Bitcoin: Interconnectedness of Defining CyclesJust a followup analysis on scalable structure from "Natural Patterns & Fractal Geometry" ed idea.
Additional Regularities:
2018 Downtrend Phase Fib Resonation:
Fibonacci ratios are not just mathematical abstractions; they manifest in Bitcoin's market structure due to human behavior and market psychology.
2020 Uptrend Phase Fib Resonation:
Unconventional use of Fibonacci ratios highlights areas where price has shown significant reactions. These levels act as dynamic support and resistance zones, underscoring the fractal and cyclical nature of Bitcoin's price movements.
2021 - Late 2022 Crash Metrics More detailed breakdown of emerging randomness:
The repetitive alignment of market cycles with Fibonacci levels underscores Bitcoin's tendency to oscillate between predictable extremes, offering insights for timing entries and exits.
Distinct cycles are clearly visible, separated by major tops (e.g., ATH in 2013, 2017, and 2021) and bottoms (e.g., the 84.12%, 72.26%, and 77.57% corrections). Each cycle adheres to Fibonacci retracement and extension levels, demonstrating a self-similar structure .
Price expansions align with Fibonacci extensions (e.g., 1.618 and beyond), showing that Bitcoin’s growth phases are not random but rather guided by harmonic principles.
The ascending channels mapped through Fibonacci ratios capture both the bullish and corrective phases, showcasing the market's bounded yet fractal rhythm .
The percentage swings (+2484.44%, +12804.20%, +1692.21%, +600.07%) highlight the explosive nature of Bitcoin during expansion phases, followed by steep corrections. These as well align with Fibonacci proportions, providing a blueprint for market rhythm.
Fibonacci
GOLD → Consolidation after the fall. Trading inside the rangeFX:XAUUSD is forming consolidation in a new bearish plane after a strong fall on Wednesday. The emphasis is on 2622 - 2581. The fundamental background is negative and technically the price is testing the lows.
On Wednesday, the Fed adopted a more conservative approach to monetary policy, laying down only 2 rate cuts in 2025, which generally had a negative impact on the whole market except for the dollar, which is breaking through local highs.
Today traders await the release of the PCE, which is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation. Any surprise in the PCE data or an escalation of political uncertainty could push metal prices up.
From a technical point of view, the gold market remains in the previously mentioned consolidation, and prices fluctuate in wide ranges, which is generally logical for the end of the calendar year: reduced liquidity and increased volatility...
Resistance levels: 2616, 2622
Support levels: 2589, 2581, 2560
Since the price is inside the consolidation, it is worth considering trading from the boundaries of this range. In the long term, I expect a retest of the key resistance 2616-2622 in the form of a false breakdown and a fall towards local lows
Regards R. Linda!
BTCUSDT high sell pressure zone and strong resistances are aheadAs we said before we may have more 10% rise from 100K$ to the targets like 110K$ but soon we are looking for first phase of dump like red arrows mentioned on the chart and soon high volume Bear candles will dump market for a while.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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GBPUSD → One step away from breaking support and falling awayFX:GBPUSD is facing difficulties. Negative fundamental background, strong dollar and price entry into the selling zone gives a bunch of preconditions hinting at the continuation of the fall
Yesterday the UK GDP came out, which remained at the same level, there is no driver for GBP at the moment, but there is for USD, which is growing after interest rate cuts, but the growth is not because of this, but because of hints of stopping the cycle of further rate cuts and the change of officials' mood to hawkish, which in general, against the background of Trump's policy indicates medium-term potential. Technically, the currency pair is testing the risk zone, a false breakout will form a rebound reaction and I think it will be a short-term reaction.
Resistance levels: 1.257, 1.2597, 1.2665
Support levels: 1.2488, 1.245
After the false breakdown, the currency pair may test the local resistance. But retest of the support within 1-3 days will play an important role. Formation of a pre-breakout base at 1.2488 will strengthen the potential for further decline
With Respect R. Linda!
GOLD → Interest rates are down, but why is gold falling?FX:XAUUSD falls to 2581. Yesterday's news had a negative impact on the market and it's not about rate cuts. Technically the price confirms the bearish nature of the market.
The main reason for the decline in gold prices is the Federal Reserve's caution about lowering interest rates amid the latest economic data. The US central bank lowered the interest rate by 0.25% to the range of 4.25%-4.50% as expected, but for the next year it forecasts 2 rate cuts, which is much less than expected.
The Fed's hawkishness has played its role: the dollar is rising, markets are falling.
Today all eyes are on GDP and initial jobless claims.
Technically, the price is out of the global channel, breaking the support, gold updates the low to 2581.
Resistance levels: 2620, 2630, 2636
Support levels: 2616, 2612, 2603
After updating the low, a retest of the previously broken channel boundary and imbalance zones is formed. False breakdown of key resistance, for example 2620 or 2630 and subsequent consolidation of the price below these zones may lead to further decline.
Regards R. Linda!
$SPY December 20, 2024AMEX:SPY December 20, 2024
15 Minutes.
As expected base being formed after brutal fall.
Still in downtrend as below all moving averages.
We can see oscillator divergence.
We have multiple hits around 586 levels.
If break. i see more 10$ downside towards 576 levels.
To test 100 average support 240 minutes chart.
No longs. Yet.
X Empire price has done something incredible !)💰 Something phenomenal has happened that hasn't been remembered for many years: NYSE:X #Empire altcoin has made +1750% in a week
Whether it was the exchange's promotional campaign, #Trump's election victory+ his colleague #muskempire and everything directly or indirectly related to him are now “in chocolate” or all together, but God grant most altcoins to grow like this.
Then we will feel the real taste of the alt-season
The #X #marketcap has grown from 20 million to the current 300 million.
We have two questions for you:
Where will the OKX:XUSDT price go next: 🐳 along the blue route by $0.0014 or 💔 along the red route by $0.00014 (the difference is only 0 or 10 times ;)
What other low-cap altcoins do you think will pump like this? You write your options in the comments, and we will analyze some of them and publishing ideas here
_____________________
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BTCUSDT - Elliott Wave Analysis: Wave 5 Targeting $115,000 Market Overview
- BTC is unfolding a classic Elliott Wave impulse, currently correcting in Wave 4.
- This correction has established strong support near the $94,500-$96,000 zone, aligning with the 38.2%-50% Fibonacci retracement of Wave 3.
- The Wave 5 target is projected at $115,000, based on Fibonacci extensions and historical price momentum.
Technical Analysis
1. Wave Count Breakdown:
- Wave 1: Initiation of bullish momentum with a strong breakout.
- Wave 2: Healthy retracement establishing a higher low.
- Wave 3: Extended bullish rally, peaked at $108,000, showing typical impulsive strength.
- Wave 4: Ongoing corrective phase, respecting key Fibonacci retracement levels.
- Wave 5 (Projected): Anticipated bullish rally toward $115,000, potentially extending to $118,000 under strong momentum.
2. Key Levels to Watch:
- Support Zones:
- $93,000-$94,000: Key demand zone where buying interest is evident.
- Break below $92,000 invalidates the bullish Elliott Wave structure.
- Resistance Levels:
- $108,000: Wave 4 high, pivotal for confirming a bullish breakout.
- $115,000: Projected Wave 5 target based on 1.618 Fibonacci extension of Wave 3.
- $118,000: Secondary extension level if bullish momentum sustains.
3. Fibonacci Analysis:
- Wave 4 Correction:
- Aligns with the 38.2%-50% retracement of Wave 3, a standard correction zone.
- Wave 5 Projection:
- Targets 1.618 Fibonacci extension of Wave 3, landing near $115,000.
4. Trendline Analysis:
- A rising trendline connecting Waves 1 and 3 provides structural support.
- Parallel projection supports the expected upward movement toward Wave 5.
Momentum and Indicators
1. RSI (14):
- Wave 4 correction shows RSI consolidating in the 40-50 zone, indicative of oversold conditions.
- A bullish crossover above 50-60 will confirm the start of Wave 5.
2. MACD (12, 26, 9):
- MACD histogram flattening during Wave 4 indicates diminishing bearish pressure.
- A bullish crossover on MACD lines will serve as a strong signal for Wave 5 initiation.
3. Volume Profile:
- Accumulation in the $93,000-$94,000 zone reflects strong institutional interest.
- Wave 5 should see a notable rise in volume as price approaches $108,000 and breaks out toward $115,000.
Trading Plan
1. Entry Points:
- Accumulate positions in the $94,500 - $96,000 support zone.
- Add on breakout confirmation above $108,000 for conservative entries.
2. Stop-Loss:
- Place below $92,000 to limit downside risk and invalidate the current wave structure.
3. Profit Targets:
- Primary Target: $115,000 (Wave 5 Fibonacci extension).
- Stretch Target: $118,000 if momentum sustains post-breakout.
4. Risk Management:
- Risk no more than 1%-2% of capital per trade.
Scenarios
1. Bullish Scenario:
- Price holds the $94,000-$96,000 zone and breaks above $108,000 with volume confirmation.
- Wave 5 achieves $115,000, with possible extensions to $118,000.
2. Bearish Scenario:
- Failure to hold $92,000 invalidates the current Elliott Wave structure.
- Price may retrace deeper, targeting the $88,000-$90,000 zone.
Pro Summary
BTC is setting up for an impulsive Wave 5 rally, with $115,000 as the primary target. A breakout above $108,000 will confirm the next leg of the bullish trend. Maintain a disciplined approach with stops below $92,000 and adjust positions as the price action unfolds. 🚀
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk, and you should do your own research or consult with a professional before making any investment decisions.
Bitcoin is Ready to fill CME Gap!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT )is approaching the Resistance zone($105,560-$104,940) , Downtrend line , and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($105,654-$104,709) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing wave 4 . Probably wave 4 will end in the Resistance zone($105,560-$104,940) .
I expect Bitcoin to go towards filling the CME Gap($103,325-$101,840) AFTER breaking the Support line .
⚠️Note: US indices (Federal Funds Rate, FOMC Economic Projections, FOMC Statement) can affect the trend of Bitcoin; the possibility that the market will get excited when the indices are announced is very high.⚠️
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance zone($105,560-$104,940), we can expect Bitcoin to rise further, especially if Bitcoin touches $106,200.⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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PEPEUSDT: Technical Insights and Trading Strategy
Market Overview
- PEPEUSDT is currently in a corrective phase after a sharp decline, with price approaching a key demand zone around 0.00001578 USDT.
- The analysis suggests potential accumulation and a bullish recovery if the support holds.
---
Technical Analysis
1. Support and Resistance Levels:
- Support Zone:
- 0.00001578: Key accumulation level identified for potential entries.
- Below this level, price may test the next support near 0.00001450.
- Resistance Levels:
- 0.00001900: Initial resistance for price recovery.
- 0.00002514: Target resistance zone aligned with the bullish breakout projection.
2. Fibonacci Retracement:
- The price has retraced deeply, approaching the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, a common area for reversals in crypto markets.
3. Trendline Analysis:
- A potential reversal pattern is visible as price consolidates near the demand zone.
- A breakout above 0.00001900 confirms a short-term trend reversal.
---
Momentum and Indicators
1. RSI (14):
- RSI is approaching oversold conditions, signaling potential bullish divergence.
- A rise above 40-50 would confirm increasing bullish momentum.
2. Volume Analysis:
- Decreasing sell volume near support suggests diminishing bearish pressure.
- A spike in buy volume at this level would reinforce the reversal signal.
---
Trading Plan
1. Entry Points:
- Accumulate positions near 0.00001578.
- Add more positions on breakout confirmation above 0.00001900.
2. Stop-Loss:
- Place stop-loss below 0.00001500 to manage downside risk.
3. Profit Targets:
- Primary Target: 0.00002514 (aligned with the chart projection).
- Stretch Target: 0.00002800, if bullish momentum persists.
4. Risk Management:
- Risk no more than 2% of total capital on this trade.
---
Scenarios
1. Bullish Scenario:
- Price holds the 0.00001578 level and breaks above 0.00001900 with rising volume.
- Targets 0.00002514, with possible extension to 0.00002800.
2. Bearish Scenario:
- Failure to hold the 0.00001578 support may lead to further downside, targeting 0.00001450 or lower.
---
Pro Summary
PEPEUSDT is showing signs of accumulation at a critical support level. A breakout above 0.00001900 will confirm a reversal toward 0.00002514 and higher. Traders should exercise caution and set strict stop-loss levels to minimize risks.
---
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies carries significant risk, and you should conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
$MSTR - The Rocket Takes OffHere is the daily chart for $MSTR. With its recent inclusion in NASDAQ:QQQ , the stock appears poised for further growth.
From a technical perspective, the current triangle formation suggests potential downside movement toward $368, where the price may test the lower boundary of the pattern. Following this, I anticipate a bullish breakout to the upside.
The resistance near the previous all-time high (ATH) is unlikely to hold for long, and I expect NASDAQ:MSTR to surpass this level in its upward trajectory.
Movement MOVE price predictionWhile the entire crypto market is adjusting, the price of TVC:MOVE is growing!)
Now, the capitalization of #Movement is $1.7 billion
However, as long as the OKX:MOVEUSDT price is below the conditional “sell zone” of $0.78-0.88, we are not ready to buy it.
But it would be very tasty to buy it for our portfolio at $0.38-0.47)
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BTCUSDT ATH resistance zone can dump itWe are looking for range zone here and also short-term fall like the red arrows on chart.
price is now receiving major resistance zone and any breakout to the upside can lead the price to 120K$ but if the resistance hold soon heavy dump is expected at least to the targets like 90K$ or 80K$.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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META pullback to $586MODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make.
Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated.
My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
2HR CHART (expect target to hit THIS WEEK)
Price at or above top of channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at overbought level
VBSM is spiked positive
Price at or near 3.618 Fibonacci level
Target is $586 or channel bottom
ETHEREUM → Consolidation after a bearish trend breakBINANCE:ETHUSD is consolidating within the flat boundaries of 4085 3530. In general, there is a bullish trend, the fundamental background is also favorable except for yesterday's news, which creates a small risk...
The price is at a strong resistance between 4090 and 4100 and it will take a lot of energy to break this area. Yesterday's news was generally controversial but with a negative bias. Despite the decline in interest rates, there were strong hints of stopping the decline and taking a hawkish course. Bitcoin is giving a small correction against this backdrop, which is negative for altcoins.
Ethereum technically did not break the bullish structure, a very strong support area of 3530 - 3440 is formed on the chart and with high probability a retest is possible, a liquidity grab with the aim of further growth. There are risks for further fall, they can be taken into account, but we can consider an attempt of growth as a priority.
Resistance levels: 4086, 4100, 4372
Support levels: 3530, 3440, 3261
Since the price is inside the consolidation, our strategy is simple - trading from the channel boundaries. Accordingly, based on the current situation, we should consider a retest of support before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
Unlock Hidden Profits: Proven WTI Crude Oil Trading StrategiesTVC:USOIL
Price Action Analysis and Strategy by @Alexgoldhunter
Key Levels and Structures
Break of Structure (BOS):
Multiple BOS annotations indicate significant shifts in market structure. These points are crucial for identifying potential trend reversals or continuations.
Change of Character (CHoCH):
CHoCH is marked at multiple points, indicating shifts in market sentiment. These points can be used to identify potential entry and exit points.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
The chart shows Fibonacci retracement levels at:
0.382: 69.49558 USD
0.5: 69.695 USD
0.618: 69.89442 USD
0.705: 70.01445 USD
0.786: 70.17294 USD
These levels are used to identify potential support and resistance areas.
Volume Profile:
The volume profile on the left side of the chart shows the volume traded at different price levels. High volume nodes can act as support or resistance.
Buy Strategy
Entry Point:
Look for a bullish CHoCH near a significant support level, such as the Fibonacci retracement levels or high volume nodes.
Confirm the entry with a bullish candlestick pattern (e.g., hammer, engulfing) and increased volume.
Stop Loss:
Place the stop loss below the recent swing low or a significant support level to minimize risk.
Take Profit:
Set the take profit at the next resistance level or Fibonacci retracement level. Partial profits can be taken at intermediate levels.
Sell Strategy
Entry Point:
Look for a bearish CHoCH near a significant resistance level, such as the Fibonacci retracement levels or high volume nodes.
Confirm the entry with a bearish candlestick pattern (e.g., shooting star, engulfing) and increased volume.
Stop Loss:
Place the stop loss above the recent swing high or a significant resistance level to minimize risk.
Take Profit:
Set the take profit at the next support level or Fibonacci retracement level. Partial profits can be taken at intermediate levels.
Simple VIP Signal
entry: 68.500 usd
tp1: 69.49558 usd
tp2: 70.17294 usd
sl: 67.500 usd
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Disclaimer
Disclaimer: Trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for every investor. The analysis and strategies provided here are based on historical data and technical analysis techniques, which do not guarantee future performance. Before making any investment decisions, please consider your financial situation, level of experience, and risk tolerance. Always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor if necessary.
Where are the HBAR support zones? How far can it fall?The recent pullback in HBAR is enough to shake the average person, don't let them shake you out!!
In perspective to the most recent moves, the trend as it stands still remains bullish. The following levels on the chart will give you an idea of how much lower HBAR can potentially go and could be an opportunity for those who had FOMO during the first pump.
See my previous idea on why I am still bullish on HBAR.
Short gold after hitting 2635-2645 areaBrothers, we went long on gold near 2591 yesterday and closed the long position near 2607 this morning, making a profit of 160 pips easily, which is a very good trading result.
After closing the long position, I originally planned to wait for gold to fall back and continue to go long on gold in the 2595-2590 area, but after I closed the order, gold has been fluctuating in the 2607-2600 area, and did not give me the opportunity to go long on gold again. So it's a pity that I missed this time when gold continued to rebound.
At present, gold has reached around 2628, and the increase has not exceeded my expectations. I think gold may even continue to rebound to the 2635-2645 area. However, if gold touches this area for the first time, I think there will be an opportunity for gold to fall back to build up momentum and extend its effect.
So, if gold touches the 2635-2645 area as expected, I will choose to short gold once!Bros, will you choose to short gold like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Master Silver Trading: Profitable Price Action Strategies!CAPITALCOM:SILVER @Alexgoldhunter
Price Action Analysis and Strategy
Key Levels and Zones
Support Levels:
28.500 USD: A crucial support level where the price has found buying interest before.
28.700 USD: Another significant support level indicating strong buying pressure.
Resistance Levels:
29.400 USD: A strong resistance level where the price has faced selling pressure.
30.480 USD: Another notable resistance level suggesting potential selling interest.
Break of Structure (BOS):
Multiple BOS annotations on the chart indicate significant shifts in market structure, highlighting potential areas of interest for traders.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
0.382 Level: 29.108248 USD
0.5 Level: 29.222 USD
0.618 Level: 29.33552 USD
0.705 Level: 29.4162 USD
0.786 Level: 29.497704 USD
Volume Analysis:
Volume spikes are visible, indicating periods of high trading activity, which can be used to confirm breakouts or reversals.
Buy Strategy
Entry Point:
Consider entering a buy position if the price breaks above the resistance level at 29.400 USD with strong volume confirmation.
Alternatively, look for a bounce from the support level at 28.500 USD with a bullish candlestick pattern and increasing volume.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss below the recent swing low or support level, for example, below 28.500 USD.
Take Profit:
Set take profit levels at the next resistance levels, such as 30.480 USD or use Fibonacci extension levels for further targets.
Sell Strategy
Entry Point:
Consider entering a sell position if the price breaks below the support level at 28.500 USD with strong volume confirmation.
Alternatively, look for a rejection from the resistance level at 29.400 USD with a bearish candlestick pattern and increasing volume.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss above the recent swing high or resistance level, for example, above 29.400 USD.
Take Profit:
Set take profit levels at the next support levels, such as 28.500 USD or use Fibonacci retracement levels for further targets.
Simple VIP Signal
ENTRY: 28.500 USD
TP1: 29.108248 USD
TP2: 29.497704 USD
SL: 28.500 USD
Conclusion
This chart shows a detailed technical analysis of Silver (XAG/USD) using price action techniques, highlighting key support and resistance levels, break of structure points, and Fibonacci retracement levels. These elements can be used to develop a buy and sell strategy based on market behavior and volume analysis.
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