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EUR/GBP Poised for Seasonal Upswing as July BeginsAs July kicks off, the EUR/GBP pair is entering a period of seasonal strength, supported by historical trends and favorable technical indicators. Historically, EUR/GBP has shown a tendency to perform well during this time of year, and this seasonality is further bolstered by the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report. The report indicates that the Euro is currently the preferred asset among institutional investors, often referred to as "smart money." Recently, the EUR/GBP pair rebounded from the 0.8400 support level, a critical area that has provided a strong base for price action. This rebound, coupled with the seasonal patterns and smart money positioning, presents a compelling case for a bullish setup. Given these factors, we are now looking for opportunities to enter long positions on the EUR/GBP pair, anticipating continued strength in the Euro as the month progresses.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
EURGBP Will Go Up! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for EURGBP. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 0.843. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 0.852 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
BUY STOP at .8455 EUR/GBP (now .8443)At 12:00 today (25 minutes) we shall know what the BOE intend to do about the current round of interest rates. The market expectation is 0 - 2 - 7. The first digit is those MPC members who voted to increase rates (no-one expects this to be other than zero). The second digit is those MPC members who voted for a decrease in rates (the last month saw 2 members vote for a decrease against market expectation) The third digit reflects the opinion of MPC members who voted to leave rates unchanged. The most likely print will be 0 - 2- 7 and rates to be held at 5.5% but if we see 0 - 3 - 6 or even 0 - 4 - 5 and we see a rate cut then we can expect a massive move in GBP. In theory a vote to decrease interest rates and/or a rate cut should be GBP NEGATIVE but this is not guaranteed. The path of EUR/GBP will be one of 2 ways (see chart) on release of the numbers. If the market interpret the news as GBP positive (BULLISH) we can expect EUR/GBP to decline rapidly to at least WS1 support at .8400 but this support could easily break. If the market see the news as GBP negative then I have a BUY STOP placed at .8455 which is a few pips above the 200 EMA on H1. If this trade triggers then we can expect to see the gap that formed a week last open to close. However the data comes out at 12:00 be ready for some rapid price moves across all GBP pairs. Anyone with SHORT or LONG GBP trades will need to tighten stops but remember, spreads will increase by as much as 10 pips, possibly more as the news is announced.
Long
by forextraplaces
EURGBP to find sellers at market?EURGBP - 24h expiry The primary trend remains bearish. The sequence for trading is lower lows and highs. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Bespoke resistance is located at 0.8455. We look to Sell at 0.8455 (stop at 0.8473) Our profit targets will be 0.8410 and 0.8400 Resistance: 0.8455 / 0.8470 / 0.8485 Support: 0.8425 / 0.8410 / 0.8395 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
Forextraplaces - the week ahead - EUR/GBPIt's a well know market phenomenon that gaps in the market are inevitably always filled. The market hates gaps. No-one seems to know why but its simply a fact. When the markets opened last Sunday (UK time) EUR gapped open across many pairs. EUR/USD 25 pip gap - filled. EUR/JPY 28 pip gap - filled. EUR/CAD 26 pip gap - filled EUR/CHF - no gap EUR/AUD 37 pip NOT filled. EUR/NZD 42 pip gap NOT filled. These last 2 trading pairs have been in a steep decline since the end of April and show no signs of reversing so the gaps in these markets may not bve filled for some time but EUR/GBP is the pair to look at. I expected this gap to have been filled last week particulalrly as GBP was largely BEARISH but this did not happen. I expect that this gap WILL be filled this week. Key is .8842. If we see the price of EUR/GBP break .8842 (where I have a SELL STOP) , I expect the price to close the gap and then reverse sharply. This will need to be done before Friday as the EURO PMI numbers will most likely set the direction of the EUR and these are due on Friday. So look to get LONG on this pair and see if the gap is filled but be mindful that the overall picture for is pair is BEARISH.
Short
by forextraplaces
EURGBP Will Go Down From Resistance! Short! Take a look at our analysis for EURGBP. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 0.843. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 0.836 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
3
Market Analysis: EUR/GBP Poised For More LossesMarket Analysis: EUR/GBP Poised For More Losses EUR/GBP is declining and trading below the 0.8410 support level. Important Takeaways for EUR/GBP Analysis Today - EUR/GBP is declining and showing bearish signs below 0.8460. - There is a major declining channel forming with support at 0.8410 on the hourly chart at FXOpen. EUR/GBP Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/GBP at FXOpen, the pair struggled to gain pace for a move above 0.8520. The Euro settled below 0.8490 and started a fresh decline against the British Pound. There was a clear move below the 0.8470 pivot level. The EUR/GBP chart suggests that the pair settled below the 50-hour simple moving average and 0.8460. A low is formed near 0.8412 and the pair is now consolidating losses. Immediate resistance is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.8457 swing high to the 0.8412 low at 0.8435 and the 50-hour simple moving average. The next major resistance could be near the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.8457 swing high to the 0.8412 low at 0.8445. A close above the 0.8445 level might accelerate gains. In the stated case, the bulls may perhaps aim for a test of 0.8470. Any more gains might send the pair toward the 0.8490 level. Immediate support sits near 0.8410. There is also a major declining channel forming with support at 0.8410. The next major support is near 0.8380. A downside break below the 0.8380 support might call for more downsides. In the stated case, the pair could drop toward the 0.8350 support level. Trade over 50 forex markets 24 hours a day with FXOpen. Take advantage of low commissions, deep liquidity, and spreads from 0.0 pips. Open your FXOpen account now or learn more about trading forex with FXOpen. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EURGBP Bank Money heist Plan in Bullish DirectionMy Dear Robbers / Traders, This is our master plan to Heist EURGBP Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned 2 target in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target. support our robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Join your hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday.
Long
by Thief_Trader
EurGbp could drop hard and test 0.8From a fundamental standpoint, given the political problems in the EU, the GBP is expected to outperform the Euro, regardless of what happens with the major pairs (EUR/USD and GBP/USD). This, combined with the technical outlook, could create a promising selling opportunity for EUR/GBP. As shown in the chart, the pair broke a major support level this week. Considering the descending triangle pattern that has contained EUR/GBP since late January, we could see an acceleration to the downside, potentially leading to a 400-pip drop to test the 0.80 psychological support. My strategy is to sell on rallies.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
1
EUR/GBP breaks down amid EU political uneaseSentiment in Europe remained pessimistic for the second consecutive day. Concerns about the continent's political future were underscored by the EUR/GBP reaching its lowest level since August 2022, alongside a sharp decline in French bonds and stocks. The yield on the benchmark 10-year French bonds increased by another 10 basis points as bond prices fell for the fourth straight day. EUR/GBP breaks down Given the breakdown in the EUR/GBP below key support around the pivotal 0.85 area, I will be monitoring for a potential ret-test of this area from underneath in the days ahead, before the trend potentially resumes. Specifically, the area between 0.8480 to 0.8500 is now the most important resistance zone to watch for a potential trade. Why are traders so concerned about EU’s political situation? Investors are hesitant to buy into the latest dip due to the uncertainty surrounding the potential coalition government that could be led by President Macron and far-right Prime Minister Jordan Bardella. Additionally, the European Commission is expected to place France in an Excessive Deficit Procedure next week, raising concerns about France's fiscal sustainability and adherence to EU fiscal rules, adding further risk to the markets. While European politics and their economic impact evolve gradually, the European elections suggest a future focus on border security and industrial policies, potentially shifting EU cooperation towards more domestic agendas. So far, sovereign debt tensions have been mostly confined to France, but today, we've seen minor turmoil spreading to a few southern European countries. A rightward shift across Europe could heighten market uncertainty, making Europe less predictable and attractive to investors. It is crucial for European and national leaders to address these concerns promptly. Written by Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at FOREX.com Follow me on twitter: x.com
by FOREXcom
EURGBP eyes support ahead of UK CPI printEURGBP initially began the year in a fairly well-defined trading range but showed bullish impetus after breaking out of the consolidation pattern. However, bullish momentum appeared lacking, as the pair struggled to maintain a steady directional move and has since shown a penchant towards mean reversion. 0.8635 proved too high to handle for the pair previously but the most recent bullish advance fell short of that, finding resistance around the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) before heading lower. The current spate of selling is showing signs of fatigue as the pair attempts to trade higher after four successive days of losses. The pair could find itself propped up by trendline support, which caught the bottoms in April and earlier on in May. Keep an eye out for UK CPI tomorrow where there is an expectation of a notable move lower from the prior month. With such optimism, comes the potential for disappointment if the actual data fails to reach the low levels anticipated which may see sterling lift in the moments after the print. April data has the potential to surprise to the upside as this is the month when annual price rises and index-linked increases are implemented. On the other side of the equation, if the CPI data prints inline or lower than consensus estimates, EURGBP may rise off support as markets clear the way for a Bank of England cut sooner rather than later.
by Xayah_trading
The Euro: Navigating Politics, Geopolitics, and SocietyThe euro, as the second most traded currency globally, is heavily influenced by the political stability of the European Union (EU) and global geopolitical dynamics. The stability of the euro is linked to the political environment within the EU, where recent events like the rise of EU-skeptic parties and political turbulence in key member states, such as France and Italy, have introduced uncertainty. Geopolitical tensions, such as the conflict in Ukraine and economic policies from major economies like the US and China, also significantly impact the euro. Additionally, the rise of Islam in Europe, due to immigration and higher birth rates among Muslim communities, has influenced elections and political discourse, contributing to the success of far-right parties. These sociopolitical shifts further complicate the euro's stability by introducing political instability and policy uncertainty. Currently, the pound-to-euro exchange rate has surged, driven by EU political instability and the cautious approach of the European Central Bank (ECB) towards inflation and interest rates. The euro's future will be shaped by a complex interplay of internal political cohesion, global geopolitical tensions, and sociocultural dynamics.
Short
by signalmastermind
2
EURGBP H4 | Bearish Momentum?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 0.8495, which is a pullback resistance and a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit will be at 0.8447, a swing-low support level. The stop loss will be placed at 0.8540, an overlap resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
EUR/GBP Rate at 21-Month Low Post-European Parliament ElectionsEUR/GBP Rate at 21-Month Low Post-European Parliament Elections Investors will begin the week in a state of uncertainty regarding the outlook of Europe's political landscape. The four-day European Parliament elections concluded on Sunday. According to Reuters, the results showed a significant gain for eurosceptic-nationalists, who have displaced liberals and greens. Additionally, President Emmanuel Macron dissolved the French Parliament, calling for early legislative elections later this month after losing to Marine Le Pen's far-right party in the European Union elections. All this puts pressure on the structure of the European Union, weakening the euro's value. As shown by the EUR/GBP chart, trading on the currency markets opened on Monday around the 0.8465 level—a price not seen since August 2022. According to the technical analysis of EUR/GBP today: → The price broke below the critical support level of 0.85, which had been in place since 2023; → In terms of price dynamics since autumn 2022, the market is in a downward trend (as indicated by the red channel). The bearish break of 0.85 reinforces this trend; → The median line of the channel could serve as a consolidation zone below 0.85, confirming the relevance of the channel; → The 0.85-0.853 zone may provide significant resistance in the future if bulls attempt to rectify the situation. In a negative scenario for the market (e.g., a political crisis within Europe), the EUR/GBP price could potentially reach the lower boundary of the indicated channel. Trade over 50 forex markets 24 hours a day with FXOpen. Take advantage of low commissions, deep liquidity, and spreads from 0.0 pips. Open your FXOpen account now or learn more about trading forex with FXOpen. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2