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EURO - Price can continue decline to $1.0630 in falling channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some days ago price entered to wedge, where it at once broke $1.0850 level and fell to support line of wedge. Then price in a short time rose to resistance line, breaking $1.0850 level again, but soon it made downward impulse. Price exited from wedge, broke $1.0850 level again, and fell to $1.0735 level, which coincided with resistance area. After this, Euro bounced up to $1.0850 level, after which started to decline inside falling channel. In channel, price fell lower $1.0735 level, thereby breaking it, and now EUR trades close to support line. Possibly, price can rise to resistance area, after which Euro turn around and continue to fall to $1.0630 in channel. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
1
EUR/USD Follows Bullish Path Post-CPI; Buy Limit Strategy FocusEUR/USD experienced a significant upward movement on Wednesday, driven by an overall increase in market risk appetite following the release of a cooler-than-expected US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report. This positive sentiment was initially bolstered as the lower inflation figures suggested a potential easing of pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates aggressively. However, the enthusiasm was tempered later in the day due to the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance reflected in its latest update to the dot plot of interest rate expectations. This update indicated a possibility of more rate hikes in the future than previously anticipated, which crimped market sentiment. From a technical standpoint, the price action adhered closely to our earlier analysis. The EUR/USD pair achieved all the take-profit targets we had established beforehand. Post-FOMC meeting, the price action retraced the gains from the CPI-induced bullish impulse, creating a gap in the market. This gap, left by the rapid price movement following the CPI release, typically attracts market participants looking to "fill" it, as prices often return to these levels to establish more balanced trading conditions. Given the current scenario, we are contemplating a strategic approach involving a potential buy limit order. This approach is based on the expectation that the price will return to cover the unfilled gap left by the CPI announcement. The buy limit order would allow us to enter the market at a more advantageous price point, capitalizing on the anticipated retracement. Additionally, the broader economic context and market sentiment will be closely monitored to adjust our strategy as needed, ensuring that our trading decisions are well-informed and responsive to ongoing developments. In conclusion, while the EUR/USD pair has shown resilience and upward momentum, the mixed signals from recent economic data and Fed communications warrant a cautious yet opportunistic approach. By setting a buy limit order, we aim to leverage the expected price correction, positioning ourselves to benefit from subsequent bullish movements.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
EUR/AUD H4 | Overlap resistance at 38.2% Fibonacci retracementEUR/AUD has reacted off an overlap resistance and the bearish momentum could potentially cause it to drop lower. Sell entry is at 1.6274 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 1.6346 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 1.6176 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
EUR/USD Awaits Volatility Ahead of Key US Data and FOMC DecisionThe EUR/USD pair is currently oscillating within a narrow range of 1.0750 - 1.0722 during the Asian session on Wednesday, consolidating the losses accumulated over the past three days. This period of consolidation comes as traders adopt a cautious approach, awaiting significant economic events before committing to new directional bets. Market Sentiment and Upcoming Economic Data The subdued trading activity can be attributed to the anticipation surrounding the release of the US consumer inflation figures and the crucial Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision. Both events are expected to have a substantial impact on market volatility and could provide fresh momentum for the EUR/USD pair. US Consumer Inflation Figures The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, particularly the Core CPI m/m, is a key indicator of inflation and is closely watched by market participants. The data release is expected to shed light on the current inflationary pressures within the US economy and influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance. Strong inflation data could bolster expectations of a hawkish Fed, potentially supporting the US Dollar and putting further pressure on the EUR/USD pair. FOMC Decision In addition to the inflation data, the FOMC decision is another critical event on the horizon. The Federal Reserve's policy statement and subsequent press conference will provide insights into the central bank's economic outlook and future policy actions. Traders will be particularly interested in any indications regarding the timing of interest rate hikes or tapering of asset purchases. A more hawkish stance could lead to increased demand for the US Dollar, impacting the EUR/USD pair. Technical Perspective From a technical standpoint, the EUR/USD pair is currently in a phase of consolidation. The price is hovering around the support level at 1.0722 and resistance at 1.0750. The market is awaiting the release of the Core CPI m/m and the FOMC decision to trigger the necessary volatility for a significant price movement. Given the current technical indicators and market sentiment, we are looking for a potential long impulse once the data is released. In conclusion the EUR/USD pair remains in a tight range as traders await key economic data and the FOMC decision. The outcome of these events will likely determine the next directional move for the pair. From a technical perspective, we anticipate a bullish impulse following the release of the US inflation figures and the FOMC announcement, provided the data supports such a move. Traders should prepare for heightened volatility and be ready to adjust their positions accordingly.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
EUR/USD Faces Pressure Amid Strong USD and Risk-AversionThe EUR/USD pair started the new week with a bearish gap, falling to its weakest level in a month below 1.0750. Despite technical indicators on the H4 timeframe suggesting oversold conditions, the Euro might struggle to stage a significant rebound given the current risk-averse market environment. Market Overview The US Dollar (USD) has gained strength following a robust jobs report last Friday, which forced EUR/USD to erase its weekly gains. Nonfarm Payrolls in the US rose by 272,000 in May, significantly surpassing the market expectation of 185,000 and April's increase of 165,000. This better-than-expected job growth has bolstered the USD, adding downward pressure on the EUR/USD pair. Technical Analysis 1. Oversold Conditions: The RSI indicator on the H4 timeframe points to oversold conditions, suggesting that the Euro might be due for a rebound. However, the current market sentiment is not supportive of a strong recovery. 2. Price Gap: The EUR/USD left a price gap between the 1.0780 and 1.0800 area. Market participants typically fill these gaps, indicating a potential upward movement to this range in the near term. 3. Fibonacci and RSI Divergence: The current price level is within a potential reversal zone based on Fibonacci retracement levels. Additionally, the RSI shows a divergence, which could signal a forthcoming bullish correction. Short-Term Outlook Despite the bearish sentiment, our outlook for EUR/USD is cautiously optimistic in the short term due to the technical indicators. With no significant economic news expected until Wednesday, the pair may experience low volatility, allowing for potential consolidation or a mild recovery. The key area to watch is the price gap at 1.0780-1.0800, which might be filled soon. Trading Strategy Given the current setup, a long position could be considered around the current levels. The oversold RSI and the price gap provide a basis for expecting a short-term reversal. Traders should monitor the 1.0780-1.0800 area closely, as filling this gap could offer a decent opportunity for gains. However, it's crucial to remain cautious and use appropriate risk management strategies, as the overall market sentiment remains risk-averse, and the strong USD could continue to exert pressure on the Euro.
Long
by FOREXN1
5
HelenP. I Euro will reach trend line and then rebound downHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. A few moments ago price reached the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, and even entered to this area, after which rebounded and made a strong impulse down to the trend line, breaking 1.0860 and 1.0730 levels. After this, EUR started to grow and in a short time rose to the support level, which coincided with the support zone, after which corrected the trend line and then rebounded up higher than the 1.0730 level, breaking it one more time. Then price made a retest and continued to move up to the resistance zone, and when the EUR reached this area, it some time traded near and later turned around and made an impulse down to the trend line. As well price formed a gap, after which broke the trend line and fell to the support level, but recently it turned around and started to move up. For this case, I expect that EURUSD will reach the trend line and then rebound down to the support level. After this, the price can break this level and continue to decline, therefore I set my goal at 1.0685 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Short
by FirstNameHelen
2
EUR/USD Short Opportunity: Riding Downside MomentumThe EUR/USD pair is poised for a potential downside move as key technical and fundamental factors align. Here's my analysis: Target Projection: With a clear break of 1.06, the EUR/USD could aim to take out the previous year's low, currently at 1.0450, and head straight for the level of 1.0377. This breakdown suggests that sellers are gaining control and may drive the pair lower. This downside target aligns with the bearish momentum and could be achieved by the end of May or leading into June. Due to possible Eurozone interest rate cuts. Short Positions: I've initiated short positions at 1.0802 and 1.0720 , anticipating the downward move. These positions provide an opportunity to capitalize on the expected decline in the EUR/USD pair. Rising US Bond Yields: The forecasted rapid increase in US bond yields adds further pressure on the EUR/USD pair. Higher yields attract capital flows into the US dollar, strengthening it against other currencies, including the euro. Potential Interest Rate Hikes: Concerns over rising inflation data could prompt the Federal Reserve to consider interest rate hikes later in the year. Such actions would likely support the US dollar and weigh on the EUR/USD exchange rate. Entry: Consider adding to short positions on any retracements towards resistance levels, but maintain a focus on the downside bias. Stop Loss: Set a stop loss above the recent swing high, 1.0813, or a key resistance level to manage risk effectively. Take Profit: Target the projected downside level of 1.0377, but consider adjusting the target based on evolving market conditions and price action.
Short
by mackmackeyy
Euro can rebound up from buyer zone to 1.0800 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some time ago started to grow inside the upward channel, where it first declined to the support line and then rebounded higher than the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, breaking it. Then the Euro reached the resistance line of the channel, after which made a correction movement to the support level and then continued to grow inside the channel. Later price reached a resistance level, which coincided with the resistance line of the channel with the seller zone, but at once turned around and fell to the support line of the upward channel. Soon, the Euro exited from the upward channel and fell to 1.0785 points, after which started to grow near the support line to the 1.0890 resistance level and even entered to seller zone. But later price turned around and made a strong impulse down to the 1.0725 support level, breaking the support line and also making recently gap. Now, the EUR trades near the support level, and I think that price can fall to the buyer zone, after which rebound up from this area. For this case, I set my target at 1.0800 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
4
EURUSD The new Bearish Leg has started.On our last analysis EURUSD analysis (June 04, see chart below) we mentioned that it was a do-or-die moment for a rejection as it had marginally broken above the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 5-month Channel Down: As you can see the price did close all subsequent candles below the top and inside the pattern, hence confirming the rejection bias and that the downtrend was still intact. The last two strong bearish days, suggest that the new Bearish Leg has started, especially since yesterday's 1D candle closed below the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) for the first time in a month (since May 10). Our Target remains 1.06040 (Support 1), which is still a 'good case scenario' for the bearish event as it is above the % drop of the weakest Bearish Leg, the one right before the current (at -3.45%). Ideally, we expect to see the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) being the Resistance throughout the whole Leg. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
2
Euro Slumps on Populist Surge: A Trader's Guide to Uncertainty The European political landscape has just thrown a curveball at the financial markets. A recent poll indicating a rise in populist and eurosceptic parties has sent shockwaves through the system, triggering a significant drop in the euro. This newfound uncertainty presents both risks and opportunities for traders, demanding a strategic shift in approach. The poll results paint a picture of a fractured Europe, with anxieties swirling about the future unity and stability of the European Union. Investors, understandably jittery, have reacted swiftly by pulling back on euro-denominated assets. This has resulted in a sharp decline in the euro's value against other major currencies. The coming days and weeks are likely to be marked by continued volatility in the eurozone, creating a complex environment for traders to navigate. Adaptability is paramount in this climate. With the potential for further political escalation, the euro's depreciation could accelerate. In such a scenario, shorting the euro – essentially betting on its decline – could be a viable strategy. However, this is a tactic that requires meticulous planning and precise timing. Traders must carefully weigh the risks involved against the profit potential. To make informed decisions, staying abreast of developments is crucial. Closely monitoring the political climate and key economic indicators that could influence the euro is essential. Real-time news updates, expert analysis, and access to reliable data sources are your weapons of choice in these turbulent waters. Additionally, implementing robust risk management techniques will be your safety net, protecting your investments from unforeseen market swings. The current situation presents a unique opportunity for astute traders. By evaluating existing positions, considering the potential benefits of shorting the euro, and formulating a well-defined strategy, you can transform these challenges into opportunities. While the path ahead may be unclear, adopting the right approach can empower you to thrive in this volatile market. By following these steps and leveraging our resources, you can transform uncertainty into an advantage and emerge from this market turbulence a winner.
Short
by bryandowningqln
EURO - Price can make small move up and then continue fallHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some days ago price entered to rising channel, where firstly it broke support level, which coincided with support area. Then, in a short time, price rose higher than $1.0670 level, breaking it again and then made correction. After this, EUR continued to move up in channel and reached $1.0790 level, which soon broke too and exited from channel. Next, price started to trades in flat, where it reached two times top part and the last time in made downward impulse. Price exited from flat and broke $1.0790 level, but recently it turned around and start to move up. Possibly, Euro can rise to almost resistance level and then continue to decline to $1.0670 support level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
5
EURUSD - 1H SellThe EURUSD chart indicates a potential bearish movement. The recent price action suggests that the pair is experiencing a weakening of the bullish momentum. After reaching a recent peak, the price is showing signs of a downward trend, indicating a possible decline towards the highlighted support zone around 1.08400. The price action around this level is crucial; if the support zone fails to hold, we could see a continuation of the downtrend. This setup aligns with the current market sentiment, pointing towards further selling pressure. Traders should watch for confirmations around the support zone to determine the next move.
Short
by Sober_Trading
European instability causing weakness in the euroAfter the EU Parliamentary elections, there is a rise of nationalism and protectionism among some individual EU states. The euro is feeling the heat, as EU stability is under threat. EASYMARKETS:EURGBP #EURGBP Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
by easyMarkets
EURCAD potential 400PIPS!! SELL opportunityEUR/CAD is setting up for a lucrative short trade as it retraces to test the descending trend line resistance around the 1.4950 region. This technical pattern suggests a high-probability reversal, where traders can look for bearish entries. Target the first take-profit (TP1) at the immediate support level of 1.4700, and if the bearish momentum continues, aim for TP2 at the significant support zone around 1.4450. This confluence of trend line resistance and key support levels creates a compelling sell setup, perfect for traders looking to capitalize on EUR/CAD's anticipated downtrend. Enter short near 1.4950 with a stop loss above the trend line, maximizing profit potential as the price targets lower support zones!
Short
by akumjoel
EURUSD is Ready to Fall===>>RR=2.20EURUSD is moving in the Resistance zone($1.092-$1.087) . According to the theory of Elliott waves , EURUSD seems to have succeeded in completing the main wave 5 with the Expanding Ending Diagonal . I expect EURUSD to at least fall to the Support zone($1.0806-$1.0781) . Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
11
HelenP. I Euro can turn around and then rebound upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. A not long time ago price started to trades inside consolidation, where it at once declined to almost support level, which coincided with the bottom part of the range and then turned around and started to grow. In a short time EUR reached a resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, but at once rebounded and fell until to trend line, after which backed up to the range, making a fake breakout of 1.0800 level. Then price started to grow and in a short time rose to the resistance level, and broke it, thereby exiting from consolidation and continuing to move up. But later price turned around and fell lower than the 1.0880 level, breaking it again and then some time trading near the resistance level. One time, it fell to the trend line, after which rebounded up higher resistance level, but a few moments ago made a strong impulse down, breaking the 1.0880 level and also the trend line. Now, the price tried to break the support level, so, for my mind, EURUSD will make a small movement down and then rebound up, making a fake breakout of a support level. After this, the price can continue to grow, so, for this case, I set my goal at 1.0840 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Long
by FirstNameHelen
Euro can rebound from support level and start to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see that the price a not long time ago started to decline inside the downward channel, where it rebounded from the support line and rose to the resistance line, after which continued to decline near this line. In a short time, EUR fell to a support level and even made a fake breakout of it, after which turned around and made a strong upward impulse, exiting from the downward channel. Then price almost reached the resistance level, turned around, and fell lower 1.0810 level, breaking it. But then, EURUSD turned around and started to grow inside an upward pennant, where it broke the support level again and later the resistance level too, reaching the resistance line of the pennant. After this, the price bounced down, breaking the 1.0890 level, which coincided with the seller zone again. But then, the price tried to back up and even made a fake breakout of this level, after which made impulse down, exiting from the pennant. Now, I think that the Euro can decline to a support level and then start to grow, therefore I set my target at 1.0870 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
1