend, while the RSI is back to the upper part of the range.
NATURALGAS: 3 White Soldiers at Bullish Shark PCZAt the start of the year Natural Gas had a potential Bullish Shark setup at the minimum .886 PCZ and it ultimately failed to pivot from there but now we are significantly lower at the 1.13/1.618 Confluence zone of this Shark and are showing Bullish Divergence on the MACD as well as a 3 White Soldiers pattern on the daily. The bullish Target for Natural Gas remains to be $4.5 but it could go as high as $9.00. As for stops i'd put it below the second candle of the 3 White Soldiers Pattern which should be below the PCZ.
SOL/USDT 4HInterval Resistance and SupportHello everyone, let's look at the SOL to USDT chart on a 4-hour timeframe. As you can see, the price is moving below the local downtrend line.
Let's start with the support line and as you can see the first support in the near future is $22.52, if the support is broken then the next support is $21.27 and $19.67.
Now let's move on to the resistance line, as you can see the first resistance is $23.57, if you manage to break it, the next resistance will be $24.25, $24.93 and $25.88.
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that the energy is slowly starting to rise, the MACD indicates entering a local uptrend, while the RSI shows a quick return to the middle of the range.
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Xau/usd massive sell setup Based on the daily timeframe we saw a nice upward trend and now price is retracing to respect the fib level, when you look at H4 and H1 you will see price action showing high momentum and volatility to downside, so first target should be around 31.8% fib level and if price continue we need to look for 1810 for our final target
Goodluck
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The Magic of Fibonacci- Remember this older chart ( December 18 - 2022 ):
- Please feel free to check it to understand the new one 👇👇
- BTC Finalized his movement at exactly 161.8% Fibo.
- BTC did what it had to do at the perfection of the Fibonacci Law.
- when the FUDs and Bad News not influence the trend.
- No need any Magic Ball, we just have to follow the beauty of Fibonacci.
- Everything is in Graph, this is a bit advanced trading.
- This is one of the core's method of big hands Trade ( with Volumes ).
- Feel free to DYOR about Fibonacci extensions and Retracements and learn about it.
-- The more that you read, the more things you will know!
Happy Tr4Ding !
Gold ForecastGold Forecast
Gold is in a bullish cycle, and we will look for long opportunities when we see a clear 3 legs-down corrective structure. Unfortunately, the connector (B) of the current (A)(B)(C) is too shallow and it does not retrace enough according to our strategy to allow us to enter when the price reaches the IZ (grey zone). We do expect the price will bounce from the IZ, but it can be only the connector from a deeper (W)(X)(Y), so we are not going to take this trade.
What to do? 2 scenarios:
-The prices resume the bullish cycle ->We should wait for the price to break the 1,960 level before looking for buying opportunities.
-The price makes a deeper correction-> A new IZ will be created, and we will analyze its structure to check whether it is tradable or not.
In any case, we will keep you updated on the TRS community
Please remember to do not to risk more than 2% of your account on each trading idea
Feb 24 CADJPY Short-term bear before LONG PositionMTF Analysis
Monthly TF had a big push up from tapping the 38.2 Monthly Fib retracement.
On a weekly TF, this retracement bounce on a Monthly 38.2 Fib is a bull run.
This weekly TF bull run has run out right at the previous month's high, previous week's high, and prev day's high -- which was the best entry point had i done Wyckoff analysis earlier
Anyway, since price has ran out of gas on this weekly bull run, it's actually about to break the weekly/daily trendline it's been bouncing off of.
My bias is that price will retrace from a Weekly TF perspective to the 38.2 weekly fib level which also perfectly aligns with the previous week's low & an H4 imbalance/inefficiency.
Fundamentals to support my bias.
JPY had a good inflation YoY rate this morning.
CAD had some wobly numbers from yesterday's economic updates.
CABLE H&S UPDATECABLE has been very interesting lately. Sterling has surprised with decent data but the overall outlook for the sterling fundamentally remains the same, the market is expecting one more rate hike.
The strong data however is creating a very RANGY environment for this pair. We saw this when the last bearish move was RETESTED all the way to the 68 fib zone.
My bias on this pair remains BEARISH however, and i believe that the USDX will continue to control the OVERALL DIRECTION of this currency pair. From a short term standpoint we can see a HEAD AND SHOULDERS pattern forming, with the HEAD being the afformentioned 68 retest of our bearish momentum. this is a strong indication that the pair will continue to move downward, so long as our NECKLINE is protected by price action.
Look for a formation of a RIGHT SHOULDER here potentially coming, before the true trend takes over.
Trail your stops on this pair folks it has been swinging back and forth and i expect it to CONTINUE to do so.
CABLE WEAKNESS CONT.GBP/USD swing has played out almost as expected
CABLE touched the 50 fib, dropped, then came back up and tested the next fib zone at 68
Price action rejected nicely at this point followed by very nice bearish momentum
CURENTLY, IT APPEARS AS IF GBPUSD IS RETESTING THE TREND INTENSITY AND SHOULD NOT BE RETESTING AS DEEP
Target is painted by our FIB EXTENSION
Keep your charts clean and keep your trading simple. stick to your plans
WC1202 EURUSD Outlook: Waiting for reversal to position LONGPrice is at a key zone atm.
Markups and notes on the chart but essentially I am waiting for price to signal for a long entry -- potentially at the low of previous month or at the H4 OB / unmitigated demand area within the key zone (blue highlight). The 50% of the H4 OB is in confluence with the 27ext. This area is also a 50's level. Either way, I am looking to see price tap either and rocket up.
If price doesn't want to further go down, and my bias is wrong, we are just going to wait for a break & retest of the 0700 level and hold to the upside @1.1200 area
LINKUSDT is testing the support right nowLINKUSDT is testing a key level at the $9.1 area, where the market has previously encountered resistance.
This level is important because it has acted as a significant point of resistance in the past, and traders will be closely watching the price action to see if the level is broken. If the price of LINKUSDT is able to break through this key level and establish new support, this could signal a potential bullish trend.
To apply Plancton's Rules in this scenario, traders should wait for the new liquidity and a new breakout to be confirmed before taking a long position. This means waiting for the price to break through the key resistance level and establish new support, which can provide more reliable signals for traders.
So, According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order
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Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ black structure -> <= 1h structure.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Bitcoin looks ready for a runBitcoin reacted at the 886 level as shown in last outlookbut came right back up, ignoring every potential sell zone in its way and is now about to break the area.
Some kind of "disbelief" move is very likey to happen at this point with a quick rally to 30k as a very important psichological level and has many fibonacci confluence.
Overall market sentiment still seems to be bearish, the more people doubt this move, the higher it will go.
Still thinking the bootom is yet to be put, if we break 30k i might change my mind.
NASDAQ 100 Futures for the week 2/21 to 2/14
The clear up trend and the symmetry of the prior swing pattern have been broken.
The resistance turned support so well. It’s possible to see another 100% extension as bulls’ target price.
However, considering what is shown in the previous point and the descending triangle that the market is forming now, I stay neutral at this moment.
Conclusion:
1. Long only if the market up breaks the descending triangle.
2. Short only if the market drops below the prior low.
3. What to do when the price is going between center line and prior low?
- The price would be under the center line, meaning the market is more bearish like.
- But the prior low has not been broken so the down trend has not been confirmed.
→ The direction is not clear, and the market is likely to go sideways. Or only enter short position.
**Not Financial Advice**
The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.