META pullback to $586MODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make.
Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated.
My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
2HR CHART (expect target to hit THIS WEEK)
Price at or above top of channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at overbought level
VBSM is spiked positive
Price at or near 3.618 Fibonacci level
Target is $586 or channel bottom
Fibonacci
EURJPY Wave Analysis 19 December 2024
- EURJPY broke resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 165.00
EURJPY currency pair recently broke the resistance zone located between the key resistance level 162.00 (which stopped the previous minor wave 2) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse 1 from October.
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated added to the bullish pressure on this currency pair.
EURJPY currency pair can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level 165.00 (which reversed the price multiple times in November).
JUPUSDT – The Sleeper Setup?Ah, Jupiter, you were my favorite. Still are. The platform? Insane. The potential? Off the charts. But this is crypto, and value doesn’t always follow logic—it follows vibes. Sometimes things moon just because we like the stonk. 💎🙌
Right now, JUP’s in a downtrend, and combined with a Fibonacci retracement, we’ve broken through the 0.618 Fib. Translation: we’re likely going lower, targeting the 0.786 zone, but not for long. Setup for buys with some scam wicks.
We have a chance we can bounce directly where we are now 0.8856, lining up with my second downtrend line. Honestly, this wick down feels like pure manipulation—designed to shake out weak hands. My gut? It’s time to long, scaling into positions down to 0.80 cents wicks. Once the dust settles, I’m seeing an explosive recovery to 1.13—prime target territory.
TL;DR:
Current Setup: Downtrend ; we broke below the 0.618 Fib, heading for 0.786.
Support Zone: 0.94–0.69 cents.
Short-Term Resistance: 0.8856 area (downtrend line).
Bounce Target: 1.13+ after recovery.
Play: Sizing into longs down to 0.80 cents wicks.
Sometimes you just gotta trust your gut and ride the manipulation waves. I’m bullish long-term because JUP’s tech is next level. Let the kids get scared—pros know when it’s time to pounce. 🚀👊
Movement MOVE price predictionWhile the entire crypto market is adjusting, the price of TVC:MOVE is growing!)
Now, the capitalization of #Movement is $1.7 billion
However, as long as the OKX:MOVEUSDT price is below the conditional “sell zone” of $0.78-0.88, we are not ready to buy it.
But it would be very tasty to buy it for our portfolio at $0.38-0.47)
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GOLD → Interest rates are down, but why is gold falling?FX:XAUUSD falls to 2581. Yesterday's news had a negative impact on the market and it's not about rate cuts. Technically the price confirms the bearish nature of the market.
The main reason for the decline in gold prices is the Federal Reserve's caution about lowering interest rates amid the latest economic data. The US central bank lowered the interest rate by 0.25% to the range of 4.25%-4.50% as expected, but for the next year it forecasts 2 rate cuts, which is much less than expected.
The Fed's hawkishness has played its role: the dollar is rising, markets are falling.
Today all eyes are on GDP and initial jobless claims.
Technically, the price is out of the global channel, breaking the support, gold updates the low to 2581.
Resistance levels: 2620, 2630, 2636
Support levels: 2616, 2612, 2603
After updating the low, a retest of the previously broken channel boundary and imbalance zones is formed. False breakdown of key resistance, for example 2620 or 2630 and subsequent consolidation of the price below these zones may lead to further decline.
Regards R. Linda!
SOLUSD – Bounce or Breakdown? Time to ChooseCurrently trading at 204.52, Solana’s sitting just above a key white box support zone between 193–203, which is shaping up as a strong bounce location. The upward trendline remains intact, keeping the bull thesis alive, but here’s the deal: lose support at 193, and things could get ugly fast. That 193 area aligns perfectly with the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement, making it a do-or-die level for the short-term bulls.
Right now, the setup is giving double-top vibes, and we need to see strength here. A breakout and close above the weekly ATH is the green light we’ve all been waiting for. Stay focused—SOL still has the fundamentals: a thriving ecosystem, killer tech, loads of users, and insanely low costs. Long-term, the outlook is solid as the blockchain itself. 🌱
But let’s not sugarcoat it—if we break 193, brace for impact. Expect aggressive downward pressure, with price likely testing the trendline and possibly wicking down to 157 (the 0.382 Fib retracement). That’s where buyers could step back in.
TL;DR:
Support: 193–203 (white box, 0.236 Fib).
Resistance: Weekly ATH needs snapping for continuation.
Bear Scenario: Below 193 → pressure to trendline, potential wicks to 157.
Bull Target: 411 long-term with an R:R of 5.4.
The uptrend is alive, but this is where SOL needs to show it’s got legs. Don’t sleep on the bounce, but manage your risk—because if it breaks, the fallout could be real. Keep your stops tight and your conviction tighter. 🧠📈
DOGEUSDT - Woof Woof! Is the Dog About to Run?Currently trading at 0.35625, DOGE is sitting snugly at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement from its epic 2021 run. This zone is also a solid support range from back in the day, acting like a comfy dog bed for price action. If DOGE can hold the line here, we’ve got clear skies to 0.43—there’s barely any resistance to chew through above.
Let’s zoom out. The ATH weekly close is parked at 0.5690. Breaking that level could send the dog straight to the 0.92 zone, completing a trend-based Fib extension off the ATH. That’s almost a full retracement and extension play—prime for the meme magic to kick in.
DOGE has a history of wild moves when no one’s looking. Meme coins don’t follow logic—they follow hype. When the alts run, they run fast and furious. Keep an eye on volume spikes and sentiment shifts, because when the Dogefather calls, you don’t want to miss it. 🐕🦺💨
TL;DR:
Support at 0.35625 (0.382 Fib + 2021 levels).
Resistance at 0.43 and 0.5690 (ATH weekly close).
Extension target: 0.92—let’s complete that trend-based Fib!
Trade smart, stay degen. Let the memes fly. 🚀
GBPAUD to the moon?Taking a long position on GBPAUD, main reasons being:
- BoE holding interest rates for now and less rate cuts are expected next year, could drive more institutions to hold GBP and increase it's value
- AUD are trade partners with China who are experiencing significant economic instability
- COT traders are 57% long on GBP (+2.14% compared to last week)
- COT traders are 52% long on AUD, but are adding more short positions (-4.53% change in net long positions compared to last week)
- Retail traders are 93% short on GBPAUD (I find that retail is usually wrong, so this is a positive signal for GBPAUD longs in my book)
This trade is more based on Australia's weakness rather than Britain's strength. I was also thinking of shorting AUDJPY (see previous trade idea) or AUDUSD.
I couldn't get in a position that I liked on AUDJPY (yet) and I'm already in a short position on EURUSD, so I want to diversify a bit away from the US Dollar.
The reason I'm entering here is because it is filling an imbalance candle, and it's also at the 0.682 mark on the Fibonacci retracement tool.
If I get taken out I don't mind, there may be better entries on GBPAUD available if that happens, or there may be an opportunity to short AUDJPY instead, which I prefer the fundamentals of.
Don't take this as investment advice, I'm just sharing what I'm doing. Please don't follow me blindly, create your own strategy and ideas.
Ethereum Fibonacci Strategy SetupThis ethereum setup I use is on the 15 minute chart. The signals are SMA crossovers of the 13/55. And the moving average plots are using Golden Ratio numbers to forecast near term price movements. Lastly I use a sessions indicator to show the New York & Tokyo sessions. As well as a tick value indicator to show me how much the tick value of
the futures contract for Ethereum.
Crossover Signals:
Long - SMA 13 > SMA 55
Short - SMA 13 < SMA 55
Golden Ratio Plots (SMA):
111 - White
233 - Red
610 - Green
Timeframe:
15 minute
POPCAT/USDT: Range Accumulation Play | 40% Recovery SetupPOPCAT/USDT SPOT Analysis 📊
--------------------------------
TRADING SETUP (SPOT) 📈
• Asset: POPCAT/USDT
• Exchange: MEXC
• Timeframe: 15m
STRATEGY: RANGE ACCUMULATION 🎯
Entry Zones:
Buy Zone: 0.77-0.79 (Current Support)
Why:
- Historical support level
- High volume node
- Bottom of consolidation range
- Aligned with 0.236 Fib
Take Profits:
TP1: 0.84 (Range Top) - 40% position
TP2: 0.86 (Break of Range) - 40% position
TP3: 0.89 (Previous Structure) - 20% position
Risk Management ⚠️:
• Stop Loss: 0.77 (Below current structure)
• Position Size: Max 5% of total portfolio
• Risk:Reward = 1:2.5
Key Reasons for Entry:
1. Price stabilizing after major drop
2. Clear range formation (0.79-0.82)
3. Multiple CHoCH patterns showing selling exhaustion
4. Strong volume support at current levels
Warning Signs to Exit ❌:
• Break below 0.77
• Volume spike with bearish candles
• Loss of range structure
Bonus Tip 💡:
DCA (Dollar Cost Average) approach recommended in current range:
• 25% at 0.79
• 25% at 0.78
• 50% at 0.77
#SpotTrading #POPCAT #Accumulation #CryptoTrading
Remember: Always manage risk first, profits second. This is analysis, not financial advice.
Golden Horizons: Technical Precision Meets Fundamental PowerOANDA:XAUUSD - Daily
Gold’s Bullish Breakout Shines Bright!
Gold (XAU/USD) has confirmed a strong breakout from a Falling Wedge and Rounding Bottom, rebounding off the 50% Fibonacci level (2,533.75). With the next target at the 161.8% extension (3,107.09), this setup offers a potential 16.49% gain in just 77 days. Ideal for position traders seeking long-term growth and swing traders capitalising on interim moves. 🚀✨
🌟 Technical Highlights: Gold’s Bullish Setup in Focus
Gold (XAU/USD) is setting the stage for a remarkable upward journey, supported by two key bullish patterns that signal strong momentum ahead:
1. Falling Wedge
The recent breakout from a falling wedge pattern is a textbook example of a bullish continuation. This move signals the end of a consolidation phase, where sellers lose control and buyers step in decisively. The breakout is accompanied by strong momentum, confirming that the bulls are in command and driving prices higher.
2. Rounding Bottom Formation
Adding to the bullish case is a clear rounding bottom pattern, a powerful long-term reversal signal. This pattern reflects steady accumulation by buyers, often seen as the market transitions from bearish sentiment to a confident bullish trend. It provides a solid base for sustained upward movement.
After retracing to the 50% Fibonacci level (2,533.75), the price rebounded strongly, breaking out with conviction. The next key target lies at the 161.8% Fibonacci extension (3,107.09), representing a potential 16.49% gain over the next 77 days.
This setup combines technical precision with a clear path for growth, making it a compelling opportunity for traders to watch. Gold’s journey upward is gaining momentum—don’t miss the move!
🌍 Fundamental Insights: Gold’s Shining Role
Gold continues to solidify its status as the ultimate safe-haven asset, thriving on a combination of global uncertainties and supportive monetary policies. The Federal Reserve’s dovish stance, characterised by steady interest rates, has reduced the appeal of fixed-income investments, making gold a preferred alternative for investors seeking stability in a low-yield environment.
Simultaneously, persistent inflationary pressures and geopolitical tensions are driving investors toward gold as a hedge against declining purchasing power and economic instability. As crises in key regions escalate, gold’s reputation as a reliable store of value during turbulent times becomes even more pronounced. This blend of factors is propelling gold’s bullish momentum, appealing to both long-term investors and short-term traders eager to capitalise on its growing demand. Gold isn’t just performing; it’s standing out as a pillar of strength in today’s unpredictable financial landscape.
📆 Seasonal Boost: The Golden Demand Wave
Gold traditionally enjoys heightened demand in the first quarter, driven by cyclical buying patterns in key markets like India and China. In India, the wedding season and festivals fuel a surge in gold purchases, while in China, the Lunar New Year celebrations see gold as a symbol of wealth and prosperity. These cultural and seasonal factors consistently create upward pressure on prices during this period.
This seasonal demand perfectly aligns with gold’s current technical breakout and strong fundamental support. The convergence of these factors strengthens the bullish outlook, making the first quarter a historically proven and timely opportunity for traders and investors to capitalise on gold’s momentum.
🙏✨ Thank You for Reading!
Wishing you incredible success on your trading journey! 🌟 Always remember, proper risk management is the cornerstone of sustainable growth in the markets. Stay disciplined, stay confident, and let the charts guide your path.
📈💼 Good luck with your trades—may profits be ever in your favor! 🚀💰
$SPY December 19, 2024AMEX:SPY December 19, 2024
15 Minutes.
The breakdown below 598 was expected to be bad. But this was brutal.
Chart completely messed up.
Needs days to align again.
There was a 30$ difference in daily between 9- and 100-day averages. Hence, I was very hesitant in going longs.
No trade day today for me.
Any retracement up to 598 is a sell.
As can be seen all bars had close near bottom. Very rare to get chart like this.
Dollar in reversal zone
Max probability reversal zone reached.
Weekly double top.
Probable end of wC of B, reached 100% target.
IF DX starts showing weakness, we are in a good Risk/Reward position for riding a possible wave 3 or C to the downside next year.
The first target for this wave 3 or C would be $100 support, then the HVN around $95, then the wave 3 or extended C targets.
BTC, correcting now into 2025It looks very likely that BTC has completed wave 5 of higher degree of trend of 1. Therefore, we'll see a chunky, sizeable correction that has the potential to go down all the way to the 50s. It may not go this low, but please be aware that it 'could' following the classic ABC pattern. Also, keep an eye on the Hurst cycles below - it has to do it quite quickly. If it does go down to 50k, then I'll be buying that up like Miss Pacman.
SHIBA TARGETS!The support level of 0.000022 could be the best time to buy Shiba.
The recent correction of Bitcoin could be a good entry opportunity for the remaining altcoins.
COINEX:SHIBUSDT Shiba is one of these coins with very high targets.
The main growth of Shiba will start with the break of 0.00004.
Don’t forget to follow and boost
Ethereum Fibonacci Retracement SetupThis ethereum setup I use is on the 15 minute chart. The signals are SMA crossovers of the 13/55. And the moving average plots are using Golden Ratio numbers to forecast near term price movements. Lastly I use a sessions indicator to show the New York & Tokyo sessions. As well as a tick value indicator to show me how much the tick value of the futures contract for Ethereum.
Crossover Signals:
Long - SMA 13 > SMA 55
Short - SMA 13 < SMA 55
Golden Ratio Plots (SMA):
111 - White
233 - Red
610 - Green
Timeframe :
15 minute
NEAR Potentioanl longso we have another potential trade tonight and it's NEAR.
the price is strongly bullish as shown in the chart an we are currently in our range between those green dots and we can go higher(potentially).
if the price wants to go higher it must and has to respect the low that I circled around it and if not I will simply break it we then get a change of character.
if we break the lower time frame structure (shown with the green line titled CHoCH) we can say the price potentially can go higher(because we have all those liquidties above that are ready to be swept and the price has a reason to go higher) and gathered enough liquidity.
this trade is very risky because it can easily go the opposite way and become bearish so bear that in mind.
I will personally open a position as soon we gt that lower time frame confirmation.
this is not financial advice and simply an analysis.
thx for reading and have a great night or day <3
Bitcoin is Ready to fill CME Gap!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT )is approaching the Resistance zone($105,560-$104,940) , Downtrend line , and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($105,654-$104,709) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing wave 4 . Probably wave 4 will end in the Resistance zone($105,560-$104,940) .
I expect Bitcoin to go towards filling the CME Gap($103,325-$101,840) AFTER breaking the Support line .
⚠️Note: US indices (Federal Funds Rate, FOMC Economic Projections, FOMC Statement) can affect the trend of Bitcoin; the possibility that the market will get excited when the indices are announced is very high.⚠️
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance zone($105,560-$104,940), we can expect Bitcoin to rise further, especially if Bitcoin touches $106,200.⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
NQ - rally into ATH in NovemberNQ is following Feigenbaum projection perfectly so far on the daily timeframe. After accumulation, a perfect manipulation to -0.6714 and then distribution to 3.5699. Now after a retrace to 1, it's ready to finish the move up to 4.6692 at close to 22K. Based on time fib I expect the top to be in November (between blue vertical lines).
ETHEREUM → Consolidation after a bearish trend breakBINANCE:ETHUSD is consolidating within the flat boundaries of 4085 3530. In general, there is a bullish trend, the fundamental background is also favorable except for yesterday's news, which creates a small risk...
The price is at a strong resistance between 4090 and 4100 and it will take a lot of energy to break this area. Yesterday's news was generally controversial but with a negative bias. Despite the decline in interest rates, there were strong hints of stopping the decline and taking a hawkish course. Bitcoin is giving a small correction against this backdrop, which is negative for altcoins.
Ethereum technically did not break the bullish structure, a very strong support area of 3530 - 3440 is formed on the chart and with high probability a retest is possible, a liquidity grab with the aim of further growth. There are risks for further fall, they can be taken into account, but we can consider an attempt of growth as a priority.
Resistance levels: 4086, 4100, 4372
Support levels: 3530, 3440, 3261
Since the price is inside the consolidation, our strategy is simple - trading from the channel boundaries. Accordingly, based on the current situation, we should consider a retest of support before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!