NASDAQ Macro View#NASDAQ Macro View: History doesn't repeat itself but it often rhymes. Here we are in the last phase of the bull market, the blow off top. The gains seeing during this phase are unrealistic and a greed trap to get as many people in the market as possible at the top. The ultimate formula being a huge wave of new retail investors that aren't super educated in markets and unprecedented amounts of leverage.
With my predicted deflationary bust later this year, into 2022, I am seeing a potential drop of 80% in the index from the top. This would back test a major level of resistance from the dot com bubble and 2016.
If you have bought in the last few years and don't plan on taking profit along this phase, there is a high chance you will either sell at a major loss when your loss can't be managed anymore or you will be bag holding for a decade+ waiting to BREAK EVEN.
Big tech has pretty much stayed dormant since September and now appears to be breaking out to drive the indices higher for this last vertical leg. Highly advised to take profits and raise stop losses along the way.
FB
TSLAInside day candle on the weekly.
TSLA reports earnings after close on Wednesday. A 75 point move is priced in.
**TSLA previous earnings (4/29, 7/22, 10/21) gapped up at market open the next day, and sold off. Same day expiration OTM Options Premiums opened losing almost all value. Be aware of this.
Lotto Trade Idea: 900C BID/ASK: 15.75/16.10
775P BID/ASK: 9.10/9.50 can work if you're bearish.
GOOGL 1892: Reaching 2000 but Premium Sellers likely winnerGOOGL made a 345 points move from low to high around last earnings. This time, if symmetry holds, GOOGL will reach ATH to about 2000 or 2050.
At near 1900, half that move already happened. Premium sellers of the expected moves are likely winners.
GOOGL is the economy and the economy is not so hot. But youtube is killing it. Also, AMZN is getting an incrementally higher share of ad revenues through its vertical integration. So blow out quarter is less likely a scenario.
AMZN 3292: Buy on dips to 3200, Long into E via PCS or ButterflyNFLX fired the first shot, would AMZN follow? Likely Yes. As a choppy stock, AMZN may pull back to 3200 in the next 10 days before earnings. 3200 or lower would be a nice launchpad for a long play, with PCS 3200/3150 or Call Butterfly as wide as one can to tolerate the risk (100 is my plan). Not a recommendation.
AMZN is killing it with market share gains, incremental margin, and ad revenue; as are GOOGL MSFT & FB. Always invest in monopoly or riding the winner horses as long as it works. Valuation is secondary or far down below in this new market paradigm that we now know as zero interest rate, huge money printing, and growth are all it matters.
TWTR: Long SHARES into Earnings but sell ATM calls to be safeTWTR has shown significant reversal technically and 1st target is 51.
It is after all a monopoly and monetization will be good, losing users from banning half of America is a short-term issue and is probably priced in. After all, most of the users on TWTR are leaning left.
Cheap compared to all other major social media names.
Charts don't lie, enough people want to own it and enough people are using it and enough cloud to be considered a monopoly for a long time to come.
Am inclined to sell ATM covered call to collect some premium just in case the user # is really bad and the street care, then they may not.
NFLX 565: After 2X EM Now What? 550 or 600? Mean Reversion?NFLX exploded after good earnings (projecting cash flow 1 bill). A 3-day continuation is a pattern for most of the outsized move then it chops.
NFLX has entered the chopping stage; reversion to means targeting 550, then 535. Stronger support is at 535.
NFLX also has a history given up post-earnings gain quickly.
EUR/USD: UPDATE PRICE ACTION + FORMATION SHARK + CYPHER 🔔Welcome back Traders, Investors and Community!
Analysis of #EURUSD
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Strategy: Update after entry on Shark Harmonic pattern, now the first TP can be the point D of the new Cypher in formation. - We will be waiting for all the confirmations to enter in this trade.
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$FB 15% undervaluedEven though the tech stocks had a big run and now most of us believe there is a bubble forming if not formed yet, I believe that facebook $FB is still undervalued by about 15% at these prices. The price rebounded from the 200SMA on the daily chart, which triggers a buy signal at least for a short term.
FACEBOOK INC, long point activated. Critical solds under 250.Hi friends. FACEBOOK in long position on the chart window. X-Lines script strong support at 249 and clear bulls target at 259. "Earned" script show big volume of solds under 249. And this solds was bought. So my opinion FB go upper to 259 for a first target.
Go Long (FB) Into Earnings; Bottomed Out Before Rest of FANGI think FB has bottomed ahead of the rest of FANG ahead of earnings.
We had a Bullish Harami candelstick pattern on Thurs/Friday. Looking for confirmation on Tuesday. Expecting first level to visit is $264 and then $275
My opinion only.
Fibonacci Extensions show that there is plenty of levels to visit ahead of earnings. $245 is major support if broken, will fill gap below down around $234.
FB