Fibonacci Extension
Nasdaq for the coming week (7/10)
Channel
- There’s a clear uptrend channel.
Symmetrical projection: An uptrend N pattern
- By projecting a 100% symmetry projection of the initial swing from point A to B, and extending it from point C.
- As the expected symmetric pullback to E did not occur, I anticipate a further 100% extension from D to F ($16733). The target price level aligns with the historical high level, adding significance to the target price.
Resistance levels on the way
- The price range from $15340 to $15360 is a crucial resistance level zone, as it aligns with multiple key Fibonacci levels.
The 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level of the entire downtrend from point X to point A'.
The 1.5 Fibonacci extension level from point Y to point A'.
- $16216 could serve as another potential target if we apply a more conservative initial swing from Orange point A to point B.
Support/ Defence level for bulls
- The prior low at $14250 is a key support level that shouldn't be broken, otherwise, the bullish momentum will be difficult to sustain.
- In addition to being level D, the level aligns with two critical Fibonacci levels, further enhancing its significance.
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the entire downtrend from point X to point A’.
Assuming the current high marks the end of the uptrend, the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level of the uptrend from point A’ to point Z perfectly aligns with the prior low level.
Key points on the chart.
**Not Financial Advice**
The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
💱EURCHF - A triangle is formed. We wait for a bounceEURCHF continues to decline and forms a pattern. a break in the support of which will form the continuation of the trend.
TA on a high timeframe:
1) A flat is forming. But, the price does not reach the resistance and continues to fall to the support.
2) The retest at 0.97505 might form a breakthrough, which will send the price to 0.97200.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Within the triangle, the price drops to 0.97375. A retest of the figure support and subsequent pullback is possible. At the moment the price continues to form a pattern
2) Within the figure we may buy from support and sell from resistance.
3) I expect strengthening of the price from the support area till the retest, then from the upper border we will consider short set-ups
Key support📉: 0.97357
Key resistance📈: 0.97660
GOLD → The market is buyback the fall, but for how long? OANDA:XAUUSD makes a retest of local support at 1902, but amid a weaker dollar, the market buys out the drop. The price returns to the range.
Global and local trend coincide and have a common downward direction. The price rebounds from 1902 on the background of the dollar weakening from the news on Thursday. It is too early to speak about the global change, because the Fed is still preparing to keep the rates at the same level or even to raise the rates, in which case the dollar will continue its strengthening because of the high inflation.
The price comes back to the range and most likely it might strengthen to 1920. But in the medium term I see a continuation of the fall towards 1902 or 1893.
Resistance levels: 1920, 1933
Support levels: 1912, 1902, 1893
The market is bearish and most likely, from one of the key resistance levels, the continuation of falling is expected on the background of negative fundamentals for gold.
Regards R.Linda!
GOLD → FOMC meeting forms a bearish candleOANDA:XAUUSD is testing 1933 and after the third retest it forms a false-break. A Triple Top pattern (local value) appears on the chart. The price decreases to the support and forms a local consolidation.
The retest of the 1912 area indicates to us that the market is preparing for a decline. A pullback to 1920 might be the key maneuver. If the price rebounds to 1912 and continues consolidating near the support, it is a good hint that the market is about to break the support and test the new low. But again, as long as the price is in the 1912-1938 range, it might continue rising above the 1920 level. Consolidation could last for quite a long time.
Since at yesterday's FOMC meeting the majority supported holding the previous level or a rate hike, it is a priority to consider selling.
A bearish candlestick is forming on the daily chart after the retest of the resistance area. If the sellers are ready with volumes, the price can quickly test the global low in the medium term.
Resistance levels: 1920, 1930, 1933
Support levels: 1914, 1912, 1909.
The price is squeezed in the 1920-1912 consolidation, the next retest of support may result in a breakout.
Regards to R.Linda!
🥇GOLD - Inside the range price breaks support Gold is testing the resistance area of the global trend and breaking the local support. A rebound from 0.382 could reach the retest area and then the downside phase could activate.
TA on high timeframe:
1) Price is testing the liquidity area of the global downtrend channel
2) The liquidity zone 1939-1935 is not reached, most likely a market maker trap may follow
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A breakout of uptrend channel support forms
2) The price tests 0.382 Fibo and starts to form a pullback. There is a chance of the retest of the channel support or the level of 1932.
3) The price may also strengthen to 0.618 Fibo before declining further
4) The global TA says about the priority of further falling.
5) I think the local correction will end soon
6) The price may stay in the 1932-1910 range all week
Key resistance📈: 1932, 1939.
Key support📉: 1921, 1910
💱EURUSD - A resistance retest is forming. Breakout or rebound? EURUSD is retesting the wedge resistance and the level of 1.09125.
But on the D1 the price is trading under the strong resistance, forming a false-break
TA on the high timeframe:
1) False breakdown of 1.09125 level. Consolidation and decline below 1.08800 will form further momentum
2) The price is in the "wedge" pattern, breaking through one of the lines will open a new potential after the consolidation.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Price makes a retest of 1.09125. The local trend is ascending, hence it is likely that the price can break the resistance
2) The price will continue growing in case of breaking through the wedge resistance and the level of 1.09125.
3) On the rebound from the wedge resistance, the price will head towards 1.08440 and continue its consolidation in the figure
Key resistance📈: 1.09125
Key support📉: 1.08800, 1.08400
EURGBP → The market is getting ready to continue falling FX:EURGBP is forming a counter-trend correction to increase liquidity and accumulate potential for a possible further decline. The trend is bearish and now there are signals that could continue the trend
Note the local uptrend channel. This is most likely a correction on the background of a bearish trend. Price can't go down all the time, so the market needs to make these maneuvers.
The price broke through the support of the correction, we expect the price consolidation.
At the moment, the support of the ascending channel and the level of 0.85412 plays a key role. Consolidation below these areas will form entry points for possible sales. The moving averages have moved towards resistance. Impulse is forming.
Support levels: 0.85412
Resistance levels: the earlier broken through channel boundary, MA50, 0.86000, MA200
I expect continuation of falling after the price consolidation under the specified levels. Most likely, the trend will continue.
Regards, R.Linda!
🥇GOLD - A counter-trend correction may end up GOLD is forming a counter-trend correction within the ascending price channel. The momentum appears after breaking through the wedge resistance. But at the same time the price is under strong resistance 1938
TA on a high timeframe:
1) Price forms a global downward price channel.
2) The market is recovering and a retest of the trend resistance area will happen soon
3) Also ahead is the level of 1938, which plays a key role in the mid-term.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) The local price channel is forming on the background of a global bearish trend.
2) The price is headed towards the resistance of 1932, most likely, it will succeed to break through this area, as the retest is formed
3) We are interested in the channel resistance at 0.618 Fibo, which may push the price down to the support
4) The correction is formed on the background of a global downtrend. Chances are high that the fall will continue
Key support📉: 1921
Key resistance📈: 1932, 1938.
IOTA: Bullish Butterfly RSI Bullish Divergence (Final Fib Level)IOTA is currently sitting at the 1.272 PCZ of a Bullish Butterfly and this 1.272 extension happens to be the last positive Fibonacci Extension on the linear scale, meaning that this is probably the least risky area possible to buy IOTA and perhaps aim for much higher levels, even as high as 1–2 dollars.
Given how tight the entry and price action are, I think as long as it holds above 15 cents, we could see it go for some major Bullish targets.
Bitcoin - Huge crash soon! Retest is required (wedge)
The price of Bitcoin recently pumped from the falling wedge pattern with a very strong impulse wave. But the problem is that because of that, we have an unfilled FV GAP on a previous breakout point, and the price tends to go back and retest it. Usually, when patterns break, the price tends to go back and retest them!
In this case, we can completely retest the wedge at the trendline (which will be a deep retracement) or retest the breakout point of the wedge and fill the FB GAP. In the confluence, we have the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the impulse wave, giving us a pretty good long trade with a solid risk-to-reward ratio.
We are going to go down sooner or later; the probability of it is actually very high. But there is also a chance of going higher to 32399 first to take the liquidity above the previous swing high from 2022 before retesting the wedge!
It was a huge pump, and buying or speculating on price increases is very risky. I would not do that at all, so rather prepare your shorts at higher prices or at confirmation of the downtrend!
From the Elliott Wave perspective, I can already see a completed impulse wave that screams for a retracement. The trendline of the impulse wave is broken, and we could definitely go down next week!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
AmerisourceBergen Corporation: Bearish 3 Drives 1.618 Entry #2I entered a bearish position on ABC at the 2.618/1.272 confluence zone a bit ago and since then it's gone up to the 1.618 of this 3 Drives pattern. I think it will be worth entering one last time as we are on the way to confirming a Bearish Harami at these levels, which would later result in Bearish Divergence on the weekly if it begins to play out.
LTC 1DInterwal Rewiew - Long-TermI invite you to review the LTC chart on a single day interval. As we can see, the price stayed above the uptrend line, and including the corss 50 and 200 emas, we see confirmation of the uptrend.
Let's start by marking the support spots for the price and we see that first we have a support zone that starts at $97 and ends at $876, however if the price goes lower, the next very strong zone is from $68 to $56.
Looking the other way, we can similarly determine the places of resistance that the price has to face. And here we see that the price bounced off a very strong resistance at $114, only when it breaks it and positively tests it will move towards the resistance at $134.
The CHOP index indicates that the energy has been consumed, the MACD indicates that the uptrend is maintained, while the RSI rebounded from the upper limit of the range, which confirms the initiated price correction.
Step by step go up to 12 - 12.7Tellor BINANCE:TRBUSDT has completed fourth-wave and it's creating a fifth-wave go up to $12.7
Chart 4H TF,
Tellor has a Resistance Zone around $12, if can get over that level, further target around $12.7
Chart Daily TF,
Easily spot that resistance ($12) on daily chart.
I expect Tellor (TRB/USDT) will pullback when hit those level (12 - 12.7)
WC 26 June WTI OIL Short SetupOil has been treating previous month's 50% level as fair value.
Simple fib level retracement from last Thursday's expansion.
Confluence of last month's 50% acting as f value + 70.00 key level + 50% fib retracement level
300 pip drop to previous week's low.
Keepin' it simple.
DOT 4Hinterval ReviewAs the third, we will check the DOT chart on the four-hour interval. As we can see, the price is above the uptrend line marked in yellow.
Let's start by marking the price support spots and we see that we first have support at $4.84 but if the price goes lower then we have another support at $4.72 and then we have a very strong support zone at $4.60 $ to $4.42.
Looking the other way, we can similarly determine the places of resistance that the price has to face. And here we see that currently DOT does not have enough strength to break the resistance zone from $5.04 to $5.27, but when this happens, we have another very strong resistance at $5.56, only after a positive test of this resistance we will be able to see a further price increase.
When we turn on the EMA Cross 200, we will see an attempt to return the price to a strong uptrend, but at the moment the price is fighting to maintain this trend.
The CHOP index indicates that there is still a lot of energy to be used, the MACD indicates a return to the local downtrend, while the RSI is in the process of recovering and we are approaching the lower end of the range, which may indicate the imminent end of the current recovery.
BNB/USDT Review 4hinterval - Resistance and SupportHello everyone, I invite you to review the chart of BNB in pair to USDT, on a four-hour interval. In the first place, using the yellow line, we can mark the uptrend line that did not hold the price, while currently, using the blue lines, we can mark the downtrend channel from which the price goes sideways.
Now let's move on to marking the places of support. We will use the Fib Retracement tool to mark the supports, and as you can see, we have the first very strong support at the price of $ 234.4, it is equal to 0.618 Fib, the so-called golden fibon point, the second support at the price of $ 228.2, and then we can see a decrease around 220 .1$, which is the location of the last price low.
Looking the other way, we can also mark the places where the price should encounter resistance on the way to increases. And here we see that the price has no strength to break through the resistance at $238.3, however when it does, it still needs to break through the strong resistance from $243 to $249 for the price to move further towards the resistance at $257.4.
Please pay attention to the CHOP Index, which indicates that there is a lot of energy to move. The MACD indicator maintains a local downtrend. On the other hand, the RSI is moving around the lower border, which may give the price an increase in the coming hours.
Bitcoin - Profit target for the next bull run + 32% crash soon!
Of course, I am still bearish on Bitcoin, and we are going to hit 20,500 or 17,000 this year. But before it happens, we can go as high as 33,000 because there is a lot of liquidity to be taken.
I started to be bearish around 30k a few months ago, and nothing changed in my outlook. But I think 6k and 10k are not possible anymore because Bitcoin proved its strength and the uptrend transformed from a corrective wave into an impulse wave, which is definitely something we cannot ignore in our next trades.
A 32% or 40% crash later this year, most likely in September or October, is very possible, and I am expecting this scenario to happen. I prefer a bearish scenario over a bullish one this year, and I do not see any crazy pumps to 35k, 40k, or even higher.
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Now the question is, How far can Bitcoin go in the next bullish cycle? My technical analysis shows around 100,000 USD. We have a huge ascending parallel channel on the LOG weekly scale that you can see on this chart. It has already had five touches, and it started in 2017. What's more, if we take the Fibonacci extension from the start of the previous bull market to the end of the previous bull market and to the end of the previous bear market, the 0.618 FIB extension is right at 104,000 USD.
Seriously, please do not expect Bitcoin to hit 300k or 1 million in the next few years; the market cap would be insane if this happened.
In the short term, I am pretty neutral because Bitcoin could reach 33K or also start a big crash. At this point, we need more confirmation, so I prefer to trade altcoins at this moment and wait for BTC. I trade over 200 futures pairs, and I have a lot of opportunities everywhere.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
BITCOIN UPDATE Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below.
First of all, Wishing everyone a profitable and productive week! Today is Monday, and I have some information to share with you. 📰
Last week was nice, and yesterday we witnessed the highest weekly candle close of the year. This week will also mark the monthly close, which is expected to show significant growth. 📈
Since the beginning of the year, Bitcoin has been moving within an ascending channel, forming new HH's and HL's. The correction from $30k was highly predictable, and I have been mentioning it for the past two months. Now, I will share my outlook on future events, and this post will serve as an addition to my recent BTC 1D TF chart. 🔙
The 200MA and 200EMA have performed exceptionally well, and as I mentioned before, I anticipate further growth for BTC in the near future due to several reasons:
1️⃣ The sweep of the high at the $32k level ;
2️⃣ Liq. grab from the monthly FVG ;
3️⃣ The 3.618 level as the next Fib. target ;
4️⃣ The "Manipulation" stage according to PO3 ;
5️⃣ The fifth wave according to Elliot Wave theory ;
6️⃣ Additionally, there is a MACD Bullish Cross.
💡 Remember - Dips are for buying! In the near future, focus more on long positions rather than short ones !
🔜 Further updates will be provided as new developments unfold !
bitcoin update Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below.
As we said before we can expect more pump here only if the 31K$ resistance zone break but now price is below the resistance so we may have short-term fall too.
Major supports:
A. 27500$
B. 26700$
C. 25000$
Major resistances are:
A. 31000$
B. 34000$
Bitcoin - Plan for the next 6 months! (strategy)
Bitcoin is pumping, but buying at the current price is not worth it at all. I have been talking about the 10k, 15k, or 20k (unfilled CME gap) for a long time. Usually, summer is choppy, followed by September and October, which are generally very bearish months for Bitcoin.
Of course, I am not here to immediately FOMO into Bitcoin, and I do not recommend anyone do it. You can take a look at altcoins; they are extremely bearish, and since I have been bearish for 3 months, they have crashed by 50% or 70%. Just take a look, for example, at MATIC or Cardano.
I do not have any Bitcoin because timing is important when it comes to investments. The most efficient way is to buy Bitcoin around 20k later this year and ride the third impulse wave to the upside. I expect a huge ABC correction to be triggered soon, and as we know, the usual retracement for the 1st impulse wave is most likely 0.618 or even deeper.
Bitcoin is one of the most bearish assets in the world. Gold almost hit an all-time high, as did Nasdaq. Bitcoin is supposed to be the most bullish asset, right? It already should be above the previous all-time high somewhere around 100k, but it's struggling below 30k.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
I am expecting a big crash on Bitcoin, no matter this recent pump. The market moves in waves, and corrections do make sense to me. I think 10k is no longer possible for Bitcoin due to the recent pump because the current uptrend from 15k is now transforming from a corrective wave into an impulse wave, which is a sign of the start of the bull market.
On the chart, you can see a projection for a Diamond or Head and Shoulders pattern that can be formed in the next few months prior to the final dump to 21k.
My strategy and game plan for Bitcoin is that first we are going to go higher, to around 33000, to take the liquidity above the previous swing high from 2022. After that, I am expecting a huge crash back to 25k, and then some consolidation pattern should occur as wave (B). In September, we can expect a final huge crash to 20K, followed by an extremely strong buy-back from whales.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
GOLD DAILY SWING FORECASTBased on my study on Gann + Fibonacci + Elliott Wave, here's i present you the 2 months forecast for GOLD
Calculating swing height is much more harder since it was actually controlled by monetary policy rather than just a natural phenomena, what we can actually count is just the time
So we know when it will go up or down
I don't guarantee a perfect timing nor trading plan, but rather a good insight based on my knowledge!
Further update will release very soon
Sincerely, H. Haidar