EURUSD: Bullish short term but foggy long term outlook.EURUSD is neutral on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 52.933, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 25.234) as despite having made a clear bottom on October 3rd, a month has passed and still hasn't been able to close over the 1D MA50. In fact (including today), it has been rejected three times and despite crossing it, it failed to close the 1D candle above it.
The two medium term rallies prior to October (March and June) have been far more aggressive but the duration has been similar on both (48-50 days). The 1D MACD Histogram along with comparing where the price is, relative to the previous rallies (0.618 Time Fibonacci level), shows that technically there might not be much time or room for the price to move upwards.
Nevertheless, with the formation of the 4H Golden Cross, which has delivered a Higher High on both previous rises, a closing over the 1D MA50, will be a buy signal for us, targeting the R1 level (TP = 1.07375). Beyond that we can't be very optimistic for the pair.
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EURUSD 4H : Interest rate will decide EURUSD
New forecast
The EUR/USD pair is trading around support for the ascending corrective channel at 1.0540 , and trying to break it . because Breaking it will lead the price to head towards achieving further expected declines during the coming period, targeting visiting the 1.0496 level as the next aim.
Therefore the downward trend scenario will be remain for the coming period supported by Moving average 50 supports the continuation of the suggested downward trend, taking into account that breaching 1.0632 and holding above it will lead the price to return to the upward path. so the main condition to be continue at the bearish trend is stability under 1.0540 and then our target will be activate .
The expect range trading for today it will be between the resistance line 1.0590 and support line 1.0496.
Additionally ,Today News will affect the market .
resistance line : 1.0562 , 1.0590
support line : 1.0540 , 1.0496
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EURUSD Where to next?Looking at the charts on the weekly TF, price is attempting a retest on the previous support already broken. If it holds as a new found resistance we just might see price push lower on $EURUSD. For now, I'd rather wait to see the way price will choose to move. Key area in focus is 1.06964
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Disclaimer:
All trade ideas are given for educational purposes and should not be treated as an investment advice, hence do your due diligence. Past results does not guarantee future results
EURUSD: Medium term buy opportunity.EURUSD was rejected on the 1D MA50 and turned into a sell that hit our target and the bottom of the Channel Up. Now that 1D is neutral again technically (RSI = 48.387, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 24.654) and the 4H MACD formed a new Bullish Cross (every Channel Up bottom has been formed on one) we can buy again and aim for another +1.85% rise (TP = 1.07150). A crossing over the R1 level (1.07375) would be bullish on the long term and target the 1D MA200.
See how well our prior idea has worked:
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EURUSD getting weakerWeekly key level around $1.07.
In long term EURUSD buyer seems like not so interested, as the choppy movements showing on H4. Minor resistance is so close between the H4 waves indicates weak buyer, the movements almost flat. Strong movements is when the price move rocketing steep no retracement with small "pause" which SMC trader usually called them as "rally base rally" or RBR. But since the 1st wave after H4 "choch", there is no "RBR" formed in H4 structure. Even inside H4 waves showing price have to build some other smaller waves to keep push the price up. Now it's in 4th waves. If observe carefully, it's build up rising flag pattern which usually the sign of downtrend will continue.
I expecting will massive drop after 5th waves complete. If Euro "want" to still continue upward, then it need strong fundamental data to support it to go beyond key level $1.07.
EURUSD 24/10 MovePair : EURUSD ( Euro / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Completed the Breakout of the Upper Trend Line of the Corrective Pattern " Bearish Channel " in LTF. It has Rejected the LL - LH Trend and started making HL - HH. It has Completed " abc " Corrective Wave and Break of Structure with Retracement
Entry Precautions :
Wait until it Completes the Retracement and Rejection
EURUSD: Crossed over the 3 month LH, testing the 1D MA50.EURUSD turned bullish on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 56.634, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 25.303) as it made a major breakout by crossing above the LH trendline that originated on the July 18th High. The current short term Channel Up is about to test the 1D MA50 for the first time since August 11th. If it closes the 1D candle over it, we will buy and target the 1D MA200 (TP = 1.0800). On a different occasion, we will buy near the bottom of the Channel Up and target the R1 level (TP = 1.07375).
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EURUSD 4H : OUTLOOKEURUSD
New forecast
The euro versus the dollar pair continues to fluctuate between the pivotal levels represented by the support at 1.0550 and the resistance at 1.0631, which keeps our neutral position in place until now, and the price faces a conflict between technical factors that makes us wait for confirmation of the breach of one of the mentioned levels and then determine its next destination more precisely.
Therefore we expect the price will drop again from that resistance area if failure to stabilized above it 1.0631 .
We note that breaching the resistance will lead the price to conduct an upward correction targeting the 1.0660 and 1.0690 areas in the near term, while breaking the support will put pressure on the price to return to the main downward path and then achieve negative targets starting at 1.0496.
The expect range trading for today it will be between the resistance line 1.0631 and support line 1.0550.
resistance line : 1.0612 , 1.0631
support line : 1.0562 , 1.0550
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EURUSD 4H : lost his positive resolveEURUSD
New forecast
The price perfectly fulfills my last idea and price reached to our bullish target +25 pip .
The euro/dollar pair traded positively yesterday, reaching the level of 1.0562, and we notice that the price has clearly lost its positive momentum, and is facing good resistance formed by the 50 moving average at the aforementioned level, which makes us likely to witness a bearish rebound during the coming sessions, heading towards achieving negative goals that begin At 1.0500 and extending to 1.0462.
Therefore, a bearish bias will be likely for today, relying on trading within the main bearish channel that appears on the chart, keeping in mind that breaching 1.0562 will stop the expected decline and lead the price to begin a correction.
The expect range trading for today it will be between the resistance line 1.0562 and support line 1.0496.
Additionally ,Today News will affect the market .
resistance line : 1.0550 , 1.0588
support line : 1.0496, 1.0462
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Looking for buyersThe trend is still strong downtrend, but maybe will make some correction from minor support to testing again the SNR zone. Buying side are still weak, too choppy candles movements on H1 but on H4 market structure broke the minor swing high (choch), even on M15 candles also printing weak buying. Trade counter the trend on higher time frame is always risky, so I'll consider use smaller lot size.
EURUSDEURUSD:
DXY is likely to remain volatile due to NFP and other factors such as fear of recession is extremely high among investors. This is where USD remain almost bullish and in these kind of situations price tends to remain bearish on EURUSD.
We are waiting for price to come to our area of entry, where we can enter with 70-80 PIPS stop loss. The 'Target Profit' will remain same as it is described in the chart!!
EURUSD: Time to turn bullish again?EURUSD is up almost +1.80% since the October 3rd low and the 1D technical outlook switched back to a neutral state (RSI = 48.454, MACD = -0.004, ADX = 28.741). The 1D MACD is after a Bullish Cross and that's typical of the last two market Lows turned into bullish reversals. To be more precise, both of those patterns formed W-reversals before testing the 1D MA50. Consequently, we expect a pull back now, that will be a buy opportunity targeting the 1D MA50 (TP = 1.06850).
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EURUSD 4H : Still support further declineEURUSD
New forecast
Trading in the euro/dollar pair stabilizes below the level of 1.0510, and has been fluctuating along a sideways path since yesterday. Therefore, there is no change in the expected bearish trend scenario for the coming period, whose next targets are at 1.0440 and then 1.0408 after crossing the previous level.
The descending channel supports expectations of a continuation of the downward trend, keeping in mind that breaching 1.0516 will lead the price to achieve immediate gains and head towards 1.0550 initially so it is possible to do a retest to the level 1.0515 and then drop .
The expect range trading for today it will be between the resistance line 1.0516 and support line 1.0463.
Additionally ,Today News will affect the market .
support line : 1.0463 , 1.0440
resistance line : 1.0516 , 1.0554
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Potential Short on EURUSDPrice has broken the 1.05100 area, a retest of that same zone and its rejection to confirm continuation will be a good entry point. Be sure to see the rejection of zone and the continuation
Better to let market tell you its flow and you respond to it rather than attempt to predict it.
Disclaimer:
All trade ideas are given for educational purposes and should not be treated as an investment advice, hence do your due diligence. Past results does not guarantee future results
EURUSD: High probability sell signal.EURUSD is having a Double Top rejection on the 4H MA50, always within the tight borders of the middle July Channel Down. The 1D technical outlook is bearish (RSI = 32.644, MACD = -0.008, ADX = 39.390) and that's all that matters right now as it sets the bearish pace inside the Channel. Out of a 5 similar rejection sample inside this Channel, four have delivered a new Low. The lowest % decline has been -1.21%. Based on that, we are short-term short, aiming at the S1 level (TP = 1.04875).
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EURUSD decreased and recoveredThe dollar starts the week slightly lower, with the DXY dollar index down 0.1% at 106.10, but the falls aren't convincing enough to look like they could mark the start of a downward trend, analysts at UniCredit Research say in a note. "We remain skeptical that a shift in sentiment has occurred," they say. The dollar's falls on Friday could simply represent position adjustments on the final trading day of September. "After all, the dollar index (DXY) is still at around 106 and EUR/USD remains slightly below 1.06, even though lower-than-expected preliminary eurozone CPI data for September failed to affect the common currency." EUR/USD trades flat at 1.0586.
OANDA:EURUSD SELL 1.0567 - 1.0577 🔽🔽
✔️TP: 1.0527
❌SL: 1.0600
EURUSD: A complete analysis!EURUSD
EURUSD hit rock bottom on Wednesday when it dropped to 1.0487 lowest since early march, this is all because of investors continue to be more interested in US DOLLAR. However, after analysing we find out that there few key economic factors that may play a huge role in the future of this pair. If ECB conveys tough message against inflation, this will ultimately divert investor to have an alternative option to USD presence. However, recent actions from ECB shows that ECB are more worried about inflation itself and does not show any strong action of fighting against it whereas DXY remain more strong and trustworthy due to FED strong testimony of fighting against the inflation.
Furthermore, the recent market sentiment weighed on US Dollar, recent economic data proves the economy is fast paced growing whole Jobless claims came in lower that expected at 204,000.However, ECB comments on EUR had minimal impact on the currency and experts believe there will be no price hike in October and December.
So what’s our long term view, we believe price will continue to fell until next year,there will some sort of corrections that will occur in the market but ultimately it will be the sellers who will have the impact.
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EURUSDAlready broke out of the consolidation phase and looking sweet for another short to continue with our existing short
Disclaimer:
All trade ideas are given for educational purposes and should not be treated as an investment advice, hence do your due diligence. Past results does not guarantee future results
EURUSD Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaAnalyzing the EURUSD currency pair, we've detected a significant development: it has now reached a crucial support level following a substantial bearish trend. At this juncture, it becomes evident that the price is overextended, potentially indicating an impending retracement.
In the accompanying video, we provide a comprehensive exploration of essential factors, including price action, market structure, and critical aspects of technical analysis. It is crucial to emphasize that the information presented in this content serves purely educational purposes. It should never be interpreted as financial advice. Hence, it remains of utmost importance to exercise prudent risk management strategies when engaging in trading activities.
EURUSD market analysis
The U.S. dollar was still very strong last week. However, it did not break through a new high. It continued to fall in the next two trading days. So I think the price of the euro against the U.S. dollar will continue to fall next week.
trading signals sell1.1140 tp1.0500
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EURUSDEURUSD is currently undergoing a retracement, approaching my initial entry point, which presents an opportune moment for a potential re-entry. Upon the completion of this retracement, I anticipate a continued downward trajectory for EURUSD, potentially leading to the establishment of a new lower low.