EUR - LONG - Swing Trading*This is a risky trade since if it breaks support it can take us to very low levels, which is why an appropriate stop loss must be used.
We are in a support between 1.042 and 1.045 that is holding up very well until now. Now that time has passed, it seems we are close to breaking 1.05 and will remain there in the following days. It is necessary to give the trade time of around 6 to 14 days to reach the targets.
Targets:
T1: 1.059 - 1.060 (protect or take partial)
T2: 1.065 (close - 6 days)
T3: 1.080 (close - 14 days)
Eurusddaily
EURUSD Long#EURUSD (1 day)
Euro/Dollar formed the "Reversal Head shoulder " pattern, we will consider Long when breaking through resistance and consolidating above it, target 1.0800! Cancel and break below 1.0400
The author's opinion may not coincide with yours! Remember this and take this into account in your trading transactions before making a trading decision.
Your reactions are your support for my work
#EU ANALYST #EU analyst
Currently, the price is still reacting at FVG monthly frame, you can wait for LTF (H4) to create MSS.i as shown in picture 2 and then find a buying point up to BSL.
* If the price sweeps liquidity or Asia.Sweep then creating Mss.i will be safer. If the price drops and does not create Mss.i, I will update again.
Goodluck🥰🥰
EUR/USD H1 03/12/2024 – Key Levels 1.04950 & 1.05250Consolidation Likely Before Breakout – Key Levels 1.04950 & 1.05250
Daily (D1) Chart
Key Observations:
Price is currently trading below the 200 SMA (long-term bearish trend).
The Ichimoku Cloud suggests bearish sentiment, with price under the cloud and the Tenkan-sen below the Kijun-sen.
RSI (39) indicates bearish momentum, but it's not yet oversold.
The MACD shows a weak bearish crossover, confirming a lack of bullish strength.
Price is consolidating between 1.04950 (support) and 1.05250 (resistance).
Conclusion: The D1 timeframe reflects a bearish bias unless there is a strong breakout above 1.05250.
4-Hour (H4) Chart
Key Observations:
Price has been rejected multiple times at the 1.05250 resistance, with the 200 EMA above current levels acting as a strong resistance zone.
Stochastic Oscillator (27) indicates oversold conditions, signaling potential short-term buying pressure.
RSI (48) is neutral, leaning toward bearish.
The MACD is flat, showing indecision.
ATR is low, suggesting limited volatility.
Conclusion: A break of 1.05250 would require strong bullish momentum, but failure to breach could push prices lower toward 1.04500.
1-Hour (H1) Chart
Key Observations:
Price is trading just under the Ichimoku Cloud, signaling short-term bearishness.
Stochastic Oscillator (55) suggests mild bullish pressure, but it's losing strength.
MACD is slightly positive but flattening, indicating indecision.
The 1.05250 level remains a key intraday resistance, while 1.04950 is the immediate support.
Conclusion: The H1 chart suggests consolidation with potential for a breakout. A move below 1.04950 could lead to a bearish continuation, while a break above 1.05250 might fuel short-term bullish momentum.
30-Minute (M30) Chart
Key Observations:
Price has bounced off the 1.04950 support, forming minor bullish candlesticks, but resistance at 1.05250 remains firm.
Stochastic is overbought (81), signaling limited upside potential in the short term.
MACD is flattening, confirming consolidation.
ATR is still low, hinting at range-bound movement.
Conclusion: The M30 chart aligns with a short-term consolidation outlook unless we see a decisive breakout.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
1.05250 (Short-term resistance).
1.05750 (Next upside target).
Support:
1.04950 (Immediate support).
1.04500 (Next downside target).
Strategy for trade entries
Buy Stop Setup (Bullish Scenario):
Entry Price: 1.05300 (above resistance).
Stop-Loss: 1.05100 (20 pips below entry).
Take-Profit: 1.05750 (45 pips above entry).
Sell Stop Setup (Bearish Scenario):
Entry Price: 1.04850 (below support).
Stop-Loss: 1.05050 (20 pips above entry).
Take-Profit: 1.04450 (40 pips below entry).
Euro plummets amid tariff threats and political turmoilEUR/USD has dropped over 0.6% to $1.04607, reflecting ongoing geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty in the Eurozone. In November, the euro experienced a 3% decline, its worst monthly performance in over a year, raising concerns about parity with the US dollar. Trump's recent threats to impose 100% tariffs on countries moving away from the US dollar have further pressured the euro. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank's dovish signals, including potential rate cuts of up to 50 basis points in December, add to the euro's challenges. On the other hand, the US dollar index has risen nearly 1% to 106.7, bolstered by strong economic indicators like the ISM Manufacturing PMI. As traders digest these developments, the EUR/USD may continue to face downward pressure. Share your insights on how these factors could shape the pair's trajectory in the coming weeks.
Time to buy EURUSDThe EUR/USD pair is approaching daily range support, suggesting the potential for a bounce. A bullish RSI divergence on the daily chart strengthens the likelihood of an upward move.
Target 1 (TP1): 1.06645
Target 2 (TP2): 1.07686
Stop Loss: 1.04000
This setup highlights a favorable opportunity for long positions.
EURUSD - Futher Downside ExpectedEURUSD is heading towards lower level to complete it's Wave 3. EMA 50 is currently holding as a resistance and unless the news comes against Dollar, we should expect the above move to complete.
For entries, please wait for at least two candle reversals on 5/15M at the specified level and apply appropriate risk management.
If you found this analysis helpful, please consider boosting and following for more updates.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
EURUSD trade setup battle:-Today Euro made 3 months low with also break previous low and holding side . There we can setup a loss free trade setup ::-
Euro have strong support levels @ 1.06000 .
So we have to build buy and sell both position at this time :-
First we have to buy and sell on same strike price with same quantity and hold for target 1.06000 $ than we exit from sell side we get our target and hold buy position for target 🎯 1.08000 level.
Stay tuned with me for more updates and follow me.
EURUSD: Will It Retrace to POI?Our philosophy focuses on simplicity and precision, avoiding cognitive overload.
On the daily chart, EURUSD is trading within Range Zone.
If another daily candle closes bullish above $1.086 (the Daily Range Bottom), it could push the price up to the Range Top at $1.1, which is our Daily Point of Interest (Daily POI).
The Mid Daily Range may act as minor resistance on this move.
If EURUSD falls below the Daily Range Bottom, it enters a bearish zone, with the next target around Key Daily Level 1↓ at $1.066.
Alternatively, a bullish breakout above the Daily Range Top could extend gains to the Minor Daily Level at $1.112.
Though, this scenario is secondary as long as EURUSD remains within the Daily Range Zone.
Strong EUR? - A EUR/USD AnalysisEUR/USD has displayed bullish characteristics over the last couple of weeks.
- We have reach a high in the market @ 1.095.
- This high was made after a bullish A,B,C,D pattern aka (Trend).
- In bullish markets, prices tend to find support at the previous high, the previous high in this market (To me) is @ 1.085.
- We currently have made a bullish pin bar rejection candle on 3/19/2024.
- Currently we have untapped orders at 1.098, this is where I believe prices want to go in the next month.
- Breaking the 1.098 level, could lead to a bigger move up toward 1.11.
** as always, trade smart, trade responsible, and manage the risk as much as the reward **
EUR/USD Selloff CaseGood morning everyone.
Going to try to keep this short and sweet.
DXY, as of about 0830EST, broke through all hourly Camarilla resistance levels. The last being 104.560. The next targets would be at 104.795, 104.833, 104.871, and 104.987.
EUR/USD has broken through first 1HR/4HR support level at 1.0782. Next two levels would be 1.0772, and 1.0762. After these levels are broken. I'll look to trade to 1.07.
Going into this selloff, we were in a bearish symmetrical triangle.
Though I do not rely heavily on indicators, MACD, RSI (both reg. and sto.) are aligning with this downward momentum.
Stop loss around previous around 1.0830 which the hour 200-EMA is peaking under.
The DXY upward pressure is also supported by the election anticipation of Donald J. Trump winning.
Rising 10-year yield is also support the greenback.
BOJ is not looking to hike rates this week.
Listened to a few earnings calls. Everyone is beating earnings so far. VIX is up. Feels like risk-on but keep in mind that the market made a major move up prior to any reports. Folks getting greedy and anxious going into election and big data week.
Let's see if JOLTS today, IJC on Thursaday, and NFP on Friday still show a strong labor market. If so, definitely can forget about a 50 bps cut. 94.8% priced in for a 25 bps cut and 5.2% with no cut.
Of course, like Socrates, I'm objective and humble to accept that it's possible for none of this to happen. If we get a break back about 1.0805, a level got from my brother @ThePipAssassin I'm tracking resistance levels at 1.0825, 1.0851, 1.0877, and 1.0919. If we get anywhere near these, believe I'll be looking for 1.10 because I did identify a FVG to the downtrend in DXY.
Of couse none of this is to be taken as trading or financial advice. I am simple giving you my own analysis. Trade at your own risk and I encourage everyone to do your own research and check my thoughts. Please give feedback. Going to start doing this a lot more. Follow, like, and share por favor. God is love!
EUR/USD FACING SELLING PRESSURE. $DXY MULTIPLE PIVOTS POINTSGood morning everyone.
Going to try to keep this short and sweet.
DXY, as of about 0830EST, broke through all hourly Camarilla resistance levels. The last being 104.560. The next targets would be at 104.795, 104.833, 104.871, and 104.987.
EUR/USD has broken through first 1HR/4HR support level at 1.0782. Next two levels would be 1.0772, and 1.0762. After these levels are broken. I'll look to trade to 1.07.
Going into this selloff, we were in a bearish symmetrical triangle.
Though I do not rely heavily on indicators, MACD, RSI (both reg. and sto.) are aligning with this downward momentum.
Stop loss around previous around 1.0830 which the hour 200-EMA is peaking under.
The DXY upward pressure is also supported by the election anticipation of Donald J. Trump winning.
Rising 10-year yield is also support the greenback.
BOJ is not looking to hike rates this week.
Listened to a few earnings calls. Everyone is beating earnings so far. VIX is up. Feels like risk-on but keep in mind that the market made a major move up prior to any reports. Folks getting greedy and anxious going into election and big data week.
Let's see if JOLTS today, IJC on Thursaday, and NFP on Friday still show a strong labor market. If so, definitely can forget about a 50 bps cut. 94.8% priced in for a 25 bps cut and 5.2% with no cut.
Of course, like Socrates, I'm objective and humble to accept that it's possible for none of this to happen. If we get a break back about 1.0805, a level got from my brother @ThePipAssassin I'm tracking resistance levels at 1.0825, 1.0851, 1.0877, and 1.0919. If we get anywhere near these, believe I'll be looking for 1.10 because I did identify a FVG to the downtrend in DXY.
Of couse none of this is to be taken as trading or financial advice. I am simple giving you my own analysis. Trade at your own risk and I encourage everyone to do your own research and check my thoughts. Please give feedback. Going to start doing this a lot more. Follow, like, and share por favor. God is love!
EURUSD Multi Timeframe Analysis 28.10.202415m Swing and Internal Bearish
Currently prizing in the slightly mitigated 4H demand zone so we might see a bullish reaction from here BUT almost everything bearish so sells are more probable. Ideally wait price to mitigate prime supply zones to look for sells
EUR JPY Trade Setup 4 Hour TimeframeOn the 4-hour timeframe, EUR JPY is pulling back for a retest of the broken resistance level, which has now turned into a new support level.
The pair continues to move in an uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows while bouncing off a support trendline.
We will be looking for buy opportunities as the price tests this key support level.
EURUSD Multi Timeframe Analysis 22.10.2024Not much has changed since yesterday so will follow the same plan
15m Swing, Internal Bearish
Corrective push to the upside but I don't think it will last. Nearest 15m supply to look for shorts marked on the chart. Looks like price creating more internal liquidity before targeting 15m Swing weak.
EUR/USD (READ DESCRIPTION)Pivot Point: 1.0845
The pivot at 1.0845 serves as a critical support level for the EUR/USD pair. If the price holds above this level, it signals the potential for further upside movement. The technical outlook suggests a bullish bias as long as this support remains intact.
Our Preference: Long Positions
Recommended Trade:
Long positions are preferred as long as the price remains above the pivot at 1.0845. This suggests that the pair could rally to test higher resistance levels.
Target Levels for Upside Movement:
First Target: 1.0880
This level acts as an intermediate resistance, where traders may consider taking profit or assess the strength of the bullish momentum.
Second Target: 1.0900
If the first resistance at 1.0880 is surpassed, the next target is 1.0900, representing a continuation of the bullish trend.
Alternative Scenario: Downside Risks
If the price drops below 1.0845:
A break below this pivot would open the door to a downside move.
Bearish Outlook:
First Target: 1.0825
Second Target: 1.0810
These levels represent potential areas of support in a bearish scenario, indicating further downward movement.
Technical Insights:
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
The RSI is mixed but holding above its neutral area, signaling a cautious bullish sentiment. If the RSI continues to rise, it could confirm increasing buying interest.
Support Zone Strength:
The 1.0845 level has provided stability, allowing the price to form a base for potential upward movement, increasing the likelihood of a bullish continuation.
Moving Averages:
If EUR/USD rises above key moving averages, such as the 20-period or 50-period, it would provide further confirmation of the bullish scenario. A crossover in these averages may signal a stronger upward trend.
Momentum Indicators:
Indicators like the MACD remain positive, supporting a continuation of the upward momentum. If a bullish crossover occurs, it will likely further solidify the upward trajectory.
EURUSD Multi Timeframe Analysis 21.10.202415m Swing, Internal,Fractal Bearish
We now have mitigated the premium of the 15m swing structure
What expected is, internal 15m bearish order flow to continue and internal unmitigated supply to hold. Or Asia high get swept and bearish momentum kick in. But we are now in Daily internal unmitigated demand zone and bullish reaction is very likely.
On my analysis from Friday, I said Friday's Daily candle could close as inside bar and that happened. What I now expect is, price to mitigate upper 4H Supply and also 15m Supply nested in 4H Supply, give us another 4H fractal fake bullish break, sweep the low, use as fuel for bullish leg. But as we trade the fact and not the expectations, that is my long plans once HTF switched to Bullish, and I will look for quick shorts once 4H supply mitigated or follow the 15m bearish of once i am convinced.
EURUSD Multi Timeframe Analysis 18.10.202415m Swing, Internal and Fractal Bearish and we are now testing fractal supply. We might get a bearish momentum to kick in from here or price could target deeper levels to mitigate premium supply zone
For shorts it makes sense to follow Bearish order flow.
For longs ideal to wait 4H Internal ( or 15m Swing ) to shift bullish
I have already mentioned couple of times that we could get fake breaks as we are in unmitigated daily demand range now and we already had fake bullish 4H ChoCHs. This could be to target unmitigated supply zones. Wait for strong bullish momentum to play longs.