EURUSD: 4H MA50 crossing signals new rally.EURUSD is remains bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.523, MACD = -0.006, ADX = 15.575) but today it crossed and closed a 4H candle over the 4H MA50 for the first time since December 10th. Along with that, it crossed above the LH trend-line, thus technically invalidating the short term bearish trend. Given the recent December 18th double bottom on the S1 Zone, the pattern that prevails is a Rectangle, thus today's breakout is technically targeting the patterns top. Consequently our target is near the R1 Zone (TP = 1.0600).
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Eurusdtrading
EURUSD's downward channel weakens
On the hourly chart, EURUSD is in the downward adjustment stage of the downward channel. The price rebounded at 1.034, forming an ascending triangle structure. The short-term trend is strong. The upper 1.044 line is under pressure. If this position is adjusted and broken, the price will break through the downward channel and test 1.048 and 1.052 above. The short-term support of 1.038 below, if this position is broken, the triangle structure will break down and test 1.035 below.
Overall, EURUSD is still in the downward adjustment stage. If the downward channel is not broken, the trend is still bearish. In terms of operation, rebound shorting is the main method. When the market rebound triangle converges, the upper edge intersects with the upper edge of the downward channel. If the market is under pressure and weakens, you can participate in shorting. Reference position 1.044-1.046 area. Stop loss 1.048 is enough. Stop loss 1.048 is enough. Downward focus on 1.04, 1.038, 1.035.
Those who are cautious can wait for the price to break through the triangle convergence and then adjust to the pressure level before continuing to short.
EURUSD is steadily falling
EURUSD is currently in the downward channel, and the price trend is showing a steady and volatile downward trend. Previously, the price briefly went sideways after touching the lower track support of the downward channel, further expanding the price space below and forming a relatively clear head and shoulders top breakout structure. The formation of this structure further confirms the short-term downward trend.
From the short-term trend, EURUSD has rebounded to a certain extent after breaking down, but the upward momentum is limited. The key resistance levels above are around 1.046 and 1.052, while the support below focuses on 1.033 and 1.030. In terms of the overall trend, EURUSD continues the steady downward trend, indicating that the market short-selling force is still dominant.
Based on the analysis of the current trend and key points, it is recommended to focus on rebound shorting, strictly set stop losses, and pay attention to the breakout of key resistance and support to cope with potential market volatility risks.
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EURUSD UpdateEURUSD pair is forming an descending trendline its not valid yet because it got only 2 touches so we're waiting the 3rd touch to form and make our red trendline valid.
once it hit we will be looking for a short position on a lower timeframe and it broke above we will be waiting for a retest and rejection o our trendline to enter a long position with a take profit the 0.76 Fib Retracement zone.
Happy Trading Family
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EURUSD: Best opportunity to buy for the long term.EURUSD is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 40.973, MACD = -0.005, ADX = 14.482) but almost still oversold on 1W (RSI = 35.674). This is because after the November 18th 1W candle bottom on the LL trendline of the 2 year Channel Down, it has completed 2 red weeks in a row. Still, having rebounded on oversold 1W RSI territory, those low levels present an excellent buy opportunity for those who missed the bottom. Every bounce on the Channel Down bottom has made at least a +5.42% rally, and that is what we're aiming for (TP = 1.0900). This may coincide with a 1W MA200 test.
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EURUSD: Bullish Reversal Confirmed 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD nicely respected a key daily horizontal support.
With a consequent bullish movement from that, the price went up
and violated a resistance line of a falling wedge pattern on a 4H.
It confirms a local bullish reversal.
We can expect a bullish movement at least to 1.05236
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EURUSD: Standard Channel Up targeting above the 4H MA200.EURUSD may have turned bearish today on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.238, MACD = -0.005, ADX = 33.591) but 4H remains neutral as the pullback is the technical bearish wave of the Channel Up you see on the chart. The two bullish waves we've had so far have been exactly the same at +1.65% with the 4H RSI S1 Zone providing the most accurate buy entries. Consequently, this is now the best level to go long and target a crossing over the 4H MA200 on another +1.65% bullish wave (TP = 1.06675).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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EURUSD: Inverse Head and Shoulders buy signal.EURUSD is bearish on its 4H technical outlook (RSI = 38.974, MACD = 0.000, ADX = 37.510) as it continues to trade near the bottom of the long term Channel Down. At the same time its low made contact with the bottom of the Bearish Megaphone. Technically that formed the Head of an Inverse Head and Shoulders. The standard target for this pattern is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. That is our target (TP = 1.08630).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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EURUSD Raid On Liquidity? Contemplating the Next Move!👀👉 EURUSD remains in a strong downtrend, evident on the daily and 4-hour charts. Currently, we’re seeing an aggressive pullback on the 4-hour timeframe. I’m eyeing a short entry but holding off early in the week—waiting to see how price develops from the London session into the New York open. In this video, we break down market structure, price action, and blend Wyckoff & ICT concepts in an easy-to-understand way. 🚨 Not financial advice. 📉✅
EUR/USD Short Setup: Leveraging the Retrace for a Downtrend PlayEUR/USD has retraced slightly, offering a good entry point for a short trade. The pair remains bearish, trading below the 200-day MA, with strong resistance near 1.062 holding firm. Targeting the 1.0400 price area, this trade aligns with the broader downtrend, supported by both technical and fundamental factors.
Technical Overview:
The current trend is bearish, with the pair respecting lower highs and significant resistance at the 200-day MA. The initial target is set around 1.0495, with the long-term aim at 1.0400. Price action confirms a sell opportunity as the retrace reaches resistance areas.
Fundamental Context:
The U.S. Dollar has regained strength, driven by optimism around pro-growth policies and a solid DXY rally. Meanwhile, the Fed remains cautious on rate cuts, signaling slower changes ahead. In the Eurozone, the ECB continues a dovish approach, focusing on inflation concerns while speculative short positions on the Euro rise. This reinforces the bearish outlook for EUR/USD. Upcoming speeches and economic data, including Lagarde’s address and U.S. TIC flows, could further influence the pair’s movement.
This short trade aims to capitalize on the retrace within a bearish structure. With clear resistance levels and supportive fundamentals, the setup targets a move toward 1.0400. Risk management remains key as market conditions evolve.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
EURUSD: Long term bottom formation. Target 1.09250.EURUSD is almost oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 32.566, MACD = -0.011, ADX = 28.963) as despite the consolidation since last Thursday, it hasn't yet started to recover. This is however a common price action during bottom formation proccesses (like September and March 2023) and since the 1D RSI is on a bullish divergence (HL), we expect a rally to start soon. In the past rebounds that stopped initially on the HH trendline but for slightly lower risk we are targeting the November 5th High (TP = 1.09250), which started the recent selling.
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EURUSD: Bearish Trend Will Resume Soon?! 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD looks bearish after a test of a key daily horizontal resistance.
The price formed a range and violated its support with a strong bearish candle.
Taking into consideration that the pair is trading in a strong bearish trend,
probabilities are high that it will resume soon.
I expect a bearish continuation at least to 1.0572
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EURUSD: Showing no signs of stopping before 1.04000.EURUSD is almost oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 32.891, MACD = -0.007, ADX = 29.222), which is a sign of a potential slowdown on the October sell-off but not of stopping. We believe that as the price is approaching the bottom LL of the Channel Down, it will slow down in an attempt to form sideways a bottom as during the weeks of September 25th - October 16th 2023. The ideal entry will be with the 1W RSI as close to being oversold (30.000) as possible and symmetric 1W MACD shows it can happen by December 9th. That means that we can continue shorting the pair, targeting the 1.1 Fibonacci extension (TP = 1.04000), which is where the bottom was priced on October 2nd 2023.
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EUR/USD (aka) "FIBER" Bank Money Heist Plan on Bullish Side.Hola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist EUR/USD (aka) "FIBER" Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
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Post-Election and FOMC Impact— EURUSDEURUSD Breakdown Analysis
Date : November 7, 2024
Current Level : 1.0740
Forecasted Targets : 1.0800 (Resistance) and 1.0660 (Downside Target)
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Overview:
EURUSD saw a significant drop yesterday, largely due to market reactions to the U.S. election uncertainty. Investors flocked to the dollar as a safe haven, strengthening it and putting EURUSD under downward pressure. The next focal point for the market is today’s FOMC decision, which could set the tone for the pair in the days ahead.
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Election Impact on EURUSD:
The initial dip in EURUSD following the election highlights its sensitivity to U.S. political events. Market sentiment was cautious as investors digested updates, pushing the dollar up and sending EURUSD lower. This movement suggests continued dollar strength unless political clarity reduces the appeal of safe-haven assets.
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Focus on Today’s FOMC Decision:
With the FOMC’s interest rate announcement imminent, we may see additional volatility. While rates are likely to remain unchanged, hawkish commentary or projections for future hikes could support further dollar gains, pushing EURUSD lower. Conversely, a dovish statement could trigger a dollar pullback, allowing EURUSD to approach the anticipated resistance level at 1.0800.
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Technical Analysis and Forecast:
Currently trading at 1.0740, EURUSD is positioned near a key support zone. Short-term technical indicators point to potential resistance around 1.0800, which aligns with critical Fibonacci levels and a prior trendline. The pair may briefly reach this level before a likely reversal due to strengthening dollar fundamentals. Once EURUSD tests 1.0800, we anticipate a decline toward our downside target of 1.0660, a support level with historical significance.
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Conclusion:
Today’s FOMC statement, paired with the ongoing effects of the U.S. election, positions EURUSD for a brief rally toward 1.0800, followed by a downturn targeting 1.0660. This range provides both resistance and support benchmarks, offering potential entry and exit points.