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Fairvaluegaps

NAS100USD: Targeting Low-Resistance Liquidity ZonesGreetings Traders! In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we observe a recent bullish shift in price action, presenting opportunities to capitalize on buying setups. Wednesday’s volatile move to the downside, triggered by the FOMC announcement, created a liquidity void—an inefficiency in price delivery where only sell-side action was present. The market tends to revisit these zones to rebalance, making them key areas of interest. This liquidity void also qualifies as a low-resistance liquidity zone, where minimal obstacles exist to impede price movement. Consequently, we aim to target price progression through this zone until reaching the high-resistance liquidity zone, the last area where significant price resistance occurred. Key Observations: Institutional Perspective: Price moved from a discount zone, where institutions order-paired against sell stops, indicating they are now running their trades toward fair value. Fair Value Areas: Liquidity voids and fair value gaps are prime zones for institutions to scale out of their positions, making them strategic targets for our trades. Trading Strategy: We will look for confirmation to align with bullish institutional order flow and target the liquidity void as a fair value zone. The FOMC-induced displacement provides a clear inefficiency that institutions are likely to use to balance their positions. Let’s analyze the price action carefully and adapt as the market develops. Share your thoughts or questions in the comments, and let’s navigate the markets together! Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
8
12/15/2024 Weekly ProjectionDisclaimer: I trade ICT and use ICT terminology in my analysis. Nothing in the market is certain; this is what I would like to see price action playout this week. This is not financial advice. I see price making a draw on the previous week's buy-side liquidity. (Mon-Tue) From there, the price will sell off, making a draw for the weekly/daily fair value gaps executing an institutional order flow entry drill. (Tue-Wed) The price will spool higher from there, drawing toward early week highs.
CME_MINI:MNQZ2024
by Hananis144
NQ1 Weekly Bias Dec. 15-20 with Levels of InterestYeah yeah yeah, I'm bearish I get it I am a horrible idiotic terrible person. Anyway here is a starter chart for shorter term levels on the way down if that indeed is the way we go for a retracement. I think end of the year cycling out of winners is inevitable especially in the over-valued nasdaq big boys. Also looking at last week, we rejected the upper 800s, which is not a good sign. Almost looked like "they" pushed it off Friday open to see if there was any retail left. Turning from cautious to bearish based on all macro evidence and other indicators. Not full blown panic mode yet, we could possibly put on another month or three of gains, but we are much much closer to the end than anyone is talking about. Also food for thought, when it's in the news it's in the price. There's tons of euphoria in the markets at the moment, with everyone pointing and chattering about the "Santa Rally" wherever I turn. Always be cautious when everyone is talking and feeling the same way, just my advice. Risk reward and risk management is all of trading. Reward for buying another 10% against a risk of losing 40% doesn't seem like something I really want to jump head first into at record setting levels of overvaluations metrics everywhere. Good Luck this week Bosses, any question as always feel free to reach out or ask in the comments.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by ajx1124
Requested NQ Levels - NQ Bias chartJust one of my charts requested by the two people who read. On the 4h time frame they DO NOT, and I'll repeat, DO NOT leave fair value gaps untested. The only one theyve left is from the August 5 Yen unwind, which was quite artificial. Anyway, not super bearish or bullish, just cautious at the moment. Risk reward for me plays out in a question that sounds like, "Do you want to risk -30% for another +10%?" or would you rather forgo the 10% and find something a bit more better value? Think that's how a lot of NQ stocks are being looked at end of year. Again not calling for a rug, but quite possible NQ lags the IWM for this next leg. We will see, anyway feel free to ask any questions the chart is a bit messy, like my brain.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by ajx1124
4
EUR/USD ShortContext: • DXY has upwarts potential: Supports short in EUR/USD • Monthly neutral • Weekly neutral to bearish bias • Daily one confirmed bearish swing, respected daily FVG and disrespected bullish FVGs. Broke through prev. day low and took out weekly demand. Closed below these lows Ideas / Entry: • Short in the 4h-FVG → Shown with black arrow • Preferred: Short around 1.072 which is in the area of the broken lows with 1h Reversal setup 1) Blue arrows: Reversal with respecting lower 1h-FVG. Look for entry on LTF, for example 5min-15min 2) Orange arrows: Last resort and higher risk! Needs strong and confirmed reversal on preferred 15min. Scenario invalidated: • 4h Close above 4h FVG • Break above 1.0745 • High caution if 4h close above broken lows around 1.072! Immediate reversal needed (confirm on LTF), otherwise cancel trade Stop • Above your entry signal or 1.0745 if traded on 4h Take Profit(s) • 1st at daily low around 1.067 • 2nd around 1.065 • 3rd around 1.06 (optimistic) Please feel free to comment!
Short
by MichaelBw
CL / Crude Oil ShortContext: • Monthly: First signs of bearish orderflow. Bearish FVG in the making • Weekly: Bearish FVGs getting respeced • Daily: Rejection and break below prev. day low. Caution because of two bullish FVGs Idea: • 1h-4h Mitigation Block with 1h close below prev day low. • Respecting 1h FVgs • Inside current 1h candle on 15min closed last 15min bullish FVG • Potentially building a balanced price range on 15min → Long around prev. day low about 77.88 Target: • 1st would be currend day low • 2nd: Upper limit of daily FVG at 77.22 Entry / Stop: • Reversal Setup with stop above the entry signal • Or at 77.88 with stop about 78.05 Signal invalidated: • breaking lower withoug looking back • Prive going above 78.05 I want the current 15min-Candle to close inside the range of the previous 15min candle. Be careful about News in about 30minutes! Please feel free to comment
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by MichaelBw
EUR/CHF ShortContext: • Monthly Rejection confirmed • Weekly build a RBD with FVGs • Daily consolidated for 3 days below Swing Low and left that base Idea: • Short on 4h-Supply Entry Area: • 0.9642 - 0.9670 Entry Signal: Two options • LMT on 4h Supply • Reversal on lower timeframe like 1h Stop: • Above Supply or entry setup Target: • 0.9565 (last bullish montly candle low) Scenario invalidated: • Bullish Reversal into breakout-Range, i.e. above 0.967 • If we build up momentum and create another base → would be new scneraio Please feel free to comment!
Short
by MichaelBw
AUD/NZD ShortContext: • Monthly neutral / sideways • Weekly bearish FVGs, ignored bullish order block • Clearly bearish Idea: • Short at daily FVG Entry: • Entry Range: 1.0774 to 1.0787 • Entry Signal: Reversal Setup on 30min - 1h Scenario: • Liquidity sweep above 1.0774 (dashed line) • Avoid building a FVG on 4h Stop: • Above your Reversal Setup / Entry Setup Scenario invalidet • 4h Close above 1.0771 → Next location would then be 1.0806 Please leave a comment if you have any suggestion or question.
Short
by MichaelBw
GBP/CAD LongContext: • Prev. month close above consolidation, this month broke prev. month high • Weekly: Bullish FVGs, prev. week had negative close, this week broke the prev. weeks high significantly • Daily: In bullish swing, left consolidation with close abote montly high and consolidation range. Yet showed a rejection (long wick) Idea: • Direction: Long • Entry area: 1.7452 - 1.7527 (between montly high and low of the 1h-Demand zone showed in blue) Trigger: • I do not suggest a LMT on the upper entry area • Rather look for 30min-1h Reversal setup in mentioned entry area • After reaching entry area one wants to see fast upward movement and a close abote prev. month high / prev. day low lines Stop: • Below your entry setup Caution when: • Entry area is approached with momentum, i.e. strong 1h-4h FVGs. → Slow approach of area preferred Scenario broken when: • Prev. day high is taken out: New context with potentially higher yet to build entry level • Confirmed 4h close below prev. day low Be aware of the CAD News today: BoC Interest Rate Decision. Market could become very volatile
Long
by MichaelBw
BTCUSD Long: To the moon?Context: Currently trading above previous high from Nov. 2021 with bullish FVGs on monthly chart - but we are now in a consolidation, but with upwards tendency. Same for the weekly chart - we just took out the previous week high. Idea: • Entry between prev. week high and prev. day high after 4h close above bearish FVG. • Entry in mentioned area preffered with a lower timeframe setup like a reversal candle on 30min. • Approach of the entry should be without FVGs on 30min. Otherwise wait for bearish 30min FVG to be closed. Stop: Below your 30min entry setup → 1st TP: Around ATH / 73500 → 2nd TP: trailing stop: "sky is the limit" When does this scenario become invalidated? If the current 4h candle becomes a confirmed reversal candle. Then we could rally lower to at least 69000.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by MichaelBw
GBP/AUD LongMontly Chart neutral. Weekly shows an inverted FVG and we respected the last bullish FVG. Same for the daily chart. We trade above the previous day high. IF the current 2h candle closes without potentially triggering my proposed entry level AND stays an inside candle as of now, this could be a long for me. Entry around 1.9184. Stop around 1.9167. First TP around current day high at 1.9210. Second TP around 1.9245. Be aware: The shown CRV of the first entry is only about 1.6. So try to get an entry on a lower timeframe like 15min to reduce your stop and maximise the CRV
Long
by MichaelBw
XAUUSD Bullish sentiment Based on our analysis of recent market conditions in the XAUUSD, we have observed a bullish sentiment on the 2-hour previous candle. However, we have also noted a retracement into an imbalance in the market, resulting in a rapid shift in price that has left a gap in the order block. As experienced traders, we recognize that this gap represents a fair value gap, and we are closely monitoring the market for a potential long position once price returns to this level. We believe that taking a long position at this point would be a sound strategy given the current market conditions and our analysis of XAUUSD
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by jacobsonmez
A loss for me a lesson for you- Trading a bearish FVGReview this first to see the fair value gap: (1)Trades inside the -FVG (2) Rejects -FVG(MT) (3) Holds -FVG(L) Note: This is a high probability sign for moves higher, price trades inside the 4H-FVG. Once price is inside, the price trades to the 4H-FVG(MT) and trades back down to the 4H-FVG(L) and price holds for a continuation inside. (4) Prices trades through -FVG(MT) (5) Trades and rejects the -FVG(H) and -OB Note: This is where, and only where I should have entered for the sells that I attempted near the midpoint. We had already traded pass 4H-FVG(MT). After the failed entry, you should wait for price to reach the 4H-FVG(H) and in this case the -OB as well.
BLACKBULL:SPX500Education
by Cory4rex
$GBPUSD -Broke Market Structure- Bullish for 1.36375 from 1.3579As you can see GBPUSD had some highs near 1.3587. Those highs were broken durng the morning volatility. It has retraced a little each and who knows I may have missed the entranced when uit already got below 1.35795 and hit near 1.35583. That was the gold move to buy. Yes it's slowly retracting but that's to make retail traders believe that it's actuall going to sell now. a) It's broken market structure B) There's Confluence at the 161.8% mark that includes going through th top of a Fair Valu Gap (15 min) brefore hitting a bearish order block. I'm just wanting for GBPUSD TO enter that Zone between 1.3795 probably mnost likely to the buliish order block of 1.35815 before adding another position, I had 3 decent scalps on GBPUSD this morning and I'm looking to capitalize one more time. Now, I do look at the economic calendar to give m clues as to when the volatility will happpen in the morning. However, Just because a bank is expected to raise interest rates diesn't necessarily mean that it wil be a bad thi9ng for the comapny. If infact, most smart Money (Deep pocket whales) Will use tat against in you, and drive it in your favor for a few minutes and and """#$% SLAM #$% Irt goes the opposite way. I have been hurt tooo many times going by what the eceonomic calendar says will be good for the currency rather than just look at the surroundings, find the liqquidity and Underastand it's probably going there. And with that we have somewhat equal highs above with fair value gaps just prior. I have a feeling we should se somerthig similar to that I drw. I could be completely wrong, but we'lll see. Goofg Luck and Good Trading Tedzily a.k.a. Bodies X Wix OANDA:GBPUSD FX:GBPUSD FOREXCOM:GBPUSD FX_IDC:GBPUSD CAPITALCOM:GBPUSD SAXO:GBPUSD gbpusd PEPPERSTONE:GBPUSD CURRENCYCOM:GBPUSD BIST:GBPUSD2! EASYMARKETS:GBPUSD CURRENCYCOM:GBPUSD FXOPEN:GBPUSD WHSELFINVEST:GBPUSD KRAKEN:GBPUSD BLACKBULL:GBPUSD SKILLING:GBPUSD FTX:GBPUSD BIST:GBPUSD1! BITSTAMP:GBPUSD
Long
by BodiesXWix
EURUSD Trade Idea Dec 13-17 2021The Logic: Overall EU is bearish from the weekly and Monthly TFs. Also on the weekly TF price has broken key structure, moving towards the downside, hence I'm anticipating a pull back to the OB which caused the break of structure, then a continuation downwards. On the daily TF, price has created a shift in market structure upwards, possibly signaling the pull back has begun. With this SMS I'm anticipating that price will return below the shift as liquidity has been engineered in the area of the shift and as such I'll be looking for buys inside my 1H POI until price returns to the 1W POI that initially created the BMS downwards.
Long
by ThePhoenicx
$EURUSD - End Of Week - Economic Calendar vs. Algorithm (SMT)***SMT = Smart Money Technique = the lck of believe and use of retail theory strategies. It is an algorithm that seeks liquidity and balance. We doon't trade off trndlines, no do we follow channels, or harminics, or belive in supply and demand. There's al Algorrithm nd the Candles givee you the keys. per ICT. And I could be extremely off for this. AAAlright so it seems that the Euro has been slowly going down throughout the week. I don't see tomorrow being much different even with NFP numbers coming out. It is acting as if there is still liquiidity to be broken on the sell side. Especially the equal lows right at 1.15400. I think it will break a little higher during the London session and cross the Median of the 15 min Fair Value Gap, probably even cover the FVG it and hit the bearish order block before dropping. One scenario I do have is it hitting that 1.15450 area aas it is a bullish order block under a FVG and stopping there and slowly moving up since it is the end of the week. Howeever, It is NFP Friday, the worst day to trade, So I'm not going to even thinkin about trading this. But I'm putting out my guess as to wht would possibly happen. What we're looking at just below a few deviations below the Asian Range as well as using the fib for a short sell after it gets above premium and into that median of the 15 Min FVG gap around 1.15750, I wouldn't be surprised if thats the time we get the worst volitlitity and people chase it up aand it does go up for a brief moment but then it just falls straight though the Liquidity /equal low area at 1.15400 and the straight on throught to the 175% exxtenssion which just so happens to also be the Mar High of 2020 during the high volatility of Covid around 1.154115 which is also inside a dailly order Block. Chart Seen Here:: We'll just have to wit and see what happens. Happy Trading
Short
by BodiesXWix
USDCHF ShortGood morning ladies & gents, USDCHF has hit a H4 Bearish Propulsion Block whilst simultaneously creating Fair Value Gaps on its way up. Price hunted past previous day's highs and created a sell structure. The targets are highlighted below. I've personally got 3 targets but these two that I've depicted are the first and last ones. Disclaimer: This is my opinion and the way I view the markets. Do not take this as trading advice. You're trading at your own risk if you use this idea, so please please use good risk management. My mentor always told me: if you take care of your downside, the upside will take care of itself. Consistency is the key. Love & Peace
Short
by Jiraiya_eth