EURGBP H4 | Overhead resistanceEUR/GBP is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.85450 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 0.85800 which is a level that sits above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 0.85049 which is a swing-low support.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Euro
EUR/USD:A Resilient Recovery Amidst Economic Data and Market...EUR/USD:A Resilient Recovery Amidst Economic Data and Market Sentiment Shifts
The EUR/USD pair demonstrated a commendable recovery, reclaiming lost ground on Monday as an improved market sentiment put pressure on the US Dollar. This resurgence was marked by a significant rejection at the 1.08000 level, coinciding with the 78.6% and 88.60% Fibonacci levels, signaling a potential shift in the prevailing bearish trend. The Stochastic RSI on the H4 timeframe contributed to this optimistic outlook by displaying a divergence.
Despite mixed European data, with Germany reporting a contraction in Q4 GDP, the overall Eurozone GDP surprised on the upside, posting a 0.1% increase from the previous year. Additionally, the Economic Sentiment Indicator for January met expectations at 96.2, while Consumer Confidence contracted to -16.1 during the same month.
Attention in the market is now turning towards key US data releases, with January's Consumer Confidence and JOLTS Job Openings report taking center stage. These figures are particularly relevant in the lead-up to the highly anticipated Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report scheduled for the following Friday. Concurrently, market participants eagerly await the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision slated for Wednesday.
As the EUR/USD pair appears to find a new bullish impulse within the confines of a bearish channel, traders are anticipating an increase in value. The short-term target for this potential bullish movement is set at 1.1000 in the coming days, pending the outcome of critical economic data releases and the Fed's policy decision.
Our Idea:
Long positions above 1.06700 with entry at 1.08000 and targets at 1.1000 & 1.1150 in extension.
EUR/USD Faces Pressure Amidst ECB Remarks and FOMC AnticipationEUR/USD Faces Pressure Amidst ECB Remarks and FOMC Anticipation
EUR/USD experienced a decline on the last Monday of the month, closing near the psychological level of 1.08000. The downward pressure was influenced by remarks from the European Central Bank (ECB) and the looming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The breach of the dynamic trendline and a dip below the 61.8% Fibonacci level placed the price just beneath the 78.6%, within the range and approaching the 88.6%.
Technical Indicators:
Stochastic indicators signal oversold conditions, accompanied by a slight divergence. The potential policy shift hinted by the ECB has prompted a decline in the Euro, with market focus now shifting to the upcoming Fed decision. The recent strong economic growth and inflation in the US present a challenging decision for Powell and the Federal Reserve.
Market Dynamics:
Buyers are striving to maintain the exchange rate above the 1.0800 level in anticipation of Wednesday's FOMC decision. Despite a drop in US Treasury yields, USD bulls are not finding the push they need, resulting in the EUR/USD trading at 1.0809, down 0.39%.
Outlook:
The focus remains on buying opportunities for EUR/USD at a discounted exchange rate, anticipating a potential increase in value. Traders are advised to stay vigilant for market developments and the outcome of the FOMC decision, as it could significantly impact the direction of the currency pair.
Our preference
Long positions above 1.06700 with entry at 1.08000 and targets at 1.1000 & 1.1150 in extension.
Posible change off trend. Will we see a bearish movement?Eur/usd has been folowing a bullish trend channel. Last week it managed to break the channel and retested the channel multiple times. Priceaction confirmes a bearish flag pattern. Wich gives us more reasson a posible fall will come.
level 1.0828 is currently support for eur/usd. We can either see a direct fall from 1.0883 or a small bullish pullback to 1.09237 and from here a fall.
Posible bearish targets: 1.07904, 1,0753
Resistance: 1.0889, 1.0928, 1.09629
Support: 1.0827, 1.0789, 1.0757
HelenP. I Euro will make impulse up from support area to $1.0885Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Some time ago price started to trades in consolidation, where EUR declined firstly to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone with the bottom part. Then the price bounced from this level and rose to the trend line, which coincided with the top part of the consolidation and then started to fall. In a short time, the Euro declined to the support level, thereby exiting from consolidation and breaking the 1.0930 resistance level and later starting to trades near the 1.0850 level. After this, the price bounced from this level and rose to the resistance zone, but reaching this area, EUR at once turned around and made impulse down to the support zone, even lower. Later price made impulse up and rose to a resistance level, after which it in a short time fell back. But recently EUR rose to the trend line and at the moment it trades near the trend line. For my mind, Euro will decline to the support zone and then it make an impulse up to the 1.0885 level, thereby breaking the trend line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Rate-cut discussions are prematureThe ECB left its monetary policy unchanged, in line with expectations. The information available since the December meeting has largely confirmed the central bank’s assessment of the medium-term inflation outlook, leaving the Governing Council (GC) in a wait-and-see mode. ECB President Lagarde confirmed her Davos comments, hence indicating that she still expects the first rate cut to come in summer, but the market is not convinced, and dovish remarks here and there actually fueled meaningful rate-cut expectations already for the April meeting. While the
ECB’s GDP and CPI forecasts will likely be revised down in March, the GC seems absolutely determined to play it safe on inflation, and this will continue as long as the labor market holds up. I still expect the first rate cut in June, followed by a gradual reduction at a pace of 25bp per quarter towards a broadly neutral level of 2%.
Despite ongoing weakness in indicators of economic activity, the GC appears relatively relaxed about the growth outlook, largely thanks to ongoing resilience in the labor market. The statement mentions signs of recovery in some leading indicators, despite most of them still pointing to broad stagnation in GDP.
Did Ms. Lagarde want to signal that the GC is warming up to the idea of an “early” start to the easing cycle? Probably not. Her rhetoric was mainly aimed at strengthening the message that the ECB is data-dependent, as opposed to calendar-driven.
Euro can exit from wedge, make retest and continue to riseHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some days ago rebounded from the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and declined until to 1.0725 points, thereby breaking the support level. But soon, the price turned around and made a strong upward impulse to the seller zone, breaking the 1.0820 support level one more time. After this, the Euro started to trades in a downward wedge, where later it made a correction from the seller zone to the support line. Then price bounced from this line and made an upward impulse to the resistance line of the wedge, breaking the 1.0980 resistance level, but in a short time, EUR bounced from this line and started to decline. Euro fell lower than the 1.0980 resistance level, breaking it again, and then some time traded near this level, after which the price declined lower. Price fell to the support line of the wedge, which coincided with the support level with the buyer zone, and then rebounded up to the resistance line. Now Euro trades near this line and in my mind, the Euro can decline a little more and then bounce up to the resistance line. Next, EUR will break this line, exiting from the wedge, make retest, and then it can continue to move up. So, that's why I set take profit at the 1.0930 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
🚀EURUSD is Ready to GO UP🚀🏃 EURUSD is moving near the 🟢 Support zone($1.0800-$1.0756) 🟢.
🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , EURUSD seems to have completed its five downtrends .
💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between two Consecutive Valleys .
🔔I expect EURUSD to rise at least to the end of wave 4 at the 🔴 Resistance zone($1.0916-$1.0880) 🔴 in the coming hours or the coming week .
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Title: "EUR/USD Potential Buy Opportunity: Navigating Friday AftIn the aftermath of Thursday's significant market downturn, the EUR/USD pair is presenting a potential buying opportunity within the range of 1.08200 to 1.08300. As traders assess the recent market dynamics, Friday's trading session holds a unique position for those seeking strategic entry points.
Thursday's sharp decline may have been influenced by a variety of factors, such as economic data releases, geopolitical events, or broader market sentiment. The EUR/USD pair, reflecting the dynamics between the Eurozone and the United States, experienced notable fluctuations during this period.
The identified buy zone of 1.08200 to 1.08300 signifies a range where the currency pair has historically exhibited support, offering a compelling entry level for traders looking to capitalize on potential market reversals. Analyzing technical indicators, such as moving averages, support and resistance levels, and trend patterns, can provide additional insights into the strength of this buying zone.
It's crucial for traders to consider the implications of Friday's trading, especially given the typical volatility associated with the last day of the trading week. Friday often introduces unique challenges and opportunities as market participants adjust their positions before the weekend. Therefore, a comprehensive analysis of market conditions, economic news, and any potential catalysts is essential to making informed decisions.
Risk management remains a paramount consideration. Traders should set clear stop-loss levels and be prepared to reassess their positions based on real-time market developments. Additionally, monitoring global economic events and news releases during Friday's session is advised, as unexpected developments can impact currency movements.
In conclusion, the highlighted buy zone in the EUR/USD pair presents an intriguing opportunity for traders amid the aftermath of Thursday's market decline. Vigilance, thorough analysis, and a proactive approach to risk management will be instrumental in navigating the potential upsides and downsides during Friday's trading session.
EURO - Price can correct to support level and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A not long time ago price traded between $1.0950 resistance level, which coincided with resistance area.
After this, Euro little rise, after which it started to decline in falling channel, where soon price broke $1.0950 level.
Then price declined to support level, which coincided with support area, and started to trades near this level in channel.
Later Euro even declined below $1.0850 level to support line of channel, but soon turned around and rose to resistance line.
Price fell below $1.0850 again, but recently it rose back, and at the moment EUR trades near this level.
In my mind, Euro can make correction to this level and then bounce up to $1.0910 resistance line of channel.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
EURUSD Analysis(➡️RR=2.00)🏃 EURUSD is moving in the 🔴 Resistance zone($1.0910-$1.0880) 🔴 and near the Downtrend line .
🌊According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed wave 4 at the 🔴 Resistance zone($1.0910-$1.0880) 🔴.
🔔I expect EURUSD to continue to Decline at least to the 🟢 Support zone($1.0800-$1.0756) 🟢.
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EURUSD
🔴Position: Short
✅Entry Point: 1.08877 USD (Stop Limit Order)
⛔️Stop Loss: 1.09380 USD
💰Take Profit:
🎯 1.08372 USD RR==1.00
🎯 1.07869 USD
Risk-To-Reward: 2.00
Please don't forget to follow capital management ⚠️
Please pay attention to the style of opening the position.⚠️
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Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 4-hour Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
EURUSD: Bullish Gartley at an 800-EMA Trading in a Falling WedgeEURUSD is trading within a Falling Wedge with MACD Bullish Divergence at the 800-period EMA. All of this aligns with the PCZ of a Bullish Deep Gartley that has developed on the 1-Hour timeframe. If this support zone holds I think EURUSD will attempt a Bullish breakout that will target the 50-61.8% retraces above which may align with short term upside I'm expecting in the TLT.
EURAUD H4 | Potential bullish bounce off pullback supportEUR/AUD could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce higher towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 1.64916
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Stop Loss: 1.64530
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lies under the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 1.66170
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Europe Keeps Working, Particularly Ex the Euro. Charting HEDJ.Foreign markets have made some headlines in recent months. The German Dax and French CAC 40 hit record levels toward the end of 2023. Those indexes are generally priced in local currency, and a rising dollar in 2023 led to relative underperformance among US-traded ETFs. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has consolidated around the key 104 level lately. Amid this FX volatility, non-US funds that hedge currency risk have their merit.
Research shows that hedging the dollar can work since US investors in international equities are susceptible to what is called “wrong-way” risk. That is, when stocks plunge, the move lower usually coincides with a surging dollar, compounding losses in foreign stock holdings. The WisdomTree Europe Hedged Equity Fund ETF (HEDJ) addresses this reality by focusing on holding shares in companies with significant exports while engaging in currency hedging to remove the risk of a declining euro.
What I like about HEDJ’s chart today is that it has climbed to new cycle highs as of last month, whereas traditional Europe index ETFs remain well under their mid-2021 highs. HEDJ has historically performed well during the first quarter, with shares rising 71% of the time in February and 79% in all March instances, according to data from Equity Clock. But what about the price action on the chart? I see positive signs there, too.
My featured chart illustrates that HEDJ continues to trend higher. Price is above both its rising 50-day and 200-day moving averages, and just recently held the key $41 to $42 zone. In terms of where the ETF may go from here, we can project a price target using the $31 low from October 2022 and the range highs between $41 and $42. That $10 to $11 height, added on top of the $42 breakout point, leads to a measure move price objective into the low $50s.
EURUSD: Detailed Structure Analysis 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis for EURUSD.
Resistance 1: 1.0898 - 1.0922 area
Resistance 2: 1.0973 - 1.1000 area
Resistance 3: 1.1106 - 1.1140 area
Support 1: 1.0793 - 1.0848 area
Support 2: 1.0724 - 1.0760 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
HelenP. I Euro will small correct, after which continue to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. A not long time ago price reached the 1.0825 support level, which coincided with the support zone and soon broke it. After this movement, the Euro made a strong impulse up to the 1.1000 resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, but at once rebounded and made correction. Then the price continued to move up and rose to the 1.1000 level again, but this time the Euro broke it and rose to the trend line. Next, the price rebounded from the trend line and made an impulse down, breaking the resistance level one more time, after which EUR rose to this level and then continued to decline near the trend line. As well, the price formed a wedge pattern, where the price fell to the support level, after which it rebounded and made an impulse up, exiting from this pattern and breaking the trend line. At the moment, the price continues to move up and I expect that the Euro will make a small correction, after which the price will turn around and continue to grow to the 1.10000 resistance level, which is my target. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EURJPY H4 | Approaching pullback supportEUR/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce higher towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 160.176
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 158.608
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 162.091
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURGBP H4 | Potential bullish breakoutEUR/GBP is trading close to a pullback support and could potentially break above a descending trendline to make a bullish rise to the upside.
Buy entry is at 0.85700 which is a potential bullish breakout level (wait for price to break through the descending trendline for confirmation).
Stop loss is at 0.85350 which is a level that sits under a pullback support.
Take profit is at 0.86150 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.