AMZN pullback to $201 (buying AMZD)MODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make.
Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated.
My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price above or at top of channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at near overbought level
VBSM is turning spiked positive
Price at or near Fibonacci level
Target is $201 or channel bottom
Buying NASDAQ:AMZD
Fibonacci
Last Leg XAUOverall uptrend still needs a leg to complete its wave.
Considering higher lows of around -10%, the recent drop is the 4th point in our Elliot Wave analysis.
Last leg is to form the head and shoulders, synonym of long term tops.
I think the focus will be towards currencies, with countries focusing on Trumponomics, strengthening currencies for the dollar against tariffs. PBOC just reached an ATH in their gold hoarding.
Dollar itself might feel some headwind, because of the recent rise in DXY, a cool down soon is expected with my lower yields analysis. This would go well with foreign currencies reaching up while some headwind causes the USD to lag.
Let's see
AAPL heads up at $240: Breakout Barrier on way to $257 and TOP?AAPL finally trying to break out to new highs.
Watching the BreakOut Barrier above for clues.
Double Golden Fibs would make for a nice TOP.
$ 239.41 - 241.19 is the BreakOut Barrier.
$ 248.86 - 248.72 a quick breakout target.
$ 257.41 - 257.86 Double Golden is the KEY.
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#BTC - Is the bull run over?Is the bull run over for #BTC?
As I mentioned in my last post, I don't think BTC is ready for a more ample correction, only once we reach the extended zone of 105-108k
There are multiple confluences that sustain this hypothesis:
1. On the Pitchfork price touched the 1.618 low and rejected
2. All the liquidity was taken from 90-91k
3. There is now more and more liquidity forming above 104k, as people believe that the huge wick sweep signalled a change of character (reversal)
4. Looking at the Fibonacci time levels, we see multiple pivots in the past that were almost perfectly on the time levels, the next one being tomorrow
Even if price keeps correcting a bit lower to 93-96k, don't be fooled and sell early, because the next sweep of highs will be very impulsive, close to inflation news.
ETH All Time High is NOT YET IN A fractal, a Fibonacci pattern, and Crypto logic tells me that the Ethereum all time high is still coming.
This could take some time - but the month of December seems likely as this is a period of euphoria around the world, and BTC is notoriously bullish over Decembers. Ultimately, it all depend son how long BTC can hold and trade range - This is when altcoins continue to rally.
What we need to monitor closely now, is the BTC market cap (to watch the liquidity) and the Bitcoin Dominance Chart. A hard drop in BTC.D signifies the "beginning of the end" for the BTC bull cycle, but also the last impulse of Altseason.
More on that HERE:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:ETHUSDT
BTCUSD: Systematic PatternsThis analysis highlights the recurring fractal patterns observed within Bitcoin's price progression, specifically focusing on the rhythmic swings that form during bullish trends.
Regularities:
When the price starts to curve sideways forming rounded tops instead of continuing its aggressive upward trend, it suggests a weakening of bullish momentum.
These rounded patterns reflect the exhaustion of buyers at higher price levels and increased resistance, which creates a setup for potential bearish moves. It aligns with typical market behavior, where overextended moves are followed by consolidation or pullbacks.
This transition can lead to a correction, not necessarily a full bearish reversal. However, the extent of the correction depends on broader market dynamics, such as support levels, volume, and overall trend context.
This distinction is important because while these patterns can signal a shift in momentum, they don't guarantee a reversal into a sustained downtrend. Instead, they serve as a warning to be cautious of potential downside risk or a pause in the prevailing trend.
The distortion of composite fractals in these structures is fascinating because it reflects the interplay between market participants.
To analyze further the probable transitions we need some regularity that recognizes those patterns as a part of larger system. For example, a larger curve that maps point of the beginning of this super-cycle with significant highs, would be a great scalable reference, hinting the limits of ongoing "function" to support hierarchy of structures.
Closest pattern relative to current rhythmic swings within the progression suggests a continuation of bullish dominance:
❗️Systematic fractals to counter the scenario above:
Gold Trading Secrets: Expert AnalysisAlexGoldHunter FXOPEN:XAUUSD Technical Analysis and Strategies for Gold (XAU/USD)
Chart Analysis
Price Levels and Candlesticks:
Current Price: 2,633.24 USD
Open: 2,631.51 USD
High: 2,645.63 USD
Low: 2,613.61 USD
Close: 2,633.24 USD
Support and Resistance Levels:
Swing High: 2,656.84 USD
Swing Low: 2,609.53 USD
Previous Day High (pD High): 2,645.63 USD
Previous Day Low (pD Low): 2,613.61 USD
Key Support Level: 2,580.28 USD
Key Resistance Level: 2,733.41 USD
Moving Averages:
Red Line (50-day MA): Around 2,580.28 USD
Blue Line (200-day MA): Around 2,503.15 USD
Volume:
Notable increase in volume towards the end of the chart, suggesting higher trading interest.
Annotations:
BoS (Break of Structure): Indicates a significant price movement breaking a previous structure.
MSS (Market Structure Shift): Indicates a change in the market trend.
Equal Highs: Indicates a resistance level where the price has tested multiple times without breaking through.
Buy Strategy with Confirmations
Entry Point:
Look for a breakout above the Swing High at 2,656.84 USD with strong volume confirmation.
Alternatively, consider buying near the support level at 2,580.28 USD if the price shows a bullish reversal pattern (e.g., bullish engulfing, hammer).
Confirmation:
Ensure the breakout is accompanied by higher-than-average volume.
Confirm with technical indicators such as RSI crossing above 50 or MACD showing a bullish crossover.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss below the recent swing low at 2,609.53 USD for a breakout trade.
For a support level trade, place a stop loss below the key support at 2,580.28 USD.
Take Profit:
Set initial take profit at the next resistance level around 2,733.41 USD.
Consider trailing the stop loss to lock in profits as the price moves in your favor.
Sell Strategy with Confirmations
Entry Point:
Look for a breakdown below the support level at 2,580.28 USD with strong volume confirmation.
Alternatively, consider selling near the resistance level at 2,733.41 USD if the price shows a bearish reversal pattern (e.g., bearish engulfing, shooting star).
Confirmation:
Ensure the breakdown is accompanied by higher-than-average volume.
Confirm with technical indicators such as RSI crossing below 50 or MACD showing a bearish crossover.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss above the recent swing high at 2,656.84 USD for a breakdown trade.
For a resistance level trade, place a stop loss above the key resistance at 2,733.41 USD.
Take Profit:
Set initial take profit at the next support level around 2,503.15 USD.
Consider trailing the stop loss to lock in profits as the price moves in your favor.
This analysis provides a comprehensive view of the chart and outlines potential buy and sell strategies with confirmations. If you need further assistance or have any other requests, just let me know! 😊
UNH Bounce - Don't Miss Out On This 15% OpportunityNYSE:UNH dropped after the tragic death of UnitedHealthcare CEO (not UNH Group CEO) as well as public backlash. Nevertheless, as always in such situation, this has nothing to do with the stock itself. As price action traders we do not trade political or news events since those drops have an unimportant impact mid- to long-term.
UNH now sits on the support zone at around $550 which was previous resistance. We also filled the daily gap at around $568 completely. We touched the 0.236 Fib from the $273 bottom (from 2020) and the RSI is nearly oversold on the daily. This gives us a got chance for a bounce from this zone up to $600 - $620.
Support Levels:
$550
$528
Target/Resistance Levels:
$600
$622-628
ROSE, by any other count...If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
In at 0.082.
Idealized Count.
Want to break above and flip the
0.137 level it has had some trouble with in the past.
0.10467 break complicates the Elliott.
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
DXY: Watch the Key Level for the Next Bullish Leg HigherWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** DXY Analysis !
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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XLM- SECOND TRY- BULLISH PENNANTThe previous trade hit the SL, and since then, we've been waiting for a solid opportunity. This idea seems promising. However, keep the SL tight and aim for the sky with your TP.
The probabilities have shifted to 50% bullish and 50% bearish, but remember, we're in a bull market. A bullish pennant is forming, presenting a potential breakout setup.
Stay disciplined, control your greed, and may the odds be ever in your favor.
Best of luck,
God bless all of you traders!
SBI Life Insurance Co. Ltd. - Technical Analysis UpdateSupport and Resistance Zones:
1.Key Support Zone: ₹1,385-₹1,463
This zone aligns with the Fibonacci 0.236 retracement level and the recent reversal point, making it a strong support.
2.Immediate Resistance Levels:
₹1,555 (Fibonacci 0.382 retracement).
₹1,630 (Fibonacci 0.5 retracement).
₹1,705 (Fibonacci 0.618 retracement), a crucial level to watch.
3.Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
The stock has retraced sharply from its high of ₹1,943 and is showing signs of reversal near the 0.236 Fibonacci level. A breakout above ₹1,500 could confirm bullish momentum toward higher Fibonacci levels.
4.Volume Analysis:
Volume appears to be increasing near the support zone, indicating buying interest from market participants.
The Volume Profile indicates strong accumulation between ₹1,400-₹1,500.
5.Moving Averages:
The stock is attempting to reclaim the 20-day EMA as a dynamic support.
A crossover above the 50-day EMA could signal further bullish strength.
6.RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is recovering from oversold levels, indicating a possible trend reversal. A move above 50 would strengthen the bullish case.
7.Projection:
If the stock sustains above ₹1,463, it could aim for ₹1,555 in the short term and ₹1,705 in the medium term.
A break below ₹1,385 would invalidate this view and could lead to further downside.
Conclusion:
SBI Life Insurance is poised for a potential bounce-back. Traders can consider entries near the ₹1,450-₹1,470 range, targeting ₹1,555 and ₹1,705 with appropriate stop losses below ₹1,385.
SBI Life Insurance Co. Ltd (NSE: SBILIFE) - Technical Analysis Price Action and Fibonacci Analysis
SBI Life is currently trading at ₹1,628.85, which is near a crucial Fibonacci retracement level:
1. Fibonacci Levels:
The price previously peaked around ₹1,935.10, forming a possible double-top pattern.
It has since retraced, approaching the 50% retracement level at ₹1,624.75, a significant support zone. This level often acts as a key point for potential rebounds.
Below this, the 61.8% level at ₹1,551.50 is the next major support. If the price declines further, this level could provide strong support.
2. Volume Profile:
The Volume Profile on the right suggests a high volume node around ₹1,450, indicating strong accumulation in this zone. This level, if reached, could serve as a significant support area and potential bounce point.
3 . Moving Averages:
The stock is currently trading near the 200-day moving average (black line), which may act as a long-term support level.
The 50-day (blue) and 100-day (red) moving averages are above the current price, indicating that the stock has broken below its short- and medium-term trend lines.
Technical Indicators
1. Relative Strength Index (RSI):
The RSI is showing signs of being in the lower half of its range but hasn’t reached oversold territory, suggesting there may be further downside before a potential rebound.
2. Volume Trends:
There has been a significant increase in volume during the recent pullback, indicating strong selling pressure.
Conclusion and Potential Scenarios
Bullish Scenario: If the stock holds the 50% Fibonacci level at ₹1,624.75 and the 200-day moving average, we could see a recovery toward the 38.2% level at ₹1,698.00, with further resistance at ₹1,788.60.
Bearish Scenario: A break below ₹1,624.75 could lead the price toward the 61.8% level at ₹1,551.50. A further decline might see the price test the high-volume node around ₹1,450.
Trading Strategy
For Long Positions: Watch for a bounce near ₹1,624.75 or ₹1,551.50 with confirmation from volume and RSI improving from lower levels.
For Short Positions: A breakdown below ₹1,624.75, particularly with strong volume, could present a shorting opportunity down to ₹1,551.50 or potentially lower.
Note: Always consider market conditions and use proper risk management techniques.
AAVE price shows stabilityCRYPTOCAP:AAVE is another "old-timer" - a colleague CRYPTOCAP:TRX , which is well held and has begun to move against the market.
After the downward trend of 21-22, global accumulation and a smooth trend reversal continued during 23-24.
If the OKX:AAVEUSDT price is kept above $81-86 in the coming days, then it will be possible to take a medium/long term long with a target of $175, and if you're lucky, up to $300 dollars ;)
Sushiswap Sushi price analysis🍣 Fresh CRYPTOCAP:SUSHI has been brought to the market, but you need to buy it at a good price and more on that later!)
Only the 4th time, for the first time in 2.5 years, OKX:SUSHIUSDT price managed to break above $2
1️⃣Now the main thing is to wait for confirmation of the breakout and the strength of buyers. That is, we need to wait for the price of the #Sushiswap token to firmly establish itself in the range of $1.50-2 and not fall below it.
2️⃣If this condition is met, the prospects for continued growth to $10 will open up, where selling one #Sushi will allow you to buy a whole roll set :)
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$SPY December9, 2024AMEX:SPY December9, 2024
15 Minutes.
As can be seen in chart AMEX:SPY struggling around 608 609 levels.
The retracement i was expecting due to oscillator did not happen but it resulted in sideways movement.
For the rise 597.28 to 609.07 604.5 is approximately 38.2% retracement.
Also for the fall 609.07 to 607.07 to 608.38 605 is 1.618 times extension on reversals.
At the moment AMEX:SPY is converged in 3 moving averages 9,21,50.
We have 100 averages sat 606 levels.
That is my first target for the moment.
Day is still strong, and I have 635-640 as target.
We have 606 as 9 averages in day so that should give good support on a reversal.