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EUR TRY

EURTRY - Bearish Swing Due? - What goes up must come down?EURTRY has been clearing up-trending for over a decade. The upside momentum has been significantly stronger in recent years, as seen by the more aggressive trend support lines. How long will the upside continue? Is price finally reaching a high? The main reason for me wanting to open a long-term short on EURTRY is the positive swap rate. I personally believe that these is no other currency pair (offered by retail Forex brokers) that has such an opportunity - an extremely high short swap rate with possible strong downside. A few things to consider... Price is looking over-extended . Recent bullish moves have been euphoric. The swing in January 2017 was almost vertical. From past experience, this generally means that a correction is due, and usually a major correction. Bearish pin bars and inside-bars. The current bullish swing is struggling to form a higher high. 31/07 saw a clear bearish pin bar close. This has been followed by an inside-bar with a bearish break-out. If price continues to remain quiet this week, this weeks candle may close another inside-bar. Possible signal of a shift in momentum? There is a lot of support. If price does start heading South, it may find a lot of support (unless EURTRY plummets). Dynamic support, trend support and horizontal levels have been identified on the chart. The only positive from all this support is that if the EURTRY closes below these support areas, they may then act as resistance, possibly helping price to move lower. Brexit. Yes, that word that frustrates the British (and perhaps the Europeans?). Who knows what this will bring to the EUR and GBP in coming months. A weakening Euro is a possibility but your guess is as good as mine. If the position is stopped-out, I will look for the next opportunity to short the pair. I believe this pair offers potential trades that should not be missed.
Short
by love-the-pips_SamMorton
RSI Quick Scan - Forex (aka Fiat)Here is my quick scan of the market. Of course please don't just buy in Long/Short just because strength shows overbought/oversold. There is always more room to 0 or 100. 1Day: AUDCHF - 26 RSI USDCHF - 29 RSI USDSGD - 28 RSI USDDKK - 26RSI Honorable mentions: USDPLN - 30 RSI Rising ATR NZDCHF - 30 RSI USDNOK - 31 RSI High ATR EURNZD - 75 RSI EURSEK - 72 RSI EURTRY - 67 RSI (Bull Div) A little extra work defining key candle swings/fib support levels with price alerts tends to pan out on at least one. I tend to look for: key candle momentum swings day close fractals dbl bottom/top
by j_nathan
Back To SupportI'm back with the EURTRY to do a add-to-position. If you have followed me on the EURTRY, it's an idea to consider an increase of position. Just a moment ago, disappointing quarterly jobless average (dec) figures came out of Turkey. With the EU going somewhat stronger, I trust this one over the next week to continue upwards. Be aware that EU is in a strange place after several EU countries is banning Turkey. Also with Holland having election today, and soon France and eventually Germany. In that light, I have a fairly large SL on EURTRY. Don't necessarily do the same, unless you are comfortable with it.
Long
by chastic