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Fibonacci Extension

🥇GOLD - Consolidation below the support. Fibo retest GOLD after retesting the support area of the uptrend forms a false break of 0.5 fibo and declines, updating the local minimum at the beginning of the trading session. The market is forming consolidation below the previously broken support TA on the high timeframe: 1) Price in range, resistance was tested earlier 2) Price failed to make a new high on a retest of resistance 1984 3) Price is forming liquidity areas TA on the low timeframe: 1) A decline is formed after a retest of broken trend support 2) Price declines to 1950 and forms a retest of 0.382 fibo. 3) Most likely the market is looking for the area of local liquidity and forms consolidation of the potential for possible movement in one or the other direction 4) It is possible to decline from 0.382 fibo, or growth from 0.5 fibo. Key support📉: 1948 Key resistance📈: 0.382 fibo and 0.5 fibo
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AndeWave
17
GBPAUD long bias monthly perspective from daily charthi, there is an uptrend on this asset. price swinging upper 0.61 fib extension level, thats nice cuz price now above the 0.61 fibonacci retracement of 3 years. thats sense bulls are on control. i think price will range at upper level at august which 1.95-2.00. if needs a demand i think the changed 1.9 level is will be work as key. it has a nice bullish candle from price. high volume level of the trend inside of trend is at 1.9 level. i ll looking for gbpaud's bullish signal this month.
Long
by firatbicer
Mastering Elliott Wave: The importance of channelingI wanted to share my thoughts on the significance of using channeling technique in Elliott Wave theory when analyzing charts. To begin, we draw what we call a "base channel," starting from the beginning of wave 1 and extending it to the end of wave 2. This initial channel provides us with a foundation for analysis. The following occurrence of an impulsive breakout beyond this channel signals the initiation of wave 3. At this point, we create a new "Acceleration Channel" to track the movement of wave 3. If this newly drawn channel is breached to the downside, it suggests the possibility of a correction for wave 3 underway. As seen in the picture, the original base channel we drew earlier now acts as a support level for wave 4, accompanied by consolidation around Fibonacci levels. This observation has been witnessed numerous times in the past. When the corrective channel experiences a breakout with above-average volume, it serves as a signal indicating the completion of wave 4. This event provides an opportunity for us to establish Fibonacci targets for profit-taking. In this particular example, I have chosen to draw the corrective channel only on the final leg of the ABC correction, enabling us to catch the breakout at an earlier stage. A more conservative approach, however, would involve waiting for the breakout to occur after wave B has been surpassed. Hope this was helpful for those wanting to learn more about channeling and Elliott Wave.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by Ingvar77
🥇 GOLD - Retest on the back of the news could break resistanceGold is forming a quiet growth. Surprisingly, there is no violent reaction to the news, but at the same time the situation is still unstable. Today will be known data on employment and gdp. Keep an eye on the news! TA on the high timeframe: 1) Price forms a flat resistance retest. 2) This quick retest implies that the market is ready to continue rising. 3) Price is approaching the liquidity zone. A bullish impulse may be formed when this zone is broken through. TA on the low timeframe: 1) Price is moving in fast volatile moves, but note that a large position is being gained due to the fact that a drop and rise is being formed on increased volatility, but at the same time price continues to strengthen. 2) A retest of 1983.6 may form a pullback, but not a big one. 3) Price is still far away from the resistance breakout and in this case it will have to form a pre-breakout consolidation or a quick retest of the resistance area 4) Growth is the priority. But it is possible that the growth will occur after a pullback Key support📉: 1973, 1963 Key resistance📈: 1983.6
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AndeWave
14
IRDM : POSITION TRADEIridium Communications: A Great Company At A Fair Price NASDAQ:IRDM - Iridium Communications has done really well in recent months between landing another large contract and increasing financial guidance. - This has sent shares roaring higher, but this has a downside to it as well. - The stock seems to be more or less fairly valued at this time, even though the firm remains excellent for long-term investors seeking stability. ...As revenue has risen, profitability has also increased. Net income of $4.6 million in the latest quarter was higher than the $3.8 million reported the same time one year earlier. Operating cash flow in the latest quarter came in at $99.8 million. That's 32.7% above the $75.2 million generated just one year earlier. Meanwhile, EBITDA for the company expanded from $94.8 million in the second quarter of 2021 to $105.9 million the same time this year. Naturally, this strong bottom line performance has had a positive impact on the company's results for the first half of the year as a whole. Due to how things are turning out so far this year, the management team at Iridium Communications decided recently to increase their guidance for the current fiscal year. Read more on: seekingalpha.com Daniel Jones, Seeking Alpha, Aug. 02, 2022 11:15 PM ET
NASDAQ:IRDMLong
by TradingMavericks
GBPAUD → False breakdown and upward movement to retestFX:GBPAUD continues to form a bullish trend, as the high timeframe tells us. The price makes a false breakdown of the moving average and returns to the range. The price has returned to the ascending price channel and may form a retest or consolidation above the support level in the nearest future. At the moment the price is squeezed within the flat 1.9184 and 1.9035. Most likely the price has the upper boundary of the range as a target. An intraday retest of resistance may follow for a breakout. Since we have an uptrend, a false breakout of support and MA-200, the market is ready to continue rising. Another breakout attempt at 1.9184 may be successful and the price may show active growth. Support levels: 1.9035, trend support Resistance levels: 1.9184 I expect a retest of resistance with a subsequent breakout. Medium-term target: 1.9393. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
13
💱NZDUSD - Bounce from 0.618 before further decline NZDUSD is making a perfect move within the previously formed idea. The currency pair breaks the ascending support and falls to 0.618. The target has been reached, But! TA on the high timeframe: 1) Price has passed only the first half of the way. The global target could be 0.6084 or 0.5985 2) Overcame the liquidity area, which is resistance at the moment and the price is heading towards support. TA on the low timeframe: 1) A rebound from 0.618 fibo to the nearest resistance is likely to follow at the moment 2) The resistance at 0.62328 may take the price again, but not let it go up. In this case a rebound or a false breakout with a subsequent fall will be formed. 3) The local trend is downtrending and it can bring the price to 0.61339 rather quickly. Key resistance📈: 0.5 fibo Key support📉: 0.618 fibo, 0.61339
Short
by AndeWave
9
S&P 500 Daily Technical Analysis (UPDATED)ES (SP 500) Daily - No RECOMMENDATION or ADVICE Status / EDUCATIONAL only - Support, Resistance, Trend Lines , Parallel Channel, Cluster, Confluence, Pitchfork, Gap, Fibonacci Retracement / Extension - Hope it Helps, Good Luck DISCLAIMER - This communication is not trading or investment advice, recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any investment product is provided for informational, educational and research purposes only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The author or persons involved in the conception, production and distribution of this material cannot be held responsible for transactions or any financial loss or damages resulting directly or indirectly from the use or application of any concepts or information contained in or derived from this material. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any person who chooses to use this information as a basis for their trading assumes all the liability and risk for themselves.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by BahamasX
2
Is MSFT's bullish momentum depleted? The uptrend channel A 100% parallel extension of the uptrend channel indicates the strength of this bullish trend. Symmetrical projection: An uptrend N pattern By projecting a 100% symmetry projection of the initial swing from point A to B, and extending it from point C, the target price would be point D at $303.3. Given that the anticipated symmetric pullback to point E did not occur, my expectation is for a further 100% extension from point D. As a result, the target price has been revised upwards to point F at $360.8. Other key levels Resistance The historical highest high at $349.6 is a very strong resistance level, coinciding with the upper band of the channel's 100% extension. The more resistances encountered, the harder it is to break through. Support The 1.5 extension level at $ 332 is a support level that has been tested. Clear price reactions to key Fibonacci levels can enhance the overall significance and value of the analysis. The prior low level, which is at $322.5, can always act as a significant support level. Moreover, it’s a resistance turned support level, making it more important. Possible scenarios If the uptrend continues… When facing the key resistance at $349.6, the market should exhibit a clear movement, like a gap-up opening or a significant bullish candle, to demonstrate its determination. If the bullish momentum is depleted… The market is likely to pull back the price to below the prior low level, which is at $322.5. Compared to the 1.5 extension support level, the level of the prior low holds greater importance. If the 1.5 extension support level is breached, it serves as a mere warning. However, If the level of the prior low is breached, it disrupts the rhythm of a healthy bullish trend and makes price movements difficult to anticipate. Conclusion If the key support at $322.5 is breached, it’s better to step out of the market. Allow the market to stabilize on its own, and wait for a clearer signal before reentering. If not, the uptrend will continue, and the target price remains at $360.8. Hindsight bias part While our target price is $360.8, the prior historical high level at $349.6 represents the optimal target price. Considering the formidable resistance at the prior historical high, I prefer to sacrifice a small portion of potential returns in favor of a higher probability of success. **Not Financial Advice** The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by stock_adelie
NZDCHF → Activity of dynamic sellers forms a triangle FX:NZDCHF is forming a multi-month descending triangle. Globally, the currency pair is under downtrend pressure. What's going on? Buyers are forming the limit zone at 0.5444, sellers continue to press this area since the end of April, thus a descending triangle is formed on the chart, which speaks for itself. False breakdown of the support does not give the result and we see an attempt of another retest of the support level. Formation of the subsequent test or pre-breakdown consolidation will form the momentum that can break the mentioned support and form a bearish impulse towards 0.5350. But, if the buyers hold the zone, the price will head upwards. A breakout and consolidation of the price above 0.5496 will be a buy signal. Support levels: 0.5444 Resistance levels: 0.5496 I expect the support breakout based on the technical feature of the currency pair at the moment. Medium-term target is the support at 0.5350. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
16
NQ: How far can this uptrend go? Channel - There’s a clear uptrend channel. Symmetrical projection: An uptrend N pattern - By projecting a 100% symmetry projection of the initial swing from point A to B, and extending it from point C. - As the expected symmetric pullback to E did not occur, I anticipate a further 100% extension from D to F ($16,733). The target price level aligns with the historical high level, adding significance to the target price. Resistance levels on the way - The price successfully surpassed the previous key resistance level at $15,344 and paused by reaching the upper band of the uptrend channel. (Please refer to the link, "Related Ideas", below for more details.) - The next resistance level is the “Another potential TP” level at $16,216. ( If applying a more conservative initial swing. Please refer to the link, "Related Ideas", below for more details.) Support/ Defence level for bulls - Since the price successfully broke out and closed above the old key resistance at $15,344, we can adjust the prior low level to $14,853. - The level at $14,853 coincides with two key Fibonacci levels: The 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level from point A to “Another potential TP” level (assuming that level G represents the end goal of this uptrend). The 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from point C to point F (assuming that level F represents the end goal of this uptrend). - While the new support/defense level for the uptrend is set at $14,853, the ideal scenario for bulls is to observe a shift in the previous key resistance level at $14,344, turning it into a support level. **Not Financial Advice** The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by stock_adelie
BTC to 41K Before Cool OffBTC On the Weekly time Frame. BTC has been in a strong Elliot 5 Wave Impulse Move since the start of 2023. Analyzing the Fibonacci Retracement of the first pull back (wave 2) which occurred in March of this year, we can see an almost perfect touch at the .618 level before wave 3 ensued. In Keeping with the laws of Fibonacci, Wave 3 was the most violent (so far) and ended at the 1.618 Fibonacci Extension - roughly 31KUSD per Bitcoin. Again further validating that this is a text book Elliot 5 Wave Impulse move, wave 3 was followed by a slow, drawn out Wave 4 which consolidated in a falling wedge formation and respected the top of Wave 1 before making a less violent but still respectable move back to 31K (our most recent push up). Now standing in the face of Cryptos greatest resistance level to ever exist, I am expecting further consolidation before eventually breaking 31K and stopping at our next and final Fibonacci Extension, the 2.618; Completing the 5th wave of this Macro Move. Once the target is achieved I anticipate that we will move into an ABC correction and Retrace back to Roughly 25K. Why 25K? When analyzing the structure as one move, a Fibonacci Retracement Tool can be pulled from the Bear Market Bottom, to the 2.618 Level. The .618 Retracement for this entire move lands Bitcoin roughly at 25KUSD per Bitcoin. This technical analysis is to price scale but not time scale. I cannot predict when 41K will be achieved and when 25K will be achieved. If this move plays out this will be the perfect set up as the first leg up into the new Bull Market. the pull back to 25K will be the last time to buy before new ATHs (with the exception of a black swan event of course). I have been tracking this move since March, since my related Ideas.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by AlexSpicer94
2
TESLA: Can the minor uptrend win? Channel - A minor uptrend exists within a main downtrend. For TESLA to officially transition into an uptrend, it must break the main downtrend and surpass the significant prior high at $313.5. Symmetrical projection: An uptrend N pattern - By projecting a 100% symmetry projection of the initial swing from point A to B, and extending it from point C. - As the expected symmetric pullback to E from D did not occur, I anticipate a further 100% extension of the primary bullish momentum (A to B) from D to F ($384.6). The target price level aligns perfectly with the starting point of the primary downtrend, further enhancing the significance of the target price. Resistance level on the way - The significant prior high at $313.5 represents a critical resistance level as the market must break through it to officially reverse the downtrend. Support/ Defence levels for bulls - The prior low at $241 is a key support level that shouldn’t be broken, if the market intends to sustain the uptrend. The level aligns with two critical Fibonacci levels, adding its importance. The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level of the primary downtrend from point X to point A. The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level from point C to point F (assuming the target price of $384.6 marks the end of the uptrend). - If the price manages to sustain above the current level at $268, it would create the ideal scenario for a healthy uptrend. This is because $268 serves as both the original target price at level D and the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level of the nearest downswing from point X to point A. **Not Financial Advice** The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by stock_adelie
3
💱USDCAD - False breakdown and flat formation is possibleUSDCAD formed a head and shoulders after a false breakdown of key resistance. It was at this point that the dollar began to weaken and led the currency pair to test the local bottom at 1.30900 TA on the high timeframe: 1) A false break of resistance sends the price to support at 1.3138 2) Since the forex market is flat more than 70% of the time, the price is likely to form a false break of support and start to strengthen TA on the low timeframe: 1) A false breakout is forming against the local support at 1.31179. A rebound to the resistance is possible 2) Fibo levels can also serve as a magnet for correction. 3) There are high chances of flat formation, the price may form a rebound before further fall. Key support📉: 1.31179 Key resistance📈: 1.31776
Long
by AndeWave
8
💱EURAUD - Break of triangle support gives a signal EURAUD failed to break through the resistance at 1.65000. Having formed a false breakdown, the price falls and breaks the support of the ascending triangle, thus opening a red carpet for itself TA on the high timeframe: 1) Price in range. From resistance, price may reach support in the medium term 2) Weakness on the buy side will lead to a quick test of support TA on the low timeframe: 1) a break of triangle support is a strong signal 2) Price breaks 1.6364 and heads towards 1.61868. 3) A retest of resistance is likely to follow. Key support📉: 1.62500, 1.60961 Key resistance📈: 1.63640
Short
by AndeWave
1