Eurcadshort
A wave of hope for the bears | EURCADFX:EURCAD
Hello traders;
Here's my outlook on EURCAD-
We see price-breaking LL indicating a bearish trend and as such, we expect for price to make a successful retrace which will end at the OB before the bullish impulsive move which was initiated by smart money. Once price hits this OB (blue rectangle zone) we expect to see a more impulsive bearish pull to the downside to continue the bearish structure.
EUR/CAD:FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS + HARMONIC PRICE ACTION ⚡️The Final German CPI for August was reported flat at 0.0% monthly and increased 3.9% annualized. Economists predicted a flat reading of 0.0% and an increase of 3.9% annualized. Forex traders can compare this to the German CPI for July, which increased 0.9% monthly and 3.8% annualized. The Final EU Harmonized German CPI for August increased 0.1% monthly and 3.4% annualized. Economists predicted an increase of 0.1% and 3.4%. Forex traders can compare this to the EU Harmonized German CPI for July, which increased 0.5% monthly and 3.1% annualized.
French Industrial Production for July increased 0.3% monthly. Economists predicted an increase of 0.4%. Forex traders can compare this to French Industrial Production for June, which increased 0.6% monthly.
Spanish Industrial Production for July is predicted to increase by 5.9% annualized. Forex traders can compare this to Spanish Industrial Production for June, which increased 11.1% annualized. Italian Industrial Production for July is predicted to increase 0.1% monthly and 5.4% annualized. Forex traders can compare this to Italian Industrial Production for June, which increased 1.0% monthly and 13.9% annualized.
The Canadian Employment Report for August is predicted to show the creation of 100.0K jobs and an Unemployment Rate of 7.3%. Forex traders can compare this to the Canadian Employment Report for July, which showed the creation of 94.0K jobs, and an Unemployment Rate of 7.5%. The Participation Rate for August is predicted at 65.2%. Forex traders can compare this to the Participation Rate for July, reported at 65.2%.
The Canadian Capacity Utilization Rate for the second quarter is predicted at 81.2%. Forex traders can compare this to the Canadian Capacity Utilization Rate for the first quarter, reported at 81.7%.
The forecast for the EUR/CAD remains bearish after this currency pair failed to keep its uptrend alive following a lower high.
EURCAD - Bearish BiasEURO - Weak Bearish
1️⃣ Both Sentix and ZEW investor confidence are seen declining due to the rapid spread of the COVID-19 variant Delta in the region.
CAD - Strong Bullish
1️⃣ A risk-on market environment can support the strength of CAD.
2️⃣ Canada’s inflation rate rose to 3.7% in July, from 3.1% in the previous month.
3️⃣ The unemployment rate in Canada also dropped to 7.5% in July, reflecting the reopening of the country’s economy.
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Technical
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We are selling the EURCAD after it failed to break the resistance.
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Risk to this trade
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Any change in sentiment could turn the pair's direction.
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EURCAD and the probable path: bears are dominant (Elliott)As you may see in my previous analysis on this pair the pair retraced to 38.2 fibo ret. You can see the previous analysis here ( ) The nature of the wave tells us that the move was a corrective one, and now we can see that the market is in hands of bears so we can tell that wave 5 is in progress. For wave 5 we can expect 61.8 ext of wave one to three and based on this fact the path forward to the instrument is drawn.
✅✅ EURCAD LONG ✅✅What we see on EURCAD is quite clear and nice, price bouncing between two trendlines,
And for now we are in really strong area which you can see as gray rectangle
❗️ 1st lets wait for price to close above our support then set this order ❗️
2nd: set our 1:5 order and fly with the price
⚠️Take Max 1% of your capital on this trade⚠️
Lets see how price respects our each scenario
👇🏻👇🏻👇🏻 Any question comment bellow 👇🏻👇🏻👇🏻
GOOD-LUCK EVERYONE