EURGBP Aug W.2: Long-term trend alert!Hi friends, I hope y'all having a profitable week ;)
Today, we're looking at a possible long-term trend that has a potential to reward us with +8%. These trade signals are derived from both the monthly and weekly. The monthly price is currently running in the bearish half a bats L1 that has last months price closed with a bearish reversal candle pattern that was followed by the current candle that is retesting the 3rd weekly key level and bearish crossed short-term m.a's to fully confirm the patterns 2 level trend. The weekly, on the other hand, has formed a bearish H&S pattern (that confirms the monthly's previous bearish reversal candle close) that has its price running in its accumulation phase above the neckline after it bounced off the 50 and bearish crossed short-term m.a's, signaling an upcoming 3 level trend. So, the monthly and weekly confirm each other for the drop, however, things can go south, meaning, the drop might not occur. With that said, let us see how the price will prove us right and wrong.
Bulls: -If the price bearish bounces off the Weekly H&S Neckline with a bullish reversal candle pattern that leads it to bullish rally to break and retest the 3rd Weekly Key Lvl/Weekly Neckline 3 together with the 50 and bullish crossed short-term m.a's, the price would've formed a bullish reversal pattern (probably a double bottom) that will dis-confirm our trades (proving use wrong).
Bears: -If the price bearish breaks and retest the Weekly H&S Neckline (1st trade signal) then continues to drop to break and retest the 4th Weekly Key Lvl (2nd trade signal), that will trigger what I call an "H&S A-E.3 signal" that fully confirms our trades anticipated 3 level trend (proving us right).
That's it for today. I hope you found value in this trade idea. If you have a different concept in mind, feel free to share it in the comments section, I'd love to know your thoughts!
Stay Blessed,
Spha Thwala.
Eurgbpsignal
EURGBP top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
DeGRAM | EURGBP retracementEURGBP is in a bearish trend.
Price action is decelerating while approaching a resistance level, indicating bearish pressure.
We expect the price to retest the support levels.
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DeGRAM | EURGBP consolidatingEURGBP is trading sideways near a major support level.
On the higher timeframe, we can see some divergence.
The price action is not making new lows, which indicates the price is coiling up.
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EURGBP is in sell zone!!EURGBP moving is in long term downtrend. After a monthly close as a bearish engulfing, EURGBP has resumed its downtrend. As per 4H price action, EURGBP has formed another bearish price action for a possible drop with daily bearish engulfer.
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EURGBP Probability short for 0.831014th & 15th June daily bar formed two bar reversal indication for weakness ahead. 21st July formed key reversal bar made a new high closed towards the low. 16th July down bar like a coiled bar added clue for short. may sell it cmp 0.8412 with stop loss 0.8430 just risk of 18 pips. if stop loss hit then put sell limit as 0.8480 that is supply area with stop loss of 0.8505 for target 0.8310.
EURGBP - FUNDAMENTAL AND TECHNICAL VIEW#EURGBP
- Currently the MARKET SENTIMENT for EURGBP is on the UP SIDE. The main reason for that is the POSITIVE RISK SENTIMENT for EUR. The reason for NEGATIVE SENTIMENT in EUR is USD SELL. All MARKETS including STOCKS are UP due to MARKET RISK being ON. It affects the EUR in a big way.
- EURGBP can definitely go up to the SUPPORT LEVEL below. The reason for that is that there is a good DOWN SIDE BIAS in the MARKET for USD, so there is a POSITIVE SENTIMENT for EUR at the moment. Accordingly, EURGBP may be slightly down until the 0.8443 level. And after that EURGBP can go up to 0.8711 LEVEL.
EURGBP - FUNDAMENTAL AND TECHNICAL VIEW#EURGBP
- Currently the MARKET SENTIMENT for EURGBP is on the DOWN SIDE. The main reason for that is the NEGATIVE RISK SENTIMENT for EUR. The reason for NEGATIVE SENTIMENT in EUR is USD DEMAND. Due to MARKET RISK OFF, all MARKETS including STOCKS are DOWN. It affects the EUR in a big way.
- Definitely, EURGBP can fall to the SUPPORT LEVEL below. The reason for that is that there is a good UP SIDE BIAS in the MARKET for USD, so EUR has NEGATIVE SENTIMENT at the moment. Accordingly, EURGBP can go down to 0.8352 LEVEL. And after that EURGBP can be BUY to the 0.8711 LEVEL.
EURGBP - SHORT - BASIC SUPPORT & RESISTANCE ANALYSISEURGBP - SHORT - BASIC SUPPORT & RESISTANCE ANALYSIS
In this chart, im looking from 3 perspective.
1) Supply & Demand
2) Trend
3) Significant S&R Level.
SL - 20 PIP
TP : RR / 60
#TAYOR
My main indication is the H4 Double top has been consume at price 0.86764. Which make the movement is bearish .
From that point of view, the price respected the trend point of view. Then price doing engulfing movement which i circle in the picture.
So my point of view, it's relevant to take short at PRICE : 0.85986 as its the only price that near fresh base and significant resistance level .
#EURGBP