EURUSD - Downside to bullish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we have pretty the same scenario as on GOLD, Price rejected from bearish order block so I expect price to drop in order to fulfill the imbalance. My target is institutional big figure 1.08000 from where I look for a long position.
Fundamental news: Upcoming week is full of news in USA. Firstly on Wednesday we have Interest Rate followed by FOMC Conference, then on Friday NFP and Unemployment Rate. Pay attention to the results in order to validate the analysis.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Eurusdprediction
EURUSD BEARS LOOKING FOR MORE DOWNSIDE !!!Hello Traders
EURUSD is now trading in downtrend and ECB also looking for rate cuts so our expectations are a down till these design levels friends our R & R ratio is great on this trade lets see what markets give us this week have look on our Other analysis so you can understand why we are buying $ this week this is just an trade idea make a proper analysis before any trade and share
Ur thoughts with us in comments on EURUSD it help alot of traders
Stay tuned for more updates .......
EURUSD Longs from 1.08300 or 1.08000 back upThis week's bias for this pair aligns with GU, and I'll be aiming to initiate long positions from the demand levels positioned just beneath the current price. Whether it's from the nearby 2-hour demand zone or the 10-hour demand zone situated below, my objective is to buy back up to a supply level or potentially target the equal highs positioned above.
Ideally, I'm hoping for price to form a Wyckoff accumulation within my designated demand zones and provide a strong confirmation signal. If this doesn't happen, I'll wait for that zone to be breached, anticipating the spring to occur within the more favorable 10-hour demand zone.
Confluences for EURUSD are as follows:
- Price has been temporarily bullish to the upside and the 10hr demand zone caused BOS.
- I will be anticipating a Wyckoff accumulation to start formulating within my demand region.
- A pullback has been initiated from the reaction of the 6-hour supply zone.
- Lots of liquidity to the upside in the form of Asian highs and equal highs.
- Dollar (DXY) is looking to be bearish so I'm expecting this to be bullish.
P.S. While I maintain a bullish stance on this pair, I wouldn't be caught off guard if the reaction from the 6-hour supply zone triggers further downward movement, potentially breaking the structure to the downside. In such a scenario, I'll be more inclined to explore selling opportunities.
LAST WEEK OF JANUARY LETS HAVE A GREAT TRADING WEEK!
EURUSD - IN ANTICIPATION OF A POSITIVE PCE REPORT (TARGET 1.081)The upcoming release of the Core PCE Price Index, a key inflation metric closely monitored by the Fed, is scheduled for 13:30 GMT. Despite not anticipating major surprises due to its inclusion in the recent GDP report, investors will closely examine this data along with December's Personal Spending and Personal Income figures for deeper economic insights. While positive outcomes in spending and income could bolster the USD, disappointing results might signal weakening consumption, potentially impacting the USD's immediate performance.
The previous retail sales data was extremely bullish. Retail Sales and Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) often show a positive correlation, both reflecting consumer spending trends. While Retail Sales focus on goods, PCE covers a broader range including services. Both indicators are influenced by similar economic factors like employment rates and consumer confidence, making them crucial for understanding economic health. However, their scope differs, with PCE providing a more comprehensive view of total consumer spending. Traders should monitor these metrics for insights into consumer behaviour and overall economic conditions.
Based on these macro assumptions I'll explore the bullish outcome for the dollar:
What is on the chart? (Follow the steps)
1) We have our first accumulation structure which was followed by a breakout and also a market structure shift. This accumulation was fuelled by a 4H FVG.
2) When paired with the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator you'll notice more downside confirmations such as a break of both the daily Kijun and Tenkan, a Tenkan/Kijun crossover and a Kumo twist. Thirdly the weekly Tenkan was broken and retested. These are all major signals.
3) We're currently still range bound with the daily 0.786 level as support that was perfectly respected. This level is strengthened by the daily Kumo.
4) I am relying on the 4 Hour order block as the final resistance before the potential positive PCE data release which would be final blow. Price should continue its downfall towards sellside liquidity.
Here are some extra charts to strengthen the bias:
As usual, happy trading and have great day!! :)
EURUSD M15 / Short Trade Idea / Waiting for Confirmation ✅Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to EURUSD M15. I expect a retracement from the resistance level.
Today we have important news on EURUSD, let's see what impact it will have on the EU move.
As a target point, I take into consideration the BOSS which I expect will be taken.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
____________________________________
Follow, like, and comment to see my content:
www.tradingview.com
EURUSD Trend Reversal ?Pair : EURUSD ( Euro / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Falling Wedge as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame. Completed Impulsive Waves " 12345 " Bearish and " AB " Corrective Waves. Exp FIAT as an Correction in Short Time Frame need to wait until it Rejects from Upper Trend Line or Demand Zone
EUR/USD Finds Solid Support at 1.08500 Amidst Tepid Data.EUR/USD Finds Solid Support at 1.08500 Amidst Tepid Data, Eyes on Maintrend Continuation
In a noteworthy turn of events, the EUR/USD has staged a rebound, establishing a robust support zone at 1.08500. This critical level is reinforced by the confluence with the Dynamic trendline, acting as dynamic support, and the 61.8%-78.6% Fibonacci zone. Additionally, a Bullish Divergence in the RSI and a favorable reaction at the 200-day Moving Average signal potential upward momentum.
Euro Resilience Despite Local Data:
Interestingly, the Euro has demonstrated resilience despite tepid local data. The preliminary Producer Manager Index (PMI) survey conducted by the Hamburg Commercial Bank (HCOB) indicates that business activity in the euro area contracted at the slowest rate in January, marking a six-month low. However, the official report highlights persistent downturns in both manufacturing and service sectors, coupled with further declines in new business.
German PMI Figures:
Breaking down the data, Germany's Manufacturing PMI recorded 45.4, while the services index posted at 47.6. For the Eurozone, the Services PMI came in at 48.4, a slight decrease from the previous 48.8. On a positive note, the manufacturing index showed improvement, rising to 46.6 from 44.4 in December.
Upcoming US Preliminary PMIs:
Later in the day, S&P Global is set to release the January preliminary PMIs for the United States (US). Market expectations lean towards manufacturing output maintaining its position in expansionary territory. This event could introduce further dynamics to the EUR/USD pair, given the interconnectedness of global markets.
Technical Outlook and Maintrend Continuation:
From a technical perspective, the confluence of support factors at 1.08500, along with the positive indications from the RSI and the 200-day Moving Average, strengthens the case for a continuation of the current tendency. Traders will be closely monitoring how the pair navigates through these levels and whether the rebound can be sustained.
Conclusion:
The EUR/USD's resilience at the crucial support level of 1.08500, despite mixed local data, underscores the significance of technical factors in guiding market movements. As the pair eyes a continuation of the maintrend, upcoming US PMI data could play a pivotal role in shaping short-term market dynamics. Traders should remain vigilant and adapt their strategies in response to evolving technical and fundamental factors in the forex landscape.
Our preference
Long positions above 1.07700 with targets at 1.1000 & 1.1150 in extension.
💡 EURUSD: Forecast January 15After breaking the bottom of 1,085, the selling pressure was not maintained, the buying force returned strongly and pushed the price beyond the downtrend line. Although there is still no clear bullish reversal signal, it can be seen that the buying side is strengthening through the frequency and size of bullish candlesticks. You should temporarily stop trading at this time, need to wait for clearer signals.
💡 EURUSD: Forecast January 26After breaking the short-term downtrend line, the buyers were unable to maintain the pressure and the sellers returned later, currently the price is being forced down to the resistance area of 1,082, a continuous change in buying and selling pressure. This shows that the two sides are struggling fiercely in this area without creating any really clear signals. You temporarily stop trading, pay attention to the boundaries of the range, the direction of the breakout can reveal the next direction of the price.
EURUSD: The ECB's policy decision is the highlight of today's ec
The dollar rose slightly early in the day after being mixed in yesterday's trading. Rising Treasury yields of late have supported the greenback.
US stocks also saw late declines, although technology stocks again outperformed as the Nasdaq index closed up 0.4%. The S&P 500 managed to rise 0.1% while the Dow closed down 0.3%. US futures are currently flat.
In the bond market, the 10-year bond yield in the US decreased 2 basis points to 4.158%.
ECB President Lagarde will continue to speak based on the data but traders will keep an eye out for any unexpected comments from her.
The market prices the ECB's ability to cut interest rates in April at 72% and expects 127 basis points of interest rate cuts this year.
💡 EURUSD: Forecast January 23ANALYSIS TODAY: EURUSD slipped slightly in the past session and there have been no significant new signals, the price is still maintained below the short-term downtrend line, and the recent accumulation moves of the price reflect that sellers may are accumulating and waiting for a new price push so the outlook is still bearish. Please pay attention to the support level at 1,085. If it is broken, the downward momentum could quickly expand to the 1,070-75 area. If you still have a short position, you can continue to hold the order.
Indicator is used:
- Chandelier Exit
- EMA
- MACD
Long EURUSDI'm expecting bullish movement on EURUSD throughout the remainder of the month. We've already come down and took out liquidity residing below December 15th low (1.08811) and filling in the gap below that level. If price manages to push with good volume pass the 1.08963 price I'll be looking to enter a long position aimed at December's high.
EURUSD BUY
EURUSD is showing signs of a rebound from the higher low area of the uptrend line in the 4-hour timeframe chart.
📉 Expectations:
Anticipate the pair to re-test key support levels as highlighted in the attached chart.
📊 Trading Strategy:
This trade is based on a combination of technical analysis and candlestick patterns. It's a long-term position, so ensure sufficient margin to manage market fluctuations. Implement proper risk management in line with your account size.
🚦 Trading Rules:
1️⃣ Rule 1: If the trade does NOT surpass our entry level (GREEN LINE ON THE CHART), Do not enter the trade.
2️⃣ Rule 2: When the market hits Target 1, consider closing some positions or move your STOP LOSS to ENTRY price for safe trading.
3️⃣ Rule 3: After reaching Target 1, avoid placing new trades based on the same signal/alert.
4️⃣ Rule 4: If the market consolidates for more than 2 days, close the trade and patiently wait for the next favorable trading opportunity.
EUR/USD Struggles for Direction Amid ECB Rate Cut UncertaintyEUR/USD Struggles for Direction Amid ECB Rate Cut Uncertainty
The EUR/USD pair finds itself in a tight trading range below the 1.0900 and 1.08500 levels during the European session on Wednesday. Traders appear cautious, refraining from making aggressive directional moves as uncertainty looms over the potential timing of an interest rate cut by the European Central Bank (ECB).
ECB Rate Cut Speculations:
The first ECB policy rate cut is anticipated in April, with markets pricing in a total reduction of 135 basis points (bps) by the end of 2024. However, ECB President Christine Lagarde's recent signal that borrowing costs may only start decreasing in the summer, contingent on supportive economic data, has left traders in a wait-and-see mode. The focus now shifts to the upcoming ECB monetary policy meeting on Thursday, seen as a pivotal event that could significantly impact the EUR/USD pair.
Event and Data Risks:
This week brings forth critical event and data risks, with preliminary estimates of the January Purchasing Manager Indexes (PMIs) set for release on Wednesday. These indicators will provide insights into the economic activity within the Eurozone and potentially influence the market sentiment. However, the real highlight of the week remains the ECB meeting on Thursday, where market participants anticipate clarity on the central bank's stance regarding interest rates and monetary policy.
OCBC Bank's Analysis:
Economists at OCBC Bank are closely analyzing the outlook for the EUR/USD pair. They suggest that an improvement in the PMI print could act as a catalyst, giving the Euro a renewed boost. Positive economic data may sway sentiment in favor of the Euro, offering traders additional insights as they position themselves in the market.
Technical Perspective:
From a technical standpoint, the EUR/USD maintains a bullish bias in higher timeframes. The current retracement, hovering around the 1.08500 area and in confluence with the Dynamic trendline, the 61.8%, and 78.6% Fibonacci zones, presents an interesting zone for potential buyers looking for discounted prices. This area could serve as a launching pad for a new bullish impulse, with the target set around the 1.1000 level.
Conclusion:
The EUR/USD pair faces a challenging environment as traders navigate uncertainty surrounding potential ECB rate cuts. With the focus on the ECB meeting and key economic indicators, market participants are adopting a cautious approach. The technical analysis suggests a bullish outlook, with the retracement presenting an opportunity for buyers to enter at a discount. However, the true catalyst for a sustained move may come from the ECB meeting and positive PMI prints, providing clarity and direction for the EUR/USD pair in the coming sessions. Traders are advised to stay vigilant and adapt their strategies accordingly in response to unfolding events and data releases.
Our preference
Long positions above 1.07700 with targets at 1.1000 & 1.1150 in extension.
EURUSD and GBPUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURUSD is ready to go shortThe price movements from 1.0980 are viewed as a corrective pattern for the preceding uptrend. While further upward movement cannot be ruled out, the rally appears to be capped by the break of the 1.0920 level, signaling a potential sell-off towards the target at 1.0768.
Therefore, we are opening a short position to target the mentioned objective as the next goal.