Week 8: Are we going to see the 10.5k? =DSince the beginning of the year we have been in a very strong downtrend, but technically the trend has turned bullish on the 4H-Chart as soon as the Blue Structure level was violated after forming a Head & Shoulders.
Since the breakout the price has been in a strong upward movement until the RSI became extremely Oversold and on the next resistance in Green. Since then, the Price is getting some seller pressure.
If the price respects that resistance, it opens up 2 good opportunities to get long.
Scenario 1 (Green Arrows) : This scenario is my preferable one, because:
Breakout Confirmation of the Blue Structure
Breakout Retest of the Head & Shoulders formation
Fibonacci Confluence (61.8% from last leg & 38.2% from last bottom)
If the price retests the Blue Area, I will wait for a candlestick formation to get long for a retest of the previous High Target 1: @9k and an extended Target 2: @10.5k
Scenario 2 (Yellow Arrows) : This scenario is also a possible long opportunity if the price does not break and close below that area, because if it does, I will no longer be interested in a Buy, also on this scenario my targets would be more conservative: instead of aiming for an extended target I would only buy for a retest @7.5k for Target 1 and Target 2 a retest of the previous High @9k.
If you like the Idea give it a thumbs up, leave a comment if you want to discuss it or have any question.
Take care & Happy Pip-Hunting
Fibonacci Confluence
XRPUSD Triangle & Fib confluenceXRPUSD has been consolidating in a triangle since the ATH. It is now nearing the point of the triangle and I expect it to break to the upside. I am basing this on the strength of the previous bounces when price has hit the bottom of the triangle and the fact that the prevailing trend is very bullish.
The point of the triangle corresponds with a level of triple confluence on the fibs, so this will act either as strong support or resistance. A bounce or breakdown through that level is likely to be important. If it exits the top of the triangle there is another, larger triangle to consolidate within. I expect it will retrace then make an impulsive, bullish wave.
I invite any comments,
Jack
EURGBP - H1 - Short OpportunityFollowing on from successful short and a big move down after breaking through the neckline of a H&S pattern up at the recent highs, I'm still favouring a little more movement to the downside on this pair when the recent fundamentals are also taken into account.
After the most recent move down, we have been consolidating in this sideways market for a few days. We seem to have broken and closed below the lows of the consolidation 'range' this morning and I would take this as a sign to get Short this pair upon a retest of that resistance line. Pretty much at market at the time of typing this up, and will likely be entering at the close of this hourly candle (provided we don't close back up above the line - seems unlikely though).
For targets, I'd initially be looking to hit that zone of Fib confluence down with a 127.2%, 161.8% and bigger 127.2% extension all lining up in a similar area - I'll be shooting for a touch of the 0.8700 flat handle before closing half of the position. My second target will be a little lower down around the 0.8575 - 0.8600 level which is around the 161.8% extension of the same move we are using above, and also an area of relatively high activity looking left back through the charts.
Let's see whether or not this plays out over the coming days!
USDJPY 4 HOUR CHARTIf you see my other post linked at the bottom of this post, I was looking to go long and the news pushed it perfectly. Unfortunately, I was stopped out by the news spike. Price is already seeing some reaction ahead of some identified levels... A daily trendline,structure, 78.6 fib, and 1.618 fib inversion. I'll be watching price action the rest of the week and into next week and reanalyzing according to newly printed structure.
GBP/USD - Cypher formation Pro-TrendHello everyone!
There is a potential opportunity here on GBP/USD, when the cypher will be complete.
On the Daily timeframe (sx) we can see the price go through some important support levels, and one of them, now turn to resistence, will be in the area of the cypher's D point. We also broke the last one on our left, and that is a possibile confirmation that the price want to go lower.
On the 4 Hour timeframe (dx) we can add some extra filter to the Cypher.
We have the 38.2% of the last impulse move on the Daily timeframe, plus 2 extra filter on the 4 hour:
A Fibonacci extension of A-B and an inversion of B-C, all pointing in the same area.
We can use the PRZ for a trend continuation trade, based on the daily analysis, or we can just trade the cypher in the "classic way" with a first target at a 38,2% and the second at 61,8%.
What do you guy think?
Ngas short opportunity Outlook Ngas on Friday prices dropped in a downtrend (a bearish bias) through trendline support near Fibo 0.618 level which is now seen as Resistance at 2.92. Support is seen near 2.86 Fibo 1 level
As we can see on the 1hr Chart Momentum is bullish and technically I will be looking for a retest / pull back sell.!!
Have a nice weekend
NZDUSD Continues South After Taking a BreatherNZDUSD is currently struggling around the Resistance level around 0.734
It is possible that the Kiwi Soars forming a Double top formation, but It has a small probability to occur under this current situation.
NZDUSD is expected to continue going south, after finishing its current retracement, reaching a lower high of 0.734, which is no more than the 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement level of the previous move south.
The current Bearish pin bar shows the weakness in the Bulls, and the Bears are in CONTROL for the next big move. the price is at a great place to start a Sell trade. More conservative traders can wait for more confluence.
Traders are adviced to make an initial take profit TP1 = 0.7123 , closing 50% of their trade.
Meanwhile, TP2 would be around 0.7047.
SHORT GOLD gold is currently presenting a decent shorting opportunity. it is showing multiple rejections of the 38.2 fib and is currently being capped by the 50 ma on the 2 hour. A strong close back below the 38.2 and we could see a continuation lower to the 1.27 fib extension which also lines up with weekly support. targets at 1194.63 area
AB=CD COMPLETION AND FIBONACCI CLUSTER TRADEWe are looking to short the market @ 1.11600. for three reasons:
1) Cluster of long and short term fibonacci retracement and expansion
2) The completion of the AB=CD harmonic move
3) all of thi in confluence with a major structure resistance
Remember guys: eyes on your mind, not on the trade.
CORTES TEAM
USD.CAD - Bullish Cypher Setup - 1.2617On the USD.CAD 4h chart we have a potential long opportunity's at the D leg completion of bullish Cypher setup.
The price reversal zone on this pair is between 1.2617 & 1.2467
The PRZ zone is only a guideline of where we will be paying attention for trade setups and opportunity's.
Fibonacci Confluence - 78.60% - 1.414% & 1.618%
Potential targets for the Cypher setup placed at the .382% and .618% retracement of the C to D move.
There is also opportunity to look for extended targets at around 1.3097
Stop loss would be placed below X leg structure support.
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GBP.JPY - Bearish Cypher Pattern - 156.162On the GBP.JPY 1h chart we have a potential short opportunity at the D leg completion of a bearish Cypher Pattern
The price reversal zone on this pair is between 156.162 & 156.658
The PRZ zone is only a guideline of where we will be paying attention for trade setups and opportunity's.
Fibonacci Confluence: 78.60% & 1.272%
Potential targets for the Cypher Pattern placed at the .382% and .618% retracement of the C to D move.
There is also opportunity to look for extended targets at around 154.057
Stop loss would be placed above X leg structure resistance
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USD/CHF Long Opportunity With Good Risk/Reward RatioI have noticed some harmonic movement and fib confluence which might be a good idea to go long on the pair.
You can also check the RSI status when the price approaches the green box to get more confirmation before you decide to enter the trade.
*I take no responsibility whatsoever on profit/losses as a result of following/ executing my trading ideas. Trade at your own