Scenario on light crude oil cl1! 13.12.24If we can maintain the main monthly level, which is also support for the price of 71.66-72.44, then it is likely that the market will come for levels around 65, but if the market were to break through this level, then there is a possible scenario that the price could go higher and I would take the first tp somewhere around 75, but there are other big levels above that and the price could even reach 80.
Fibonacci
Welcome to the Bitcoin Christmas PUMP! BTC 1D MACD Crossover↖️⬆️ Click the 🚀
Welcome to the Bitcoin Christmas PUMP!
₿ ₿ ₿ ₿ ₿ 🚀🚀🚀🚀🧑🏻🎄🧑🏻🎄🧑🏻🎄🎅🎅🎅🧑🏻🎄🧑🏻🎄🧑🏻🎄🚀🚀🚀🚀₿ ₿ ₿ ₿ ₿
The 1D MACD Crossover just signaled on COINBASE:BTCUSD BTC 1 Day candle.
But that's not all. It's the type of crossover. Text book.
RSI just entering 70 area.
The last time the 1D MACD crossover happened, Bitcoin saw a 45% pump.
looks like it should go to just past new year. The big question is does it continue before taking a breather.....?
In fact, when using the last pump as a guide, it falls perfectly in line with the Fib levels and lands right around $150,000. (just my silly extrapolation. I'm sure it's nothing. ;)
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/17/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 22412.50
- PR Low: 22376.50
- NZ Spread: 80.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Retail Sales (Core|MoM)
ATH raised nearly 250 points
- Volume shifting into contract month H25
- Holding previous session highs
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 12/17)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Session Gap 12/13 +0.42% (open < 21640)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 290.00
- Volume: 14K
- Open Int: 145K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Edelweiss: Ready for a Big Run!🚀 Edelweiss: Ready for a Big Run! 🚀
Current Market Price: ₹136
Stop Loss: ₹115
Targets: ₹159 | ₹195
Key Highlights:
Major Resistance Breakout: Edelweiss broke a significant resistance at ₹122 on 9th September and touched ₹143 before retesting down to ₹102.
Sustaining Above ₹122: The stock is now holding firmly above the ₹122 level, a strong base for further upside.
Fibonacci Support: The 61.8% retracement level at ₹127 strengthens the current structure.
Trigger Point: A move above ₹143 could confirm momentum and trigger a sharp rally toward the targets.
Strategy:
Wait for Confirmation: Monitor closely for a breakout above ₹143 before adding significant positions.
Risk Management: Stick to the stop loss at ₹115 to protect capital.
Staggered Entry: Build positions gradually as the stock confirms upward movement.
📈 Outlook: With strong technical backing and a healthy retracement, Edelweiss could be poised for a substantial run toward its higher targets.
📉 Disclaimer: As a non-SEBI registered analyst, I recommend conducting thorough research or seeking advice from financial professionals before making investment decisions.
#Edelweiss #StockMarket #TradingOpportunities #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutStrategy #InvestmentIdeas
IAG - GBP | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# IAG - GBP
- Double Formation
* 012345 | Waves Survey Valid | Subdivision 1
* 2.5000 GBP | Pennant Structure Area Of Value
- Triple Formation
* Retracement 1.618)) | Uptrend Bias | Subdivision 2
* Trend | Daily Time Frame | Configuration
* Behavioural Time Settings | Survey Valid | Subdivision 3
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
Gold: Bullish Move AheadThe gold market has been exhibiting bullish momentum, supported by an upward trendline. After reaching a recent low at approximately 2,611.93 USD, the price has shown signs of a rebound near key Fibonacci levels. The key support area around 2,610.00 USD (0.786 retracement level) is holding strong, and gold is now approaching the 0.50 Fibonacci retracement level at 2,669.02 USD.
If the price manages to break above the 2,669.02 level, the next target would be near the 0.236 level around 2,699.16 USD. The bullish trend could accelerate further if gold surpasses the 2,726.10 USD resistance zone.
Key Levels:
Support: 2,611.93 USD
Resistance: 2,726.10 USD
Fibonacci Retracements: 2,655.54 (0.618) and 2,669.02 (0.50) act as significant levels for potential breakouts.
Bitcoin Continuation TargetsChart price scale is Logarithmic.
Fib ranges are based on log scale.
The multi year inverse head and shoulders is supporting the 1.414 level at ~$128,000.
The calculation for this structure is displayed on the chart. Subtract the range below the neckline and add it to the neckline break price level.
The 7 month consolidation in the form of a bull flag is displaying potential for over performance to the 1.618 level at ~$175,000.
The previous cycle reached the 1.618 level.
In previous cycles, RSI levels reached 85+.
The current RSI value is at 78 which supports room for expansion.
The MACD is vertical and rapidly expanding.
With the current velocity, my targets to the upside are $129,000 and $175,000 in Q1-Q2 of 2025.
GOLD: Exponential Scaling 1.618^1/5Gold's natural growth patterns have apparent alignment Fibonacci progression.
Exponential Scaling using a constant phi (1.618) raised to 0.20 power exponent:
The lines follow historical movements with exponential accuracy, aiding the identification of swing points of major momentum shifts.
Major swings metrics:
Divergence - SHORT I am not perfect on explaining what is happening, but I am good in drawing my expectation.
in this expectation, I think there is a signal for Divergence from the tops which indicate price will revert to hard down, so keep in mind, Selling short period is about to happen.
and put in your mind, that the price sooner or later will come back to the main trend link ( the below white line)
so, BTC will go back again to the $60,000 again, and maybe less, you need to know the game, they drop the price with one click by selling a huge amount of BTC on their network, that's how they control the market, by selling and buying their exist BTC, they will never lose, this Satoshi Nakamato organization are like the CASINO, the house always wins. ;)
AEM - Head & Shoulder PatternAEM is possibly forming a Head & Shoulder pattern.
Price action is currently under a rising parallel channel that breaks downwards and price eventually breaks parallel channel. If price breaks the parallel channel and $74, it will complete Head & Shoulder pattern.
Once Head & Shoulder pattern is formed, stock price fall is either $ price or percentage difference between Head and neckline. In this case, the projected price fall after completion of Head & Shoulder is likely to be between:
- 63.17 if price drops by 14.50%
- 60.98 if price drops by $12.90
Price is probable to fall by $12.90 to 60.98 because it coincides with:
- Fib retracement level of 0.618 which is a golden ratio
- strong weekly support zone around 61.31
- gap fill is at 59.65
SILVER: Exponential Scaling 1.618^1/4Expansion based on 1.618 from lowest - Rate of Progression 1 in Exponential Grid indicator:
This suggests the market structure for Silver has strong Fibonacci-based tendencies aligning with natural growth patterns.
Exponential scaling using a constant phi (1.618) raised to the 0.25 power exponent.
This adjustment results in finer granularity while maintaining the underlying fractal structure. It smooths out the expansions to capture intermediate cycles more effectively.
Virtuals Protocol: +16,850% Surge Nearing Its End?Virtuals Protocol has experienced an astronomical +16,850% surge in price over the past 164 days, marking a parabolic advance that appears to be nearing exhaustion. Price action suggests that the final 5th wave of this bullish cycle may be completing, raising the question: Is Virtuals Protocol set for a correction, or is there still upside potential?
Key Observations:
1.) End of the 5th Wave:
The Elliott Wave count indicates that the asset is likely completing the final 5th wave of a large bullish cycle.
Parabolic moves of this magnitude typically end with a sharp correction as profit-taking accelerates.
2.) Weekly RSI Overbought:
The RSI on the weekly timeframe is at 95, signaling extreme overbought conditions.
Such elevated RSI levels are unsustainable and often precede corrections to reset market momentum.
3.) 6 Consecutive Bullish Weekly Candles:
A string of 6 green weekly candles suggests strong bullish momentum but also hints at exhaustion as buyers may struggle to sustain such momentum.
4.) Fibonacci Target and Weekly Open Confluence:
Using a Fibonacci retracement from the current wave, the 0.618 level aligns perfectly with the Weekly Open (wOpen) at $2.711.
This confluence zone serves as a strong short-term take-profit target for short sellers or a potential re-entry point for bulls looking for a correction.
Outlook:
Bearish Scenario: The completion of the 5th wave and the extreme overbought RSI suggest a correction is imminent. A retrace towards the 0.618 Fib level ($2.711) is a highly probable scenario.
Bullish Continuation: For further upside, the price must consolidate and find fresh buying volume to support continuation beyond the current highs.
Conclusion:
Virtuals Protocol is flashing clear signs of exhaustion, with extreme weekly RSI levels and a completed Elliott Wave cycle. Traders should watch the $2.711 zone closely as a potential correction target, with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and Weekly Open providing strong confluence.
Technical Analysis: BTC/USDT – after ATH at $106kAfter the price reached the 1.14 level of the Fibonacci Retracement, I projected the Fibonacci Expansion to identify potential targets and decision zones.
Context:
The prevailing structure is a well-defined uptrend channel, reflecting a strong and consistent upward momentum.
Statistically, the zone between 1.0 and 1.14 Fibonacci levels often acts as a decision area, where the price tends to consolidate or face resistance before deciding whether to continue the trend or initiate a pullback.
Current Scenario: We are currently in an extended leg within the channel, which significantly increases the probability of a price correction. The marked Pullback Zone (highlighted on the chart) suggests that the price could retrace to test intermediate supports within the channel or revisit previous Fibonacci levels.
CHART BREAKDOWN AUDUSD: Key Levels, Targets and Thoughts!Brief Description🖊️:
The chart provides insights into critical market levels, emphasizing 1 essential supply zone: low-risk sell zone spanning from 0.64170 to 0.64210, respectively, is highlighted.
Things I Have Seen👀:
Important Supply Zone🟢: Identified between 0.64170 and 0.64210 serving as a low-risk sell.
Bearish Targets📉:
0.63980 : Possible retracement area.
0.63850 : Possible retracement area.
0.63800 : Possible retracement area.
0.63600: Possible retracement area.
0.63650 : Significant supply zone.
0.63500 : Liquidity area.
What's Important Now❗
Currently, the crucial approach is to wait and observe the price action at this level. We need to assess how the market reacts before considering any decisive moves. Stay observant and responsive to real-time developments in the market.
CHART BREAKDOWN XAUUSD: Key Levels, Targets and Thoughts!Brief Description🖊️:
The chart provides insights into critical market levels, emphasizing 1 essential demand zones: low-risk buy zones spanning from 2635.00 to 2640.50, respectively, is highlighted.
Things I Have Seen👀:
Important Demand Zone🟢: Identified between 2635.00 and 2640.50 serving as a low-risk buy.
Bullish Targets📈:
2660.00: Possible retracement area.
2670.00: Possible retracement area.
2690.00: Possible retracement area.
2710.00: Possible retracement area.
2690.00: Significant supply zone.
2710.00: Significant supply zone.
2725.00: Liquidity area.
What's Important Now❗
Currently, the crucial approach is to wait and observe the price action at this level. We need to assess how the market reacts before considering any decisive moves. Stay observant and responsive to real-time developments in the market.
ETH - D1 Chartif analyzing based solely on time and location, then if ethereum is able to sustain and hold its valuation above approx $2K, then there is potential for a measured move to play out with a conservative target at approx 15K. If there is a tail whip blow off top, then the measurement can exceed higher based on fib expansion towards approx 28-33K. if hypothetically the set up plays out but the calculated measurement is not fulfillable, then i would look for invalidations at 50% extension ratios at approx 6-7K. if able to complete entire measurements i would anticipate the target should be hit aggressively in Q2 2025 around the month of March/April and conservatively in Q4 2025 around the month of October/November.
(observations: currently there is a lot of negative sentiment surrounding the recent event of the ethereum etf launch, as well as capitulation, if not already evident from the chart, from market participants who no longer believe it has exponential potential regardless of institutional inflows.)
GBPUSD Potential Setup - Waiting for confirmationTime Frame:
- Daily: FVG Identification
- H4: FVG Identification
- H1: Entry Signal
1. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
On the H4 chart noted a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 1.2700 - 1.2715
On the Daily chart also note FVG between 1.2680- 1.2712
2. Trend Confirmation:
Price has break consolidation support at 1.2715.
Price has now rising back to Daily FVG area.
3. Position:
Entry: Waiting Confirmation
Stop Loss : 1.2720
Take Profit: 1.2500 (fibo 161.8)
RRR : 1:10x
Note: Still waiting for entry confirmation.
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Disclaimer
The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.