EurUsd- Rise to text 1.1 important figure?After reaching a low of around 1.06 in mid-April, FX:EURUSD began to recover and broke above the descending trend line in mid-May, potentially indicating a trend reversal.
Recently, the pair also formed a bullish flag, further supporting a bullish outlook.
As long as the price stays above 1.0750, there is a strong possibility of testing the 1.1 resistance level.
Eurusdoutlook
Friday Optimism carries into Monday's trading? ♦️Hello Traders. Welcome back to another Analysis. Last Weekly candle closed down 20 Pips on EurUsd.. which was quite a different picture from the previous 5 weeks. Through the second half of April and throughout most of May we observed alot of optimism and observed a decent rise in EurUsd. This sentiment came to a halt last week as EurUsd pulled down during most of the week as the USD made some gains.. that was until Friday when most of the gains were given up to the Eur as price climbed it's way back up. The 50 pip move down on Thursday, with better than expected PMI numbers for the USD, was corrected in it's entirety on Friday. Now What? Price is in a tight range to begin the week between 1.08524 4hr zone and 1.0845 4hr zone. Well the monthly candle on EurUsd is still quite bullish. It is the End of the month and this last week could see some hectic volatility, so we must be cautious. Either the Monthly candle will keep pushing up or it will pull back and create a larger top wick. We do have a very nice clean traffic area on EurUsd if we can get below 1.0835. We can decrease underneath there for 20 pips at the least down to the 1.08147 Daily Level. Ranges to trade within look quite messy to me to the upside. My Bias to begin this week will be short and we have the weekly candle closure last week to back us up. This doesn't mean that a solid 1hr candle closure off 1.08413 couldn't suggest decent buy scalp opportunities. My bias to begin Monday's trading is a decrease to the Weekly support level 1.08358. Safe trading. Not Financial Advice but purely for General Informational and Educational purposes only.
The EUR is touching the price reaction zoneEURUSD: The EUR in today`s consultation is likewise touching the rate response zone, so there may be a short-time period prospect of a downward correction. You can remember short-promoting with EURUSD across the present day rate variety. It is predicted that the EU's fluctuation variety in modern-day consultation is best across the 1.0800-1.0850 area.
EUR/USDMy plan for EU this week is similar to GU, but with a focus on the nearby supply zone. I will look for a temporary sell-to-buy setup, especially interested in the 3-hour supply zone. However, I will proceed with caution and wait for a distribution to occur within the POI before considering any sells.
There is trendline liquidity above the supply, so I expect the zone might get breached to sweep the Asian high. Once price reaches the 11-hour supply zone, it will present a more favorable sell opportunity. If the price drops early, I will wait for it to reach the 10-hour demand.
Confluences for EU Sells are as follows:
- Price has changed character to the downside.
- Price has left a clean 3hr supply that is sitting ontop of some liquidity.
- Price left an imbalance below that needs to get filled.
- Price has been very bullish and can do with a retracement back down.
P.S. If the price reacts to the 3-hour supply, I will look to sell down to fill in some of the imbalance just above the 10-hour demand. At that area, I will shift my bias to buying, following a day trader approach.
Have a great trading week ahead guys!
EURUSD. Weekly trading levels 20 - 24.05.2024During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a transaction and its support is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. Zones show preferred price ranges WHERE to look for an entry point into a trade.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.
Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. Next week I will adjust the levels based on new data and publish a new post.
! Please note that brokers have a difference in quotes, take this into account when trading.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
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I don’t play guess the direction (that’s why there are no directional arrows), but zones (levels) are used for trading. We wait for the zone to approach, watch the reaction, and enter the trade.
Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as areas of interest for trading. Traded as classic support/resistance levels. We see the reaction to the rebound, we trade the rebound. We see a breakout and continue to trade on a rollback to the level. The worst option is if we revolve around the zone in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
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EURUSD Friday setupThis week we are killing it with EURUSD. Check the red line i drawed Monday and how the price is following it. Today i expect a fake pump (not totally sure this can happen) with a continuation of the drop till the support area at 1.0775. I placed two sell limit order in case the price will decide to liquidate some sellers, this are two good entries for today.
EURUSD FOLLOWING THE PLANEverything is good for EURUSD, it's perfectly following my plan. I expect a continuation of the drop for the next 8-10 hrs and i think it can reach 1.07750 today. There are some chance it will start to reverse at NY with a continuation of the reversal tomorrow. There area from 1.08 to 1.06 is a strong support zone, and we can probably see a flash crash there with a strong pullback next. Actually, just holding my shorts at break even
EURUSD Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaIn this video, we discuss a EURUSD trade idea based on bearish price movement As always, the video covers my trade entry points, opinions on trend analysis, market structure, and price action. Remember that this information is educational and not financial advice. 📈 🚀📊
💡 EURUSD: Analysis May 21EURUSD continues to accumulate in front of the 1.0900 resistance level, the price created a new bearish pin bar pattern on daily however this pattern is quite weak and not a concern. Combined with previous bullish signals, including breaking the down channel, the longer the price accumulates around this resistance level will increase the chance of breaking out above, you continue the buy-up strategy, two scenarios. The potential version is when the price corrects to 1.08xx while creating a bullish signal, or when the price clearly breaks the 1.0900 level.
💡 H1 trend: sideways
Today trading idea: Buy EURUSD
EURUSD Weekly PlanMy bias for this week is bearish on EURUSD. I think there are high chances we will go down at least till the support zone at 1.07650. I will look for sell only, starting from tomorrow. Looking at lower timeframe, we can see that the main structure is broken and we can assist to a change of the trend starting probably tomorrow at London's open.
EUR/USD Shorts to Longs ideaMy EU analysis this week focuses on shorting opportunities. I will look for sells either from the 6-hour supply zone near the current price or, ideally, from the 11-hour supply zone if the price breaches the Asian high and continues upward.
If the price opens lower, I will look for buying opportunities at the 4-hour or 3-hour demand zones. Once the price reaches these demand zones, I plan to buy up toward the supply zone, as we are still in a short-term bullish trend indicated by the recent break of structure to the upside.
Confluences for EU Sells are as follows:
- 11hr supply zone has caused a break of structure to the downside and nearby 6hr supply.
- The overall trend on the higher time frame is bearish and the dollar is also overall bullish.
- Price has already mitigated 4hr supply might be a start of a bearish trend.
- Bullish pressure is getting exhausted after the bullish rallies we saw last week.
- Clean 11hr supply that has an imbalance that we could see a clean reaction from
P.S. Since the price is between liquidity zones, I will approach these nearby areas with caution and may lower my risk until the price reaches more favourable extreme zones where trades will be more worthwhile.
Have a great trading week!
Euro's Path Ahead: Short-Term Struggles, Long-Term Triumphs**Current Momentum and Market Sentiment:**
The EUR/USD pair is currently experiencing a challenging period, struggling to maintain bullish momentum. Despite a significant rally in recent months, the pair has recently faced resistance and corrective movements. The European Central Bank's (ECB) actions, including recent interest rate hikes and upward revisions to inflation forecasts, have supported the Euro, but market skepticism remains due to varying global economic conditions and the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on future rate hikes.
**Technical Analysis and Key Levels:**
The Euro is trading above its 20-year cycle support line, a critical historical level that previously led to a five-year rally after being broken in January 2003. The current price action, characterized by consistent volume buildup, suggests underlying strength. However, the momentum observed from January 2017 to late 2021 has been less stable, influenced heavily by the COVID-19 pandemic and subsequent economic measures.
For the short term, the EUR/USD is anticipated to continue facing volatility. The immediate resistance is noted around 1.1050, with support around 1.0800. A potential target by the end of 2024 is 1.169941, assuming stabilization in interest rates and continued economic recover.
### Long-Term Forecast (Next 2-5 Years)
**Macroeconomic Factors:**
Long-term prospects for the Euro will largely depend on several macroeconomic factors, including the ECB's monetary policy, inflation trends, and economic growth in the Eurozone. The structural reforms and fiscal policies adopted by member countries will also play a crucial role in shaping the currency's trajectory.
**Historical Context and Future Projections:**
Reflecting on the historical context, the Euro's previous rally post-2003 lasted five years until the 2008 financial crisis. Given the current economic landscape, a similar prolonged uptrend could emerge if global economic conditions stabilize and Eurozone economies demonstrate robust growth.
Over the next 2-5 years, the Euro might target higher levels, potentially reaching or exceeding the 1.2000 mark, driven by economic resilience and a balanced approach to monetary tightening by the ECB. However, this projection is contingent on the absence of significant geopolitical disruptions and a steady recovery from the pandemic-induced economic downturn.
### Conclusion
In summary, while the Euro shows potential for both short-term gains and long-term growth, it remains subject to market volatility and economic uncertainties. Investors should closely monitor ECB policies, global economic indicators, and geopolitical developments to make informed decisions. The anticipated stabilization of interest rates by the end of the year provides a cautiously optimistic outlook for the Euro, aiming for a target of 1.169941 by year-end and further growth in the following years.
A must-read for trading foreign exchange.EURUSD or GBPUSD
The U.S. dollar has also seen a sharp correction during this period, which I believe many traders have seen. The market has also put relatively much pressure on the US dollar. At the same time, it serves as the most valuable storage currency. There was also a sharp decline under the influence of geopolitical sentiment.
TVC:DXY
But I don't think the dollar will fall significantly in the short term. After all, the market needs to be repaired, and it will take time. It may be necessary to rely on larger news when it falls again. The U.S. dollar index is currently in the process of gradual recovery. I said at the weekend that the index is expected to maintain a range of 105-105.5 this week. At present, the market is in line with my expectations. If you are a friend who likes to do foreign exchange, you can consider selling other currencies by referring to the US dollar index. Priority is given to EURUSD and GBPUSD. The approximate operating space is around 500-1000 points. Pay attention to controlling risks during operation.
OANDA:GBPUSD OANDA:EURUSD
When the U.S. dollar index reached above 1050.5 and stood firm. You need to consider buying other currencies. These are some of my views on foreign exchange.
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💡 EURUSD: Analysis May 15Bar D1 increased yesterday with a wide range, had a lower shadow and closed close to the top, showing very good buying pressure during the day. More importantly, this D1 bar closed above the previous Inside bar pattern, creating an upside breakout that could be the price action that gives EURUSD D1 additional upward momentum. However, structurally, EURUSD D1 is still inclined to decrease with gradually lower price peaks and troughs.
The sweep down then pulled back up and bounced strongly upwards, creating a new high price peak to help EURUSD H1 continue the short-term upward price trend. Combined with the bullish breakout at D1 from the Inside bar, H1 EURUSD today is quite favorable for the idea of waiting to buy from the supports below.
💡 H1 trend: EURUSD up
Today's trading idea: Buy EURUSD.
💡 EURUSD: Analysis May 17EURUSD fell yesterday, bouncing down from the strong resistance above. However, the downward pressure on prices is not strong because yesterday's decrease bar D1 had a narrow amplitude and had a lower shadow, showing that there is still buying force pushing up. The D1 EURUSD chart structure is still accumulating sideways. Need a break above the current resistance for EURUSD D1 to reverse to an uptrend.
After the previous price push up, EURUSD H1 is having a pull back down. But with the dominant H1 chart structure being bullish, EURUSD H1 today can continue to wait to buy. Buying points include (1) waiting for an upward push to break the current small range and then retesting to buy, (2) being able to buy if the price drops deep to the lower support zone.
EURUSD Short Trade Setup A #short trade opportunity recently presented itself on the #eurodollar (#EURUSD) #trading chart 📉.
This is indicated by the #bearish harami candlestick 🕯️ pattern just below the 1.08939 horizontal resistance level.
This indicates a rejection of the same level, with potential price move in the downward 👇 ⬇️ direction (#sell).
Sufficient downward momentum should see price dumping towards the 1.06500 psychological level and possibly testing the strength of the 1.06443 horizontal support level.
As always, please apply appropriate risk management.
Happy trading!
#majorpair
EURUSD: The USD fell against the euro awaiting CPI dataThe US greenback fell to a one-month low in opposition to the euro today, as buyers predicted the discharge of a key US inflation record that might affect US coverage decisions. Federal Reserve. The euro rose barely 0.03% to 1.0823 USD at some stage in Asian buying and selling hours, at one factor attaining 1.0828 USD, a stage now no longer visible given that April 10.
The US greenback index, which compares the greenback in opposition to a basket of six important currencies with a widespread emphasis at the euro, fell 0.11% to 104.94. Earlier, it touched a low of 104.92, its lowest in per week and a half.
At the identical time, US Treasury yields fell, with the benchmark long-time period yield falling to 4.4414%, persevering with its in a single day decline of 3.five foundation points.